World
US-Africa Trade and Economic Cooperation: Challenges and Future Pathways
By Kestér Kenn Klomegâh
The United States government hosted trade ministers from sub-Saharan Africa for the annual African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) Forum from July 24 to 26. Since its (AGOA) launch in 2000, this important corporate event has taken place alternately in Washington or an African city each year. Last year, it was held in South Africa. The Forum took place in Washington against the backdrop of geopolitical changes, and during an election period in the United States.
Ahead of the Forum, on July 23 there was an official statement from President Joe Biden on the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) Forum in Washington that called on Congress to quickly reauthorize and modernize this landmark Act—which is set to expire in 2025. That America is all in on Africa. Together, let’s ensure that future generations of Americans and Africans can meet the challenges and seize the opportunities of the decades ahead.
“For more than two decades, the bipartisan African Growth and Opportunity Act has formed the bedrock of America’s economic partnership with African nations. Sub-Saharan Africa has increased the competitiveness of African products, led to the creation of tens of thousands of quality jobs, and helped advance human rights. Here at home, AGOA has created investment opportunities and new markets for American businesses. And on both sides of the Atlantic, AGOA has promoted sustainable economic growth and resilient supply chains,” President Joe Biden said in the statement.
United States Trade Representative, Ambassador Katherine Tai, at the opening ceremony of the 21st Africa Growth and Opportunity Act Forum, in the presence of African finance ministers, heads of delegation from AGOA partner countries, Secretaries-General and Commissioners of the Regional Economic Communities and the African Union, acknowledged the extraordinary collaborative job done by the African Union, the Regional Economic Communities and together with Africa’s Finance Ministers. For the last three years, the Biden-Harris Administration has focused on measures to deepen trade and strengthen economic cooperation, she said in a quick assessment in terms of performance and results.
“When President Biden asked me to serve as his Trade Representative, he gave me a directive—to use trade for the common good. This means putting workers at the centre of our trade policy because they are the backbone and engine of our economy. This also means expanding the table and lifting more voices, especially those of women, youth, the African Diaspora, and communities that have been historically overlooked. This is how we are democratizing economic opportunity and transforming the role of trade in the social contract between our government and our people,” she explained in her speech at the 21st AGOA ministerial meeting held on July 25 in Washington.
These core beliefs are the centrepiece of the trade relationship with Africa—especially AGOA. Washington officials consider AGOA’s success to date as an unshakeable potential for a new era, as a driving force to strengthen trade with Africa. And next, Africa possesses tremendous opportunity and potential. The officials further acknowledged that the world is very different from when AGOA was first enacted 24 years ago. That is why the Biden-Harris Administration not only supports the reauthorization of AGOA but also the strengthening and improvement of it to fit the rapidly changing times.
As one of the strategic steps, AGOA is closely working with the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) Secretariat. Besides that, AGOA is also working on a bilateral basis with many African countries, for instance with Kenya on the Strategic Trade and Investment Partnership. It has a trade collaboration with South Africa. The forward-looking model for engagement with the continent is to make AGOA more inclusive, responsive, and transformative—for all segments of the society. The simple proposition that is to capture, within the context of the geopolitical situation, both the current realities and future possibilities.
The ministerial program featured plenary sessions on the present and future of AGOA and U.S.–Africa trade and investment cooperation, as well as sessions on various topics. It was preceded by a Civil Society and Organized Labor Forum and a Private Sector Forum. It brought together senior government officials from the United States and AGOA-eligible countries, as well as representatives from continental and regional economic organizations, labour, civil society, and the private sector. Under the theme “Beyond 2025: Reimagining AGOA for an Inclusive, Sustainable and Prosperous Tomorrow,” the U.S. delegation underscored the United States’ commitment to the AGOA program and led discussions on a broad range of topics, including using AGOA to drive more inclusive and sustainable economic development for Africans and Americans and further strengthen U.S.-Africa economic relations.
