Economy
More Woes for Nigeria as OPEC Sees Worsening Oil Demand
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria and other oil-dependent economies are facing a worsening situation as it appears that oil demand won’t see any improvement anytime soon.
This is based on a new report from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which downwardly revised global oil demand to an average of 90.2 million barrels per day in 2020.
The oil cartel in a report released on Monday said this was caused by a weaker-than-expected recovery in India and other Asian countries, and warned that risks remain “elevated and skewed to the downside” for the first half of next year.
The new downsizing indicates a 400,000 barrels per day difference from the previous month’s estimate and reflects a contraction of 9.5 million barrels daily year-on-year.
The outlook came as the market becomes increasingly concerned about a faltering economic recovery and stumbling fuel demand caused by the coronavirus pandemic.
The group revised oil demand in Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries up by around 100,000 barrels per day due to less-than-expected declines in all sub-regions during the second quarter.
However, oil demand was revised down by 500,000 barrels per day in the non-OECD region due to weaker oil demand performance in Asia, particularly in India.
Looking ahead, OPEC said the negative impact on oil demand in Asia was expected to persist through the first six months of 2021. It sees consumption rising by 6.62 million barrels a day, which is 370,000 barrels per day less than expected last month.
This is coming when oil prices have shelved more than 40 per cent since the beginning of the year when prices hit $70 per barrel.
OPEC and its allies are expected to hold an online monitoring meeting on Thursday to assess whether the huge output cuts being implemented are still serving the purpose with which they were implemented or if there will be a need to start making new considerations.
In Nigeria’s case, additional cuts won’t help the situation on the ground as crude, which accounts for 90 per cent of foreign exchange earnings, will be furthered impacted as the country’s debt has piled higher due to borrowings to augment revenue for this year’s budget spending.
Economy
Nigerian Stocks Gain 0.82% as Investors Embrace Santa Claus Rally
By Dipo Olowookere
Christmas came early for the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited as it extended its positive run on Tuesday with a 0.82 per cent growth.
The last trading session before Christmas was bullish as investors embraced Santa Claus rally, mopping up shares with sound fundamentals across the key sectors of the bourse.
During the session, the insurance index appreciated by 1.49 per cent, the banking space expanded by 0.98 per cent, the consumer goods counter improved by 0.49 per cent, the industrial goods counter gained 0.15 per cent and the energy sector jumped by 0.14 per cent.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 829.88 points to 102,186.03 points from 101,356.15 points and the market capitalisation grew by N503 billion to N61.944 trillion from N61.441 trillion.
MRS Oil gained 10.00 per cent to trade at N217.80, Ikeja Hotel improved by 9.95 per cent to N11.05, Multiverse advanced by 9.90 per cent to N5.55, SAHCO rose by 9.84 per cent to N30.70, and John Holt increased by 9.69 per cent to N6.45.
Conversely, Thomas Wyatt shed 10.00 per cent to quote at N1.71, Caverton shrank by 7.35 per cent to N2.27, Coronation Insurance declined by 5.03 per cent to N1.70, Haldane McCall slipped by 5.00 per cent to N4.75, and Livestock Feeds moderated by 5.00 per cent to N3.80.
When the market ended for the session to resume on Friday, 37 stocks were on the gainers’ chart and 21 stocks were on the losers’ table, representing a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.
A total of 431.8 million shares worth N18.3 billion in 8,369 deals during the session compared with the 503.2 million shares valued at N16.3 billion in 12,490 deals, indicating a rise in the trading value by 12.27 per cent and a decline in the trading volume and number of deals by 14.19 per cent and 32.99 per cent, respectively.
The busiest equity for the session was UBA with 51.2 million units valued at N1.9 billion, Universal Insurance exchanged 49.6 million units for N25.1 million, C&I Leasing transacted 37.2 million units worth N134.0 million, Dangote Cement traded 34.3 million units worth N11.1 billion, and GTCO sold 17.4 million units valued at N1.0 billion.
Economy
NASD OTC Securities Exchange Gains 0.06% in Christmas Eve Session
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange recorded a 0.06 per cent gain on Tuesday, December 24, with the market capitalisation increasing by N620 million to close at N1.032 trillion compared with the N1.031 trillion it ended a day earlier.
Business Post reports that the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) added 1.81 points to wrap the session at 3,011.59 points compared with 3,009.78 points recorded in the previous session.
The expansion recorded by the alternative stock exchange was triggered by Geo-Fluids Plc, which grew its price by 41 Kobo to N4.61 per unit from N4.20 per unit.
However, the price of UBN Property Plc went down by 20 Kobo at the Christmas Eve session to finish at N1.80 per share, in contrast to the N2.00 per share it ended a day earlier.
Yesterday, the market participants completed eight deals compared with the 31 deals carried out in the preceding trading session, representing a decline of 74.2 per cent.
In the same vein, the volume of securities traded in the session shrank by 38.9 per cent to 5.3 million units from the 8.3 million units recorded in the previous trading day, as the value of transactions decreased by 40.0 per cent to N23.8 million from N39.6 million.
At the close of business, Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units sold for N4.0 billion, Okitipupa Plc came next with 752.4 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc occupied the third position with 297.7 million units worth N5.3 million.
Also, Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units worth N89.2 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.4 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.7 million units sold for N5.3 billion.
The market will be closed for two days – December 25 and 26 – to mark the Christmas holidays and trading will resume on Friday, December 27.
Economy
Naira Depreciates to N1,540/$1 at Official Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
The value of the Naira witnessed a depreciation of 0.07 per cent or N1.10 against the US Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) on Tuesday, December 24.
Data showed that the exchange rate of the local currency to its American counterpart closed on Christmas Eve at N1,540.65/$1, in contrast to the N1,539.55/$1 it was traded on Monday.
Similarly, the domestic currency weakened against the Pound Sterling in the official market yesterday by N7.44 to sell for N1,954.07/£1 compared with the previous day’s value of N1,946.63/£1 and against the Euro, it lost N3.16 to settle at N1,614.89/€1 versus the preceding day’s N1,611.73/€1.
Market analysts noted that the access of Bureaux de Change (BDCs) to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s-backed Electronic Foreign Exchange Matching System (EFEMS) platform has continued to keep a lid on the rates.
Also, increased December activity through the influx of tourists has helped strengthen the demand for the local currency.
In the black market on Tuesday, the Nigerian Naira appreciated against the greenback by N5 to sell at N1,650/$1 compared with the N1,655/$1 it was transacted a day earlier.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market experienced a Santa rally during the trading session, with Bitcoin (BTC) rising by 4.1 per cent to quote at $98,152.89, and Dogecoin (DOGE) growing by 3.4 per cent to sell at $0.3327.
Further, Solana (SOL) jumped by 3.1 per cent to trade at $198.50, Ethereum (ETH) improved its value by 2.8 per cent to close at $3,498.25, Binance Coin (BNB) went up by 2.2 per cent to settle at $703.87, Cardano (ADA) rose by 2.1 per cent to finish at $0.9208, Ripple (XRP) expanded by 1.8 per cent to end the day at $2.29, and Litecoin (LTC) recorded a 1.7 per cent rise to trade at $108.44, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.
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