Economy
OPEC Revises Oil Demand Growth to 95.89mb/d in 2021
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has revised down its global oil demand growth forecast for 2021 as a result of uncertainty surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic despite the roll-out of vaccines in several countries.
The oil cartel in its latest Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) forecast that demand will total 95.89 million barrels per day next year in contrast to its previous forecast of 96.26 million barrels per day.
The downward revision reflects the uncertainty surrounding the impact of COVID-19 on transportation fuels in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) economies in the first half of next year.
OPEC estimates their recovery to be capped at 2019 levels and forecasts for a mild winter in the northern hemisphere are pressuring the outlook for middle distillates demand.
Economic growth next year and the related impact on oil demand recovery depends on uncertainties surrounding the pandemic, policies of the incoming US administrations, Brexit and trade negotiations, the cartel said.
Recent news regarding vaccination programmes in most major economies provides upside to next year’s GDP growth forecast of 4.4 per cent.
The UK became the first country to start rolling out the COVID-19 vaccine that US firm Pfizer has developed with Germany’s Biontech earlier this month.
The organisation assumes vaccines will be gradually available globally by the second half of 2021. It said, “Earlier availability would allow a faster-than-anticipated move towards normalisation,” the report said.
Lower transportation fuel demand in the US and OECD Europe led to a downward revision in OPEC’s demand forecast for 2020, which is now pegged at 89.99 million barrels per day, 9.77 million barrels per day lower than 2019. In November, the OPEC report predicted a 9.75 million barrels per day drop in this year’s consumption.
On the supply side, non-OPEC liquids have been revised lower for this year and for 2021. Non-OPEC supply is now expected to average 62.67 million barrels per day this year, down by 2.5 million barrels per day from 2019.
Last month’s report estimated a 2.43 million barrels per day drop to 62.73 million barrels per day. This change reflects lower-than-expected output in the fourth quarter of 2020, mainly in the US, partially offset by revisions to output in Russia and Canada.
Non-OPEC supply is forecast to rebound by 850,000 b/d to average 63.52 million barrels per day next year, a slower pace of growth than the 950,000 barrels per day increase predicted in last month’s MOMR.
“This is mainly due to downward revisions to Russia, following the new decision taken at the recent ministerial meeting of the OPEC and Non-OPEC countries participating in the declaration of co-operation,” the report said.
The trimmed Non-OPEC supply forecast for this year has resulted in an upward revision to the call on OPEC members’ own crude, which is now estimated at 22.2 million barrels per day in 2020, down by 7.1 million barrels per day from 2019. But the forecast call on OPEC crude for next year has been revised down by almost 200,000 barrels per day from last month’s report, to 27.17 million barrels per day.
OPEC crude production averaged 25.11 million barrels per day in November, up by 707,000 barrels per day from October.
Economy
Champion Breweries Concludes Bullet Brand Portfolio Acquisition
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The acquisition of the Bullet brand portfolio from Sun Mark has been completed by Champion Breweries Plc, a statement from the company confirms.
This marks a transformative milestone in the organisation’s strategic expansion into a diversified, pan-African beverage platform.
With this development, Champion Breweries now owns the Bullet brand assets, trademarks, formulations, and commercial rights globally through an asset carve-out structure.
The assets are held in a newly incorporated entity in the Netherlands, in which Champion Breweries holds a majority interest, while Vinar N.V., the majority shareholder of Sun Mark, retains a minority stake.
Bullet products are currently distributed in 14 African markets, positioning Champion Breweries to scale beyond Nigeria in the high-growth ready-to-drink (RTD) alcoholic and energy drink segments.
This expansion significantly broadens the brewer’s addressable market and strengthens its revenue base with an established, profitable portfolio that already enjoys strong brand recognition and consumer loyalty across multiple markets.
“The successful completion of our public equity raises, together with the formal close of the Bullet acquisition, marks a defining moment for Champion Breweries.
“The support we received from both existing shareholders and new investors reflects strong confidence in our long-term strategy to build a diversified, high-growth beverage platform with pan-African scale.
“Our focus now is on disciplined execution, integration, and delivering sustained value across markets,” the chairman of Champion Breweries, Mr Imo-Abasi Jacob, stated.
Through this transaction, Champion Breweries is expected to achieve enhanced foreign exchange earnings, expanded distribution leverage across African markets, integrated supply chain efficiencies, portfolio diversification into high‑growth consumer beverage categories, and strengthened presence in the RTD and energy drink segments.
The acquisition accelerates Champion Breweries’ transition from a regional brewing business to a multi-category consumer platform with continental reach.
