World
Global Foreign Direct Investment to Drop 40%—UN
By Adedapo Adesanya
Global foreign direct investment (FDI) flows are likely to nosedive by 40 percent this year due to the coronavirus crisis, the United Nations (UN) said on Tuesday, with worse expected in 2021.
In its World Investment Report 2020, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) predicted that FDI may decline globally due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
According to the research, this means that FDI, which in 2019 amounted to $1.54 trillion, will fall for the first time since 2005 below the $1 trillion mark, with recovery likely to start in 2022.
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is a measure of cross-border private sector investments. This is forecast to decrease by a further five to 10 percent in 2021 and only start a recovery in 2022, UNCTAD said in its World Investment Report 2020.
Statistics showed that FDI is expected to fall in double figures in Latin America, between 30 and 45 percent in the developing countries of Asia, and between 25 and 40 percent in Africa. Industrialized countries are also projected to see a decline in foreign direct investment of between 25 and 40 percent.
“The global economy is in a direr situation than it was during the 2008 financial crisis,” UNCTAD secretary-general, Mr Mukhisa Kituyi said.
“The pandemic represents a supply, demand, and policy shock for FDI,” he added.
He noted that the pandemic led to “a halt in production and supply chains in most economic sectors, the complete closure of entire industries, and unprecedented shocks in consumption in most economies.”
Talking about the projected FDI decline, he said that “prospects depend on the duration of the healthcare crisis and the effectiveness of policies regarding the economic impact of the pandemic.”
Kituyi said the economic impact of COVID-19 would hit developing countries hard, with disruptions to major productive sectors and industries, declining remittances and receipts from tourism and contracting world trade.
“The shock will be further compounded by the impact on food security as production of major food items is concentrated in a few big countries where the pandemic is expanding,” he said.
“Managing the disease is only part of the persistent challenges facing developing economies,” he added.
In Asia, the pandemic is expected to bring about a fall in reinvested earnings of foreign affiliates in the region, while the crisis has underscored the significance of China and other Asian economies as global production hubs.
Meanwhile, all 32 landlocked less-developed countries were struggling with the economic impact of the pandemic on FDI flows — particularly with border closures. Those countries cannot turn to direct sea transport — the mode that carries an estimated 80 percent of global trade, said UNCTAD.
The report also showed that global FDI flows rose by three percent in 2019, following consecutive declines in 2017 and 2018.
The rise was mainly the result of higher flows to developed economies, as the impact of the 2017 tax reforms in the United States weakened, it noted.
World
Russia’s Lukoil Losses Strategic Influence Across Africa
By Kestér Kenn Klomegâh
Lukoil, Russia’s energy giant, has seriously lost its grounds across Africa, due to United States sanctions. Sanctions have complicated the company’s potential continuity in operating its largest oil field projects, grappling its investment particularly in Republic of Ghana, Democratic Republic of Congo, and Federal Republic of Nigeria.
Reports indicated the sanctions are further dismantling most of Lukoil’s operations, causing significant staff layoffs in its offices worldwide. For instance, Lukoil’s significant upstream operations in the Middle East include a 75% stake in Iraq’s West Qurna 2 oilfield and a 60% stake in Iraq’s Block 10 development. In Egypt, the company holds stakes in various oilfields alongside local partners.
Lukoil has until December 13, 2025, to negotiate the sale of most of its international assets, including those in Asia, Africa and Latin America. It has already terminated several important agreements that were signed with international partners due to difficulties in circumventing the sanctions.
Reports said calculated efforts to diversify exploration business relations is turning extremely complex, and current at the cross-roads, Lukoil will have to ultimately give up existing contracts and agreements it had signed with external countries.
Lukoil’s website reports also pointed to reasons for abandoning oil and gas exploration and drilling project that it began in Sierra Leone. According to those reports, Lukoil could withdraw from almost all of the projects in West Africa.
In addition to geopolitical sanctions, technical and geographical hitches, Lukoil noted on its website, an additional obstacles that “the African leadership and government policies always pose serious problems to operations in the region.” Similarly, the Kremlin-controlled Rosneft abandoned its interest in the southern Africa oil pipeline construction, negatively impacted on Angola, Mozambique, South Africa and Zimbabwe.
United States sanctions has hit Lukoil, one of the Russia’s biggest oil companies, like many other Russian companies, that has had a long history shuttling forth and back with declaration of business intentions or mere interests in tapping into oil and gas resources in Africa.
World
Putin Launches RT India Broadcasting
By Kestér Kenn Klomegâh
In New Delhi, President Vladimir Putin, alongside Editor-in-Chief of Russia Today, Margarita Simonyan, took part in the launch ceremony of the RT India TV channel. The TV channel will operate from a new studio complex in New Delhi, marking a new dimension in the bilateral media sphere.
Editor-in-Chief of Russia Today, Margarita Simonyan, indicated that the collaboration, naturally, points to India’s hospitality, affirming that this endeavour was not only worthwhile but long overdue.
Vladimir Putin, officially, launching the TV studio, also emphasized that the Russia Today channel in India, RT India, grants millions of Indian citizens clearer, more direct access into insights about contemporary Russia – the realities, aspirations, and perspectives. He reiterated the existing traditional friendship, and the ties between the Indian and Russian peoples go much deeper into the past; which rests on a solid historical foundation. And at the core of relationship lies mutual interest.
Russia Today is a source of truthful and reliable information, focused on serving the interests of its viewers and listeners. Its main mission is merely to promote Russia, its culture, and its positions on domestic and international issues. Above all, Russia Today strives to convey truthful information about the country and about what is happening in the world. This is the absolute value of Russia Today.
World
Ease in Benin Republic as Attempt to Oust President Talon Fails
By Adedapo Adesanya
The government of Benin Republic says its armed forces has foiled a coup attempt on President Patrice Talon by a group of soldiers , who claimed on national television to have seized power on Sunday.
At least eight soldiers, holding weapons, went on state television on Sunday morning to announce that a military committee led by Colonel Tigri Pascal had taken over and was dissolving national institutions, suspending the constitution and closing air, land and maritime borders.
According to their statement, Lieutenant-Colonel Tigri Pascal will be leading a military transition council.
Some hours after, the Interior Minister, Mr Alassane Seidou, said the country’s armed forces had thwarted the attempted coup and called for calm.
“Therefore, the government urges the population to go about their business as usual,” he said.
According to reports, 14 people had been arrested in connection with the foiled attempt to stop democracy in the country.
Foreign Minister, Mr Olushegun Adjadi Bakari, had earlier told Reuters that “a small group” of soldiers had attempted to overthrow the government but that forces loyal to President Talon were working to restore order.
He said the coup plotters had only managed to take control of state television, which was cut after the soldiers read out their statement. It resumed broadcasting shortly afterwards, allowing the interior minister to read his statement saying the coup bid had been foiled.
The Economic Commission of West African States (ECOWAS) and the African Union (AU) condemned the coup attempt.
Benin experienced several military coups and coup attempts in the first decades of independence from France in 1960. But there has not been a power grab by force in the country since it held multi-party elections in 1991.
Coups have become common place in Africa since 2020: Mali, Guinea, Sudan, Burkina Faso, Niger, Gabon, Madagascar, and recently Guinea-Bissau have seen military takeover in the recent times. This has raised alarms about possibilities in other African states.
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