Experts Task Incoming Administration on Inflation, Debt
By Adedapo Adesanya
On Monday, May 29, Nigeria will get a new president as President Muhammadu Buhari will vacate office after eight years for his successor, President-elect Bola Ahmed Tinubu, a transition that comes with a lot of burdens.
Mr Tinubu, a member of Mr Buhari’s All Progressives Congress (APC), was announced by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) as the winner of the February 25 election, defeating Mr Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) and Labour Party’s Mr Peter Obi.
However, the country faces massive headwinds of problems, including surging inflation and piling debt, which analysts who spoke to Business Post said are the top priority for Mr Tinubu’s administration.
In April, Nigeria’s headline inflation rate increased to 22.22 per cent as it increased by 0.18 per cent compared to the March 2023 headline inflation rate of 22.04 per cent. The NBS said on a year-on-year basis; the headline inflation rate was 5.40 per cent points higher compared to the rate recorded in April 2022, which was 16.82 per cent.
Plans by the country to control inflation and strengthen the Naira have seen interest rates raised for an unprecedented seventh consecutive time.
However, there are yet no signals that inflation will slow anytime soon, meaning the country will likely hike the rate further after research showed the increase in borrowing costs is yielding results.
The monetary policy committee on Wednesday lifted the benchmark rate by half a percentage point to 18.50 per cent, Governor Godwin Emefiele said in Abuja.
With the end in sight, Mr Buhari pleaded with lawmakers to hurriedly approve an $800 million loan from the World Bank, a move that could see Nigeria’s public debt pass $150 billion this year from over $60 billion when he took over.
His borrowing spree has drawn warnings from the World Bank that Africa’s largest economy was using 96 per cent of its revenue to service debts.
Earlier this month, the Budget Office of the Federation told the incoming legislature, which approves the country’s borrowing needs, that Nigeria’s debt-to-revenue ratio was worsening and could spell doom if the country exceeds its limit.
“We now have very limited borrowing space, not because our debt to GDP is high but because our revenue is too small to sustain the size of our debt. That explains our high debt service ratio. Once a country’s debt service ratio exceeds 30 per cent, that country is in trouble, and we are pushing towards 100 per cent, and that tells you how much trouble we are in,” the Director-General of the Budget Office, Mr Ben Akabueze, said.
Speaking to Business Post, Mr Akin Fatunke, a chartered accountant and public affairs analyst, said the country needed the incoming administration to take the bull by the horn.
“Economic viability should be hinged on efficient loan and self-sufficiency management geared towards investments at the commanding heights. West Africa has too many nation-states, many of which are simply not economically viable.
“I look at how Giuseppe Garibaldi masterminded the unification of Italy and how Otto Von Bismarck masterminded the unification of Germany, I look forward to a Nigerian hero masterminding the unification of West Africa,” he said in a correspondence to Business Post.
He tasked the incoming president to “Build a global economic giant that will rival the likes of China and India with their populations that are in excess of one billion people.”
On his part, Mr Nelson Ekujumi, a business and public affairs analyst, was optimistic about the capabilities of the incoming administration, noting that, “The incoming administration as headed by President-elect Asiwaju Bola Tinubu (GCFR) and Vice President-elect Senator Kashim Shettima (GCON) are astute accountant and economist technocrats respectively who are well versed in financial matters and I have a strong optimism that Nigeria’s debt will be tackled.”
He expects them to “plug economic loopholes to generate more sources of revenue that will limit our borrowing and put in place measures to ensure greater productivity and make life affordable and accessible such that the cost of living will be on a manageable scale for a vast majority of Nigerians.
“The factors engendering high cost of living is expected to be tackled frontally to arrest and reduce inflation.”
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I am Leaving Nigeria Better in 2023 Than in 2015—Buhari
By Adedapo Adesanya
President Muhammadu Buhari has claimed that he is leaving Nigeria better in 2023 than when his administration came into power in 2015.
The outgoing president said this when he addressed the nation in a farewell broadcast on Sunday morning, ahead of his exit from power on Monday, May 29.
President Buhari will on Monday hand over power to the president-elect, Mr Bola Ahmed Tinubu, who was declared the winner of the February 25 election by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC).
In his address, the President expressed his gratitude to Nigerians and explained the thinking behind some of his administration’s key decisions.
Read the full text of his broadcast below:
FAREWELL SPEECH BY HIS EXCELLENCY, MUHAMMADU BUHARI, PRESIDENT AND COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF, FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA.
My fellow Nigerian brothers, sisters and friends of Nigeria.
2. I address you today, in my last assignment as a democratically elected President of our great and well endowed nation, with a deep sense of gratitude to God, a great deal of appreciation to the Nigerian people and a modest sense of fulfilment.
3. Today we mark and celebrate another peaceful transition of power from one elected government to another in our steady march to improve and sustain Nigeria’s democracy.
4. This year we witnessed the most keenly contested presidential elections since the First Republic and this demonstrates that our democracy is getting better and more entrenched with each election.
5. We must as a nation improve and sustain gains we make in the electoral process, on an incremental basis for Nigeria to take its rightful place among nations.
6. Our democracy provides for, allows and encourages seeking redress for any perceived injustices, enabling some candidates and political parties that did not agree with the results to go to court.
7. Irrespective of the outcome of the various cases, I urge all parties involved to accept the decision of our courts and join hands to build a better Nigeria.
8. I salute the doggedness and resilience of all the Presidential Candidates and their political parties for believing in our judicial system by taking their grievances with the election results to court.
9. In the course of the campaigns, we had argued and disagreed on how to make Nigeria better but we never disagreed or had any doubts that Nigeria has to be better.
