Connect with us

Economy

Experts Task Incoming Administration on Inflation, Debt

Published

on

hedge against inflation

By Adedapo Adesanya

On Monday, May 29, Nigeria will get a new president as President Muhammadu Buhari will vacate office after eight years for his successor, President-elect Bola Ahmed Tinubu, a transition that comes with a lot of burdens.

Mr Tinubu, a member of Mr Buhari’s All Progressives Congress (APC), was announced by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) as the winner of the February 25 election, defeating Mr Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) and Labour Party’s Mr Peter Obi.

However, the country faces massive headwinds of problems, including surging inflation and piling debt, which analysts who spoke to Business Post said are the top priority for Mr Tinubu’s administration.

In April, Nigeria’s headline inflation rate increased to 22.22 per cent as it increased by 0.18 per cent compared to the March 2023 headline inflation rate of 22.04 per cent. The NBS said on a year-on-year basis; the headline inflation rate was 5.40 per cent points higher compared to the rate recorded in April 2022, which was 16.82 per cent.

Plans by the country to control inflation and strengthen the Naira have seen interest rates raised for an unprecedented seventh consecutive time.

However, there are yet no signals that inflation will slow anytime soon, meaning the country will likely hike the rate further after research showed the increase in borrowing costs is yielding results.

The monetary policy committee on Wednesday lifted the benchmark rate by half a percentage point to 18.50 per cent, Governor Godwin Emefiele said in Abuja.

With the end in sight, Mr Buhari pleaded with lawmakers to hurriedly approve an $800 million loan from the World Bank, a move that could see Nigeria’s public debt pass $150 billion this year from over $60 billion when he took over.

His borrowing spree has drawn warnings from the World Bank that Africa’s largest economy was using 96 per cent of its revenue to service debts.

Earlier this month, the Budget Office of the Federation told the incoming legislature, which approves the country’s borrowing needs, that Nigeria’s debt-to-revenue ratio was worsening and could spell doom if the country exceeds its limit.

“We now have very limited borrowing space, not because our debt to GDP is high but because our revenue is too small to sustain the size of our debt. That explains our high debt service ratio. Once a country’s debt service ratio exceeds 30 per cent, that country is in trouble, and we are pushing towards 100 per cent, and that tells you how much trouble we are in,” the Director-General of the Budget Office, Mr Ben Akabueze, said.

Speaking to Business Post, Mr Akin Fatunke, a chartered accountant and public affairs analyst, said the country needed the incoming administration to take the bull by the horn.

“Economic viability should be hinged on efficient loan and self-sufficiency management geared towards investments at the commanding heights. West Africa has too many nation-states, many of which are simply not economically viable.

“I look at how Giuseppe Garibaldi masterminded the unification of Italy and how Otto Von Bismarck masterminded the unification of Germany, I look forward to a Nigerian hero masterminding the unification of West Africa,” he said in a correspondence to Business Post.

He tasked the incoming president to “Build a global economic giant that will rival the likes of China and India with their populations that are in excess of one billion people.”

On his part, Mr Nelson Ekujumi, a business and public affairs analyst, was optimistic about the capabilities of the incoming administration, noting that, “The incoming administration as headed by President-elect Asiwaju Bola Tinubu (GCFR) and Vice President-elect Senator Kashim Shettima (GCON) are astute accountant and economist technocrats respectively who are well versed in financial matters and I have a strong optimism that Nigeria’s debt will be tackled.”

He expects them to “plug economic loopholes to generate more sources of revenue that will limit our borrowing and put in place measures to ensure greater productivity and make life affordable and accessible such that the cost of living will be on a manageable scale for a vast majority of Nigerians.

“The factors engendering high cost of living is expected to be tackled frontally to arrest and reduce inflation.”

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Weaker Naira Shrinks Airtel Africa 2025 Revenue by 30.4% to $4.955bn

Published

on

Airtel 5G licence auction

By Adedapo Adesanya

Top telecommunication service provider, Airtel Africa Plc, saw its revenue fall by 30.4 per cent to $4.955 billion, significantly impacted by derivative and foreign exchange losses, primarily in Nigeria.

According to a report released to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Thursday, the Profit After Tax (PAT) closed at $328 million for its year ended March 31, 2025, marking a return from an $89 million loss in the preceding year.

Nigeria’s persistent currency depreciation led to declines across all segments. Airtel saw its voice verticals fall by 36.9 per cent year-on-year, data fell by 26.2 per cent, and other services dropped 17.4 per cent year-on-year.

