Economy
Oil Sheds 2% Over Trade Deal Stagnancy as Brent Falls to $60
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices continued to get the stick circumstances surrounding the US-China trade deal which has affected global oil demand over the past 16 months. As a result of this, major futures depreciated from gains gathered during last week sessions into the second day of the week.
By implication, Brent crude, the international benchmark which traded above $63 last week continued its fall further on Tuesday as it shed 2.34 percent or $1.46 to trade at $60. 98 per barrel. The US West Texas Intermediate crude lost 1.7 percent or 2.98 percent to settle at $55.44 per barrel.
Business Post had reported on Tuesday morning that a Chinese government source said that there was pessimism in China about prospects for a trade deal and the long-running dispute between the world’s largest economies has affected economic growth prospects.
This decline in prices of crude oil also occurred over concerns about excess global crude supply.
On the supply side, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, including Russia, had earlier in the year agree to cut combined oil output by 1.2 million barrels per day that will run till March 2020.
However, sources show that Russia is unlikely to agree to deepen cuts in oil output at the December 5 – 6 meeting with fellow exporters in Vienna, but could commit to extend existing curbs to support Saudi Arabia, over worries about weak demand growth in 2020.
The prospect of a further increase in US crude inventories, suggesting ample supplies also led to the drop in prices of oil on Tuesday as this followed a rise in larger than expected rise in Norwegian oil production which also affected prices.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) is set to release its supply report at on Tuesday (yet to be released at press time) and the US government’s official figures are due to go public on Wednesday.
Oil may, however, trade lower or slightly higher on the outcome of this on Wednesday.
Economy
Bears Take Over Customs Street as Investors Lose N208bn
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited reversed the gains of the previous trading session to plunge by 0.35 per cent on Wednesday.
This was triggered by profit-taking from investors who chew on the 0.25 per cent interest rate hike by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) on Tuesday. The Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) is currently at 27.50 per cent and the inflation for October stands at 33.88 per cent.
Business Post reports that the selling pressure was visible seen in the consumer goods sector, which went down by 0.34 per cent yesterday, erasing the gains recorded by the others.
The insurance index appreciated by 1.24 per cent, the energy counter improved by 1.02 per cent, the banking space jumped by 0.14 per cent, and the industrial goods sector gained 0.02 per cent.
At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) contracted by 348.31 points to 97,296.57 points from 97,639.88 points and the market capitalisation declined by N208 billion to N58.970 trillion from N59.178 trillion.
Investor sentiment was weak at midweek after Customs Street ended with 23 price gainers and 26 price losers, representing a negative market breadth index.
John Holt lost 10.00 per cent to finish at N9.90, Aradel Holdings declined by 9.98 per cent to N473.30, Eterna slumped by 9.88 per cent to N22.35, Haldane McCall shed 8.43 per cent to N5.65, and UPDC crumbled by 8.13 per cent to N1.47.
On the flip side, Sunu Assurances gained 9.97 per cent to trade at N4.19, Guinea Insurance grew by 8.16 per cent to 53 Kobo, Conoil rose by 6.56 per cent to N276.00, DAAR Communications expanded by 6.56 per cent to 65 Kobo, and NASCON improved by 6.23 per cent to N32.40.
A total of 822.5 million equities valued at N10.3 billion were traded in 9,385 deals on Wednesday compared with the 552.1 million equities worth N8.0 billion transacted in 9,305 deals on Tuesday, indicating an increase in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 48.98 per cent, 28.75 per cent, and 0.86 per cent, respectively.
The most active stock for the session was Haldane McCall, which sold 373.7 million units for N2.2 billion, Japaul transacted 115.9 million units worth N285.5 million, Tantalizers traded 30.7 million units valued at N34.9 million, UBA exchanged 29.4 million units worth N930.1 million, and GTCO transacted 28.8 million units valued at N1.5 billion.