During the AGOA Forum, Ambassador Tai facilitated a session with Members of Congress and African ministers on AGOA reauthorization. She also held bilateral meetings with African Union Trade Commissioner Albert Muchanga; Ghana’s Minister of Trade and Industry Kobina Tahir Hammond; Nigeria’s Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment Dr. Doris Uzoka-Anite; and South Africa’s Minister of Trade, Industry and Competition Parks Tau.
Chief Agricultural Negotiator Ambassador Doug McKalip met with Angola’s Secretary for Economic Affairs Milton Parmédio dos Santos Reis and Mauritius’ Ambassador N. Chedumbarum, Head of the Economic Directorate at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Regional Integration, and International Trade. Assistant U.S. Trade Representative for African Affairs Constance Hamilton met with Rwanda’s Minister of Trade and Industry Dr. Jean-Chrysostome Ngabitsinze and Kenya’s Principal Secretary for Trade Alfred K’Ombudo.
AGOA Forum participants included trade ministers from 32 AGOA-eligible countries. The U.S. delegation included Members of Congress and professional staff from the United States Congress, and senior government officials from the Department of State, the Department of Commerce, the Department of the Treasury, the U.S. Agency for International Development, the Department of Health and Human Services, the Department of Agriculture, the Department of Labor, the Export-Import Bank of the United States, Prosper Africa, the Small Business Administration, the United States Trade and Development Agency, the United States International Development Finance Corporation, the Millennium Challenge Corporation, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, and the National Security Council.
Last November in Johannesburg, South Africa, AGOA held its 20th Forum and sent a powerful reminder about the giant roadmap to integrate the United States’ economic cooperation and trade with the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA). It plans to share common goals and corporate aspirations and to chart a path of transforming and modernizing partnerships.
The Corporate Council on Africa (CCA) expressed extremely optimistic views about the future. It shared an intertwined and inseparable history of America and Africa. This is foundational for the Biden-Harris Administration and it’s foundational for AGOA itself. The American and African companies, the private sector operators, and the African Diaspora that in this next era of AGOA be more transformative, for more people across the continent, and along the way, build a stronger productive and meaningful partnership between the United States and sub-Saharan Africa.
The Corporate Council on Africa (CCA), the leading US business association, focuses solely on connecting business interests in Africa. In 2023, CCA organized a business summit which was a tremendous success in Botswana, southern Africa. The participants – most importantly – private sector corporate executives looked at Africa and the United States in strategic dialogue on the key issues and opportunities driving U.S.-Africa trade, investment, and commercial engagement.
Dr Barbara A. Perkins, Co-Founder and President of the International Black Women’s Public Policy Institute, looked at her organization working to empower Black women from the diaspora, across a lot of different public policy areas, to become leaders. At this point of global development, given the opportunity that there is the necessity to move women professionals, with all of the change in the world, it is a particularly special moment for exploring new pathways and new ways of doing things with the most important partners across Africa. These include women entrepreneurs, and women in politics, and generally to empower them wherever they are and whatever they do – to be an incredibly important part of the program, its enormous economic potential and discover so many common values – in Africa. Worth noting that African partners share a vision around more inclusive, sustainable, durable trade policies that inform economic growth, opportunities, and industrialization.
For three solid working days, the gathering had conversations relating to how to transform the multilateral trading system to benefit more people, particularly underserved communities. It examined various ways to modernize the legislation to the benefit of people across Africa and in America. It further looked at how trade can and must help craft a fairer and more equitable future for Africa – delivering real opportunities across all segments of societies, including women, youth, the African Diaspora, and other underserved groups. The workers and their families. The women business owners. The tech entrepreneurs. Young musicians. Farmers using climate-smart agriculture. And many more. In the practical long-term, AGOA has been a bedrock to improve the livelihoods of so many people.
Over the past few years, African leaders have been advocating for large-scale structural reforms, financial inadequacies and policy approaches by multinational institutions mostly dominated by the United States. The leaders have consistently been arguing for better development finance strategies and questioned the substance of using the U.S. currency. The majority of the leaders expressed support for ‘de-dollarization’ in their external trade operations, and yet gearing to strengthen trade with Europe and the United States.
