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Galvanizing for Geometric Growth in Nigeria amid Global Trade War & Pandemic (Part Two)

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Geometric Growth

By Oremade Oyedeji

讓我今天從這篇文章開始。“找到您的目標並留在自己的車道上,也許您可以成為富有創意的尼日利亞的一部分

Don’t get confused with my introduction; I am now practicing how to switch my transcript between English and Chinese, just in case.

I wrote; Translation – Let me start today article with this phrase; “Find your purpose and stay in your lane, and just maybe, you can be part of the creative Nigeria”.

Yes! a creative Nigerian strategy (for example) that migrated Victor Agunbiade from Nigeria in 2007, enlisted in the Navy as a storekeeper in 2008 and commissioned as an officer of the US Navy in 2013 is fulfilling purpose.

I have no doubt that Hon. Abike Kafayat Oluwatoyin Dabiri-Erewa, the Chairman/CEO, Nigerians in Diaspora Commission, would be proud to identify with him.

Recently, the United States Navy celebrated now English speaking Lieutenant Victor Agunbiade, a Nigerian decent of the Yoruba native, for an effective management of its largest overseas cash disbursement office.

Agunbiade, a Nigerian-born US Navy Reserve Supply Officer currently serving at Camp Lemonnier in Djibouti, was awarded the Navy and Marine Corp Development Medal for his exemplary accountability.

The money accounted for approximately 70 per cent of its overseas disbursing volume. The Nigerian-born US Navy has been the officer in charge of dispersing and money collection for the entire African regional operation.

Working from an austere environment, Camp Lemonnier in Djibouti is a US Navy base. Djibouti is strategically located in the Horn of Africa and is the only enduring US military base on the continent of Africa.

Why Camp Lemonnier in Djibouti?

You will recall that, Djibouti made headline in recent month as she lost her final bid for a sit at the Security Council of the United Nations (UN) to Kenya. Well, Djibouti presence in Nigeria is very noticeable, and that perhaps maybe influenced singularly by the choice of their representative in Nigeria, who is also a Nigerian bred, Dr Taiwo Afolabi, a very inspiring Nigerian I look up to. Don’t bother “googling” his name, you won’t find much, he is hardly on camera. Me:  Smiles…

Djibouti celebrated her independence day a few months back and it lost its biggest infrastructure and highest employer of labour, the seaport, to China, maybe deceptively and has set it up as a military base.

There has been a military build-up there as Victor Agunbiade and his US troops have also setup a base there to keep the communists in check.

Amid Global Balance of Trade, the truth is Africa is still a colony. Responding to a question by a South African journalist in 2016 in Nebraska, you will recall that Donald Trump said “there is no shortcut to maturity, Africa should be re-colonized for another 100 years, Trump was said to have referred to Africans as slaves that they know nothing about leadership and self-governance.

In Nigeria, according to a press release titled Facts About Chinese Loans to Nigeria by the Debt Management Office (DMO) recently, the agency said; “As at March 31, 2020, the total borrowing by Nigeria from China was $3.121 billion (N1,126.68 billion at $1/N361) out of the total public debt of $79.303 billion (N28,628.49 billion at $1/N361).”

Similarly, in terms of external sources of funds, loans from China accounted for 11.28 per cent of the external debt stock of $27.67 billion at the same date, said the debt office.

The issue with Chinese debt trap diplomacy is that, most Chinese loans are tied to infrastructural developments; some African nations have had to forfeit their stakes in their country national infrastructure, which they used as collateral, after they defaulted.

For instance, $7.4 billion of Zambia’s total $8.7 billion foreign debt is owed to China and since late 2018, the Zambian government has been in talks with China and if care is not taken, the country might totally surrender the state electricity company, ZESCO, to China as a form of debt repayment since the country has defaulted on the plethora of Chinese loans for its infrastructure projects.

Zambia has already lost its international airport in Lusaka, and 60 per cent stake in the state own media ZMBC to China.

Another African country in the Chinese debt trap diplomacy is Kenya, which lost its most lucrative port, Port of Mombasa, to China after it defaulted in the refund.

Others are Sri Lankan Magampura Mahinda Rajapaksa Port and Mattala Rajapaksa International Airport, due to Sri Lanka’s inability to service the debt on the port. It was leased to the Chinese state-owned China Merchants Port Holdings Company Limited on a 99-year lease in 2017.

Aside Chinese strategy policy for Africa being said to be a population swap as laid out in an obnoxious instrument, African population is strangely projected to also decrease by some unknown occurrences.

The technique is to grant African countries some toxic loans to build lagging infrastructure and get African leaders to sign a cloak contract that will permanently transfer the ownership of these ports to the Chinese nation.

China may effectively own the African continent and its resources ahead of the United States of America if this strategic plan works. The consequence is that Chinese citizens may take over the police and major infrastructure due to failure of repayment.

As my introductory paragraph pointed, perhaps, all Africans should all start learning Chinese language from now. 我寧願學習Yoruba 代替

In Nigeria, the Chinese presence is very obvious and they are heavily involved in illegal mining due to our lack of mining infrastructural know-how.