Economy
Dangote Refinery is Game-Changer for Nigeria’s Economy—OGUNCCIMA
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
The Dangote Refinery located in the Lekki area of Lagos State has been described as a game-changer for Nigeria’s economy because of its significance to the country’s sustainable growth.
This was the view of the Ogun State Chamber of Commerce, Industry, Mines, and Agriculture (OGUNCCIMA) through its president, Mr Niyi Oshiyemi.
“The Dangote Refinery is a game-changer for Nigeria’s economy. With a capacity to refine 650,000 barrels of crude oil daily, it has reduced Nigeria’s reliance on imported petroleum products, conserved foreign exchange, and fortified our energy security.
“This milestone reinforces the critical role the private sector plays in national development,” Mr Oshinyemi said, noting that, “The refinery’s operations have created employment for Nigerians at all levels while fostering technology transfer and skills acquisition. This has strengthened local businesses and equipped them with the tools to compete in domestic and global markets.”
The emphasis on local content has been a cornerstone of Dangote Refinery’s strategy. By sourcing materials locally and partnering with indigenous companies, the refinery has supported the growth of Nigerian enterprises and encouraged investments in infrastructure, engineering, and technology.
The ripple effects of the Dangote Refinery extend beyond the energy sector. Its presence has catalyzed industrialization by attracting investments in related sectors such as petrochemicals, manufacturing, and transportation. This multiplier effect has significantly expanded Nigeria’s industrial base and enhanced the nation’s economic competitiveness.
“This refinery is a shining example of what can be achieved through visionary leadership and investment in strategic sectors. It demonstrates Africa’s potential to compete globally and foster regional integration,” Mr Oshiyemi remarked.
In addition to its economic contributions, Dangote Refinery has maintained a strong commitment to corporate social responsibility. The Dangote Group’s investments in education, healthcare, and infrastructure have improved the quality of life for many Nigerians and strengthened community resilience.
“Dangote Refinery exemplifies the role of private sector enterprises in driving social progress alongside economic development. Its initiatives in healthcare and education are building a brighter future for Nigerians,” the OGUNCCIMA chief noted.
He urged stakeholders across public and private sectors to emulate the Dangote Refinery’s innovative approach to development. By fostering partnerships and investing in transformative projects, Nigeria can achieve sustainable economic growth and reduce its reliance on external resources.
“This refinery stands as a model for what is possible when the private sector leads with vision and commitment. We call on all stakeholders to collaborate and replicate such success stories to build a resilient, self-reliant, and prosperous Nigeria,” Mr Oshiyemi concluded.
Economy
House of Reps Passes MTEF-FSP For 2025-2027
By Adedapo Adesanya
The House of Representatives on Wednesday passed the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) and Fiscal Strategy Paper (FSP) for the next three years (2025-2027).
In passing the MTEF, the lower chamber’s committees on Finance, Petroleum Upstream, and Petroleum Downstream were tasked to investigate reports from the Revenue Mobilization, Allocation, and Fiscal Responsibility Commission (RMAFC) alleging that the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited’s withheld N8.48 trillion as claimed subsidies for petrol.
Additionally, the investigation will address the Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI) report that claimed the NNPC failed to remit $2 billion (N3.6 trillion) in taxes to the federal government.
The committees were further directed to verify the total cumulative amount of unremitted revenue (under-recovery) from the sale of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) by the NNPC between 2020 and 2023.
Some of the recommendations in the MTEF as adopted by the house are; that the projected oil benchmark prices are $75, $76.2 and $75.3 per barrel in 2025, 2026 and 2027, respectively.
Three-year projections for domestic crude oil production are 2.06 million barrels per day, 2.10 million barrels per day and 2.35 million barrels per day for the subsequent years of 2025, 2026 and 2027.
The country’s economic growth rate forecast, measured by the gross domestic product (GDP) was put at 4.6 per cent, 4.4 per cent and 5.5 per cent for the years 2025, 2026 and 2027, respectively.
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