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Nigeria’s Revenue-to-GDP Ratio Too Low for Economic Growth—IMF

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Revenue-to-GDP Ratio

By Dipo Olowookere

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said Nigeria’s revenue–to-gross domestic product (GDP) ratio of about 9 per cent was too low to trigger the economic growth projected by President Bola Tinubu in his Renewed Hope Agenda.

Addressing journalists at its last press briefing for 2023 on Thursday, the global lender said the administration of Mr Tinubu must boost the government’s revenue to have funds to achieve his goals.

On May 29, 2023, Mr Tinubu took over from Mr Muhammadu Buhari, promising to jump-start the economy and work tirelessly to address food security, end hunger, eradicate poverty, create jobs, and help the most vulnerable members of society

To kick start, he removed the payment of subsidies for petrol and adopted a foreign exchange liberalisation policy, though the exchange rate between the official and the black markets remains wide (N843.07/$1 at NAFEM and N1,180/$1 at the black market.)

At the briefing yesterday, the IMF Director for Communications Department, Ms Julie Kozak, praised Mr Tinubu for the “two bold and important reforms shortly.”

However, she stressed that the revenue-to-GDP ratio must be improved to “create fiscal space for social and development spending.”

“Raising revenue from the very current low revenue to GDP ratio of 9 per cent is essential to create fiscal space for social and development spending.

“Nine per cent of GDP is a very low revenue-to-GDP ratio, and it is not high enough to be able to support strong social safety nets and development spending, to help protect vulnerable households and also to meet Nigeria’s development needs.

“The 2024 budget aims to reduce the fiscal deficit while also creating space for these priority spendings, both on the social side and also on the development side,” she said.

While commenting on the rising inflation in the country, Ms Kozak said the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) may have to raise the monetary policy rate (MPC) at its next Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting.

Recall that last month, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said inflation in October 2023 increased by 27.33 per cent, while the MPC at its last meeting in July pegged the benchmark interest rate at 18.75 per cent.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

Economy

Corporate Reporting Boosts Market Integrity, Investor Confidence—NGX RegCo CEO

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Olufemi Shobanjo NGX RegCo

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The chief executive of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Regulation Limited, Mr Femi Shobanjo, has made a strong case for corporate reporting, submitting that it remains critical to enhancing market integrity and boosting investor confidence.

He gave this view at the 3rd edition of the Corporate Reporting Awards organised by his organisation and the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria (ICAN).

The event recognised listed companies on the local stock exchange for excellence in financial reporting, corporate governance, and sustainability disclosures for the 2024 financial year.

The awards, which cover companies on the NGX 30 Index, assessed performance across three pillars: Financial Reporting (35 per cent), Corporate Governance (30 per cent), and Sustainability Reporting (35 per cent).

Organisers said the 2024 assessment was conducted under strict confidentiality and objectivity, with outcomes based strictly on merit. The exercise builds on earlier editions covering the 2022 and 2023 financial years and continues to serve as a benchmark for corporate disclosure standards in the Nigerian capital market.

Mr Shobanjo highlighted NGX RegCo’s continued adoption of global reporting frameworks, including the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), the Nigerian Code of Corporate Governance, and the IFRS Sustainability Disclosure Standards (IFRS S1 and S2).

According to him, the growing emphasis on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) disclosures reflects an important shift in market expectations, as sustainability considerations are increasingly becoming central to corporate strategy and long-term value creation.

“Strong corporate reporting is fundamental to market integrity and investor confidence. Beyond financial performance, there is now a clear expectation for companies to disclose how environmental, social, and governance considerations are embedded in their strategy.

“Long-term corporate success is increasingly linked to the integration of sustainability into core business decisions,” he said.

He added that the “Most Improved Company” category was introduced to encourage continuous improvement in reporting quality among listed firms.”

On his part, the president of ICAN, Mr Haruna Nma Yahaya, said corporate reporting has evolved significantly beyond compliance, becoming a strategic instrument for communicating purpose, resilience, and direction.

He noted that organisations are now expected not only to report performance but also to demonstrate how they are responding to change and creating sustainable value.

“Corporate reporting has evolved beyond compliance to become a strategic tool that communicates purpose, resilience, and direction.

“In today’s environment, organisations are expected not only to report performance, but also to demonstrate how they are adapting to change and creating sustainable value. Transparency remains central to building trust, strengthening investor confidence, and supporting market stability,” he said.

International Breweries Plc was named Most Improved Company (Overall), while First HoldCo Plc won the Sustainability Reporting Award. Zenith Bank Plc received the Corporate Governance Award, and MTN Nigeria Communications Plc clinched the Financial Reporting Award.