Nigeria needs to avoid unscrupulous loan contracts that are not properly matched to commercially viable infrastructural development.

In my opinion, a loan is not bad if the infrastructure being financed with it is commercially appraised like the Fourth Mainland Bridge infrastructure financed by a multilateral bank, African Finance Cooperation (AFC) created by former president Olusegun Obasanjo to fund infrastructure in Africa and is located in Osborne Ikoyi Lagos.

In a relative twist, a top Nigerian banker, Mr Akinwumi Adesina, was cleared after a corruption probe. Sequel to my article published in June 2020 title galvanizing for geometric growth amid global trade war & pandemic” (part 1), where I dwelled on the issue, the president of the African Development Bank (AfDB) has now been cleared of corruption charges after a review by an independent panel.

The United States, one of the bank’s biggest shareholders, insisted on a new inquiry in April after an internal review cleared Akinwumi Adesina.

Whistle-blowers were claimed to have accused the Nigerian of giving contracts to friends and loans to his African family. Mr Adesina is set to be re-elected for another five-year term in August. Besides the core 54 African countries, the United States is one of the 27 non-regional members of the AfDB and its second largest shareholder.

In conclusion, this period of history is evidencing a dramatic change in world political thought and the balance of power, associated with the ideological notion of world governance in the sense of new collective efforts to identify, understand, or address worldwide problems.

In achieving this task, one fact is certain, there is a move for a new destination for money, a deliberate shift of the world economic resources.

Africa needs to be properly positioned for it, just like Victor Agunbiade and Dr Taiwo Afolabi mention earlier in the this article, More Nigerians need to be strategically positioned for the task ahead.

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The Future of Payments: Key Trends to Watch in 2025

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Luke Kyohere

By Luke Kyohere

The global payments landscape is undergoing a rapid transformation. New technologies coupled with the rising demand for seamless, secure, and efficient transactions has spurred on an exciting new era of innovation and growth. With 2025 fast approaching, here are important trends that will shape the future of payments:

1. The rise of real-time payments

Until recently, real-time payments have been used in Africa for cross-border mobile money payments, but less so for traditional payments. We are seeing companies like Mastercard investing in this area, as well as central banks in Africa putting focus on this. 

2. Cashless payments will increase

In 2025, we will see the continued acceleration of cashless payments across Africa. B2B payments in particular will also increase. Digital payments began between individuals but are now becoming commonplace for larger corporate transactions. 

3. Digital currency will hit mainstream

In the cryptocurrency space, we will see an increase in the use of stablecoins like United States Digital Currency (USDC) and Tether (USDT) which are linked to US dollars. These will come to replace traditional cryptocurrencies as their price point is more stable. This year, many countries will begin preparing for Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), government-backed digital currencies which use blockchain. 

The increased uptake of digital currencies reflects the maturity of distributed ledger technology and improved API availability. 

4. Increased government oversight

As adoption of digital currencies will increase, governments will also put more focus into monitoring these flows. In particular, this will centre on companies and banks rather than individuals. The goal of this will be to control and occasionally curb runaway foreign exchange (FX) rates.

5. Business leaders buy into AI technology

In 2025, we will see many business leaders buying into AI through respected providers relying on well-researched platforms and huge data sets. Most companies don’t have the budget to invest in their own research and development in AI, so many are now opting to ‘buy’ into the technology rather than ‘build’ it themselves. Moreover, many businesses are concerned about the risks associated with data ownership and accuracy so buying software is another way to avoid this risk. 

6. Continued AI Adoption in Payments

In payments, the proliferation of AI will continue to improve user experience and increase security.  To detect fraud, AI is used to track patterns and payment flows in real-time. If unusual activity is detected, the technology can be used to flag or even block payments which may be fraudulent. 

When it comes to user experience, we will also see AI being used to improve the interface design of payment platforms. The technology will also increasingly be used for translation for international payment platforms.

7. Rise of Super Apps

To get more from their platforms, mobile network operators are building comprehensive service platforms, integrating multiple payment experiences into a single app. This reflects the shift of many users moving from text-based services to mobile apps. Rather than offering a single service, super apps are packing many other services into a single app. For example, apps which may have previously been used primarily for lending, now have options for saving and paying bills. 

8. Business strategy shift

Recent major technological changes will force business leaders to focus on much shorter prediction and reaction cycles. Because the rate of change has been unprecedented in the past year, this will force decision-makers to adapt quickly, be decisive and nimble. 

As the payments space evolves,  businesses, banks, and governments must continually embrace innovation, collaboration, and prioritise customer needs. These efforts build a more inclusive, secure, and efficient payment system that supports local to global economic growth – enabling true financial inclusion across borders.

