Economy
MAN Urges FG to Suspend Proposed 2023 Fiscal Policy Measures
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has asked the federal government to suspend the planned excise duty increase on alcoholic beverages and tobacco, arguing that the headwinds in the economic environment would put more pressure on members.
At a stakeholders’ meeting on Tuesday, MAN raised significant concerns about the provisions of the 2023 Fiscal Policy Measures (FPM), including the record increase in excise on beverages and tobacco and the introduction of a tax on Single Use Plastics (SUP), amongst others.
Speaking at the event, the president of the association, Mr Festus Meshioye, lamented that the FG, despite past assurances that it would not increase excise in beverages and tobacco, reneged and has planned a new increase as contained in the 2023 Fiscal Policy Measures (FPM).
The Muhammadu Buhari administration initiated a 3-year excise roadmap system in 2018 after extensive consultation with the industry, and the roadmap ran successfully until its conclusion in 2021 without any change or issues.
MAN said this enabled the industry to plan its operations, given the certainty in excise successfully. In 2021, the government retained the excise rates for 2020/21 until May 2022, while it used the 1-year period to engage extensively with the industry to decide on a revised roadmap.
Following this engagement, the government released the 2022 FPM with a revised 3-year excise roadmap which, though providing for higher excise rates, still took into consideration input from the industry and the potential impact on the economy.
However, barely five months into the implementation of the 2022 excise roadmap, the industry became aware of fresh plans by the government to increase excise rates further.
MAN bemoaned this development and said this signifies ‘an increase on the increase’ since there was already an approved increase in place for 2023.
Mr Meshioye said that the manufacturing sector is immersed in an unprecedented crisis and an acute recession due to extraordinary challenges, which he said include “sustained scarcity of naira which has led to a crash in consumer purchases; limited access to foreign exchange, which has led the industry to purchase foreign exchange from the parallel market, thereby increasing costs; high inflation which is driving up the cost of operation and prices of products and a struggling economy.”
“This has impacted the industry. For instance, the brewing sector suffered a massive decline of 169 per cent in profit before tax in Q1 2023. Also, the industry turnover for non-alcoholic beverages and tobacco declined by 15 per cent, while gross profit and profit before tax declined by 31 per cent and 96 per cent within the same period, respectively,” he revealed.
He also noted that other worries include the burdensome increase in excise on beer and tobacco, which have tripled and quintupled as well as the impact on sales due to the Naira scarcity.
He warned that, “A continuing decline in sale volumes will necessitate production cuts and a reevaluation of investments in the sector. Specifically, if sales proceeds can no longer sustain business overheads and operating expenses, businesses will be forced to scale down their operations which would result in factory closures, job losses, a decline in exports, and much more.”
MAN also warned that a decline in sales and profitability of the industry would result in a decline in the industry’s total tax contribution to the government because company income tax (CIT), value-added tax (VAT), and education tax are directly tied to the performance and profitability of the companies.
The association further warned that it would not be able to support other businesses within its value chain, cutting across agriculture, logistics, bottling, labelling, and packaging businesses, as well as distribution, wholesale, and retail businesses, catering to over 950,000 direct and indirect employees.
MAN then called on the outgoing government to suspend the 2023 FPM and retain the 2022 -2024 excise duties roadmap as approved in the 2022 FPM to foster stability in the affected sectors and their value chain in the interest of the national economy.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Energy stocks influenced the 4.76 per cent loss recorded by the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange on Friday, December 5.
The culprits were the duo of 11 Plc and Nipco Plc,with the former shedding N32.17 to end at N291.83 per share compared with the previous day’s N324.00 per share, and the latter down by N21.00 to sell at N195.00 per unit versus the previous session’s N216.00 per unit.
Consequently, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) slumped by 170.16 points to 3,401.37 points from 3,571.53 points and the market capitalisation lost N101.81 billion to close at N2.035 billion from the N2.136 trillion quoted in the preceding session.
The OTC securities exchange suffered the decline yesterday despite the share prices of three companies closing green.
Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc was up by N1.80 to close at N39.80 per share compared with Thursday’s price of N38.00 per share, Air Liquide Plc appreciated by N1.09 to N11.99 per unit from N10.90 per unit, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc grew by 78 Kobo to N56.57 per share from N55.79 per share.
