Economy
Why Lafarge Africa is Currently Undervalued—Analysts
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
Analysts at United Capital Research have said shares of Lafarge Africa Plc are currently being traded at the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) at a price below its real value.
Business Post reports that as at the time of filing this article on Monday noon, Lafarge Africa was up by 10 kobo or 0.85 per cent, selling at N11.85 per share compared with N11.75 per share it closed last Friday at the market.
In their analysis of the half-year earnings of the cement manufacturer in Nigeria, United Capital Research analysts argued that shares of Lafarge Africa should be trading around N14 per unit.
“WAPCO (Lafarge Africa) currently trades at a forward EV/EBITDA of 4.3x, which is well below both the local and EM peers average of 5.13x and 10.9x, respectively implying that the ticker is currently undervalued.
“Putting the above together, we update our valuation assumption and revised our 12M-TP to N14.4/share (from prior N16.6/share) with a potential upside of 23.1 per cent when compared to the current price of N11.70/share,” a report from the firm said.
United Capital Research noted that it is positive about the short-term outlook for the cement maker, especially at a moment it was restructuring its balance sheet to improve performance.
It said the opening of the economy by the federal government will help the company because construction activities will resume, which will, in turn, boost its revenue.
“Accordingly, we have estimated a Revenue growth of 3.3 per cent y/y in FY-2020E. Also, we expect the cost of sales growth to come lower compare to revenue growth, hence, gross margin is expected to be strengthened.
“Our expectation for lower cost of sales rests on the back of the aggressive cost optimization strategy that the company has embarked on since the beginning of the year which has resulted into a 17.8 per cent reduction in production cost.
“However, our concern remains the continued increase in energy cost. Also, we have estimated an uptick in OPEX as the company resumes promotional activities in a bid to drive volumes and compensate for
Q2-2020 shortfalls.
“In all, we expect the surge in PAT to be sustained, fuelled by the lower base effect of the 2019 performance,” the analysts said in the report.
In the first six months of 2020, Lafarge Africa grew its revenue grew by 2.3 per cent despite apparent challenges that characterized Q2-2020 amid the COVID-19 induced lockdown.
According to the management, this growth was because of an increase in volume sold and better average prices in H1-2020 when compared to the corresponding period in 2019.
Also, a sharp decline in Operating Expenses (OPEX) by 27.9 per cent y/y to N9.4 billion supported the overall bottom-line performance in H1-2020.
This was as Administrative/Selling and Marketing expenses fell 30.6 per cent and 9.9 per cent y/y to N7.8 billion and N1.5 billion, respectively. Similarly, Net finance cost tumbled 67.3 per cent resulting in 86.1 per cent y/y surge in pre-tax profit to N28.8 billion.
However, a 1.5x jump in tax expense brought post-tax profit growth to 47.3 per cent y/y to settle at N23.3 billion. Notably, the jump in tax expense was a fallout of tax credit accessed by the company in 2019.
Economy
Tinubu Presents N58.47trn Budget for 2026 to National Assembly
By Adedapo Adesanya
President Bola Tinubu on Friday presented a budget proposal of N58.47 trillion for the 2026 fiscal year titled Budget of Consolidation, Renewed Resilience and Shared Prosperity to a joint session of the National Assembly, with capital recurrent (non‑debt) expenditure standing at 15.25 trillion, and the capital expenditure at N26.08 trillion, while the crude oil benchmark was pegged at $64.85 per barrel.
Business Post reports that the Brent crude grade currently trades around $60 per barrel. It is also expected to trade at that level or lower next year over worries about oil glut.
At the budget presentation today, Mr Tinubu said the expected total revenue for the year is N34.33 trillion, and the proposal is anchored on a crude oil production of 1.84 million barrels per day, and an exchange rate of N1,400 to the US Dollar.
In terms of sectoral allocation, defence and security took the lion’s share with N5.41 trillion, followed by infrastructure at N3.56 trillion, education received N3.52 trillion, while health received N2.48 trillion.
