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MAN Urges FG to Suspend Proposed 2023 Fiscal Policy Measures

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MAN 2023 Fiscal Policy Measures

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has asked the federal government to suspend the planned excise duty increase on alcoholic beverages and tobacco, arguing that the headwinds in the economic environment would put more pressure on members.

At a stakeholders’ meeting on Tuesday, MAN raised significant concerns about the provisions of the 2023 Fiscal Policy Measures (FPM), including the record increase in excise on beverages and tobacco and the introduction of a tax on Single Use Plastics (SUP), amongst others.

Speaking at the event, the president of the association, Mr Festus Meshioye, lamented that the FG, despite past assurances that it would not increase excise in beverages and tobacco, reneged and has planned a new increase as contained in the 2023 Fiscal Policy Measures (FPM).

The Muhammadu Buhari administration initiated a 3-year excise roadmap system in 2018 after extensive consultation with the industry, and the roadmap ran successfully until its conclusion in 2021 without any change or issues.

MAN said this enabled the industry to plan its operations, given the certainty in excise successfully. In 2021, the government retained the excise rates for 2020/21 until May 2022, while it used the 1-year period to engage extensively with the industry to decide on a revised roadmap.

Following this engagement, the government released the 2022 FPM with a revised 3-year excise roadmap which, though providing for higher excise rates, still took into consideration input from the industry and the potential impact on the economy.

However, barely five months into the implementation of the 2022 excise roadmap, the industry became aware of fresh plans by the government to increase excise rates further.

MAN bemoaned this development and said this signifies ‘an increase on the increase’ since there was already an approved increase in place for 2023.

Mr Meshioye said that the manufacturing sector is immersed in an unprecedented crisis and an acute recession due to extraordinary challenges, which he said include “sustained scarcity of naira which has led to a crash in consumer purchases; limited access to foreign exchange, which has led the industry to purchase foreign exchange from the parallel market, thereby increasing costs; high inflation which is driving up the cost of operation and prices of products and a struggling economy.”

“This has impacted the industry. For instance, the brewing sector suffered a massive decline of 169 per cent in profit before tax in Q1 2023. Also, the industry turnover for non-alcoholic beverages and tobacco declined by 15 per cent, while gross profit and profit before tax declined by 31 per cent and 96 per cent within the same period, respectively,” he revealed.

He also noted that other worries include the burdensome increase in excise on beer and tobacco, which have tripled and quintupled as well as the impact on sales due to the Naira scarcity.

He warned that, “A continuing decline in sale volumes will necessitate production cuts and a reevaluation of investments in the sector. Specifically, if sales proceeds can no longer sustain business overheads and operating expenses, businesses will be forced to scale down their operations which would result in factory closures, job losses, a decline in exports, and much more.”

MAN also warned that a decline in sales and profitability of the industry would result in a decline in the industry’s total tax contribution to the government because company income tax (CIT), value-added tax (VAT), and education tax are directly tied to the performance and profitability of the companies.

The association further warned that it would not be able to support other businesses within its value chain, cutting across agriculture, logistics, bottling, labelling, and packaging businesses, as well as distribution, wholesale, and retail businesses, catering to over 950,000 direct and indirect employees.

MAN then called on the outgoing government to suspend the 2023 FPM and retain the 2022 -2024 excise duties roadmap as approved in the 2022 FPM to foster stability in the affected sectors and their value chain in the interest of the national economy.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Again, OPEC Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Forecasts

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OPEC output cut

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has once again trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts.

The bloc made this in its latest monthly oil market report for December 2024.

The 2024 world oil demand growth forecast is now put at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previous 1.82 million barrels per day.

For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, which is 900,000 barrels per day lower than the 1.54 million barrels per day earlier quoted.

On the changes, the group said that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.

The oil cartel had kept the 2024 outlook unchanged until August, a view it had first taken in July 2023.

OPEC and its wider group of allies known as OPEC+ earlier this month delayed its plan to start raising output until April 2025 against a backdrop of falling prices.