During the session, the volume of transactions rose by 6,885.3 per cent to 18.2 million units from 4.3 million units, the value of transactions ballooned by 10,301.7 per cent to N389.7 million from N347.2 million, but the number of deals declined by 29.7 per cent to 26 deals from 37 deals.
Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc ended the day as the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units worth N16.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 170.4 million units valued at N8.0 billion, and Air Liquide Plc with 507.5 million units worth N4.2 billion.
InfraCredit Plc also finished the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units transacted for N16.4 billion, followed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 1.2 billion units sold for N420.2 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 536.9 million units worth N524.9 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira depreciated further against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday, December 5, as FX demand pressure mounts.
The Nigerian currency lost N2.60 or 0.18 per cent against the greenback to close at N1,450.43/$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,447.83/$1.
Equally, the domestic currency declined against the Pound Sterling in the official forex market during the session by N4.48 to trade at N1,935.45/£1, in contrast to Thursday’s closing price of N1,930.97/£1 and shrank against the Euro by 43 Kobo to end at N1,689.17/€1 versus the preceding session’s rate of N1,688.74/€1.
Similarly, the local currency performed badly against the US Dollar at the GTBank FX counter by N2 to close at N1,455/$1 versus Thursday’s N1,453/$1 but traded flat at the parallel market at N14.65/$1.
As the country gets into the festive period, pressure mounted on the local currency reflecting higher foreign payments and lower FX inflows.
However, there are expectations that the Nigerian currency will be stable, supported by interventions by to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in the face of steady dollar Demand and inflows from Detty December festivities that will give the Naira a boost after it depreciated mildly last month.
Traders cited by Reuters expect that the Naira will trade within a band of N1,443-N1,450/$1 next week, buoyed by improved FX interventions by the apex bank.
As for the crypto market, it was down yesterday due to profit-taking associated with year-end trading. However, the December 1-Year Consumer Inflation Expectation by the University of Michigan fell to 4.1 per cent from 4.5 per cent previously and 4.5 per cent expected. The 5-Year Consumer Inflation Expectation fell to 3.2 per cent from 3.4 per cent previously and 3.4 per cent expected.
With the dearth of official economic data of late, these private surveys have taken on a new level of significance and the market banks of them to make decisions.
Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 5.7 per cent to $0.4142, Dogecoin (DOGE) slid by 5.1 per cent to $0.1394, Ethereum (ETH) dropped by 3.9 per cent to $3,039.75, Solana (SOL) declined by 3.8 per cent to $133.24, and Litecoin (LTC) fell by 3.7 per cent to $80.59.
Further, Bitcoin (BTC) went down by 2.6 per cent to sell at $89,683.72, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped by 2.2 per cent to $883.59, and Ripple (XRP) shrank by 2.1 per cent to $2.04, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The oil market was up on Friday on increasing expectations the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next week, which could boost economic growth and energy demand.
Brent futures rose by 49 cents or 0.8 per cent to $63.75 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures expanded by 41 cents or 0.7 per cent to $60.08 per barrel.
Investors digested a US inflation report and recalibrated expectations for the Federal Reserve to reduce rates at its December 9-10 meeting.
US consumer spending increased moderately in September after three straight months of solid gains, suggesting a loss of momentum in the economy at the end of the third quarter as a lackluster labor market and the rising cost of living curbed demand.
Traders have been pricing in an 87 per cent chance that the US central bank will lower borrowing costs by 25 basis points next week, according to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.
Investors also focused on news from Russia and Venezuela to determine whether oil supplies from the two sanctioned members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) will increase or decrease in the future.
The failure of US talks in Moscow to achieve any significant breakthrough over the war in Ukraine has helped to boost oil prices so far this week.
A loss of Venezuelan oil production in case of a US military intervention will materially impact global benchmark prices as the market will have to replace Venezuela’s heavy crude.
Venezuela is estimated to pump about 1.1 million barrels per day of crude oil at present, so if the US-Venezuela tension escalation into an invasion in the South American country, this volume of crude would be at risk.
Reuters reported that the Group of Seven countries and the European Union are in talks to replace a price cap on Russian oil exports with a full maritime services ban in a bid to reduce the oil revenue that helps finance Russia’s war in Ukraine.
Any deal that could lift sanctions on Russia, the world’s second-biggest crude producer after the US, could increase the amount of oil available to global markets, weakening prices.
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