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Opportunities in a Bear Market – Two Stocks to Watch

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By FSDH Research

The Nigerian equity market, as measured by the Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share Index (NSE ASI), depreciated by 12.42 percent as at the end of August 2019.

Our analysis of the performance of the equity market so far in 2019 shows that the Index recorded the highest depreciation of 7.5 percent in July.

FSDH Research notes that the declining crude oil price and fear of a possible global recession had negative impacts on the equity market.

Despite the current bearish trend in the market, we spot opportunities in the equity market. The two stocks we highlight here are: Zenith Bank and GTBank. Each has a history of good performance and good dividend payment; we believe the short-to-medium term outlook of these stocks are good. Therefore, investors should position in them as their share prices have recently dropped significantly.

Zenith Bank and GTBank are both strong players in the Nigerian banking sector. They both have footprints among the top-quality corporate customers. Both banks have consistent records of good asset quality and earnings.

They focus on low cost deposits from retail customers, therefore their cost of funds are low. This enables them to have good interest margin to drive profitability. They have remained the most profitable banks by absolute profit (Profit Before Tax and Profit After Tax).

The two banks have invested considerably in technology and deploy this service to existing customers and attract new ones. This has also generated a lot of non-interest income for them. Both banks operate a commercial banking licence with international focus.

FSDH Research’s analysis shows that Zenith Bank recorded improvements in both the top-line and bottom-line in Half Year (HY1) 2019 over the corresponding period of last year. The major drivers of the performance are an increase in non-interest income and its cost optimization strategy.

Although the Gross Earnings of GTBank dropped marginally in HY1 2019, it managed to record improved performance in profitability.

We attribute the drop in the gross earning to the decrease in interest income due to a drop in interest rate during the period. The growth in non-interest income and low interest expenses were mainly responsible for the growth in profitability

Our analysis of the latest results shows that GTBank is more efficient than Zenith Bank. Despite that, Zenith Bank is one of the most efficient banks in Nigeria. The efficiency ratio shows that Zenith Bank recorded the following as at HY1 2019; Net Interest Margin 9 percent; Profit Before Tax (PBT) Margin 34 percent; Profit After Tax (PAT) Margin 27 percent; Return on Equity (ROE) 11 percent (annualised to 22 percent) and cost–to–income ratio 53 percent.

GTBank however, recorded Net Interest Margin 10 percent; PBT Margin 52 percent; PAT Margin 45 percent; ROE 16 percent (annualised to 32 percent) and cost–to–income ratio 37.6 percent.

The Trailing Earning Per Share (EPS) for both banks stood at N6.39 as at HY1 2019. The Non-Performing Loan (NPL) ratio for Zenith Bank stood at 5.3 percent while that of GTBank stood at 6.8 percent and they are among the lowest in the banking industry.

Zenith Bank and GTBank have liquid balance sheets with well-diversified earning assets and sources of funding. Zenith Bank’s total assets as at HY1 2019 stood at N5.9 trillion while GTBank’s total asset stood at N3.6 trillion. Both banks’ assets are largely funded by customers’ deposits, with a strong capital base providing additional buffer for further growth. Loans and advances, and investment in Treasury Bills constitute the bulk of the total assets.

While Zenith Bank may need to create an additional N484 billion in loan assets to enable it meet the new regulatory requirement of minimum loans to deposits ratio of 60 percent, GTBank may need to create additional loan assets of N178 billion.

We recommend that investors with a long-term investment horizon take position in these two stocks at the current prices, which we believe offer significant upside potentials. Although recent global developments may have a short-term negative impact on the performance of the equity market, long-term investors may benefit from the long-term growth that the equity market offers.

The two companies usually give interim and final dividends, therefore, they are good stocks to be included in an asset manager’s portfolio.

The performance of stock prices of Zenith Bank and GTBank have also outperformed that of the NSE ASI in the last five years.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Flour Mills Supports 2026 Paris International Agricultural Show

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flour mills PIAS 2026

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

For the second time, Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc is sponsoring the Paris International Agricultural Show (PIAS) as part of its strategies to fortify its ties with France.

The 2026 PIAS kicked off on February 21 and will end on March 1, with about 607,503 visitors, nearly 4,000 animals, and over 1,000 exhibitors in attendance last year, and this year’s programme has already shown signs of being bigger and better.

The theme for this year’s event is Generations Solution. It is to foster knowledge transfer from younger generations and structure processes through which knowledge can be harnessed to drive technological advancement within the global agricultural sector.

In his address on the inaugural day of the Nigerian Pavilion on February 23, the Managing Director for FMN Agro and Director of Strategic Engagement/Stakeholder Relations, Mr Sadiq Usman, said, “At FMN, our mission is Feeding and Enriching Lives Every Day.

“This is a mandate we have fulfilled through decades of economic shifts, rooted in a culture of deep resilience and constant innovation. We support this pavilion because FMN recognises that the next frontier of global Agribusiness lies in high-level technical exchange.

“We thank the France-Nigeria Business Council (FNBC), the organisers of the PIAS, and our fellow members of the Nigerian Pavilion – Dangote, BUA, Zenith, Access, and our partners at Creativo El Matador and Soilless Farm Lab— we are exceedingly pleased to work to showcase the true face of Nigerian commerce.”

