Economy
World Oil Demand Forecast Remains Steady at 2.33mbpd—OPEC

By Adedapo Adesanya
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has stated that the global oil demand forecast for 2023 was steady for a third month.
In its report, the producer group says world oil demand in 2023 will rise by 2.33 million barrels per day (bpd) or 2.3 per cent. This was virtually unchanged from the 2.32 million barrels per day forecast last month.
OPEC noted that the potential Chinese growth that lent the support would be offset by downside economic risks elsewhere, such as the US debt ceiling.
“Minor upward adjustments were made due to the better-than-expected performance in China’s economy, while other regions are expected to see slight declines due to economic challenges that are likely to weigh on oil demand,” OPEC said in the report.
Chinese oil demand is now expected to rise by 800,000 barrels per day, OPEC said, up from the 760,000 barrels per day forecast last month, adding to a recovery after strict COVID-19 containment measures were scrapped.
The global growth figure, however, was unchanged for a third straight month, and OPEC left its 2023 economic growth forecast at 2.6 per cent, citing potential downside risks such as inflation and increasing debt payments from higher interest rates.
“In addition, the US debt ceiling issue has so far not been resolved, a matter that could have economic consequences,” OPEC said in its economic commentary.
A new round of oil output cuts announced on April 2 by some members of OPEC+, which comprises OPEC, Russia and other allies, has failed to boost oil prices that further interest rate hikes and concern over the US debt ceiling have hit.
This is the last monthly OPEC report before OPEC+ holds its next policy meeting on June 4.
The report also showed OPEC’s oil production fell in April, reflecting the impact of earlier output cuts pledged by OPEC+ to support the market as well as some unplanned outages.
For November last year, with prices weakening, OPEC+ agreed to a 2 million barrels per day reduction in its output target – the largest since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The April 2 voluntary cuts add to this total.
OPEC said its April output fell by 191,000 barrels per day to 28.60 million barrels per day, with declines in Iraq and Nigeria.
Iraq’s northern exports were halted, while some of Nigeria’s exports were disrupted by a labour dispute involving ExxonMobil workers.
The report kept its forecast that non-OPEC supply would rise by 1.4 million barrels per day in 2023 and flagged factors that could limit or curb supplies, such as investment levels and the war in Ukraine.
While overall investment levels in non-OPEC supply in 2023 are expected to be just above pre-pandemic levels, they are still short of a $747 billion high reached in 2014 as oil companies focus on capital discipline, OPEC said.
Economy
Rivers Police Arrests Two Suspects Over Shell Pipeline Explosion

By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Two persons have been apprehended by the Rivers State Police Command in connection with the explosion that affected the Trans Niger Delta Pipeline operated by Shell Petroleum Development Company (SPDC) at the border of Kpor and Bodo communities.
On Monday night, the oil facility was affected by an inferno, which forced Shell to shut it down to prevent further damage.
It was gathered that the first was noticed during a routine night patrol by security operatives, who “promptly alerted SPDC management.”
The company initiated necessary safety protocols, including shutting down the affected pipeline, a statement from the Police Public Relations Officer for Rivers Command, Ms Grace Iringe-Koko, a Superintendent of Police (SP), said on Tuesday.
The police said the swift intervention brought “the situation is now under control, and there is no further threat to residents or the environment.”
According to her, the two accused persons were picked up after the commencement of “a thorough investigation to determine the cause of the fire.”
She said the suspects are answering questions to help the police “uncover any potential act of sabotage,” promising to ensure that perpetrators of criminal activities are identified and brought to justice.
“We urge residents to remain calm and vigilant, assuring them of our unwavering commitment to protecting lives and property. The Command will not relent in its efforts to rid the state of criminal elements and maintain peace and security for all.
“For any useful information regarding this incident or any suspicious activities, members of the public are encouraged to contact the nearest police station,” the statement said.
Economy
Nigeria’s Cooling Inflation May Fuel Further Interest Rate Pause

By Adedapo Adesanya
Cooling inflation in Nigeria could encourage the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to hold interest rate steady again when the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets in May.
On Monday, Nigeria’s annual inflation eased for a second straight month after the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) overhauled the index for the first time in 16 years in January 2025.
The move was carried out to better reflect the inflation pressures facing households in Africa’s most-populous nation with the base year changed from 2009 to 2024.
According to the NBS, consumer prices rose 23.18 per cent in February by 8.52 per cent from the 31.70 per cent achieved in January 2024.
In the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the NBS said last month, the headline inflation slowed due to decline in the average prices of food items like yam tuber, potatoes, soya beans, flour of maize/cornmeal, cassava, bambara beans (dried), etc compared with the prices in the first month of this year.
Nigeria’s economy has grown in the last two quarters in Nigeria by over 2-3 per cent caused by inflation and the weakening of the local currency. This is slower compared to expected outcomes.
However, with further moderation, this could spur policymakers at the apex bank to pause rate hikes for yet another cycle.
The President Bola Tinubu administration is targeting a 15 per cent inflation level.
At its last meeting in February, the MPC held all rates across board with the headline monetary policy rate (MPR) retained at 27.50 per cent.
According to the Governor of the CBN, Mr Yemi Cardoso, the asymmetric corridor was retained around the MPR at +500/-100 basis points and the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) of Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) at 50.00 per cent and Merchant Banks at 16 per cent. Also, the MPC retained the Liquidity Ratio at 30.00 per cent.
The CBN had hiked interest rates by 875 basis points in the last year as Mr Cardoso favoured inflation targeting tools to fix skyrocketing cost of prices.
Market analysts noted that subsequent ease inflation in March and April could lead to even cuts but argued that pausing the rate will offer succour to businesses who have lamented the consistent hiking on their operations.
Economy
NASD Index Opens Week in Green Territory After 0.15% Growth

By Adedapo Adesanya
There was a 0.15 per cent appreciation at NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange on Monday March 17, with the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) increasing by 4.90 points to close at 3,368.64 points, in contrast to last Friday’s 3,363.74 points and the market capitalisation of the bourse rose by N2.83 billion to settle at N1.945 trillion compared with the preceding trading day’s N1.942 trillion.
Okitipupa Plc gained N7.66 during the session to close at N307.66 per unit compared with the preceding session’s N300.00 per unit, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc expanded by 78 Kobo to settle at N39.01 per share versus last Friday’s price of N38.23 per share, and Geo Fluids Plc grew by 6 Kobo to trade at N2.90 per unit, in contrast to the previous trading day’s N2.84 per unit.
On the flip side, Afriland Properties Plc lost N2.01 to close at N21.19 per share compared with its previous rate of N23.20 per share.
Yesterday, the volume of securities traded at the bourse went down by 55.8 per cent to 288,383 units from the 652,237 units recorded last Friday, the value of securities traded by investor depreciated by 45.3per cent to N18.2 million from the N33.1 million quoted at the preceding session, and the number of deals executed at the first session of the week shrank by 27 per cent to 27 deals from 37 deals.
When the market closed for the session, Impresit Bakolori Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with a turnover of 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, followed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 13.0 million units valued at N505.1 million, and Afriland Properties Plc with 17.4 million units sold for N357.0 million.
Also, Impresit Bakolori Plc remained as the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, trailed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 69.9 million units sold for N23.7 million, and Afriland Properties Plc with 17.4 million units valued at N357.0 million.
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