Luke Kyohere is the Group Chief Product and Innovation Officer at Onafriq

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Ghana’s Democratic Triumph: A Call to Action for Nigeria’s 2027 Elections

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ghana election 2024

In a heartfelt statement released today, the Conference of Nigeria Political Parties (CNPP) has extended its warmest congratulations to Ghana’s President-Elect, emphasizing the importance of learning from Ghana’s recent electoral success as Nigeria gears up for its 2027 general elections.

In a statement signed by its Deputy National Publicity Secretary, Comrade James Ezema, the CNPP highlighted the need for Nigeria to reclaim its status as a leader in democratic governance in Africa.

“The recent victory of Ghana’s President-Elect is a testament to the maturity and resilience of Ghana’s democracy,” the CNPP stated. “As we celebrate this achievement, we must reflect on the lessons that Nigeria can learn from our West African neighbour.”

The CNPP’s message underscored the significance of free, fair, and credible elections, a standard that Ghana has set and one that Nigeria has previously achieved under former President Goodluck Jonathan in 2015. “It is high time for Nigeria to reclaim its position as a beacon of democracy in Africa,” the CNPP asserted, calling for a renewed commitment to the electoral process.

Central to CNPP’s message is the insistence that “the will of the people must be supreme in Nigeria’s electoral processes.” The umbrella body of all registered political parties and political associations in Nigeria CNPP emphasized the necessity of an electoral system that genuinely reflects the wishes of the Nigerian populace. “We must strive to create an environment where elections are free from manipulation, violence, and intimidation,” the CNPP urged, calling on the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to take decisive action to ensure the integrity of the electoral process.

The CNPP also expressed concern over premature declarations regarding the 2027 elections, stating, “It is disheartening to note that some individuals are already announcing that there is no vacancy in Aso Rock in 2027. This kind of statement not only undermines the democratic principles that our nation holds dear but also distracts from the pressing need for the current administration to earn the trust of the electorate.”

The CNPP viewed the upcoming elections as a pivotal moment for Nigeria. “The 2027 general elections present a unique opportunity for Nigeria to reclaim its position as a leader in democratic governance in Africa,” it remarked. The body called on all stakeholders — including the executive, legislature, judiciary, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), and civil society organisations — to collaborate in ensuring that elections are transparent, credible, and reflective of the will of the Nigerian people.

As the most populous African country prepares for the 2027 elections, the CNPP urged all Nigerians to remain vigilant and committed to democratic principles. “We must work together to ensure that our elections are free from violence, intimidation, and manipulation,” the statement stated, reaffirming the CNPP’s commitment to promoting a peaceful and credible electoral process.

In conclusion, the CNPP congratulated the President-Elect of Ghana and the Ghanaian people on their remarkable achievements.

“We look forward to learning from their experience and working together to strengthen democracy in our region,” the CNPP concluded.

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The Need to Promote Equality, Equity and Fairness in Nigeria’s Proposed Tax Reforms

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By Kenechukwu Aguolu

The proposed tax reform, involving four tax bills introduced by the Federal Government, has received significant criticism. Notably, it was rejected by the Governors’ Forum but was still forwarded to the National Assembly. Unlike the various bold economic decisions made by this government, concessions will likely need to be made on these tax reforms, which involve legislative amendments and therefore cannot be imposed by the executive. This article highlights the purposes of taxation, the qualities of a good tax system, and some of the implications of the proposed tax reforms.

One of the major purposes of taxation is to generate revenue for the government to finance its activities. A good tax system should raise sufficient revenue for the government to fund its operations, and support economic and infrastructural development. For any country to achieve meaningful progress, its tax-to-GDP ratio should be at least 15%. Currently, Nigeria’s tax-to-GDP ratio is less than 11%. The proposed tax reforms aim to increase this ratio to 18% within the next three years.

A good tax system should also promote income redistribution and equality by implementing progressive tax policies. In line with this, the proposed tax reforms favour low-income earners. For example, individuals earning less than one million naira annually are exempted from personal income tax. Additionally, essential goods and services such as food, accommodation, and transportation, which constitute a significant portion of household consumption for low- and middle-income groups, are to be exempted from VAT.

In addition to equality, a good tax system should ensure equity and fairness, a key area of contention surrounding the proposed reforms. If implemented, the amendments to the Value Added Tax could lead to a significant reduction in the federal allocation for some states; impairing their ability to finance government operations and development projects. The VAT amendments should be holistically revisited to promote fairness and national unity.

The establishment of a single agency to collect government taxes, the Nigeria Revenue Service, could reduce loopholes that have previously resulted in revenue losses, provided proper controls are put in place. It is logically easier to monitor revenue collection by one agency than by multiple agencies. However, this is not a magical solution. With automation, revenue collection can be seamless whether it is managed by one agency or several, as long as monitoring and accountability measures are implemented effectively.

The proposed tax reforms by the Federal Government are well-intentioned. However, all concerns raised by Nigerians should be looked into, and concessions should be made where necessary. Policies are more effective when they are adapted to suit the unique characteristics of a nation, rather than adopted wholesale. A good tax system should aim to raise sufficient revenue, ensure equitable income distribution, and promote equality, equity, and fairness.

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