Economy
Oil Gains 1% as China Boosts Market Confidence
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil settled up about $1 a barrel on Friday as China’s economic prospects brightened, boosting expectations for fuel demand in the world’s second-biggest economy.
Brent crude settled at $87.63 a barrel after it grew by $1.47 or 1.7 per cent, while the United States crude settled at $81.31 a barrel, as it gained 98 cents or 1.2 per cent.
The benchmarks notched a second straight weekly gain as a result. For the week, Brent logged a 2.8 per cent increase, and the US benchmark saw a 1.8 per cent rise.
China, which has become the latest mover of the oil market, continued its bullish contribution to the market, with the latest coming from the International Energy Agency (IEA) saying that the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions in China is set to boost global oil demand this year to a new record high.
Despite possible but likely mild recessions in Europe and the United States, China’s expected reopening is set to fuel rebounds in nearby Asian economies and see it take the lead from India as the world’s leader in oil demand growth.
On its part, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said Chinese oil demand would rebound this year due to the relaxation of the country’s COVID-19 curbs and drive global growth, and sounded an optimistic note on the prospects for the world economy in 2023.
This is as world demand in 2023 will rise by 2.22 million barrels per day or 2.2 per cent.
OPEC expects Chinese demand to grow by 510,000 barrels per day in 2023. Last year, the country’s oil use posted its first contraction in years due to the COVID containment measures.
Oil was also supported by hopes that the US Federal Reserve will soon downshift to smaller interest rate hikes, which could brighten the US economic outlook.
Predictions showed that the US central bank will end its tightening cycle after increases of 25 basis points at each of its next two policy meetings and should then hold rates steady for at least the rest of the year.
Also helping oil prices, Baker Hughes Co said the US oil rig count fell 10 to 613, its lowest since November.
Oil rose despite US inventory figures this week showing crude stockpiles rose by 8.4 million barrels in the week to January 13 to about 448 million barrels, the highest since June 2021.
Analysts also said a price cap on Russian oil, which has been rippling through the global market, is helping to boost crude prices.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira further appreciated against the United States Dollar by N5.68 or 0.41 per cent to N1,369.63/$1 on Wednesday, July 22, from the preceding session’s N1,375.31/$1 in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX).
Similarly, the Nigerian currency improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session by N8.01 to trade at N1,833.12/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,841.13/£1, and against the Euro, it gained N4.75 to sell at N1,563.03/€1, in contrast to Tuesday’s closing price of N1,567.78/€1.
In the same vein, the Naira strengthened its rate against the US Dollar in the black market yesterday by N5 to quote at N1,400/$1 compared with the N1,405/$1 it was traded a day earlier, and at the GTBank FX desk, it chalked up N5 against the greenback to settle at N1,383/$1 versus N1,388/$1.
FX liquidity was boosted by inflows from foreign portfolio investors, exporters and non-bank corporates. The significant liquidity and strong investor sentiment aided the naira recovery from the recent slump.
As a result, total turnover settled at $416.420 million on Wednesday, up by 29 per cent from $322.664 million recorded the previous day.
The number of deals counted at the NAFEM window also increased to 198 from 110 on Tuesday, signalling higher demand for foreign payments matched adequate FX inflows.
With more than $52 billion in gross external reserves, analysts said the FX market is expected to remain stable in the near term.
As for the digital currency market, Bitcoin (BTC) slipped by 0.4 per cent to $65,658.75 as rising oil prices and higher Treasury yields pressured risk assets and weighed on major cryptocurrencies, which later saw some recovery.
Market sentiment was further dampened by an apparent escalation in US military strikes linked to Iran, while traders also looked at regulatory uncertainty as key US Senate Democrats criticised the latest draft of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, which is designed to define and separate regulatory oversight for cryptocurrency, stablecoins, and digital commodities.
Dogecoin (DOGE) crashed by 0.1 per cent to $0.0724, and TRON (TRX) dropped 0.01 per cent to trade at $0.3287, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
However, Cardano (ADA) rose by 1.6 per cent to $0.1741, Ethereum (ETH) gained 0.2 per cent to close at $1,921.85, Binance Coin (BNB) also grew by 0.2 per cent to $569.38, Ripple (XRP) increased by 0.1 per cent to $1.13, and Solana (SOL) soared by 0.02 per cent to $77.50.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices jumped 3 per cent on Wednesday as mounting supply concerns following escalating hostilities between the United States and Iran, while threats to shipping by the Iran-backed Houthi militia in Yemen further boosted prices.
Brent crude futures went up by $3.06 or 3.36 per cent to $94.07 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate crude climbed $2.49 or 2.95 per cent to $86.83 a barrel.
The US military said it carried out an 11th consecutive night of attacks on Iran. The US attacks came a short while after the Kuwaiti army said its air defences were intercepting Iranian drones.
President Donald Trump said on Wednesday the US would “bomb and destroy one bridge or power plant” any time Iran targets a ship in the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards’ spokesperson warned shipping companies that the Strait of Hormuz southern route is mined.
As well as the renewed conflict over control of that key waterway, the Iran-aligned Houthis have opened a new front in the war by threatening to target vessels carrying Saudi oil in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and announced a naval blockade of Saudi Arabia.
Bab el-Mandeb at the southern entrance to the Red Sea has become an increasingly important route for Saudi Arabian crude exports as traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen sharply again since a ceasefire between the US and Iran collapsed earlier this month.
Five tankers in the Red Sea avoided the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on Wednesday after the Houthis’ threat to block Saudi oil exports.
The European Union’s naval force Aspides said on Wednesday that ships with links to Israel, the US or Saudi Arabia are at a higher risk of being attacked by Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi militia and are advised to avoid voyages through the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden.
Crude oil inventories in the US saw an increase of 2.0 million barrels during the week ending July 17, according to new data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released on Wednesday.
It follows figures by the American Petroleum Institute (API) that were released a day earlier, which reported that crude oil inventories had risen by 2.603 million barrels in the period.
The increase brings commercial stockpiles to 411.7 million barrels, according to government data, which are now 6 per cent below the five-year average for this time of year.
Meanwhile, European Union (EU) ambassadors failed on Wednesday to agree on a 21st package of sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Debt Management Office (DMO) on Monday allotted bonds worth N929.3 billion to investors from the N1.7 trillion bids it received from subscribers.
The exercise, which took place on Monday, July 20, 2026, was oversubscribed by market participants, reflecting the confidence investors have in the government’s ability to redeem the debt instrument on maturity.
On offer for sale for the July auction was N1.2 trillion worth of the FGN bonds, but the DMO allotted below this, despite receiving bids above the offer.
The papers were offered in 10-year, 15-year, and 20-year tenors, at N400 billion each.
For the decade-old note, investors staked N444.47 billion, but the debt office sold N245.73 billion at an 18.34 per cent coupon rate. For the one and a half-decade-old paper, bids valued at N518.00 billion were received by the DMO, with a non-competitive bid of N50.00 billion, with N302.13 billion allotted to investors at 18.40 per cent, and for the two-decade paper, the DMO got competitive bids of N665.19 billion and N381.46 billion was sold to bondholders at 18.35 per cent.