Eight OPEC+ member countries – Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman – decided to extend additional crude oil production cuts adopted in April 2023 and November 2023, due to weak demand and booming production outside the group.

In April 2023, these OPEC+ countries decided to reduce their oil production by over 1.65 million barrels per day as of May 2023 until the end of 2023. These production cuts were later extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended until the end of December 2026.

In addition, in November 2023, these producers had agreed to voluntary output cuts totalling about 2.2 million barrels per day for the first quarter of 2024, in order to support prices and stabilise the market.

These additional production cuts were extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended to the end of March 2025; they will then be gradually phased out on a monthly basis until the end of September 2026.

Members have made a series of deep output cuts since late 2022.

They are currently cutting output by a total of 5.86 million barrels per day, or about 5.7 per cent of global demand. Russia also announced plans to reduce its production by an extra 471,000 barrels per day in June 2024.

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Economy

Aradel Holdings Acquires Equity Stake in Chappal Energies

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Aradel Holdings

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A minority equity stake in Chappal Energies Mauritius Limited has been acquired by a Nigerian energy firm, Aradel Holdings Plc.

This deal came a few days after Chappal Energies purchased a 53.85 per cent equity stake in Equinor Nigeria Energy Company Limited (ENEC).

Chappal Energies went into the deal with Equinor to take part in the oil and gas lease OML 128, including the unitised 20.21 per cent stake in the Agbami oil field, operated by Chevron.

Since production started in 2008, the Agbami field has produced more than one billion barrels of oil, creating value for Nigerian society and various stakeholders.

As part of the deal, Chappal will assume the operatorship of OML 129, which includes several significant prospects and undeveloped discoveries (Nnwa, Bilah and Sehki).

The Nnwa discovery is part of the giant Nnwa-Doro field, a major gas resource with significant potential to deliver value for Nigeria.

In a separate transaction, on July 17, 2024, Chappal and Total Energies sealed an SPA for the acquisition by Chappal of 10 per cent of the SPDC JV.

The relevant parties to this transaction are working towards closing out this transaction and Ministerial Approval and NNPC consent to accede to the Joint Operating Agreement have been obtained.

“This acquisition is in line with diversifying our asset base, deepening our gas competencies and gaining access to offshore basins using low-risk approaches.

“We recognise the strategic role of gas in Nigeria’s energy future and are happy to expand our equity holding in this critical resource.

“We are committed to the cause of developing the significant value inherent in the assets, which will be extremely beneficial to the country.

“Aradel hopes to bring its proven execution competencies to bear in supporting Chappal’s development of these opportunities,” the chief executive of Aradel Holdings, Mr Adegbite Falade, stated.

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Economy

Afriland Properties Lifts NASD OTC Securities Exchange by 0.04%

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Afriland Properties

By Adedapo Adesanya

Afriland Properties Plc helped the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange record a 0.04 per cent gain on Tuesday, December 10 as the share price of the property investment rose by 34 Kobo to N16.94 per unit from the preceding day’s N16.60 per unit.

As a result of this, the market capitalisation of the bourse went up by N380 million to remain relatively unchanged at N1.056 trillion like the previous trading day.

But the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) closed higher at 3,014.36 points after it recorded an addition of 1.09 points to Monday’s closing value of 3,013.27 points.

The NASD OTC securities exchange recorded a price loser and it was Geo-Fluids Plc, which went down by 2 Kobo to close at N3.93 per share, in contrast to the preceding day’s N3.95 per share.

During the trading session, the volume of securities bought and sold by investors increased by 95.8 per cent to 2.4 million units from the 1.2 million securities traded in the preceding session.

However, the value of shares traded yesterday slumped by 3.7 per cent to N4.9 million from the N5.07 million recorded a day earlier, as the number of deals surged by 27.3 per cent to 14 deals from 11 deals.

Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units sold for N3.9 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 million.

Also, Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units worth N89.2 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 billion.

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