Economy
Udemezue Gives CBN Tricks to Tackle Nigeria’s High Inflation
By Ahmed Rahma
The Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Flame Academy & Consulting Limited, Mr Orji Chigozie Udemezue, has advised the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to apply contractionary measures to curb inflation in the country.
According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), inflation in Nigeria rose in December 2020 by 15.75 per cent and for Mr Udemezue, this is very high.
To control this, the economist has told the central bank to reduce government spending by stabilising price, which according to him, is the main duty of central banks across the globe.
Mr Udemezue, while speaking on Channels Business Morning, added that when CBN raises rate, there will be so much rush for money market instruments as banks would not be able to carry out their primary function of lending money to customers because people will not be able to borrow at a higher rate, allowing the apex bank to mop up the excess liquidity in circulation, which will slow down inflation pressure.
“Prices are still going up. Theoretically, we see that inflation today is about 15.75 per cent but actually in the market, most prices have gone more than 50 per cent on the things we buy.
“[The] duty of the central bank is to maintain price stability, that’s everywhere in the world and to do that, looking at the way things are now, we expect that the central bank should be trying to curb inflation by doing what they call monetary policy contraction, trying to apply contractionary measures i.e trying to raise rate. When they raise the rate for example, what will happen is that there is so much rush for money market instruments, banks will not be able to lend out more money and people will not be able to borrow at a higher rate and, therefore, you mopped up the money in circulation and then slow down inflation pressure,” he said.
Commenting on the fact that MPC was confronted with a policy dilemma at the last meeting, he said, “well, it is just the option of sit down dey look, let’s just watch as things go, because the whole essence of monetary policy obviously is to manage the quantity of money in supply in the economy.
“The argument theoretically is that when there is so much money in circulation, there is a lot of money pursuing a few goods, therefore, driving prices up.
“So, the primary duty of central banks all over the world is to maintain monetary stability, ensuring that price increase in the economy does not go at hyper rate i.e. saying inflation like in Nigeria having double-digit and beyond, that’s what damages productivity.
“So, you find that the Central Bank of Nigeria is in a very big dilemma. Ordinarily, if you look at their objective of maintaining price stability, we are losing it.”
Expressing his belief on the measures, he said, “You know, that’s what we should be looking at right now. If they do that, trust me, it is going to be very counterproductive because already, the economy is in deep trouble with COVID-19 and all of that.
“So, at this point, no reasonable central bank will be looking at an increase in rate instead everywhere in the world, we are looking at monetary easing or what they call expansionary monetary policy, whereby rates are brought down to enable the real sense of economy to enable to borrow at a reasonable rate, drive production and be able to reverse as it is now and economy in recession.”
According to him while answering the question of what is driving inflation in Nigeria, the pressure on foreign exchange (FX) is the major cause and the fact that the country depends too much on foreign goods.
“[The] Nigerian economy is a very peculiar economy, many times it tends to work out most established economic theories and even practices.
“Elsewhere in the world, there are no major issues about inflation because domestic demand is at its lowest level, travels are restricted, the COVID-19 lockdown has left people with no jobs.
“Theoretically, people don’t have money to spend.
“Most economy especially western economies, you find that aggregate demand is actually on a decline and, therefore, purchases are not going up as it should be. So, inflation is actually low in those places unlike in Nigeria, the argument is different.
“The factors driving inflation in Nigeria is not demand-pull, it is not about you and I having so much money in our pocket, having greater command for commodities.
“So, what happens here is inflation flows really from FX pressure. We are not self-sustaining and we import practically everything we use. So, the pressure on our FX, input costs is huge.
“Our local manufacturers have to import there input materials which are now at the all-time rate and then the finished goods we also import that we use in domestic things like the furniture and office equipment are also coming at a much higher rate because of the devaluation and depreciation of our currency.
“What is causing this depreciation? Until we address the issue of continuous depreciation of our currency, inflation can never be dealt with.
‘That is why even at the time when all of us are not demanding much when domestic demand is so low, we still see inflation climbing up the roof particularly food inflation and similar factors.
By Adedapo Adesanya
President Bola Tinubu has called on the World Bank to support Nigeria’s ongoing economic reforms, with a focus on agriculture, youth employment, and private sector growth.
The president sought this assistance when he received a delegation from the World Bank led by Anna Bjerde, Managing Director of Operations, at the State House, Abuja on Tuesday, noting that the bank’s support will boost his administration’s strategy to strengthen the economy and expand opportunities for Nigerians.
“Since we went into this tunnel of reform, we have our hands on the power and we’re never going to look back. Initially, it was painful and difficult, but those who win are not the ones who give up in difficult times,” Mr Tinubu said.
The president highlighted the importance of mechanization and modernization of agriculture to increase productivity and create opportunities for Nigeria’s large young population.
“We have mechanization centers to help farmers with improved seedings and fertilizers to enhance their programs. The goal is to move farmers from small-scale holders to large cooperatives that can create opportunities for Nigerians,” he explained.
Mr Tinubu also pointed to the petrochemical sector and other domestic industries as areas where the government is working to improve outputs and strengthen local markets. He stressed that reforms are continuous and must be grounded in transparency, accountability, and stability.
“The first reaction to reforms was high inflation, but it has come down dramatically, and the Naira is now stable. We want to help investors operate with ease, reduce bureaucracy, and develop the skills of our people,” he said.
On her part, Ms Anna Bjerde commended the administration for its consistent and steady approach to reforms over the past two years. She highlighted that Nigeria has become a global example of reform implementation, giving confidence to investors and policymakers worldwide.
