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Economy

Downward Momentum Persists Amid Lingering Concerns About Economy, Trade

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By Investors Hub

The major U.S. index futures are pointing to a lower opening on Monday, with stocks likely to see further downside following the sell-off seen last Friday.

The downward momentum on Wall Street comes amid lingering concerns about global economic growth as well as continued uncertainty about trade between the U.S. and China.

Traders may also be on edge ahead of the Federal Reserve?s highly anticipated monetary policy announcement scheduled for Wednesday.

The Fed is widely expected to raise interest rates by another quarter point, although traders are likely to closely scrutinize the central bank?s accompanying statement and forecasts for clues about future rate hikes.

Negative sentiment may also be generated in reaction to a report from the New York Federal Reserve showing a substantial slowdown in the pace of growth in regional manufacturing activity in the month of December.

Stocks have recently seen considerable volatility, however, suggesting an early move to the downside may not be the end of the day?s story for the markets.

Following the lackluster performance in the previous session, stocks moved sharply lower over the course of the trading day on Friday. The Dow and the S&P 500 tumbled to their lowest closing levels in seven and eight months, respectively.

The major averages climbed off their worst levels going into the close but remained firmly negative. The Dow plunged 496.87 points or 2 percent to 24,100.51, the Nasdaq nosedived 159.67 points or 2.3 percent to 6,910.67 and the S&P 500 plummeted 50.59 points or 1.9 percent to 2,599.95.

With the steep losses on the day, the major averages also moved lower for the week. The Nasdaq slid by 0.8 percent, while the Dow and the S&P 500 slumped by 1.2 percent and 1.3 percent, respectively.

The sell-off on Wall Street came amid renewed concerns about the outlook for global economic growth following the release of data showing disappointing industrial output and retail sales growth in China.

The latest batch of economic data showed Chinese industrial output grew at its slowest pace in nearly three years, increasing by 5.4 percent in November after growing by 5.9 percent a month earlier.

Meanwhile, retail sales in China grew 8.1 percent in November, the weakest growth since 2003. In October, retail sales were up 8.6 percent.

The slower pace of industrial output and retail sales growth was partly due to the impact of the ongoing trade dispute with the U.S.

President Donald Trump appeared to take credit for China’s disappointing economic data in a post on Twitter on Friday.

“China just announced that their economy is growing much slower than anticipated because of our Trade War with them,” Trump tweeted. “U.S. is doing very well. China wants to make a big and very comprehensive deal. It could happen, and rather soon!”

Trump seemed to reference China’s recently confirmed decision to temporarily lower tariffs on vehicles made in the U.S. to 15 percent from 40 percent.

A report showing growth in the eurozone private sector has decelerated to its slowest pace in more than four years in December added to the negative sentiment.

On the U.S. economic front, the Commerce Department released a report showing slightly weaker than expected retail sales growth in November due to a steep drop in sales by gas stations, although underlying retail sales growth remained strong.

The Commerce Department said retail sales edged up by 0.2 percent in November after spiking by an upwardly revised 1.1 percent in October.

Economists had expected retail sales to rise by 0.3 percent compared to the 0.8 percent increase originally reported for the previous month.

Meanwhile, the report said closely watched core retail sales, which exclude autos, gasoline, building materials and food services, increased by 0.9 percent in November after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.7 percent in October.

“Along with the continued strength of the labor market, the boost to real incomes from the recent plunge in gasoline prices appears to be providing a big support to spending growth, which could continue for a few more months,” said Andrew Hunter, Senior U.S. Economist at Capital Economics.

He added, “Nonetheless, with the earlier boost from tax cuts now fading and rising interest rates likely to become an increasing drag, we still expect consumption growth to slow next year.”

A separate report from the Federal Reserve showed a much bigger than expected increase in industrial production in November, but manufacturing output was unchanged.

Oil service stocks showed a substantial move to the downside on the day, extending a recent sell-off. The Philadelphia Oil Service Index plunged by 4.3 percent to its lowest closing level in fifteen years. The continued weakness among oil service stocks came amid a steep stop by the price of crude oil.

Significant weakness was also visible among pharmaceutical stocks, as reflected by the 3.4 percent slump by the NYSE Arca Pharmaceutical Index

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) posted a steep loss after a report from Reuters said the healthcare giant knew for decades that its talcum baby powder supply contained asbestos.

Natural gas, software, retail and gold stocks also saw considerable weakness on the day amid a broad based sell-off on Wall Street.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

NGX Market Cap Swells by N962bn as Investors Ignore Middle East Tension

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By Dipo Olowookere

The escalating tension in the Middle East as a result of the attacks on Iran by the duo of the United States and Israel had little or no effect on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Friday.

The domestic stock market witnessed bargain-hunting yesterday, as investors mopped up equities that could experience price appreciation in the coming days.

Customs Street was up by 0.76 per cent during the trading day, with four of the five major sectors closing in green territory.

The industrial sector appreciated by 3.06 per cent, the banking sector increased by 0.84 per cent, the consumer goods index grew by 0.51 per cent, and the energy segment rose by 0.08 per cent, while the insurance counter lost 0.50 per cent.

When the closing gong was beaten to signal the close of trading activities, the All-Share Index (ASI) advanced by 1,498.54 points to 198,407.30 points from 196,908.76 points, while the market capitalisation gained N962 billion to close at N127.361 trillion compared with Thursday’s N126.399 trillion.

University Press appreciated by 10.00 per cent to N5.50, Guinness Nigeria also soared by 10.00 per cent to N385.00, Royal Exchange jumped 10.00 per cent to N1.87, May and Baker surged by 9.93 per cent to N41.50, and BUA Cement improved by 9.18 per cent to N270.00.

