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Economy

CBN Likely to Retain Interest Rate at 27.50% as MPC Meeting Begins

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Cardoso MPC meeting

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) will likely maintain its key rate at 27.50 per cent for a second successive meeting amid cooling inflation.

Inflation cooled to 23.71 per cent in April 2025, according to the latest report by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

Members of the committee started their meeting in Abuja today, Monday, May 19, 2025, and the outcome will be announced by the Governor of the apex bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, on Tuesday.

At 23.71 per cent, the inflation levels remain elevated and strains on the Naira have only recently abated after an initial selloff in April caused by a slump in the price of oil, the country’s main export.

The World Bank had recently projected that Nigeria’s inflation may moderate to 22.1 per cent, higher than the 15 per cent targeted by the Bola Tinubu-led administration.

Despite this, market analysts expect that the MPC may choose to hold the rate steady to allow for more slowing of inflation, which was only rebased in January 2025.

Nigeria will likely join Zambia, Angola and Ghana to leave theirs at current levels and may start easing in the second half of the year as disinflation gathers pace. Others key African economies like Egypt, South Africa, and Mozambique, are expected to cut their rates this month.

According to Bloomberg, Nigeria may see “some room for the CBN to cut rates” in the second half of the year as disinflation is expected, citing Mr Gbolahan Taiwo, an analyst at JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s in a client note.

The MPC meeting will be the first rate-setting meeting since the US imposed a 10 per cent universal tariff and slapped China, Africa’s largest trading partner — with a 145 per cent levy before reducing it to 30 per cent for 90 days.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in April downgraded its 2025 economic growth forecasts for Nigeria to 3.0 per cent in 2025 amid global uncertainty.

The global lender cited “lower external demand, subdued commodity prices, and tighter financial conditions, with more significant downgrades for commodity exporters and countries with larger trade exposures to the US,” as major threats to Nigeria and other African countries’ growth this year.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

LIRS Shifts Deadline for Annual Returns Filing to February 7

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Annual Tax Returns

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The deadline for filing of employers’ annual tax returns in Lagos State has been extended by one week from February 1 to 7, 2026.

This information was revealed in a statement signed by the Head of Corporate Communications of the Lagos State Internal Revenue Service (LIRS), Mrs Monsurat Amasa-Oyelude.

In the statement issued over the weekend, the chairman of the tax collecting organisation, Mr Ayodele Subair, explained that the statutory deadline for filing of employers’ annual tax returns is January 31, every year, noting that the extension is intended to provide employers with additional time to complete and submit accurate tax returns.

According to him, employers must give priority to the timely filing of their annual returns, noting that compliance should be embedded as a routine business practice.

He also reiterated that electronic filing through the LIRS eTax platform remains the only approved method for submitting annual returns, as manual filings have been completely phased out. Employers are therefore required to file their returns exclusively through the LIRS eTax portal: https://etax.lirs.net.

Describing the platform as secure, user-friendly, and accessible 24/7, Mr Subair advised employers to ensure that the Tax ID (Tax Identification Number) of all employees is correctly captured in their submissions.

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Economy

Airtel on Track to List Mobile Money Unit in First Half of 2026—Taldar

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Airtel Money

By Adedapo Adesanya 

The chief executive of Airtel Africa Plc, Mr Sunil Kumar Taldar, has disclosed that the company is still on track to list its mobile money business, Airtel Money, before the end of June 2026.

Recall that Business Post reported in March 2024 that the mobile network operator was considering selling the shares of Airtel Money to the public through the IPO vehicle in a transaction expected to raise about $4 billion.

The firm had been in talks with possible advisors for a planned listing of the shares from the initial public offer on a stock exchange with some options including London, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), or Europe.

However, so far no final decisions have been made regarding the timing, location, or scale of the IPO.

In September 2025, the telco reportedly picked Citigroup Incorporated as advisors for the planned IPO which will see Airtel Money become a standalone entity before it can attain the prestige of trading on a stock exchange.

Mr Taldar, noted that metrics continued to show improvements ahead of the listing with its customer base hitting 52 million, compared to around 44.6 million users it had as of June 2025.

He added that the subsidiary processed over $210 billion in a year, according to the company’s nine-month financial results released on Friday.

“Our push to enhance financial inclusion across the continent continues to gain momentum with our Mobile Money customer base expanding to 52 million, surpassing the 50 million milestone. Annualised total processed value of over $210 billion in Q3’26 underscores the depth of our merchants, agents, and partner ecosystem and remains a key player in driving improved access to financial services across Africa.

“We remain on track for the listing of Airtel Money in the first half of 2026,” Mr Taldar said.

Estimating Airtel Money at $4 billion is higher than its valuation of $2.65 billion in 2021. In 2021, Airtel Money received significant investments, including $200 million from TPG Incorporated at a valuation of $2.65 billion and $100 million from Mastercard. Later that same year, an affiliate of Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund also acquired an undisclosed stake in the unit.

The mobile money sector in Africa is expanding rapidly, driven by a young population increasingly adopting technology for financial services, making the continent a key market for fintech companies.

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Economy

Crypto Investor Bamu Gift Wandji of Polyfarm in EFCC Custody

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Bamu Gift Wandji of Polyfarm

By Dipo Olowookere

A cryptocurrency investor and owner of Polyfarm, Mr Bamu Gift Wandji, is currently cooling off in the custody of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC).

He was handed over to the anti-money laundering agency by the Nigerian Security and Civil Defence Corps (NSCDC) on Friday, January 30, 2026, after his arrest on Monday, January 12, 2026.

A statement from the EFCC yesterday disclosed that the suspect was apprehended by the NSCDC in Gwagwalada, Abuja for running an investment scheme without the authorisation of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which is the apex capital market regulator in Nigeria.

It was claimed that Mr Wandji created a fraudulent crypto investment platform called Polyfarm, where he allegedly lured innocent Nigerians to invest in Polygon, a crypto token that attracts high returns.

Investigation further revealed that he also deceived the public that his project, Polyfarm, has its native token called “polyfarm coin” which he sold to the public.

In his bid to promote the scheme, the suspect posted about this on social media platforms, including WhatsApp, X (formally Twitter) and Telegram. He also conducted seminars in some major cities in Nigeria including Kaduna, Lagos, Port Harcourt and Abuja where he described the scheme as a life-changing programme.

Further investigation revealed that in October, 2025, subscribers who could not access their funds were informed by the suspect that the site was attacked by Lazarus group, a cyber attacking group linked to North Korea.

Further investigations showed that Polyfarm is not registered and not licensed with SEC to carry out crypto transactions in Nigeria.  Also, no investment happened with subscribers’ funds and that the suspect used funds paid by subscribers to pay others in the name of profit.

Investigation also revealed that native coin, polyfarm coin was never listed on coin market cap and that the suspect sold worthless coins to the general public.

Contrary to the claim of the suspect that his platform was attacked, EFCC’s investigations revealed that the platform was never attacked or hacked by anyone and that the suspect withdrew investors’ funds and utilized the same for his personal gains.

The EFCC, in the statement, disclosed that Mr Wandji would be charged to court upon conclusion of investigations.

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