Economy
World Food Prices Drop 20% From One Year Peak
By Adedapo Adesanya
World food prices have fallen for the 12th month in a row, now down 20 per cent from a one-year peak in March, according to the latest data from the Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO).
The FAO Food Price Index (FFPI) averaged 126.9 points in March 2023, down 2.8 points (2.1 per cent) from February.
During the past 12 months since March 2022, the index has fallen by as much as 32.8 points (20.5 per cent).
The decline in the index in March was led by drops in the cereal, vegetable oil and dairy price indices, while those of sugar and meat increased.
The FAO Cereal Price Index averaged 138.6 points in March, down 8.2 points (5.6 per cent) from February and 31.6 points (18.6 per cent) below its one year ago.
This month’s decrease reflects a fall in international prices of all major cereals. International wheat prices fell the most, by 7.1 per cent, driven by ample global supplies and strong competition among exporters.
The extension of the Black Sea Grain Initiative, allowing Ukraine to continue to export from its Black Sea ports, also contributed to the decline.
Higher estimates for Australia’s production, along with improved crop conditions in the European Union this month, boosted the global supply outlook further. Strong competition from the Russian Federation, where high supplies continue to support competitive prices, also sustained the downward pressure on markets.
World maize prices also fell, by 4.6 per cent, in March, pressured by seasonal availability from harvests in South America, expectations of record output in Brazil, and the extension of the Black Sea Grain Initiative.
Among other coarse grains, world prices of barley and sorghum declined by 6.7 per cent and 5.7 per cent, respectively, influenced by spillover from weakness in international maize and wheat markets.
International rice prices eased by 3.2 per cent in March, weighed by ongoing or imminent harvests in major exporting countries, including India, Viet Nam and Thailand.
The FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index averaged 131.8 points in March, down 4.1 points (3.0 per cent) from February and standing as much as 47.7 per cent below its level a year ago.
The decrease in the index was the net result of lower soy, rapeseed and sunflower oil quotations more than offsetting higher world palm oil prices.
After falling for three consecutive months, international palm oil prices rebounded in March. Besides lower output levels in Southeast Asia due to unfavourable weather and floodings in some growing regions, palm oil prices received further support from limited global exportable supplies amid temporary export restrictions imposed by Indonesia.
By contrast, world soy oil prices continued to fall, following the trend of lower international soybean quotations. In the meantime, rapeseed and sunflower oil prices also kept declining, underpinned by, respectively, ample world supplies and subdued global import demand.
The FAO Dairy Price Index averaged 130.3 points in March, down 1.1 points (0.8 per cent) from February and standing 15.6 points (10.7 per cent) below its level in the corresponding month a year ago.
The decline in March was driven by lower price quotations for cheese and milk powders, while butter prices increased.
The decline in the international price quotations for cheese was underpinned by slower purchases by most leading importers in Asia amid increased export availabilities, including inventories, in leading exporters.
Milk powder prices fell for the ninth consecutive month, primarily reflecting sluggish import demand, especially for near-term deliveries, and seasonally rising milk production in Western Europe.
By contrast, butter prices increased due to solid import demand, especially from North and Southeast Asian countries, for supplies from Oceania, where seasonally falling milk production tracked slightly below trend levels.
The FAO Meat Price Index* averaged 113.0 points in March, slightly up (0.9 points and 0.8 per cent) from February but down 6.3 points (5.3 per cent) from one year ago.
In March, price quotations for bovine meat increased, influenced by rising internal prices in the United States of America, where cattle supply is expected to be lower in the months ahead.
Pig meat prices increased slightly, mainly due to higher prices in Europe on the continued supply limitations and increased pre-Easter demand.
By contrast, poultry meat prices fell for the ninth successive month on subdued global import demand, despite supply challenges amid widespread avian influenza outbreaks in several large exporting countries.
Ovine meat prices also averaged lower, reflecting a downward adjustment from the high prices registered in February, driven by increased pre-Easter demand and the impact of exchange rate movements.
The FAO Sugar Price Index averaged 127.0 points in March, up 1.8 points (1.5 per cent) from February, marking the second consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest level since October 2016.
The increase in prices mostly resulted from concerns over lower global availabilities of sugar in the 2022/23 season, following declining production prospects in India, Thailand and China.
However, the positive outlook for the sugarcane crops in Brazil, about to be harvested, limited the upward pressure on world sugar prices.
The decline in international crude oil prices, encouraging greater use of sugarcane to produce sugar in Brazil, coupled with the weakening of the Brazilian Real against the United States Dollar, contributed to limiting the month-on-month increase in world sugar prices.
Despite the fall in the global price of food commodities, domestically, factors like inflation, weakening currencies, and other factors, including taxes and hikes in interest rates, are making them expensive.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Three bellwether stocks weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 1.31 per cent on Monday, May 18.
This brought the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) by 54.71 points to 4,133.70 points from 4,188.41 points, and shrank the market capitalisation by N32.73 billion to N2.473 trillion from N2.506 trillion.