Conversely, RT Briscoe lost 9.17 per cent to trade at N10.40, Learn Africa depreciated by 8.33 per cent to N8.25, NGX Group crashed by 6.12 per cent to N176.50, Haldane McCall moderated by 5.78 per cent to N3.91, and AXA Mansard shed 5.63 per cent to close at N14.91.

Market participants exchanged 591.0 million shares for N35.0 billion in 53,066 deals during the session versus the 549.8 million shares valued at N44.7 billion traded in 55,465 deals in the previous session, representing a spike in the trading volume by 7.49 per cent, and a cut in the trading value and number of deals by 21.70 per cent and 4.33 per cent, respectively.

The activity chart showed that First Holdco, after the sale of 70.8 million units worth N3.5 billion, Access Holdings traded 67.2 million units valued at N1.7 billion, GTCO exchanged 33.6 million units worth N4.0 billion, Ellah Lakes transacted 27.1 million units for N329.2 million, and Sterling Holdings sold 25.2 million units worth N194.6 million.

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Economy

CBN Bars Loan Defaulters from New Credit, Banking Facilities

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has moved to tighten credit discipline across the banking sector, directing all financial institutions to deny additional loans and banking facilities to large borrowers whose existing loan obligations are classified as non-performing.

The directive, issued in a circular dated March 12, 2026, was signed by Mrs Olubukola Akinwunmi, Director of Banking Supervision, and addressed to all deposit money banks operating in the country.

Under the new policy, any borrower whose loan facility is recorded as non-performing in the Credit Risk Management System (CRMS), the CBN’s centralised credit database, or flagged by any licensed private credit bureau, will be immediately ineligible for new credit.

The measure takes effect without transition, applying across all banks simultaneously.

The apex bank’s restrictions extend beyond direct lending. Affected borrowers will also be denied access to contingent banking facilities, including bankers’ confirmations, letters of credit, performance bonds, and advance payment guarantees, instruments commonly used in trade finance and large-scale commercial transactions.

Banks have additionally been directed to obtain further realisable collateral from affected obligors to adequately secure their existing exposures.

The apex bank did not specify a timeline within which this additional collateral must be obtained.

The CBN defines large-ticket obligors as borrowers whose combined exposures across all banks exceed the Single Obligor Limit, or whose outstanding obligations materially affect a bank’s Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) or otherwise pose systemic risks to the broader financial system.

The policy is grounded in Clause 3.2(d) of the Prudential Guidelines for Deposit Money Banks.

The identification of such obligors will be based on data captured in the CRMS and reports from licensed private credit bureaus, according to the circular.

In issuing the directive, the CBN cited the heightened risk that large non-performing obligors pose to individual banks and the wider financial system.

The regulator stated that the new framework is designed to limit contagion risks and reinforce responsible lending practices across the sector.

The move reflects a broader regulatory effort to address the rise in non-performing loans (NPLs) within Nigeria’s banking sector and to ensure that institutions with significant credit exposures to distressed borrowers are not further endangered by extending new facilities to the same counterparties.

Compliance is expected from all deposit money banks with immediate effect.

The CBN did not outline specific sanctions for non-compliance in the circular, though supervisory penalties under the Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act (BOFIA) 2020 would ordinarily apply.

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Economy

Rise in Petrol, Diesel Prices in Nigeria Caused by FG’s Failure to Plan—Peter Obi

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Peter Obi Prioritize Economic Recovery

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The presidential candidate of the Labour Party (LP) in the 2023 general elections, Mr Peter Obi, has blamed the federal government for the high energy costs in Nigeria.

In a post, the former Anambra State Governor said if the central government, led by President Bola Tinubu, had planned for the future, Nigerians would not be paying through their nose for premium motor spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol, and Automotive Gas Oil (AGO), also known as diesel.

Disruption in the supply of crude oil on the global market has caused consumers to pay more for petrol and diesel in the country.

The United States and Israel waged war against Iran, killing its Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, about two weeks ago in airstrikes.

This has triggered tension in the Middle East, with Iran firing missiles at its neighbours, and closing the Strait of Hormuz, a small water path between Iran and Oman, where one-fifth of global crude oil supply passes through.

Before the crisis, PMS was selling at N835 per litre and crude oil was below $90 per barrel. But oil rose above $100 per barrel, causing the price of petrol in Nigeria to hit over N1,200 per litre.

Reacting to the development, Mr Obi said Nigeria felt the shock despite not being attacked because the government failed to plan.

“Many people wonder why any adverse development in the global economy quickly impacts Nigeria. A recent example is the tension involving Iran, which led to an increase in global oil prices and, subsequently, a rise in petroleum prices in Nigeria.

“A few weeks ago, petrol was selling for less than N1,000 per litre, but today it costs over N1,200 per litre. Diesel, which was also priced below N1,000 per litre, is now over N1,500 per litre. These rapid increases illustrate how quickly external shocks can affect the Nigerian economy.

“The reason for this is straightforward: most countries, whether they are oil-producing or non-oil-producing, maintain strategic petroleum reserves to cushion against supply or price shocks. This means that when there is a disruption in the global oil market, they can release part of these reserves to stabilise supply. However, Nigeria lacks such a buffer, so the impact is felt almost immediately.

“The underlying issue is a lack of planning. Countries that engage in planning create buffers against shocks, while those that do not remain vulnerable to them. The old maxim remains true: when a country fails to plan, it has already planned to fail,” he wrote.

Earlier this week, the Minister of Finance, Mr Wale Edun, said the country’s economy was strong enough to absorb external shocks, saying the over 4 per cent growth in the gross domestic product (GDP) in the fourth quarter of last year was a testament to that.

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