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Economy

Expectations from US Presidential Election Lift Oil Market

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global oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil futures finished higher, gaining more than three per cent on Monday after a deep plunge last week as investors regained confidence ahead of the United States’ presidential election on Tuesday.

Yesterday, the Brent crude oil went up by 3.22 per cent or $1.22 to $39.16 per barrel while the United States’ futures, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, appreciated by 3.3 per cent or $1.18 to $36.97 a barrel.

The oil market had been under pressure in recent days, hit by concerns about weaker fuel demand as several European countries went into lockdown to curb the coronavirus, worsened by rising cases in the US.

President Donald Trump goes head-to-head against Democratic candidate, Mr Joe Biden, in the election, which has spiked concerns nationwide about disruptions and protests that could come from the results.

According to reports, while the talk of a coronavirus stimulus package had stalled between the Democrat-controlled House of Representatives and the White House, Mr Biden plans to unleash a large government spending programme to combat the effects of coronavirus on the world’s biggest economy.

Although the concerns of weakened demand and oil supply remain the major driver in the long term, the outcome of the election could be crucial to prices in the next few days.

But on Monday, signals that a key ally of the oil cabal, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), is in discussions about possibly postponing the group’s planned output hike in January, helped prices of the commodity to rise.

Russian oil companies and Energy Minister, Mr Alexander Novak, discussed the possibility of delaying a planned OPEC+ output increase which indicates that the group won’t add more supply than the market can absorb due to affected demand over renewed lockdowns in Europe.

Countries across Europe including France, Germany, Portugal, the United Kingdom among others have reimposed lockdown measures to try to slow COVID-19 infection rates that have accelerated over the past month.

OPEC+ is now facing an increasingly complicated decision on whether to add more supply to the market when the group meets at the end of the month. The second wave of the virus around the world could push global oil demand to as low 88 to 89 million barrels a day, more than 10 per cent from 2019 levels, according to analysts.

Supply developments in Libya will also raise the possibility that the OPEC+ group will consider a delay to the taper of its planned voluntary output cuts.

OPEC and allies including Russia are cutting output by about 7.7 million bpd to support prices. This OPEC+ group is scheduled to hold a policy meeting on November 30 and December 1, with some analysts expecting a postponement of plans to ramp up output by 2 million barrels daily from January.

Libyan supply stands at about 800,000 barrels per day up more than 100,000 barrels per day and slowly moving closer to a full daily capacity of 1.2 million barrels.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

FG Move to Fix Nigeria’s Fiscal Data Discrepancies

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wale edun finance minister

By Adedapo Adesanya

The federal government is looking to remedy discrepancies in fiscal data across government institutions, which have affected Nigeria’s credit ratings and borrowing capacity.

This came as the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, has spearheaded a high-level Fiscal Data Harmonisation Meeting (FDHM).

The meeting was part of a bold move to revolutionize Nigeria’s economic landscape, marking a significant milestone in the country’s quest for economic stability and transparency.

The meeting which was held in his office in Abuja, brought together key stakeholders, including the Honourable Minister of State for Finance, Mrs Doris Uzoka-Anite; the Accountant General of the Federation, Mr Shamsedeen Babatunde Ogunjimi; and the Director General of the Budget Office, Mr Tanimu Yakubu.

Mr Edun emphasised the need for synergy between agencies such as the Budget Office, the Accountant General’s Office, and the Debt Management Office (DMO).

“Delivering accurate and comprehensive fiscal data is critical to economic stability and investor confidence,” he stated.

According to a statement, attendees agreed on the establishment of a Fiscal Data Coordination Framework, which includes a main committee, a subcommittee, and technical teams dedicated to standardising fiscal reporting methodologies and economic assumptions.

Mr Edun reaffirmed that Nigeria must take ownership of its fiscal data credibility, reducing dependence on external institutions.

The meeting concluded with a firm commitment to implementing the framework, reinforcing transparency, strengthening investor confidence, and enhancing Nigeria’s economic outlook.

