Economy
Research Shows 80% of Forex Advice on TikTok May be Misleading
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
A new study conducted by forex broker experts at BrokerChooser has revealed that 80 per cent of advice relating to FX trading by some financial influencers, fondly called fin-fluencers, on TikTok, could be misleading, putting their audience at risk of losing their hard-earned money.
In the research, about 33 per cent of traders said they have been influenced by fin-fluencers to make trading decisions, with 49 per cent of consumers depending on fin-fluencer recommendations.
The experts analysed 100 of the best performing TikTok videos across a range of forex topics to uncover the scale of misinformation. What they uncovered was alarming—from a major lack of disclaimers to a high volume of videos focused solely on flaunting wealth and lifestyle, with little to no trading context.
It was discovered that only 6 per cent of forex advice on TikTok encouraged viewers to do their research, and of the top-performing videos, 60 per cent of content came from male fin-fluencers, 35 per cent from female fin-fluencers and 5 per cent came from unspecified or AI produced content.
Further, only one in seven videos (13 per cent) analysed included relevant disclaimers, such as clarifying the risks involved in forex trading or stating that the content was not financial advice. This lack of transparency is particularly concerning given that one in five videos were actively promoting or selling a product or service, raising ethical concerns about the motivations behind the content being shared.
Disturbingly, the researchers uncovered that half of the forex related content on TikTok (50 per cent) was fin-fluencers boasting about their money made or their lifestyle with no relevant or trading context. Only 9 per cent of videos which included brags about money or lifestyle—fewer than one in 10—came with context as to how they achieved it.
Also, about 23 per cent of forex related content on TikTok contained actual forex trading information. Instead, videos often focused on lifestyle imagery, vague motivational claims or promises of quick wealth. This was often done without disclosing risks or from creators without verifiable credentials, creating a misleading impression of forex trading as a guaranteed route to financial freedom as opposed to a complex, high risk activity.
“The findings of our study are deeply concerning as they shine a light on the overwhelming majority of forex-related content on TikTok as potentially misleading or harmful. The research uncovered that very few creators encourage their viewers to do their own research or provide any meaningful trading information.
“Instead, it seems that the platform is saturated with individuals flaunting their wealth and lavish lifestyle without offering any transparency or context, which could leave viewers vulnerable to false expectations and financial risk.
“This is particularly concerning as a recent SEC report suggested that around 70 per cent of retail forex day traders lost money each quarter and two out of three forex customers lose money overall,” the Content Editor Head at BrokerChooser, Edith Balazs, stated in a report made available to Business Post.
“If you’re serious about learning to trade, TikTok is not the place to start. Reliable forex education should come from regulator accredited sources, such as financial institutions, professional trading platforms, or certified training providers, and not from fin-fluencers trying to sell you a dream.
“Always practice due diligence: question the source, verify credentials, and never take financial advice at face value. Critical thinking, combined with research and regulated education, is the only safe way to approach financial markets,” Balazs added.
Economy
OPEC Crude Output Falls to 37-Year Low Amid Iran Disruptions
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude production under the collective Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC ) fell in May to its lowest level in at least 37 years as the blockade of Iran by the United States and disruptions in the Persian Gulf, continued to limit output.
According to a Bloomberg survey released on Friday, output from the organisation’s 11 current members, including Nigeria, dropped by 1.22 million barrels per day to 16.33 million barrels per day last month.
Iran accounted for more than half of the decline. The data excludes the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which departed the cartel last month after six decades of membership.
War between a US-Israeli alliance and Iran has reduced oil supplies from the Middle East, largely closing the Strait of Hormuz waterway. Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the UAE and Kuwait have been forced to cut crude production. Iranian shipments face additional pressure following a US blockade of its ports imposed in mid-April.
Iranian output fell by 710,000 barrels per day to a five-year low of 2.34 million barrels per day in May, the survey showed. Central Command reported that US forces have redirected 127 commercial vessels to enforce the blockade of all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports.