Yesterday, FrieslandCampina Wamco Plc contracted by N12.45 to sell at N146.55 per share compared with last Friday’s closing price of N159.00 per share, Central Securities and Clearing System (CSCS) Plc declined by N2.34 to N70.00 per unit from N72.34 per unit, and NASD Plc lost 50 Kobo to trade at N34.50 per share versus N35.00 per share.
The trio overpowered the N5.56 gained Newrest Asl Plc. This stock ended the trading session at N61.15 per unit, in contrast to the previous session’s N55.59 per unit.
During the trading day, the volume of securities traded by investors slid by 56.1 per cent to 514,142 units from 1.2 million units, and the value of securities dropped 29.8 per cent to close at N17.4 million versus N29.8 million, while the number of deals jumped 12.5 per cent to 27 deals from 24 deals.
Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 60.8 million units exchanged for N4.1 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.9 million units traded for N1.9 billion.
GNI Plc also ended the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units transacted for N1.2 billion.
By Adedapo Adesanya
It was a horrible day for the Nigerian Naira in the different segments of the foreign exchange (FX) market on Monday, May 15, as its value further weakened against the United States Dollar.
In the black market window, the Naira lost N5 against the Dollar yesterday to sell for N1,390/$1 compared with the previous value of N1,385/$1, but at the GTBank forex counter, it remained unchanged at N1,383/$1.
In the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX), the Nigerian currency depreciated against the greenback by N2.66 or 0.19 per cent to sell for N1,373.70/$1 compared to last Friday’s rate of N1,371.04/$1.
Equally, it fell against the Pound Sterling in the same market segment by N9.05 to trade at N1,839.66/£1 versus N1,830.61/£1, and lost N5.42 on the Euro to close at N1,600.49/€1 versus N1,595.07/€1.
The performance of the local currency during the session indicates early worries despite all signals pointing to stability, amid improved Dollar sales by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), with steady, higher oil receipts to bolster the nation’s reserves.
Activity at the market showed that turnover rose 57.3 per cent to $76.29 million on Monday from $48.49 million posted on Friday.
Over the weekend, S&P raised Nigeria’s credit ratings for the first time since 2012 and highlighted improved FX market liquidity and $10 billion turnover recorded in April 2026 as one of the major gains of the CBN-led FX reforms.
The agency said the liberalisation of the exchange rate has bolstered access to foreign currency and enabled a market-driven exchange-rate environment while supporting investor and consumer confidence.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was bullish on Monday as investors monitored developments in the Iran conflict and weighed the impact of surging oil prices on inflation and US interest-rate expectations.
Ethereum (ETH) gained 0.7 per cent to trade at $2,134.10, Cardano (ADA) rose by 0.6 per cent to $0.2515, Solana (SOL) expanded by 0.3 per cent to $85.11, Binance Coin (BNB) jumped 0.2 per cent to $643.29, TRON (TRX) increased by 0.03 per cent to $0.3565, and Bitcoin (BTC) advanced by 0.02 per cent to $76,912.12.
On the flip side, Dogecoin (DOGE) slid by 1.5 per cent to $0.1044, and Ripple (XRP) decreased by 0.5 per cent to $1.38, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 apiece.
By Dipo Olowookere
A marginal 0.05 per cent loss was recorded by Customs Street on Monday, as sell-offs by market participants remained.
This was driven by the desire of investors to book profits, having witnessed a significant price appreciation on the stocks in their portfolios.
Yesterday, bargain-hunting in the banking space, which resulted in the sector closing 0.17 per cent higher, could not prevent the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited from going down.
Data showed that the consumer goods segment lost 0.26 per cent, the insurance counter depreciated by 0.20 per cent, the industrial goods index shed 0.09 per cent, and the energy industry retreated by 0.03 per cent.
As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) eased by 126.09 points to 250,204.83 points from 250,330.92 points, and the market capitalisation contracted by N81 billion to N160.363 trillion from N160.444 trillion.
NCR Nigeria and Zichis declined by 9.99 per cent each to sell for N161.20 and N26.49, respectively, Industrial and Medical Gases shrank by 9.93 per cent to N38.10, Sovereign Trust Insurance depreciated by 9.86 per cent to N2.65, and DAAR Communications slipped by 9.78 per cent to N2.03.
On the flip side, Oando gained 10.00 per cent to finish at N51.70, University Press also rose by 10.00 per cent to N5.50, Deap Capital soared by 9.96 per cent to N5.96, May and Baker expanded by 9.94 per cent to N52.00, and Trans-Nationwide Express grew by 9.92 per cent to N7.76.
Yesterday, 800.5 million equities worth N37.1 billion exchanged hands in 87,096 deals compared with the 1.1 billion equities valued at N44.3 billion traded in 65,744 deals last Friday. This showed that the number of deals went up by 32.48 per cent, while the trading volume and value went down by 27.23 per cent and 16.25 per cent, respectively.
The most active stock on the first trading session of this week was UBA with a turnover of 65.0 million units worth N2.8 billion, Fidelity Bank traded 57.3 million units for N1.3 billion, Access Holdings sold 42.3 million units valued at N1.1 billion, DAAR Communications exchanged 36.7 million units for N81.8 million, and Secure Electronic Technology transacted 36.6 million units worth N33.0 million.
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