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Economy

Senate Blocks Sale of Lafarge to Chinese Investors

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Lafarge Africa

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Senate has directed the Bureau of Public Procurement (BPP) to halt the planned sale of Lafarge Africa to Chinese cement maker, Huaxin Cement.

The legislators made the move on national security and economic sovereignty grounds.

“The Senate notes that discussions are underway regarding the divestment of Lafarge Cement Plc, with reports indicating potential Chinese investors. This has sparked concerns over the possibility of foreign dominance in a key sector of the Nigerian economy,” the motion stated.

It further observed that Holcim AG, the majority shareholder, is planning to offload its 83.8 per cent stake in Lafarge Africa to Huaxin Cement Co., a Chinese cement manufacturer.

The $1 billion deal is expected to be finalized in 2025, pending regulatory approval.

“The cement manufacturing industry is vital to national security due to its role in infrastructure projects, including roads, bridges, housing, and public works,” the motion continued.

“Excessive foreign control in this sector could pose risks to Nigeria’s economic sovereignty and security interests.”

Some of the senators who backed the call included Mr Shuaib Afolabi Salisu, who said, “We cannot afford to wake up one day and realise that our cement industry, one of the backbones of our economy, is entirely in foreign hands. We must ensure that strategic assets like Lafarge Africa remain in the hands of those who have the country’s best interests at heart.”

On his part, Mr Olamilekan Adeola said, “The company is about to be divested and the transaction has been shrouded in secrecy. What the motion is simply asking for is that we want this transaction to be as transparent as possible. By the time the eventual sale of this company is done, we will be fully satisfied that Nigeria’s economy will be protected.”

Concerns have reportedly been raised that the deal could lead to capital flight, job losses and reduced regulatory oversight over a sector vital to national development.

Mr Jimoh Ibrahim cautioned against using the Senate to obstruct the federal government’s efforts to attract foreign investment.

He argued that investors should not feel restricted when they decide to exit or divest from their holdings.

His sentiment was echoed by Mr Sunday Karimi, advising against any legislative action that might hinder the sale.

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Economy

NASD OTC Exchange Crashes 0.14% as Five Stocks Decline

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Five stocks kept the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange in the negative territory by 0.14 per cent on Thursday, March 27.

When the alternative stock exchange ended trading activities for the day, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) was down by 4.70 points to 3,310.51 points from the previous trading day’s 3,315.21 points.

In the same vein, the market capitalisation of the bourse fell further by N2.72 billion at session to settle at N1.912 trillion compared with the preceding day’s N1.914 trillion.

The volume of securities traded at the bourse yesterday rose by 2,272.7 per cent to 712,439 units from the 30,026 units recorded on Wednesday just as the value of securities traded went up by 728.2 per cent to N30.5 million from the N3.7 million quoted at the preceding session, with the number of deals executed at the Thursday session increasing by 253.9 per cent to 46 deals from 13 deals.

Okitipupa Plc lost N16.00 to sell at N240.50 per unit versus Wednesday’s value of N256.50 per unit, Afriland Properties Plc dropped 58 Kobo to trade at N18.92 per share compared with the previous day’s N19.50 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc depreciated by 27 Kobo to N36.73 per unit from N37.00 per unit, Geo-Fluids Plc crashed by 15 Kobo to trade at N2.50 per share versus N2.65 per share and Food Concepts Plc fell by 5 Kobo to N1.30 per unit from N1.35 per unit.

On the flip side, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc improved by N1.68 to N25.21 per share from N23.53 per share and Nipco Plc gained 70 Kobo to settle at N200.50 per unit, in contrast to the previous rate of N199.80 per unit.

FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc became the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 13.7 million units valued at N528.90 million, Impresit Bakolori Plc followed with 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, and Afriland Properties Plc with 17.8 million units valued at N364.2 million.

However, Impresit Bakolori Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million followed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 70.0 million units worth N23.8 million and Geo-Fluids Plc with 44.0 million units valued at N89.0 million.

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