Economy
Oil Prices Steady as US, China Signal Potential Trade Truce
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices held steady on Thursday as investors assessed a potential trade truce between the United States and China after President Donald Trump lowered tariffs on China following a meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in South Korea.
Brent futures rose 8 cents or 0.1 per cent to settle at $65.00 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude appreciated by 9 cents or 0.1 per cent to $60.57 per barrel.
The American president agreed to reduce tariffs on China to 47 per cent from 57 per cent in a one-year deal in exchange for China resuming US soybean purchases, keeping rare earths exports flowing and cracking down on the illicit fentanyl trade.
President Trump added he also discussed the war in Ukraine launched by Russia in February 2022, saying that he and Xi agreed to “work together.”
The meeting appears to have set the stage for a broader dialogue in the coming months, with Mr Trump saying that he plans to visit China in April and that a tentative trade deal could be signed soon.
Investors see the announced agreement between the world’s two largest economies as more of a de-escalation of tension than a structural change in the relationship.
Support also came as the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates on Wednesday by a further 25 basis points, in line with market expectations.
The Chairman of the US central bank Mr Jerome Powell’s comments after the meeting struck a note of caution on what lies ahead, signalling that it might be the last cut of the year as the ongoing government shutdown threatens data availability.
Meanwhile, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged.
The euro zone economy grew a touch more quickly than expected in the third quarter, lifted by buoyant growth in France and Spain that more than offset faltering exports and persistent struggles in Germany’s oversized industrial sector.
There are expectations that the oil market is headed for a large surplus, with the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) group raising output and US production at record levels. The 22-member OPEC alliance may make an additional 137,000 barrels per day output boost.
Economy
Terrahaptix Secures Additional $22m from Investors, Valuation Hits $100m
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigerian defence technology startup, Terra Industries, has extended its funding round to $34 million after securing an additional $22 million from investors, making it a $100 million company.
The new capital round was led by venture firm Lux Capital, with injections from the chief executive officer of Lagos-based unicorn Flutterwave, Mr Gbenga Agboola, as well as angel investors such as American actor Jared Leto and Jordan Nel.
The company said in a statement on Monday that the round was completed in under two weeks.
This comes weeks after it raised $11.75 million in January. That funding round was led by 8VC founded by the co-founder of Palantir Technologies Inc., Mr Joe Lonsdale. Other investors included Valor Equity Partners, Lux Capital, SV Angel, Leblon Capital GmbH, Silent Ventures LLC, Nova Global and angel investors, including Mr Meyer Malka — the managing partner of Ribbit Capital.
Some of the investors in the new round included 8VC, Nova Global, Silent Ventures, Belief Capital, Tofino Capital, and Resilience17 Capital, founded by Flutterwave CEO.
Terrahaptix, founded by Mr Nathan Nwachukwu and Mr Maxwell Maduka, will use the new funding to expand Terra’s manufacturing capacity as it expands into cross-border security and counter-terrorism.
The extension also comes amid growing international expansion. Earlier this month, Terra announced a partnership with Saudi industrial giant AIC Steel to launch a manufacturing hub in Saudi Arabia focused on producing infrastructure security systems.
In the coming weeks, the company also plans to unveil a mega factory, an indication of the company’s growth and importance, particularly as the need for security has risen in recent years, as groups such as Islamic State and al-Qaeda are gaining ground in Africa, converging along a swathe of territory that stretches from Mali to Nigeria.
According to Mr Nwachuku, the initial $11.75 million raise created significant momentum for the company, enabling it to close the additional $22 million in just under two weeks.
He added that beyond capital, the investors were selected for their experience building similar hard-tech and defence-focused companies.
Economy
Analysts Predict 18% Inflation Rate for January 2026
By Adedapo Adesanya
Analysts have projected that Nigeria’s headline inflation could rise to about 18 per cent in January, defying the downward trend recorded in 2025.
The forecast comes ahead of the first Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of 2026 due on Monday.
Headline inflation closed December at 15.15 per cent year-on-year, while the annual average eased sharply to 23.33 per cent from 33.18 per cent in 2024.
According to analysts at Cowry Research, the recent CPI normalisation has created a lower base for January comparisons, making a temporary uptick in headline inflation likely in January and possibly February. It projects inflation to trend within the 17.8 per cent to 18.7 per cent range in 2026, driven by election-related spending pressures and fading base effects, even as structural reforms support a medium-term disinflation path.
Similarly, analysts at Quest Merchant Bank said the lower base effect could push January inflation to around 18 per cent to 19 per cent. They, however, expect inflation to resume a broadly disinflationary trajectory over the course of the year, supported by softer energy prices, stable exchange rate conditions and easing food costs.
Last year’s deceleration was driven largely by base effects after the stats office normalised its CPI computation methodology. Unlike previous rebasing exercises that used a single month as the base period, the agency calculated the base using the average of all months in 2024. The rebasing also involved reweighting several categories and expanding the inflation basket to 934 items from 740.
In December alone, the NBS published two separate inflation figures for December after the CPI methodology tweaking caused the headline rate to more than double.
Nigeria’s inflation data are closely monitored by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) as it transitions toward an inflation-targeting monetary policy framework.
The CBN has already factored in the CPI rebasing and related computational issues in its three-year inflation forecast.
The apex bank is targeting a slowdown in inflation to around 13 per cent by next year, despite current price pressures and statistical adjustments.
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will meet next week, and today’s inflation report will form the basis for whether there will be a cut or hold in the interest rates.
Economy
Deap Capital, Access Holdings, Zenith Bank Lead Activity Chart
By Dipo Olowookere
The trio of Deap Capital Management & Trust, Access Holdings, and Zenith Bank led the activity chart of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited last week.
In the five-day trading week, Customs Street posted a total turnover of 4.652 billion shares worth N193.326 billion in 286,751 deals compared with the 3.860 billion shares valued at N128.581 billion traded in 240,463 deals a week earlier.
According to data, financial services equities dominated the activity chart with 2.782 billion units sold for N74.063 billion in 104,325 deals, contributing 59.81 per cent and 38.31 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.
Services stocks recorded the sale of 573.189 million units worth N7.177 billion in 28,784 deals, and consumer goods shares exchanged 317.667 million units valued at N24.027 billion in 33,280 deals.
Deap Capital, Access Holdings, and Zenith Bank accounted for 980.253 million shares worth N30.182 billion in 25,390 deals, contributing 21.07 per cent and 15.61 per cent to the total trading volume and value apiece.
Business Post reports that 79 equities appreciated versus 71 equities in the previous week, as 27 stocks depreciated versus 35 stocks in the previous week, while 42 shares closed flat, the same as the previous week.
Zichis was the best-performing stock after it gained 60.71 per cent to trade at N10.80, Union Dicon appreciated by 60.15 per cent to N20.90, DAAR Communications grew by 55.26 per cent to N2.95, Fortis Global Insurance rose by 50.00 per cent to 39 Kobo, and John Holt grew by 45.21 per cent to N10.60.
On the flip side, Abbey Mortgage Bank lost 26.42 per cent to quote at N11.00, Sovereign Trust Insurance shrank by 17.16 per cent to N2.80, Ecobank declined by 13.29 per cent to N45.00, SAHCO went down by 11.59 per cent to N135.00, and Austin Laz depleted by 11.11 per cent to N4.80.
Last week, the All-Share Index (ASI) and the market capitalisation appreciated by 6.16 per cent to 182,313.08 points and N117.027 trillion, respectively.
In the same vein, all other indices finished higher with the exception of the sovereign bond index, which fell by 0.01 per cent.
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