Bullet Black is Nigeria’s leading ready-to-drink alcoholic beverage, while Bullet Blue has built a strong presence in the energy drink category across several African markets.
Economy
M-KOPA Nigeria Plans Expansion to Edo, Others After N231bn Credit Milestone
By Adedapo Adesanya
Emerging market fintech firm, M-KOPA, has announced plans to deepen its reach in Nigeria to the South South and South East regions, starting with Edo this year, after providing N231 billion in credit to over 1 million customers in the country.
The firm released its first Nigeria-focused Impact Report, which showed that Nigeria is M-KOPA’s fastest-growing market and fastest to reach the milestone.
Since its foray into the Nigerian market in 2019, M-KOPA has been working to dismantle barriers to financial inclusion by providing flexible smartphone financing and digital financial tools that align with how people in the informal economy earn and manage their money.
It operates in six states in the country, including Lagos, Ogun, and Oyo, among others.
The report highlights the company’s contribution to income generation, digital inclusion and economic opportunity for Every Day Earners across the country.
The report showed that M-KOPA has enabled 290,000 first-time smartphone users, while 56 per cent of agents accessed their first income opportunity through the platform.
It showed high income and livelihood gains among its users, with about 77 per cent of customers leveraging smartphones or digital loans obtained through the platform to generate income, indicating that access to financed devices is directly supporting micro-entrepreneurial activity and informal sector productivity.
Furthermore, 75 per cent of users report higher earnings since gaining access to M-KOPA’s services, suggesting measurable improvements in personal revenue streams. On the distribution side, 99 per cent of agents disclose increased earnings, reflecting positive spillover effects across the company’s value chain.
In addition, 81 per cent of long-term customers state that their household expenses have improved, pointing to enhanced financial stability and better consumption smoothing over time.
Speaking on the report, Mr Babajide Duroshola, General Manager, M-KOPA Nigeria, said, “Nigeria represents extraordinary potential, and we’re proud that it has become M-KOPA’s fastest-growing market. Our Impact Report shows that when Every Day Earners gain access to the right digital and financial tools, they use them to create stability and long-term progress for their families. This is about access that unlocks opportunity and sustained prosperity.”
On its expansion plans Nigeria-wide, the M-KOPA helmsman said, “Many of the states we are considering are already similar to the ones we are currently in proximity… So, there is proximity and similarity between these states, and that’s what we are going to do, starting with Edo.”
He noted that as M-KOPA Nigeria continues to expand, the focus remains on ensuring more everyday earners gain access to the digital and financial tools they need to build resilient, prosperous futures in Nigeria’s rapidly digitising economy.
Economy
Tinubu Okays Extension of Ban on Raw Shea Nut Export by One Year
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The ban on the export of raw shea nuts from Nigeria has been extended by one year by President Bola Tinubu.
A statement from the Special Adviser to the President on Information and Strategy, Mr Bayo Onanuga, on Wednesday disclosed that the ban is now till February 25, 2027.
It was emphasised that this decision underscores the administration’s commitment to advancing industrial development, strengthening domestic value addition, and supporting the objectives of the Renewed Hope Agenda.
The ban aims to deepen processing capacity within Nigeria, enhance livelihoods in shea-producing communities, and promote the growth of Nigerian exports anchored on value-added products, the statement noted.
To further these objectives, President Tinubu has authorised the two Ministers of the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment, and the Presidential Food Security Coordination Unit (PFSCU), to coordinate the implementation of a unified, evidence-based national framework that aligns industrialisation, trade, and investment priorities across the shea nut value chain.
He also approved the adoption of an export framework established by the Nigerian Commodity Exchange (NCX) and the withdrawal of all waivers allowing the direct export of raw shea nuts.
The President directed that any excess supply of raw shea nuts should be exported exclusively through the NCX framework, in accordance with the approved guidelines.
Additionally, he directed the Federal Ministry of Finance to provide access to a dedicated NESS Support Window to enable the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment to pilot a Livelihood Finance Mechanism to strengthen production and processing capacity.
Shea nuts, the oil-rich fruits from the shea tree common in the Savanna belt of Nigeria, are the raw material for shea butter, renowned for its moisturising, anti-inflammatory, and antioxidant properties. The extracted butter is a principal ingredient in cosmetics for skin and hair, as well as in edible cooking oil. The Federal Government encourages processing shea nuts into butter locally, as butter fetches between 10 and 20 times the price of the raw nuts.
The federal government said it remains committed to policies that promote inclusive growth, local manufacturing and position Nigeria as a competitive participant in global agricultural value chains.
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