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Global Oil Demand to Rise 1.7mbpd in 2022—IEA

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Worsening Oil Demand

By Adedapo Adesanya

Global oil demand is expected to rise by 1.7 million barrels per day this year compared to 2021.

In its latest Oil Market Report (OMR), the International Energy Agency (IEA) revised downward the trend by 100,000 barrels per day.

The Paris-based agency said its demand growth estimate will be supported by high prices, which will weigh on consumption.

“Higher prices and a deteriorating economic environment have started to take their toll on oil demand, but strong power generation use and a recovery in China are providing a partial offset,” it stated.

Total global oil demand is expected to average 99.2 million barrels per day in 2022, up by 1.7 million barrels per day compared to 2021, the IEA said in its July forecast.

In June, the agency had expected annual growth of 1.8 million barrels per day in oil demand for 2022. A month ago, the IEA saw 2023 demand rising further by 2.2 million barrels per day to a record 101.6 million barrels per day.

The latest report downgrades the forecast by 100,000 barrels per day to an expected increase of 2.1 million barrels per day next year.

Demand growth in 2023 is set to be driven by a strong growth trend in developing economies, the agency said.

However, the IEA warned that “rarely has the outlook for oil markets been more uncertain.”

“For now, weaker-than-expected oil demand growth in advanced economies and resilient Russian supply has loosened headline balances,” according to the agency.

High fuel prices have already started to dent oil consumption in the OECD, but this was largely offset by a stronger-than-expected demand rebound in emerging and developing economies led by China, the IEA said.

While oil market sentiment has materially deteriorated since June amid expectations of economic slowdown and fears of recession, “price premiums for physical barrels widened on rising seasonal demand for both crude and products while supply remains constrained,” the agency noted.

“As an EU embargo on Russian oil is set to come into full force at the end of the year, the oil market may tighten once again. With readily available spare capacity running low in both the upstream and downstream, it may be up to demand-side measures to bring down consumption and fuel costs that pose a threat to stability, most notably in emerging markets,” said the IEA.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

NGX All-Share Index Outperforms Inflation Over Three Years

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All-Share Index

The 3-year trailing performance of the All-Share Index (ASI) of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited surpasses the average inflation during the same period.

The annual inflation measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) released in September by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) was 20.52 per cent in August 2022.

Meanwhile, the NGX ASI, a market capitalisation weighted index of all companies listed on the NGX’s platform, had a year-to-date performance of 15.68 per cent during the same period. This could be misleading about the market performance until you view it through a longer-term lens.

British Economist, Benjamin Graham, made a quote popularly used by Warren Buffett, the Fund Manager of Berkshire Hathaway Inc and widely regarded as the best living investor: “Markets are a voting machine in the short term, and a weighing machine in the long run.” On a 3-year trailing basis, the NGX ASI has outperformed the CPI average in the same period, ensuring that investors with a longer-term hold on their investments remain in the positive region.

Analysis of data of closing prices gathered from the NGX’s website showed that the index has a 3-year moving average of 22.97 per cent, compared to an inflation average of 15.72 per cent.

The year 2022 has been a slow year for global stocks due to volatility resulting from the hiking of interest rates by central banks in the United States and Europe amidst inflationary pressures.

The NGX ASI’s 15.62% YTD return is a significant positive performance compared to the US S&P 500, which has plunged by 22.46% or the FTSE 100, which has declined by 7.68%, according to Google Finance. The local bourse has exhibited resilience and insulated investors from negative return on investment over three years.

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Economy

Laolu Martins Was Minority Shareholder of Bukka Hut—Management

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Bukka Hut Laolu Martins

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The management of an online restaurant in Nigeria, Bukka Hut, has clarified that one of its late directors, Mr Laolu Martins, was a minority shareholder in the company.

On Wednesday, it was reported that the deceased breathed his last in Lagos. He was said to have co-founded the firm with Mr Rasheed Jaiyeola, who is the Chief Executive Officer.

The deceased was reportedly invited to join the firm by Mr Jaiyeola, who jointly owns majority shares of the company with his wife and sister.

Mr Jaiyeola and Mr Martins were co-owners of the Nigerian International Securities Limited (NISL) before the former resigned from his position as director to focus on Bukka Hut in 2016.

According to the statement from the organisation, Mr Jaiyeola established Bukka Hut but only invited the deceased and two others to invest in the eatery when it was established.

“To clarify, Rasheed Jaiyeola is the founder/CEO of Bukka Hut, a proudly Nigerian brand he built from inception in August 2011 from one outlet to 24 outlets comprising of restaurants, lounges and suya and grill spots, and a learning facility, BH Academy, as at today. He jointly owns the majority shares of the company with his wife and sister.

“Bukka Hut is not a one-man business as there are two other shareholders/directors, but they are not involved in the daily management of the business.

“Rasheed and the late Olaolu Martins were co-owners of Nigerian International Securities Lid (NISL), and naturally, Laolu was one of the three people he invited to invest in Bukka Hut when he founded it in 2011; Rasheed resigned from NISL as a director in 2016 to focus solely on building Bukka Hut while Olaolu remained the MD/CEO of NISL and its related businesses,” the statement explained.

Mr Martins was reported to have died from suicide, but fresh information revealed that he slumped at Lenox Mall after a cardiac arrest and was taken to a hospital in Lekki, where he passed on.

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Economy

Usman Laments Nigeria, Saudi Arabia Trade Volume of $5m

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trade volume of $5m

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The president of the newly-establishment Nigeria-Saudi Arabia Chamber of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture, Mr Ibrahim Usman, has lamented the low trade volume between both countries despite their historical relationship.

Mr Usman expressed this frustration when he visited the Minister of Information and Culture, Mr Lai Mohammed, at his office in Abuja.

He said at the moment, the trade volume between Nigeria and Saudi Arabia is about $5 million, promising to deepen the relations between the two countries.

“And whereas many Saudi investors are looking out for profitable investment windows in friendly countries like Nigeria, our businesses have been unable to capitalise on such opportunities due to lack of an organised, reliable, safe and very secure private sector platform like a chamber of commerce,” he said.

Mr Usman said a 60-member inter-ministerial delegation from Saudi Arabia will be in Nigeria next week for the second session of the Nigeria-Saudi Arabia Joint Commission, which will further create opportunities for the chamber to set up trade missions.

On his part, Mr Mohammed praised his guest for his effort to establish the organisation after over 10 years of trial, saying he has proven himself as a man of vision and deep conviction.

“Clearly from your presentation, it’s clear that the major objective is to change the narrative and ensure that the relations between Saudi Arabia and Nigeria should not be seen just from the narrow prism of Hajj and Umrah pilgrimage, but from the prism of two very important nations of the world creating a bridge through better cooperation for the two countries and their citizens,” the Minister said.

Mr Mohammed described the chamber as a clearing house for proposals from business people from the two countries in order to open new vistas for trade opportunities.

He said the absence of such a chamber has led to the decline in the volume of trade and also bred trust deficit between business people from the two countries.

“The absence of this vehicle has led to loss of businesses between the two countries and it has also aggravated the trust deficit between them,” he said.

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