Connect with us

Economy

Recovery in the Equity Market in Sight?

Published

on

By FSDH Research

Most investors in the Nigerian equity market did not smile during the first quarter of 2019 as the value of their investments dropped. And many are now asking if there is any hope of a recovery in the equity market.

Meanwhile, investors who took advantage of the high yields in the fixed income securities market in Q1 2019 are smiling to the bank. Election uncertainties, high yields on fixed income securities and risk aversion strategies adopted by investors made the equity market to record low patronage during the quarter.

Even after the election, the equity market has struggled to recover. This suggests that there were other factors that led to the drop in the market apart from issues surrounding the election.

The Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share Index (NSE ASI), the barometer which measures the performance of the equity market, dropped by 1.24% in Q1 2019. A few individual stocks, however, actually appreciated: this was unusual as large investors in the equity market rarely patronize most of the stocks which emerged among the list of top performers in Q1 2019.

The five top performing stocks in Q1 2019 by price appreciation were: Associated Bus Company Plc (+82.76%), McNichols Plc (+48.94%), Dangote Flour Mills Plc (+48.91%), Julius Berger Nigeria Plc (+36.82%) and Royal Exchange Plc (+31.82%).

The worst performing five stocks by price depreciation in the same period were: Academy Press Plc (-34.00%), eTranzact International Plc (-33.16%), Champion Breweries Plc (-27.14%), GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Nigeria Plc (-25.52%) and Unity Bank Plc (-25.23%).

The relatively stable exchange rate, decline in inflation rate and the appreciation in the price of crude oil on the international market could not lift the equity market from the negative territory in Q1 2019.

Our analysis of the financial performance of the largest ten companies by market capitalisation listed on the NSE shows that their combined revenue improved marginally by 4.31% in 2018 compared with 2017.

Their combined profit before tax (PBT) shows appreciable growth of 19.72% in 2018 compared with 2017. Our expectation is the outlook of the performance of quoted companies is better in the short-to-medium term than what was recorded in the last one to three years.

As the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) continues to pursue its inclusive growth agenda, supported by a favourable external environment in the short-to-medium term, the equity market should return to a path of sustainable growth.

While we believe that the growth projection in the Nigerian equity market is strong, we advise investors to adopt a long-term investment strategy in the market. They should also seek professional advice before they invest in companies. Despite the short-term volatility in the equity market, which can lead to a drop in the value of equity investment, investing in companies that have strong fundamentals will provide investors with a good return that is higher than the inflation rate over the long-term and protect against other short-term risks.

For investors who have neither the time nor the expertise to monitor their equity market investments and who still want to benefit from investment opportunities in the equity market, they can invest in any mutual fund in Nigeria that has exposure to the equity market.

Experienced fund managers manage these funds, and both the fund and the managers’ activities are regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to protect investors’ interests.

If the current low yields in the Nigerian fixed income securities prevail, crude oil price remains above $70/barrel, exchange rate remains stable, inflation rate remains close to single digit, and government continues to develop structures that will improve the business environment, the equity market should record strong growth on a sustainable basis.

FSDH Research sees fairly strong growth opportunities in the following sectors: Consumer Goods, Industrial Goods, Banking, and Oil and Gas.

The following are our top stocks to watch: Dangote Cement, Dangote Sugar, FBN Holdings, Flour Mills, GTBank, 11 Plc, Nigerian Breweries, UBA, Zenith Bank, Access Bank and Seplat.

 

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Economy

Nigeria Needs More Taxpayers, Not Higher Taxes—Oyedele

Published

on

FIRS taxes

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, yesterday clarified that the federal government is not increasing taxes but making efforts to raise the tax net.

Mr Oyedele made this remark on Thursday while receiving a delegation from the Chartered Institute of Taxation of Nigeria (CITN) at his office in Abuja.

He hailed the institute for introducing a National Tax Awareness Day and for supporting the current tax reforms of the federal government.

The minister charged the institute to double its effort in public enlightenment, stressing that many Nigerians still view taxation as a means for the government to take money from citizens.

He reiterated that the priority of the government is not to increase tax rates but to broaden the tax base by ensuring that all eligible taxpayers meet their obligations.