However, in constant currency, revenue grew by 36.4 per cent growth year-on-year, reflecting growth in voice (24.3 per cent in the same period), data (44.5 per cent), and other (58.7 per cent) revenue segments.

The revenue growth was driven by a 4.7 per cent increase in the total subscriber base to 53.32 million (with 1.17 million net additions in the last quarter of the company’s 2025 calender) and strong demand for data services, with data usage per subscriber rising 33.4 per cent year-on-year to 8.4 GB per month.

Airtel’s $4.955 billion grew 21.1 per cent in constant currency but declined by 0.5 per cent in reported currency as currency devaluation impacted reported revenues.

“Strong execution and the tariff adjustments in Nigeria contributed to a further quarter of accelerating growth, with Q4’25 revenue growth of 23.2% in constant currency, and 17.8% in reported currency as currency headwinds eased,” Airtel Africa said.

Across the Group, mobile services revenue grew by 19.6 per cent in constant currency, driven by voice revenue growth of 10.6 per cent and data revenue growth of 30.5 per cent and mobile money revenue grew by 29.9 per cent in constant currency.

EBITDA, which stands for Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortisation, and is used to access a company’s operating performance, declined by 5.1 per cent in reported currency to $2.3 billion with underlying EBITDA margins of 46.5 per cent compared to 48.8 per cent in the prior year, impacted by increased fuel prices and the lower contribution of Nigeria to the Group.

However, following a more stable operating environment and benefits from its cost efficiency programme, underlying EBITDA margins have expanded from 45.3 per cent in the first quarter of 2025 to 47.3 per cent in the last quarter of 2025.

Airtel Africa’s customer base grew by 8.7 per cent to 166.1 million, with its focus on digital inclusion supporting a 4.3 per cent increase in smartphone penetration to 44.8 per cent.

Data customers increased by 14.1 per cent to 73.4million, with data usage per customer increasing by 30.4 per cent to 7.0 GB, supporting data Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) growth of 15.4 per cent  in constant currency.

Airtel Money agent network which offers enhanced digital offerings and expanded use cases contributed to a 17.3 per cent increase in mobile money subscribers to 44.6 million and a 11.4 per cent growth in constant currency ARPU.

Speaking on the performance, the chief executive of Airtel Africa, Mr Sunil Taldar, said, “We have reported another strong operating performance as our strategy continues to deliver against the significant opportunity that exists across our markets. The focus on our refreshed strategy has seen continued investment in the network while also driving improvements in our digital platforms and offerings to further enhance the customer experience.”

“An improving operating environment and focused execution contributed to strong momentum in our financial results with constant currency revenue growth peaking at 23.2% in Q4’25. Part of this acceleration in the last quarter has also been driven by the Nigerian tariff adjustments,” he added.

Looking ahead, he said – “We are making significant progress in our preparations for the Airtel Money IPO and remain committed to this objective.

“However, we are also mindful of evolving market conditions. Therefore, subject to these conditions, we anticipate a listing event in the first half of calendar year 2026.”

“The recent stability in the operating environment is encouraging, however we remain conscious of global developments that may impact our business. We will remain focused on delivering our strategy to transform the lives of our customers and support economic prosperity across our markets,” he added.

Continue Reading

Economy

Nigerian Manufacturers Lament Worsening Condition of Manufacturing Sector

Published

on

pharmaceutical production

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has decried the worsening condition of manufacturing in Nigeria’s economy as the sector delivered a 1.38 per cent growth in 2024.

The group has, therefore, called on stakeholders to reevaluate their service delivery systems by adopting a forward-looking strategies to aligned with the nation’s evolving industrial sector.

The Director-General of MAN, Mr Segun Ajayi-Kadir, speaking during a business luncheon on Thursday in Lagos, submitted that the move would would help to address economic pressures.

The business luncheon, organised by the Apapa Branch of the MAN, is its 14th edition, and was themed Delivering Quintessential Membership Service in an Era of Economic Downturn.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir said the event was both a call to everyone desiring a more supportive environment and a strategic direction that all members were required to align with, noting that quintessential service entailed delivering service at the highest standard, marked by professionalism, excellence, empathy and responsiveness.

According to him, in spite of the current macroeconomic realities plaguing global business operations, manufacturers must aim to exceed expectations.

“An internal survey by MAN reports that unsold inventory rose sharply from N1.1 trillion in 2023 to N2.1 trillion in 2024.

“You can imagine a subsector or a sector, depending on how you look at it, having two trillion worth of unsold inventory.