Speaking on the invaluable nature of the relationship between Nigeria and France, and the FMN’s commitment to process and product innovation, Mr John G. Coumantaros, stated, “The France – Nigeria relationship is a valuable partnership built on a shared value agenda that fosters remarkable Intercontinental trade growth.

“Also, as an organisation with over six decades of transformational footprint in Nigeria and progressively across the African Continent, FMN has been unwaveringly committed to product and process innovation.

“Therefore, our continuous partnership with France for the success of the Paris International Agricultural Show further buttresses the thriving relationship between both countries.”

PIAS is one of the most widely attended agricultural shows, with thousands of people from across the world in attendance.

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Economy

NEITI Backs Tinubu’s Executive Order 9 on Oil Revenue Remittances

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Despite reservations from some quarters, the Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI) has praised President Bola Tinubu’s Executive Order 9, which mandates direct remittances of all government revenues from tax oil, profit oil, profit gas, and royalty oil under Production Sharing Contracts, profit sharing, and risk service contracts straight to the Federation Account.

Issued on February 13, 2026, the order aims to safeguard oil and gas revenues, curb wasteful spending, and eliminate leakages by requiring operators to pay all entitlements directly into the federation account.

NEITI executive secretary, Musa Sarkin Adar, called it “a bold step in ongoing fiscal reforms to improve financial transparency, strengthen accountability, and mobilise resources for citizens’ development,” noting that the directive aligns with Section 162 of Nigeria’s Constitution.

He noted that for 20 years, NEITI has pushed for all government revenues to flow into the Federation Account transparently, calling the move a win.

For instance, in its 2017 report titled Unremitted Funds, Economic Recovery and Oil Sector Reform, NEITI revealed that over $20 billion in due remittances had not reached the government, fueling fiscal woes and prompting high-level reforms.

Mr Adar described the order as a key milestone in Nigeria’s EITI implementation and urged amendments to align it with these reforms.

He affirmed NEITI’s role in the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) and pledged close collaboration with stakeholders, anti-corruption bodies, and partners to sustain transparent management of Nigeria’s mineral resources.

Meanwhile, others like the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN) have kicked against the order, saying it poses a serious threat to the stability of the oil and gas industry, calling it a “direct attack” on the PIA.

Speaking at the union’s National Executive Council (NEC) meeting in Abuja on Tuesday, PENGASSAN President, Mr Festus Osifo, said provisions of the order, particularly the directive to remit 30 per cent of profit oil from Production Sharing Contracts (PSCs) directly to the Federation Account, could destabilise operations at the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited.

Mr Osifo firmly dispelled rumours of imminent protests by the union, despite widespread claims that the controversial executive order threatens the livelihoods of 10,000 senior staff workers at NNPC.

He noted, however, that the union had begun engagements with government officials, including the Presidential Implementation Committee, and expressed optimism that common ground would be reached.

Mr Osifo, who also serves as President of the Trade Union Congress (TUC), expressed concerns that diverting the 30 per cent profit oil allocation to the Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC), without clearly defining how the statutory management fee would be refunded to NNPC, could affect the salaries of hundreds of PENGASSAN members.

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Economy

Dangote Cement Deepens Dominance, Export Activities With $1bn Sinoma Deal

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Dangote Cement Sinoma

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

To strengthen its domestic market dominance, drive its export activities, optimise existing operational assets and enhance production efficiency and capacity expansion, Dangote Cement Plc has sealed $1 billion strategic agreements with Sinoma International Engineering for cement projects across Africa.

The president of Dangote Industries Limited, the parent firm of Dangote Cement, Mr Aliko Dangote, disclosed that the deal reinforces the company’s long-term growth strategy and aligns with the broader aspirations of the Dangote Group’s Vision 2030.

According to him, Sinoma will construct 12 new projects and expand others for the cement organisation across Africa, helping to achieve 80 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) production capacity by 2030, while supporting the group’s overarching target of generating $100 billion in revenue within the same period.

Under the Strategic Framework Agreement, Sinoma will collaborate with Dangote Cement on the delivery of new plants, brownfield expansions, and modernisation initiatives aimed at strengthening operational performance across key markets.

The new projects include a new integrated line in Northern Nigeria with a satellite grinding unit, a new line in Ethiopia and other projects in Zambia/Zimbabwe, Tanzania, Sierra Leone and Cameroon. In Nigeria, Sinoma will also handle different projects in Itori, Apapa, Lekki, Port Harcourt and Onne.

The projects signal Dangote Cement’s sustained commitment to consolidating its leadership position within the African cement industry, while enhancing its competitiveness on the global stage.

Chairman of the Dangote Cement board, Mr Emmanuel Ikazoboh, during the agreement signing event in Lagos, explained that the new projects would enable the company to play a critical role in actualising Dangote Group’s Vision 2030.

The new projects, when completed, will increase Dangote Cement’s capacity and dominant position in Africa’s cement industry.

On his part, the Managing Director of Dangote Cement, Mr Arvind Pathak, said the agreement reflects the company’s determination to grow its investments across African markets to close supply gaps and support the continent’s infrastructural ambitions.

According to him, Dangote Cement is committed to making Africa fully self‑sufficient in cement production, creating more value and linkages, leading to increased economic activities and a reduction in unemployment.

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