By design AGOA, for example, is a useful mechanism for improving accessibility to boost trade, competitiveness, connectivity, and productivity. With evolving contradictions and complexities, it is the right moment to capitalize on the available potential capital for accelerating development. Further to that, Africa has to strengthen its foreign revenue sources from markets where the currency has value and is convertible. Therefore, the late July 2024, African ministerial summit was devoted to review thoroughly the benefits of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA).
Some African strategists and research analysts indisputably believe that remittance flows are definitely one of the surest reliable sources of foreign exchange, depending solely on the dollar currency, to support trade. In its latest report in June, the World Bank indicated that, despite the geopolitical uncertainties, instability and challenges, sub-Saharan Africa’s remittance flow reached $54 billion in 2023. Looking ahead for ensuring trade between the United States and Africa therefore requires reviewing measures such as trade policy, trade facilitation, productive capacity, trade-related infrastructure, trade finance, trade information and factor-market integration. President Joe Biden has also created the African Diaspora Advisory Council as part of the presidency. It has been working closely together to deepen and fortify America’s strategic partnerships with the African diaspora in the interests of sustaining meaningful stability between Africa and the United States.
Over the past 24 years, AGOA has made a tangible difference for millions of people in Africa. New jobs. New business opportunities. New hope. AGOA has not only strengthened economic relations with the United States but also has helped create African-led solutions to the region’s challenges. And importantly, AGOA has created a community of policymakers, civil society, and business leaders, dedicated to using this forum to better the lives of everyday people. The program provides duty-free access to the US market for nearly 2,000 products from eligible countries. US imports under AGOA topped $9.7 billion last year.
Remarks by Assistant U.S. Trade Representative for African Affairs, Constance Hamilton, at the closing ceremony emphasized that the United States, as a genuine partner, is partnering for an open and fair society. Partnering for economic empowerment and inclusive prosperity—for all people. Hamilton referred to the US President’s statement. As President Biden said, “In so many ways, Africa is the future—and so when Africa succeeds, the whole world succeeds.” By 2050, one in four people in the entire world will be in Africa. That means what happens in Africa impacts the entire world.
“AGOA has played an instrumental role in realizing this vision. This is why the Biden-Harris Administration is all in on Africa,” he underlined. “We explored barriers that women, youth, MSMEs, and the African Diaspora face in accessing trade and investment opportunities and how we can use the AGOA more effectively to drive inclusive and sustainable economic growth. We explored how to better use the multilateral trading system to benefit more people, particularly underserved communities. We also discussed opportunities to modernize the AGOA program to realize its full potential as a tool for development and regional economic integration. And we discussed how the United States and AGOA partners can collectively create and promote stronger high-standard investment opportunities.”
At this point, it is just important to reiterate that AGOA primarily offers African exporters and agencies to collaborate broadly on exportable goods and services as revenue sources from the United States market. It further emphasizes the importance of enhancing bilateral investments, promoting economic growth, and creating opportunities for local businesses and entrepreneurs across Africa. AGOA, as a gateway for addressing trade and investment obstacles in the continent, is due to be extended until 2041, plus a push to align AGOA closer to the Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement, which would involve opening up the program to North African countries. This was one of the results, among others, which emerged from Washington.
Crafting the future partnership largely depends on the collective efforts by the AGOA statutory U.S. agencies – including State, Treasury, Commerce and USAID – and the entire U.S. government inter-agency, and the private sector, civil society and labour stakeholders, and many other corporate entrepreneurial NGOs affiliated to AGOA. The Biden-Harris Administration is seriously committed to working on new challenges and opportunities for continued success in the coming years to impact positively on real lives across the continent. AGOA remains the cornerstone of the U.S. economic partnership with Africa.
World
TikTok Signs Deal to Avoid US Ban
By Adedapo Adesanya
Social media platform, TikTok’s Chinese owner ByteDance has signed binding agreements with United States and global investors to operate its business in America.
Half of the joint venture will be owned by a group of investors, including Oracle, Silver Lake and the Emirati investment firm MGX, according to a memo sent by chief executive, Mr Shou Zi Chew.