“We are still not getting enough revenue from taxes.

“It is not about increasing taxes but making sure that those who are supposed to pay taxes. We want to promote fairness in tax administration,” he said.

Nigeria is challenged by the inability to generate adequate revenue from taxation despite ongoing reforms, stressing that a significant number of eligible taxpayers have yet to fulfil their civic obligations.

He said the challenge facing the country was not necessarily about raising tax rates but ensuring that individuals and businesses that ought to pay taxes do so in a fair and transparent system.

The minister also commended the institute for supporting the federal government’s tax reform agenda and promoting public understanding of taxation, but urged it to intensify its advocacy efforts, noting that many Nigerians still harbour misconceptions about taxation.

According to him, many citizens continue to view taxation merely as a tool for the government to take money from the people rather than as a critical instrument for national development.

“We are still not getting enough revenue from taxes. It is not about increasing taxes, but making sure that those who are supposed to pay taxes. We want to promote fairness in tax administration,” he added.

Mr Oyedele stressed that if Nigeria succeeds in building an efficient and equitable tax system, the impact on infrastructure, public services and economic development would be transformative, challenging the institute to introduce annual awards for the country’s most tax-compliant individuals and organisations as a means of encouraging voluntary compliance and recognising responsible taxpayers.

Continue Reading

Economy

Akara, Kulikuli, Roasted Corn Business Not Capital Intensive—Remi Tinubu

Published

on

remi tinubu

​By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Nigeria’s First Lady, Mrs Oluremi Tinubu, has given Nigerians business advice that may not involve a lot of money to start.

Speaking with newsmen recently, the wife of President Bola Tinubu said businesses like akara (fried bean cake), kulikuli (a crunchy snack from roasted peanuts or groundnuts) and roasted corn can be set up without breaking the bank.

She disclosed that to support her husband’s Renewed Hope agenda, she has provided funding packages to traders and others to the tune of N3.5 billion.

“To start akara business doesn’t take a lot of money. To start roasting corn and kuli-kuli doesn’t take much. We didn’t give them a loan; we gave it to them as a grant,” she stated.

She further said, “We’ve encouraged Nigerians as best as we could, what is within our hands, I have given, and I keep giving. Those are the things we’ve done.”

“I remember giving for TB (tuberculosis) when I heard of many TB cases; I gave N2 billion, to breast cancer, I gave N1 billion, and to [tackle] malnutrition, I gave N500 million.

“These are the things we’ve been doing to assist the government. So, we’ve had impact in agriculture, social investment, education (as scholarship and ICT training) and others. We are still open to doing more,” she disclosed.

Continue Reading

Economy

NASD Exchange Extends Winning Streak by 1.70%

Published

on

NASD OTC stock exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange rallied by 1.70 per cent on Thursday, June 25, after three price gainers overpowered the two price losers recorded at the close of business.

Consequently, the market capitalisation of the trading platform increased by N43.79 billion to N2.618 trillion from N2.574 trillion, and the NASD Security Index (NSI) improved by 72.96 points to close at 4,362.32 points, in contrast to Wednesday’s 4,289.36 points.

Yesterday, the price advancers were led by Nipco Plc, which chalked up N31.79 to close at N349.76 per unit versus the preceding day’s N317.97 per unit. Okitipupa Plc gained N18.00 to end at N298.00 per share versus the previous session’s N280.00 per share, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc went up by N7.11 to N86.79 per unit from N79.68 per unit.

On the flip side, Nitrox Industrial Gases Plc crumbled by 32 Kobo to close at N21.09 per share compared with the N21.41 per share it closed at midweek, and Food Concepts Plc depreciated by 25 Kobo to N2.51 per unit from N2.76 per unit.

During the session, the value of securities traded by investors went down by 86.7 per cent to N10.9 million from the preceding session’s N82.9 million, and the volume of securities dropped 84.9 per cent to 10.9 million units from the previous 82.9 million, while the number of deals grew by 84.2 per cent to 35 deals from 19 deals.

At the close of trades, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.4 billion, trailed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units valued at N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 68.4 million units exchanged for N4.7 billion.

GNI Plc was also the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units traded for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units transacted for N415.7 million.

Continue Reading

Trending