By Adedapo Adesanya
Macroeconomic and fiscal reforms are urgently needed to lift Nigeria’s development outcomes, which are severely constrained by the inefficient use of resources, the World Bank said in its new Nigeria Public Finance Review report released on Monday.
For years, a large share of Nigeria’s resources has been affected by inefficient and regressive subsidies for petrol, electricity, and foreign exchange. Not all these subsidies are accounted for in the budget, which makes them difficult to track and scrutinise.
However, available data suggest that these subsidies, which accounted for more than the amount spent on education, health, and social protection in 2021, benefit primarily wealthy households. They also distort incentives, discourage investment, and crowd-out spending on pro-poor programs, thereby hindering progress in Nigeria’s social development.
Nigeria has one of the lowest public expenditure and revenue levels in the world, undermining the government’s ability to improve service delivery. Between 2015 and 2021, total public spending in Nigeria averaged 12 per cent of the gross domestic product (GDP), less than half the world average of 30 per cent.
The report noted that improving service delivery requires more resources, and one of the most critical aspects of meeting Nigeria’s vast development needs lies in raising more revenues, as the country ranks consistently among the world’s poorest-performing countries in terms of public revenue mobilization, with total revenues averaging just 7 per cent of GDP in 2015-2021 — far below the global average of 24 per cent.
Low tax rates and poor utilisation of tax bases, weaknesses in tax administration, and large deductions from oil revenues are constraining Nigeria’s inability to generate enough revenues, it added.
Speaking on this, World Bank Group President, Mr David Malpass, said, “Nigeria’s government urgently needs to strengthen fiscal management, create a unified, stable market-based exchange rate, phase out its costly, regressive fuel subsidy and rationalise preferential trade restrictions and tax exemptions. These would lay the groundwork for the increases in public revenues and spending needed to improve development outcomes.
“Decisive moves would significantly improve the business enabling environment in Nigeria, attract foreign direct investment, and reduce inflation. The World Bank is ready to increase support to Nigeria as it designs and implements these critical reforms.”
Adding his input, Nigeria’s Country Director, Mr Shubham Chaudhuri, said Nigeria is at a critical historical juncture and has a choice to make.
“A child born in Nigeria today will be only 36 per cent as productive when she grows up as she could be if she had access to effective public education and health services, and has a life expectancy of only 55 years.
“These stark indicators illustrate the urgency for action by Nigeria’s policymakers to improve the macroeconomic and fiscal framework so as to sustainably enhance the quality of spending and public services at Federal and State levels,” he quipped.
The Nigeria Public Finance Review was conducted at the request of the Federal Ministry of Finance, Budget, and National Planning and prepared in close collaboration with the Budget Office of the Federation, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the Office of the Accountant General of the Federation, and the Debt Management Office (DMO).
It aims to inform the public debate on Nigeria’s future by providing a thorough analysis of the fiscal performance and necessary reforms needed to establish a robust and sustainable development model that provides broad-based economic opportunities for all Nigerians.
Dipo Olowookere