The deal, which is set to close on January 22, 2026 would end years of efforts by the US government to force ByteDance to sell its US operations over national security concerns.
It is in line with a deal unveiled in September, when US President Donald Trump delayed the enforcement of a law that would ban the app unless it was sold.
In the memo, TikTok said the deal will enable “over 170 million Americans to continue discovering a world of endless possibilities as part of a vital global community”.
Under the agreement, ByteDance will retain 19.9 per cent of the business, while Oracle, Silver Lake and Abu Dhabi-based MGX will hold 15 per cent each.
Another 30.1 per cent will be held by affiliates of existing ByteDance investors, according to the memo.
The White House previously said that Oracle, which was co-founded by President Trump’s supporter Larry Ellison, will license TikTok’s recommendation algorithm as part of the deal.
The deal comes after a series of delays.
Business Post reported in April 2024 that the administration of President Joe Biden passed a law to ban the app over national security concerns, unless it was sold.
The law was set to go into effect on January 20, 2025 but was pushed back multiple times by President Trump, while his administration worked out a deal to transfer ownership.
President Trump said in September that he had spoken on the phone to China’s President Xi Jinping, who he said had given the deal the go ahead.
The platform’s future remained unclear after the leaders met face to face in October.
The app’s fate was clouded by ongoing tensions between the two nations on trade and other matters.
World
United States, Russia Resolving Trade Issues, Seeking New Business Opportunities
By Kestér Kenn Klomegâh
Despite the complexities posed by Russia-Ukraine crisis, United States has been taking conscious steps to improve commercial relations with Russia. Unsurprisingly, Russia, on the other hand, is also moving to restore and normalise its diplomacy, negotiating for direct connections of air-routes and passionate permission to return its diplomats back to Washington and New York.
In the latest developments, Kirill Dmitriev, Chief Executive Officer of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF), has been appointed as Russian President’s Special Envoy to United States. This marked an important milestone towards raising bilateral investment and economic cooperation. Russian President Vladimir Putin tasked him to exclusively promote business dialogue between the two countries, and further to negotiate for the return of U.S. business enterprises. According to authentic reports, United States businesses lost $300+ bn during this Russia-Ukraine crisis, while Russia’s estimated 1,500 diplomats were asked to return to Moscow.
Strategically in late November 2025, the American Chamber of Commerce in Russia (AmCham) has awarded Kirill Dmitriev, praised him for calculated efforts in promoting positive dialogue between the United States and Russia within the framework decreed by President Vladimir Putin. Chief Executive Officer of Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) Kirill Dmitriev is the Special Representative of the Russian President for Economic Cooperation with Foreign Countries. Since his appointment, his primary focus has been on United States.
“Received an American Chamber of Commerce award ‘For leadership in fostering the US-Russia dialogue,’” Dmitriev wrote on his X page, in late November, 2025. According to Dmitriev, more than 150 US companies are currently operating in Russia, with more than 70% of them being present on the Russian market for over 25 years.
In addition, Chamber President Sergey Katyrin and American Chamber of Commerce in Russia (AmCham) President Robert Agee have also been discussing alternatives pathways to raise bilateral business cooperation. Both have held series of meetings throughout this year, indicating the the importance of sustaining relations as previously. Expectedly, the Roscongress Foundation has been offered its platforms during St. Petersburg International Economic (SPIEF) for the American Chamber of Commerce (AmCham).
On December 9, Sergey Katyrin and Robert Agee noted that, despite existing problems and non-economic obstacles, the business communities of Russia and the United States proceed from the necessity of maintaining professional dialogue. Despite the worsening geopolitical conditions, Sergey Katyrin and Robert Agee noted the importance of preserving stable channels of trade and pragmatic prospects for economic cooperation. These will further serve as a stabilizing factor and an instrument for building mutual trust at the level of business circles, industry associations, and the expert community.
The American Chamber of Commerce (AmCham) will be working in the system of the Chamber of Commerce and Industry (CCI) in the Russian Federation, which currently comprises 57,000 legal entities, 130 regional chambers and a combined network of representative offices covering more than 350 points of presence.