“Additionally, challenges related to transport and logistics, infrastructure, particularly around major ports and industrial corridors, make the operating environment unconducive for manufacturing.

“The impact of these challenges is evident in the sector’s capacity utilisation and its contribution to GDP , which have hovered around 5.5 per cent and 10 per cent respectively, over the past 12 months,” he said.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir expressed concern that in spite of Nigeria’s abundant resources and industrial potential, the manufacturing sector’s growth was as low as 1.40 per cent in 2023.

He said that the growth declined further to 1.38 per cent in 2024, outlining new initiatives, including the environment and green manufacturing unit, international cooperation and advocacy division and membership satisfaction monitoring unit, as strategic responses to emerging industry needs.

The MAN chief reminded the stakeholders of the association’s “MAN of the Future” vision, which he said was a transformative agenda built on six core pillars, which he listed as relentless innovation, purposeful and deliberate engagement, transformational leadership, passion for growth, oneness and empathy, and breakthrough performance environment.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir said that the goal was to significantly boost the profitability of the members’investment, grow the economy, and improve the well-being of Nigerians.

“The MAN of the future is a transformative journey that requires a shift in mindset, operations, leadership, and accountability in our responsibilities,” he said.

On his part, the Chairman of MAN, Apapa Branch, Mr Raphael Danilola, expressed concern about the unpredictable rise in production costs, particularly for manufacturers operating under the Band-A electricity tariff.

Mr Danilola said that many businesses were struggling to pay the bills, decrying the growing trend among regulatory agencies, particularly in the state that prioritised revenue generation over their oversight functions.

According to the chairman, there are instances where manufacturers faced multiple levies, taxes and overlapping compliance demands from proliferation of Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs).

“Manufacturers across all sectors have already borne the brunt of regulatory and economic pressures.

“At this point, there is fear of further decline. What is urgently required is a coordinated effort to reverse the trend,” he said.

Mr Danilola urged manufacturers to reassess their strategies, strengthen cooperation and become more deliberate in policy engagement, calling on them to collaborate in defending their businesses against policies suffocating the industry, adding that members must become more actively involved in defending the sector’s interests.

Continue Reading

Economy

We Are Not Competing With NNPC—Dangote Declares

Published

on

Dangote NNPC Bayo Ojulari

By Dipo Olowookere

The president of the Dangote Group, Mr Aliko Dangote, has said his Lagos-based refinery is not in competition with the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited.

Speaking during a visit to the headquarters of the NNPC in Abuja on Thursday, the businessman said the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals (DPRP) and the NNPC are business partners and are not at war as being insinuated.

He promised to collaborate with the new management team of the state-owned oil agency led by Mr Bashir Bayo Ojulari to drive economic growth in Nigeria.

“There is no competition between us, we are not here to compete with NNPC Ltd. NNPC is part and parcel of our business, and we are also part of NNPC. This is an era of co-operation between the two organisations,” Mr Dangote was quoted as saying in a statement issued by the NNPC spokesperson, Mr Olufemi Soneye.

Mr Dangote explained that he visited the NNPC tas part of ongoing efforts to promote mutually beneficial partnerships and foster healthy competition in the energy landscape in the country to boost Nigeria’s energy security and advance shared prosperity for Nigerians.

The richest man in Africa also congratulated Mr Ojulari and the Senior Management Team on their “well-deserved appointments,” acknowledging the enormity of the responsibility ahead.

In his remarks, the chief executive of NNPC assured Dangote of a mutually beneficial partnership anchored on healthy competition and productive collaboration, highlighting the exceptional calibre of talent he met in the organisation, describing the workforce as dedicated, highly skilled, and hardworking professionals who are consistently keen on delivering value for Nigeria.

Expressing the company’s readiness to build a legacy of national prosperity through innovation and shared purpose, Mr Ojulari said NNPC would sustain its collaboration with the Dangote Group especially where there is commercial advantage for Nigeria. It had been speculated that there is a price war between Dangote Refinery and the NNPC, especially in terms of the retail price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol.

It was intense under the leadership of the immediate past chief executive of the NNPC, Mr Mele Kyari, leading to the suspension of the Naira-for-crude sale agreement with Dangote Refinery and other private refiners.

However, the federal government announced the reinstatement of the deal last month after Mr Kyari was removed from office a few days earlier.

The NNPC was initially meant to be a shareholder in Dangote Refinery, but the deal later fell through.

Continue Reading

Trending

https://businesspost.ng/DUIp2Az43VRhqKxaI0p7hxIKiEDGcGdois8KSOLd.html