Economy
NNPC Pushes For N150 Per Litre For Petrol
By Dipo Olowookere
There are strong indications that the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) is planning to propose to the Federal Government a new pump price of N150 per litre price for Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) otherwise called petrol against the N145 per litre it presently sells.
This is as the embargo placed on price increase by President Muhammadu Buhari has worsened planned fuel price hike dilemma for the corporation.
According to the New Telegraph, landing cost of PMS as at last weekend has surged to N122.03 per litre, about N4 increase from the specification in the pricing template of the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulating Agency (PPPRA).
This, further checks showed, was responsible for the N4 per litre price hike by NNPC’s mega stations across the country, which hiked their pump price from N141 to N145 per litre.
Already, some independent marketers, caught in the debacle, who were selling at the N145 price before now, have adjusted their pumps to meet up with the market reality.
Further checks by the newspaper showed that seven foreign contractors, including Vitol, Petrocam and Northwest who participated actively in the importation of PMS, have abandoned the contracts.
“The NNPC top notch caught up in this dilemma have approached the president to explain the new market realities to him, but the president refused to hear any briefing on price hike,” a source at the presidency told the newspaper.
“The only option left on the table for NNPC is to push the prices at their stations to the highest point of the price mark.”
The source added that the Group Managing Director of NNPC, Dr Mainkanti Baru, would still meet with the president next week to brief him on the possibilities of declaring huge losses by the yearend due to the situation.
“Major marketers like ExxonMobil have exited the downstream while Total is on the verge of its exit. Marketers are running at loss; they are not making profits as envisaged and some of them have adjusted their pumps to accommodate price hike.
“In all these, the DPR is helpless because the N145 per litre price is still within the range,” an industry source added.
The Group General Manager, Crude Oil Marketing Department of the NNPC, Mr Mele Kyari, had earlier hinted that the nation’s difficult business environment may make it difficult to sustain the current pump price of petrol.
He spoke at the 10th Oil Trading and Logistics Africa Downstream Week in Lagos, where he also said it was impossible to import products at the current market price, at current fixed foreign exchange rate and recover one’s money.
Marketers that are currently selling below N145/ litre, he said, are doing so because they are not the importers of the fuel. “Because we (NNPC) have taken the heat, and you buy from us you can afford to go to the market and then put a ridiculous price,” he said.
However, Kyari ruled out the possibility of increasing the pump price by the government due to the economic hardship in the country, saying, “It is impossible for this government to announce tomorrow that petrol is about N150.”
“This government cannot sustain it,” he declared, maintaining that this “is the truth. The people will not take that number. But that is why the suppliers now are not importing. It is not about the foreign exchange.”
“We are in subsidy regime absolutely, there is no way you bring product today and take it and sell at N145 and get back your money, and make profit. That is not possible. You can see some marketers saying that fuel is N138.
“It is because they did not import. Somebody has taken the heat of the price.”
Few weeks before Kyari’s submission, former and present Group Managing Directors of the NNPC had also expressed fears that the current pump price of N145 per litre is no longer feasible.
They said the amount does not correspond with the price-determining components of the commodity and the fluctuations of the foreign exchange rate.
The NNPC had, in its statement, said: “They (the GMDs) noted that the petrol price of N145/litre is not congruent with the liberalisation policy, especially with the foreign exchange rate and other price determining components such as crude cost, Nigerian Ports Authority charges, etc. remaining uncapped.”
On the N145 per litre price, Kyari had said: “We have created a niche market for the forex. We have ring-fenced all forex from the upstream such that those forex will be available at a fixed price; a price that the CBN has agreed. I am part of the people who are involved in making sure that this forex is available.
“I am part of the committee allocating those forex, and I know and I can see some of you here; we gave you forex, but you returned it. And the reason that was given was that the forex was not enough to import.
“But the truth is that, that is not the truth. The truth is that if you go to the market today and buy products and land here, that you are required to sell it at N145 max. That is the main reason why people are not importing.
“It is not forex; we have addressed the forex issue.” The PPPRA has, however, left its template unchanged for seven months. “Based on 30 Days Moving Average Platts Posted Price for: 23rd April – 23rd May, 2016, the Landing Cost is 122.03 per litre; Total Margins are 18.37; while Total Cost 140.40; and Retail Price Band is between 135 and 145,” the agency said on its website yesterday.
“Meanwhile, the NNPC stations have increased the pump price of petrol at its retail outlets by N4 from N141 to N145 per litre. Though the new N145 price remains within the maximum price cap fixed by the Federal Government last May, this is the first time fuel at NNPC’s outlets will be sold at that price.
Hitherto, prices have been hovering between N141 and N143 per litre at NNPC and affiliate stations in major cities and even less at stations in the hinterlands.
The prices have been N141 in last few months until last week when it was raised to N145. Group General Manager, Group Public Affairs Division of NNPC, Alhaji Garba Deen Muhammad, however, said the N4 per litre price hike by NNPC was interplay of market forces. “Marketers can sell between N135 and N145 range price regime introduced in May.
“It is simply an interplay of market forces,” he said.
The N145 per price at NNPC, a management staff of the corporation said, was to minimise the losses the NNPC will record by the end of the year through its monopoly of importation. Already, the revenue losses recorded by the corporation had hit N35.4 billion in two months, as profits woes rocking the corporation worsened.
The monthly financial and operations report released on the corporation’s website last Thursday showed that the losses were recorded in July and August.
The NNPC stated that the force majeure declared by SPDC, as a result of vandalised 48-inch Forcados export line was a drag to NPDC, its subsidiary, and the overall group performance.