According to reports obtained by this article author from the AmCham, promising sectors for Russian-American economic cooperation include healthcare and the medical industry, civil aviation, communications/telecom, natural resource extraction, and energy/energy equipment. The United States and Russia have, more or less, agreed to continue coordinating their work to facilitate the formation of a more favorable environment for Russian and American businesses, reduce risks, and strengthen business ties. Following the American-Russian Dialogue, a joint statement and working documents were adopted.
World
Reviewing the Dynamics of Indian–Russian Business Partnership
By Kestér Kenn Klomegâh
The Executive President of the Indian Business Alliance (IBA), Sammy Manoj Kotwani, discusses the landmark moment in deepening Russian-Indian collaboration. Kotwani explains the groundbreaking insights into President Vladimir Putin’s working visit to India, the emerging opportunities and pathways for future cooperation, especially for the two-sided economic collaboration. Follow Sammy Manoj Kotwani’s discussions here:
Interpretation of the latest development in Russian-Indian relations
From my viewpoint in Moscow, this visit has effectively opened a new operational chapter in what has always been described as a “Special and Privileged Strategic Partnership.” It did not just reaffirm political goodwill; it translated that goodwill into a structured economic roadmap through Programme 2030, a clear target to take bilateral trade to around USD 100 billion by 2030, and concrete sectoral priorities: energy, nuclear cooperation, critical minerals, manufacturing, connectivity, fertilizers, and labour mobility.
On the ground, the business community reads this summit as a strong signal that India and Russia are doubling down on strategic autonomy in a multipolar world order. Both sides are trying to de-risk their supply chains and payment systems from over-dependence on any single centre of power. This is visible in the focus on national currencies, alternative payment mechanisms, and efforts to stabilise Rupee–Ruble trade, alongside discussions on a Free Trade Agreement with the Eurasian Economic Union and the reinforcement of corridors like the INSTC and the Chennai–Vladivostok route.
In short, my interpretation is that this summit has moved the relationship from “politically excellent but structurally imbalanced” towards a more diversified, long-term economic framework in which companies are expected to co-produce, co-innovate, and invest, not just trade opportunistically.
Significance of the visit for Indian business in Russia and for the Indian Business Alliance (IBA)
For Indian business operating in the Russian Federation, the visit has three immediate effects: confidence, clarity, and continuity. Confidence, because Indian entrepreneurs now see that despite external pressure, New Delhi and Moscow have explicitly committed to deepening economic engagement—especially in energy, fertilizers, defence co-production, nuclear, and critical minerals—rather than quietly scaling it back.
Clarity, because the summit outcomes spell out where the real opportunities lie:
Energy & Petrochemicals: Long-term crude and LNG supply, but also downstream opportunities in refining, petrochemicals, and logistics, where Indian EPC and service companies can participate.
Pharmaceuticals & Medical Devices: Russia’s import substitution drive makes high-quality Indian generics, formulations, and even localized manufacturing extremely relevant.
IT, Digital & AI: There is growing appetite in Russia for Indian IT services, cybersecurity, and digital solutions that are not dependent on Western tech stacks.
Fertilizers, Agro & Food Processing: New joint ventures in fertilizers and agriculture supply chains were explicitly flagged during and around the summit, which is important for both food security and farm incomes.
Continuity, because the Programme 2030 framework and the expected EAEU FTA give businesses a medium-term policy horizon. Tariff reductions, improved market access and predictable regulation are precisely what Indian SMEs and mid-sized companies need to justify long-term investments in Russia.
For the Indian Business Alliance (IBA), this inevitably means more work and more responsibility. We already see increased incoming requests from Indian firms—from large listed companies to first-time exporters—asking very practical questions: Which Russian region should we enter? How do we navigate compliance under the sanctions environment? Which banks are still handling Rupee–Ruble or third-currency settlements? How can we structure joint ventures to align with Russia’s import substitution goals while protecting IP and governance standards?