Addressing the lawmakers, the President described the budget proposal as not “just accounting lines”.
“They are a statement of national priorities,” the president told the gathering. “We remain firmly committed to fiscal sustainability, debt transparency, and value‑for‑money spending.”
The presentation came at a time of heightened insecurity in parts of the country, with mass abductions and other crimes making headlines.
Outlining his government’s plan to address the challenge, President Tinubu reminded the gathering that security “remains the foundation of development”.
He said some of the measures in place to tame insecurity include the modernisation of the Armed Forces, intelligence‑driven policing and joint operations, border security, and technology‑enabled surveillance and community‑based peacebuilding and conflict prevention.
“We will invest in security with clear accountability for outcomes—because security spending must deliver security results,” the president said.
“To secure our country, our priority will remain on increasing the fighting capability of our armed forces and other security agencies by boosting personnel and procuring cutting-edge platforms and other hardware,” he added.
Economy
PenCom Extends Deadline for Pension Recapitalisation to June 2027
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The deadline for the recapitalisation of the Nigerian pension industry has been extended by six months to June 2027 from December 2026.
This extension was approved by the National Pension Commission (PenCom), the agency, which regulates the sector in the country.
Addressing newsmen on Thursday in Lagos, the Director-General of PenCom, Ms Omolola Oloworaran, explained that the shift in deadline was to give operators more time to boost the capital base, dismissing speculations that the exercise had been suspended.
“The recapitalisation has not been suspended. We have communicated the requirements to the Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs), and we expect every operator to be compliant by June 2027. Anyone who is not compliant by then will lose their licence,” Ms Oloworaran told journalists.
She added that, “From a regulatory standpoint, our major challenge is ensuring compliance. We are working with ICPC, labour and the TUC to ensure employers remit pension contributions for their employees.”
The DG noted that engagements with industry operators indicated broad acceptance of the policy, with many PFAs already taking steps to raise additional capital or explore mergers and acquisitions.
“You may see some mergers and acquisitions in the industry, but what is clear is that the recapitalisation exercise is on track and the industry agrees with us,” she stated.
PenCom wants the PFAs to increase their capital base and has created three categories, with the first consists operators with Assets Under Management of N500 billion and above. They are expected to have a minimum capital of N20 billion and one per cent of AUM above N500 billion.
The second category has PFAs with AUM below N500 billion, which must have at least N20 billion as capital base.
The last segment comprises special-purpose PFAs such as NPF Pensions Limited, whose minimum capital was pegged at N30 billion, and the Nigerian University Pension Management Company Limited, whose minimum capital was fixed at N20 billion.
Economy
Three Securities Sink NASD Exchange by 0.68%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Three securities weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.68 per cent on Thursday, December 18.
According to data, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc led the losers’ group after it slipped by N2.87 to N36.78 per share from N39.65 per share, Golden Capital Plc depreciated by 77 Kobo to end at N6.98 per unit versus the previous day’s N7.77 per unit, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc dropped 19 Kobo to sell at N60.00 per share versus Wednesday’s closing price of N60.19 per share.
At the close of business, the market capitalisation lost N16.81 billion to finish at N2.147 billion compared with the preceding session’s N2.164 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) declined by 24.76 points to 3,589.88 points from 3,614.64 points.
Yesterday, the volume of securities bought and sold increased by 49.3 per cent to 30.5 million units from 20.4 million units, the value of securities surged by 211.8 per cent to N225.1 million from N72.2 million, and the number of deals jumped by 33.3 per cent to 28 deals from 21 deals.
Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc remained the most traded stock by value with a year-to-date sale of 5.8 billion units valued at N16.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 178.9 million units transacted for N9.5 billion, and MRS Oil Plc with 36.1 million units worth N4.9 billion.
Similarly, InfraCredit Plc ended as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units traded for N16.4 billion, trailed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 1.2 billion units sold for N420.7 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 536.9 million units exchanged for N524.9 million.
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