“The results achieved in the last two years are commendable. Your steady communication of the importance of reforms has given confidence and clarity, and there is no turning back,” Ms Bjerde said.
She emphasized the importance of job creation, particularly for Nigeria’s youth, noting that Africa’s young population is growing rapidly and that SMEs are central to employment generation.
“Agriculture is a huge part of the economy and a major employer. Innovations in mechanization, cooperatives, value-chain development, and infrastructure can be scaled to create more opportunities,” Ms Bjerde said.
She also highlighted the World Bank’s financial support for Nigeria, including public sector financing of $17 billion, private sector support of $5 billion through the International Finance Corporation (IFC), and investment guarantees exceeding $500 million. These instruments are aligned with Nigeria’s reforms, including trade, digital initiatives, and inflation management, to stimulate private sector growth and human development.
“We want to work with Nigeria to accelerate growth, improve access to finance for SMEs, and support early childhood development as part of a comprehensive human development strategy,” she added.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange appreciated by 0.96 per cent on Tuesday, February 3, boosting the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) by 34.54 points to 3,641.30 points from the 3,606.76 points it ended a day earlier.
Equally, the market capitalisation of the trading platform was up during the session by N20.67 billion to end N2.178 trillion from the N2.158 trillion it ended on Monday.
The expansion witnessed by the OTC securities exchange yesterday was buoyed by the gains printed by four stocks on the bourse, with Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc up by N4.00 to sell at N44.00 per unit versus the previous day’s N40.00 per unit.
Further, Air Liquide Plc increased by N1.86 to end at N20.49 per share compared with Monday’s closing price of N18.63 per share, Afriland Properties Plc appreciated by 35 Kobo to N14.00 per unit from N3.65 per unit, and UBN Property Plc added 1 Kobo to settle at N2.20 per share, in contrast to the preceding day’s N2.21 per share.
On the flip side, there were two price losers led by FrieslandCampinaWamco Nigeria Plc, which shed 4 Kobo to close at N63.50 per unit compared with the previous day’s N63.54 per unit, and Geo-Fluids Plc lost 3 Kobo to finish at N6.81 per share compared with the N6.84 per share it traded in the preceding session.
Data showed that the volume of securities bought and sold by investors grew by 82.5 per cent to 7.0 million units from 3.9 million units, and the value of securities jumped by 5.2 per cent to N37.9 million from N36.0 million, while the number of deals decreased by 15 per cent to 34 deals from 40 deals.
CSCS Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 15.9 million units sold for N649.0 million, the second spot was taken by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 1.7 million units worth N110.9 million, while the third position was occupied by Geo-Fluids Plc with the sale of 11.1 million units for N73.1 million.
The most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) was still CSCS Plc with 15.9 million units exchanged for N649.0 million, followed by Mass Telecom Innovation Plc with 12.7 million units sold for N5.1 million, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 11.1 million units traded for N73.1 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira firmed up against the US Dollar in the various segments of the foreign exchange (FX) market on Tuesday, February 3, 2026, on the back of improved forex liquidity.
In the black market window, the local currency improved its value against the Dollar during the session by N10 to sell for N1,455/$1 compared with the previous day’s rate of N1,465/$1, and at the GTBank FX counter, it gained N33 gain to close at N1,386/$1 versus Monday’s closing value of N1,419/$1.
In the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM), the domestic currency appreciated against the greenback by N17.45 to trade at N1,372.91/$1, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1,390.36/$1.
In the same vein, the Nigerian currency chalked up N21.92 against the Pound Sterling yesterday in the official market to quote at N1,877.59/£1 compared with the N1,899.51/£1 it was exchanged a day earlier, and gained N24.76 against the Euro to settle at N1,619.76/€1 versus N1,644.52/€1.
The appreciation seen indicates that available supply is mopping up demand even without any intervention from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in recent weeks, showing that market-driven currency framework is driving a stronger Naira.
Enhanced price discovery following plans by the apex bank to undertake a comprehensive revamp of the FX manual is acting as a pillar of support.
At a recent forum, the Deputy Governor, Economic Policy, CBN, Mr Muhammad Sani Abdullahi, disclosed that the bank was revamping the manual, a key regulatory document used by banks for export proceeds and other foreign trade-related transactions.
According to him, the document was already undergoing significant reforms aimed at aligning market operations with current economic realities.
Mr Abdullahi explained that the revised manual would introduce clearer rules, stronger oversight and improved processes to support transparency and efficiency in the FX market.
He said the reforms are expected to close loopholes, reduce uncertainty for market participants, and support a more orderly functioning of the foreign exchange system.
Also, Nigeria’s external reserves, which provide the CBN with the capacity to support the Naira, have continued to rise, reaching $46.59 billion as of 2 February 2026, according to CBN data.
In the cryptocurrency market, most prices still remained down as sentiment among short-term traders remaining cautious after thin liquidity and heavy liquidations pushed prices sharply lower.
Global crypto investment products saw $1.7 billion in outflows last week, marking the second consecutive week of heavy redemptions, with Solana (SOL) down by 5.2 per cent to $98.41.
Further, Bitcoin (BTC) depreciated by 2.4 per cent to $76,638.44, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped by 2.0 per cent to $761.78, Ethereum (ETH) dropped by 1.9 per cent to $2,277.16, Ripple (XRP) declined by 0.6 per cent to $1.60, and the US Dollar Tether (USDT) lost 0.1 per cent to sell at $0.9985.
However, Dogecoin (DOGE) improved by 1.7 per cent to $0.1084, Cardano (ADA) expanded by 1.2 per cent to $0.2868, and Litecoin (LTC) increased by 0.9 per cent to $60.63, while the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.
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