IBA’s role, therefore, becomes that of economic diplomacy in action: translating high-level summit language into actual B2B meetings, sectoral delegations, regional partnerships, and deal-making platforms such as the India–Russia Business Dialogue in Moscow. This visit will undoubtedly stimulate and intensify IBA’s work as a bridge between the two ecosystems.
India’s current economic presence in the Russian Federation
If we look beyond the headline trade figures, India’s economic presence in Russia today is significant, but not yet commensurate with its potential. Bilateral trade has grown sharply since 2022, largely on the back of discounted Russian oil and coal, making India one of Russia’s top energy customers. However, the structure is still heavily skewed: Russian exports to India dominate, while Indian exports and investments in Russia remain relatively modest and under-diversified.
On the ground in Moscow and across the regions, we see several strong Indian footholds:
Pharmaceuticals: Indian pharma is well-established, respected for its affordability and quality, and poised to deepen localization in line with Russian import substitution policy.
Tea, Coffee, Spices & Food: Traditional segments with deep historical roots, now expanding into ready-to-eat, wellness, and ethnic food categories.
IT & Services: Still under-represented, but with growing interest as Russian entities look for non-Western software, integration, and outsourcing partners.
Diamonds, Textiles, Apparel, and Light Engineering: Present but fragmented, with enormous room to scale, especially if logistics and payment challenges are addressed.
Where India is still behind is on-the-ground investment and manufacturing presence compared to countries like China. Russian policymakers today are clearly favouring investors who help them achieve technological sovereignty and local value addition. For serious Indian companies willing to commit capital, adapt to Russian standards, and accept the complexities of the current environment, this is a period of unusual opportunity. For purely transactional players looking for quick arbitrage, it is becoming progressively harder.
So, I would characterise India’s economic presence as: strategically important, quickly growing in value, but still under-leveraged in terms of depth, diversification, and localization.
Geopolitical pressure from Washington and future predictions
Pressure from Washington—through sanctions, secondary sanctions risk, financial restrictions, and now even tariff measures linked to India’s energy purchases from Russia—is undoubtedly a real and continuing challenge. It affects everything from shipping insurance and dollar transactions to technology transfers and the risk appetite of global banks. In practical terms, it can complicate even a simple India–Russia trade deal if it touches a sanctioned bank, vessel, or technology.
However, my own assessment, based on 35 years of living and working in Russia, is that this pressure will not fundamentally derail India–Russia friendship, but it will reshape how the relationship functions. India’s foreign policy is anchored in strategic autonomy; it seeks strong ties with the United States and Europe, but not at the cost of abandoning a time-tested partner like Russia. Russia, for its part, sees India as a crucial Asian pole in an emerging multipolar world order and as a long-term market, technology partner, and political counterpart in forums like BRICS, SCO, and the G20.
Looking ahead, I see a few clear trends:
Normalization of alternative payment and logistics systems
We will see more institutionalised use of national currencies, alternative messaging systems, regional banks outside the direct sanctions line, and maybe even digital currencies for specific corridors. Rupee–Ruble trade mechanisms that are today seen as “workarounds” will gradually become part of the normal infrastructure of bilateral commerce.
Shift from pure trade to co-production and joint innovation
To reduce vulnerability to sanctions, both sides will push for manufacturing in India and Russia rather than simple exports: defence co-development, localized pharma and medical devices, high-tech and AI collaborations, and joint ventures in critical minerals and clean energy.
Greater role for regions and business associations
Regional governments in Russia (Far East, Arctic regions, industrial hubs) and Indian states will increasingly drive project-level cooperation, supported by platforms like IBA. This “bottom-up” economic diplomacy will make the relationship more resilient than if it relied only on central governments.
Managed balancing by India
India will continue to deepen technology and investment ties with the West while maintaining energy, defence and strategic cooperation with Russia. The challenge will be to manage U.S. and EU expectations without compromising its core national interests. My prediction is that India will stay firm on this course of balanced engagement, even if it means occasional friction with Washington.
In essence, external pressure may complicate the methods of Indo-Russian cooperation, but it is unlikely to overturn the foundations of trust, mutual interest, and long-term complementarity that have been built over decades.
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