In the top overall category, Access Holdings Plc won Silver, Airtel Africa Plc took Gold, while Seplat Energy Plc emerged Platinum winner.

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Economy

Crude Oil Rises 3% as Iran Hesitates on US Peace Talks

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crude oil exports

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil climbed about 3 per cent on Tuesday after Iran said it had yet to decide whether to attend peace talks with the United ​States.

With one day left before the ceasefire runs out in the Iran war, US President Donald Trump said he hoped to ‌reach a deal to end the war. However, he said he did not want to extend the ceasefire, adding that the US military was “raring to go” if negotiations were not successful.

This development raised the price of Brent futures by $3 or 3.1 per cent to $98.48 a barrel, and lifted the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures by $2.52 or 2.8 per cent to $92.13 per barrel.

Crude oil prices have spent most of March-April seesawing up and down, reacting to Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz and President Trump’s Truth Social posts.

The lack of progress in US-Iran talks and their continuous postponement are keeping the oil market on edge, with the American President’s latest comments about no extension sending another wave of anxiety across market watchers.

Shipping traffic through the Strait ​of Hormuz, which normally handles about 20 per cent of global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies, remained broadly halted on ⁠Tuesday with only three ships passing the waterway in the past 24 hours. Over 1 billion barrels of crude have been disrupted due to the blockade.

Meanwhile, the Israeli military said Hezbollah fired rockets at Israeli troops in southern Lebanon, accusing the Iran-backed group of violating a ceasefire ahead of US-mediated talks between the government of Israel and Lebanon this week.

The European Union (EU) said it will provide guidance to airlines on how to handle issues such as airport slots, passenger rights ​and public service obligations in the event of jet fuel shortages because of the Iran war.

Countries continued to feel the effects of the war. In Germany, the biggest economy ​in Europe, investor morale declined to its ​lowest level in more than three ⁠years in April, while in the US, retail sales increased more than expected in March as the war in ​Iran boosted gasoline prices.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said the Druzhba oil ‌pipeline, which pumps ⁠Russian oil to Europe, is ready to resume operations, signalling that Ukraine now expects an over $106 billion aid package to be unblocked.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US fell by 4.4 million barrels in the week ending April 17. In the week prior, US crude oil inventories rose by 6.10 million barrels. Official data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.

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Economy

NASCON, Others Drive Stock Exchange’s 0.06% Rise as Bulls, Bears Fight for Control

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Local Stock Exchange

By Dipo Olowookere

The local stock exchange recorded a marginal 0.06 per cent surge on Tuesday as the bulls and the bears engaged in a fierce battle for control of the bourse.

Business Post reports that the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited experienced a mix of profit-taking and bargain-hunting, with two of the five key sectors ending in green.

According to data from Customs Street, the banking counter lost 1.30 per cent, the consumer goods sector decreased by 0.39 per cent, and the energy index tumbled by 0.09 per cent.

However, the industrial goods and the insurance indices appreciated by 1.64 per cent and 0.19 per cent, respectively, as a result of buying pressure.

Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 135.97 points to 218,249.81 points from 218,113.84 points, and the market capitalisation soared by N87 billion to N140.523 trillion from N140.436 trillion.

The market breadth index for the session was negative, like the preceding session, with 26 price gainers and 45 price losers, showing bearish investor sentiment.

Again, NASCON led the advancers’ group after it chalked up another 10.00 per cent to close at N171.60. Union Dicon increased by 9.92 per cent to N19.95, Lafarge Africa gained 9.64 per cent to trade at N273.00, Trans-Nationwide Express appreciated by 8.27 per cent to N7.20, and UAC Nigeria rose by 7.84 per cent to N110.00.

On the other side, Legend Internet depreciated by 9.92 per cent to N5.63, Abbey Mortgage Bank shed 9.59 per cent to quote at N6.60, Stanbic IBTC weakened by 8.96 per cent to N154.50, Access Holdings dropped 8.83 per cent to close at N29.95, and Veritas Kapital crashed by 7.50 per cent to N1.85.

On top of the activity chart yesterday was Access Holdings with 110.7 million shares sold for N3.6 billion, FCMB transacted 57.7 million equities valued at N751.5 million, Fidelity Bank exchanged 44.8 million stocks worth N1.0 billion, Zenith Bank traded 44.2 million equities for N5.5 billion, and UBA transacted 43.6 million shares valued at N2.2 billion.

At the close of trades, 842.5 million stocks worth N44.9 billion exchanged hands in 61,617 deals versus the 984.0 million stocks valued at N50.8 billion executed in 76,410 deals on Monday, indicating a shortfall in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 14.38 per cent, 11.61 per cent, and 19.36 per cent, respectively.

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