Kuwait recorded the second-largest decline last month, with production falling by 310,000 barrels per day to 490,000 barrels per day, less than one-fifth of pre-war levels. Saudi Arabia, the group’s leader, saw output decrease by 240,000 barrels per day to 6.57 million barrels per day.
The production reductions have not prevented OPEC and its allies from raising quotas over recent months, continuing a year-long process of restoring output halted several years ago.
This comes ahead of a meeting scheduled to be held on Sunday, June 7, where a sub-group of seven members is expected to increase targets by 188,000 barrels again in July. The session is one of four online meetings OPEC and its partners plan to hold that day.
Delegates indicated the alliance has plans for two additional monthly quota increases in August and September. UAE output rose by 300,000 barrels per day to 2.44 million barrels per day in May, according to the survey.
Economy
Debt Repayments: FG Overshoots Budget Allocation by 18%
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The 2025 third quarter Budget Implementation Report from the Budget Office of the Federation has shown that the federal government exceeded the funds allocation for repayment of debts for the first nine months of the fiscal year by about 18 per cent.
In a report by Punch, the sum of N10.74 trillion was budgeted for debt servicing between January and September 2025, but the government used N12.63 trillion for the purpose, N1.90 trillion or 17.65 per cent more than the allocation for the year.
The funds were spent on domestic debts, foreign debts and sinking fund by the central government in nine months.
Business Post reports that for the whole year, the amount approved by the National Assembly and signed by President Bola Tinubu for debt repayments was N14.31 trillion.
Looking at the nine-month figures, domestic debt service gulped N6.23 trillion, exceeding its N5.39 trillion provision, while foreign debt service was N6.30 trillion versus the budget provision of N5.06 trillion.
According to the report, the figures indicated that 67.2 per cent of the federal government’s retained revenue of N18.63 trillion was spent on debt service in the first nine months of 2025. When the sinking fund is included, debt-related payments consumed about 67.8 per cent of revenue.
It was also observed that aggregate federal government revenue underperformed the budget by N12.03 trillion or 39.24 per cent, as actual revenue of N18.63 trillion fell short of the N30.67 trillion projected for the first three quarters.
In the third quarter alone, the government generated N7.70 trillion versus the quarterly target of N10.22 trillion as a result of persistent oil revenue shortfalls, despite stronger non-oil collections.
The debt burden also crowded out capital spending, as total capital expenditure was N3.10 trillion in the first nine months compared with the N17.58 trillion budgeted for the period, indicating that actual debt-related payments were more than four times capital expenditure.
Economy
Unlisted Stock Investors’ Wealth Shrinks N30bn
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange recorded a loss of 1.13 per cent on Thursday, June 4, shrinking the market capitalisation by N30.03 billion to N2.630 trillion from N2.660 trillion on Wednesday.
Similarly, this brought down the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) by 50.19 points to 4,396.08 points from the 4,446.27 points recorded a day earlier.
The loss was influenced by the overpowering of the bulls by the bears, after the bourse closed with two price gainers and three price losers, led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which slumped by N20.03 to sell at N190.38 per unit compared with midweek’s N210.41 per unit. Food Concepts Plc declined by 25 Kobo to trade at N2.50 per share versus the previous day’s N3.00 per share, and Acorn Petroleum Plc crumbled by 2 Kobo to end at N1.32 per unit, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1.34 per unit.
For the gainers, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc added N2.93 to close at N78.34 per share compared with the previous price of N75.41 per share, and Afriland Properties Plc gained 80 Kobo to settle at N16.80 per unit versus N16.00 per unit.
There was a slip in the volume of transactions yesterday by 46.8 per cent to 280,714 units from 527,221 units, as the value of trades dropped 66.5 per cent to N21.8 million from the preceding session’s N64.2 million, and the number of deals fell by 8.7 per cent to 42 deals from 46 deals.
Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc ended the session as the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units sold for N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 64.7 million units traded for N4.4 billion.
GNI Plc also finished the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units exchanged for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units transacted for N415.7 million.
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