Additional information from https://newtelegraphonline.com/petrol-nnpc-pushes-n150-per-litre/
Economy
Oil Market Falls on Expected Increase in Supply Surplus
By Adedapo Adesanya
The oil market slumped on Thursday, pressured by an expected increase in supply, supported by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
The International Energy Agency (EIA) made a slight upward revision to its demand outlook for next year but still expected the oil market to be comfortably supplied, with Brent crude futures losing 11 cents or 0.15 per cent to trade at $73.41 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures declining by 27 cents or 0.38 per cent to finish at $70.02 per barrel.
The IEA in its monthly oil market report increased its 2025 global oil demand growth forecast to 1.1 million barrels per day from 990,000 barrels per day last month, largely in Asian countries due to the impact of China’s recent stimulus measures.
At the same time, the IEA expects nations not in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Allies (OPEC+) group to boost supply by about 1.5 million barrels per day next year, driven by the US, Canada, Guyana, Brazil and Argentina – more than the rate of demand growth.
On Wednesday, OPEC cut its demand growth forecast for 2024 for the fifth straight month.
The IEA said that, even excluding the return to higher output quotas, its current outlook is to a 950,000 barrels per day supply overhang next year, which is almost 1 per cent of the world’s supply.
The Paris-based agency said this would rise to 1.4 million barrels per day if OPEC+ goes ahead with its plan to start unwinding cuts from the end of next March.
Next year’s surplus could make it harder for OPEC+ to bring back production. The hike was earlier due to start in October 2024, but OPEC+ has delayed it amid falling prices.
Meanwhile, inflation rose slightly in November increasing the possibility of a US Federal Reserve rates cut again as the data fed optimism about economic growth and energy demand.
Support also came as crude imports in China grew annually for the first time in seven months in November, up more than 14 per cent from a year earlier.
Economy
Customs Street Closes 0.25% Higher Despite Sell-Offs in Banking Stocks
By Dipo Olowookere
The 0.22 per cent decline in the banking sector could not bring down the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited at the close of business on Thursday, Business Post reports.
The sector witnessed profit-taking during the trading session but the gains recorded by the others ensured that Customs Street maintained its upward movement by 0.25 per cent yesterday.
The energy index improved during the session by 2.74 per cent, the insurance counter expanded by 0.82 per cent, the industrial goods industry rose by 0.62 per cent, and the consumer goods sector went up by 0.32 per cent.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) grew by 250.91 per cent to 98,760.59 points from 98,509.68 points and the market capitalisation increased by N152 billion to N59.867 trillion from N59.715 trillion.
Investor sentiment remained bullish on Thursday as the bourse ended with 30 appreciating shares and 21 depreciating shares, implying a positive market breadth index.
The duo of Tantalizers and Conoil gained 10.00 per cent each to sell for N1.76 and N387.20, respectively, Custodian Investment soared by 9.92 per cent to N13.85, Africa Prudential gained 9.79 per cent to quote at N15.70, and Golden Guinea Breweries went up by 9.75 per cent to N7.88.
Conversely, DAAR Communications lost 8.47 per cent to settle at 54 Kobo, Caverton plunged by 8.16 per cent to N1.80, Omatek tumbled by 7.46 per cent to 62 Kobo, ABC Transport crashed by 7.41 per cent to N1.25, and Consolidated Hallmark slipped by 7.11 per cent to N2.22.
It was quite a busy day yesterday at the NGX as market participants engaged in transactions ahead of the festive holidays, with the trading volume, value and number of deals rising by 52.98 per cent, 9.23 per cent, and 4.54 per cent, respectively.
This was because investors transacted 489.7 million stocks valued at N7.1 billion in 8,304 deals during the trading day compared with the 320.1 billion stocks worth N6.5 billion traded in 7,943 deals a day earlier.
Topping the activity log was FCMB with the sale of 77.6 million equities for N698.7 million, eTranzact exchanged 70.1 million shares worth N473.4 million, Haldane McCall transacted 47.8 million stocks valued at N234.3 million, Japaul exchanged 33.6 million equities worth N73.8 million, and Secure Electronic Technology traded 16.8 million stocks valued at N8.8 million.
Economy
Nigeria’s 364-Day Treasury Bills Rate Down 0.13% Amid Strong Demand
By Dipo Olowookere
Increased appetite for one-year Nigerian treasury bills forced the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to trim the stop rate at primary market auction (PMA) conducted on Wednesday.
Business Post reports that the rate was brought down by 0.13 per cent during the exercise by the bank to 22.80 per cent from the 22.93 per cent it cleared in the preceding PMA.
It was observed that investors showed significant interests in the tenor at midweek, though lower than the previous auctions.
At the session, the CBN brought to the market N256.5 billion worth of the 12-month bills but received bids valued at N888.4 billion, showing that subscribers were ready to lock their funds in the long-dated asset class.
However, at the close of the exercise, the central bank allotted N512.0 billion worth of maturity to investors after it cut the top rate, which some investors wanted as high as 28.00 per cent, according to details of the exercise obtained by this newspaper.
Unfortunately, the other tenors, the 91-day and 181-day T-bills, did not get the same attention as the 364-day maturity on Wednesday.
The apex bank was at the PMA with N10.8 billion worth of the three-month bills but only received bids valued at N8.8 billion, which was fully allotted to investors, but the stop rate was left intact at 18.00 per cent at the close of the exercise.
As for the six-month tenor, it recorded a slight oversubscription during the exercise after the central bank offered for sale N8.4 billion but got subscriptions worth N10.6 billion, though the allocation was lowered to N7.0 billion with the stop rate unchanged at 18.50 per cent.
At the primary auction on Wednesday, the CBN intended to sell treasury bills valued at N275.7 billion but ended up allotting N527.8 billion after receiving offers worth N907.8 billion, indicating strong demand for the government debt securities.
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