10. As your President, I call on all of us to bring to bear the strength of our individualism, the power of our unity, the convictions of our beliefs to make Nigeria work better and together with one spirit and one purpose.
11. To my brother, friend and fellow worker in the political terrain for the past ten years – Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu -, I congratulate you on the realisation of your dream, which was propelled by a burning passion to put Nigeria amongst the leading nations of the world.
12. You have indeed worked for this day and God has crowned your efforts. I have no doubt that your passion for excellence, reliance on competence, fairness in relationships, commitment to equity, loyalty to the country and desire for Nigeria to be globally relevant would come through for you, under God’s guidance, as you lead our country to levels higher that I am leaving.
13. You are the best candidate among all the contestants and Nigerians have chosen well.
14. The last eight years have been an exciting experience in my desire and commitment to see a Nigeria in which public goods and services are available, and accessible within a united, peaceful and secure nation.
15. Fellow Nigerians, on the strength of your over-whelming support for me and my political party, I started this journey with a great deal of promise and expectation from you. I never intended to be just politically correct but to do the correct things that will make meaningful impact on the lives of the common Nigerian.
16. This high expectation was not misplaced because, like the ordinary Nigerian, I had grown tired of watching the country progressively moving away from the path of correctness.
17. To ensure that our democracy remains resilient and our elected representatives remain accountable to the people, I am leaving behind an electoral process which guarantees that votes count, results are credible, elections are fair and transparent and the influence of money in politics reduced to the barest minimum. And Nigerians can elect leaders of their choice.
18. We are already seeing the outcome of this process as it provided an even playing field where persons without any political God-Father or access to money defeated other well-resourced candidates.
19. The Nigerian economy has become more resilient due to the various strategies put in place to ensure that our economy remained afloat during cases of global economic downturns.
20. You would all recall the supply chain disruptions and economic downturn that the world witnessed between 2020 and 2022 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The deftness of our response to the pandemic still remains a global best practice.
21. Furthermore, we increased the ability of the poor and rural Nigerians to earn a living, provided more food for millions in our villages and gave our women opportunities to earn a living.
22. Young men and women in urban centres were also supported to put their skills into productive use. Our administration also provided an enabling environment for the private sector to engage in businesses for which their return on investments is guaranteed.
23. The private sector proved a strong partner in our drive to build a resilient and sustainable economy as evidenced by the growing number of turn-key projects in various sectors of the economy.
24. In the course of revamping the economy, we made some difficult choices, most of which yielded the desired results. Some of the measures led to temporary pain and suffering for which I sincerely apologised to my fellow countrymen, but the measures were taken for the overall good of the country.
25. Mindful of the need to ensure adequate infrastructure to drive economic growth, we completed age-long projects and processes notably amongst which are the Petroleum Industry Act, completion of some power projects, completion of the second Niger bridge and various important roads linking cities and states.
26. Our battle to ensure that all Nigerians live in a safe and secure environment has achieved considerable results. As I complete my term in office, we have been able to reduce the incidences of banditry, terrorism, armed robbery and other criminal activities considerably.
27. To sustain the gains made so far, I call on all Nigerians to be more vigilant and support the security agencies by ensuring that our values defined by being your brothers’ keeper govern our actions.
28. Up-till now, I still grieve for our children still in captivity, mourn with parents, friends and relatives of all those that lost loved ones in the days of the senseless brigandage and carnage. For all those under unlawful captivity, our security agencies are working round the clock to secure their release unharmed.
29. Fellow Nigerians, you know how dear the desire in my heart to rid the country of corrupt practices that had consistently diminished our efforts to be a great country.
30. I did pursue this commitment relentlessly, in spite of the expected pushback. I am happy that considerable progress had been made in repatriating huge sums of money back to the country and also taking over properties illegally acquired from our commonwealth.
31. To improve service delivery, we began the implementation of a number of reforms aimed at producing an Efficient, Productive, Incorruptible and Citizen-oriented (EPIC) Federal Civil Service and the results are beginning to show.
32. On the international scene, Nigeria’s influence continues to grow as exemplified by notable Nigerians occupying headship and leadership positions in renowned global bodies.
33. Our democracy is built on and continues to thrive on the principles of separation of powers. The leadership and members of the National Assembly deserve my appreciation for their patriotism which did not detract from their roles as a check to the executive arm.
34. I also want to use this opportunity to express my appreciation to a good number of Nigerians who provided their support and encouragement to help me navigate the exciting journey in moving Nigeria forward.
35. I cannot and will not forget the millions who prayed for me during my illness in my first term of office. I am constantly praying for you and for Nigeria to thrive in peace.
36. As I retire home to Daura, Katsina State, I feel fulfilled that we have started the Nigeria Re-Birth by taking the initial critical steps and I am convinced the in-coming administration will quicken the pace of this walk to see a Nigeria that fulfills its destiny to be a great nation.
37. I am confident that I am leaving office with Nigeria better in 2023 than in 2015.
38. I thank you all. And may God Bless the Federal Republic of Nigeria.
Nigerian Exchange Rebounds by 0.20% on Renewed Bargain Hunting
By Dipo Olowookere
Renewed bargain hunting triggered a 0.20 per cent rebound on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Friday as investors look forward to Monday’s swearing-in of Mr Bola Tinubu as the next President of Nigeria.
Investor sentiment improved yesterday as the stock exchange finished with 42 price gainers and 11 price losers, indicating a positive market breadth index.
NASCON topped the gainers’ chart after it appreciated by 10.00 per cent to N15.40, Conoil rose by 9.98 per cent to N47.95, NEM Insurance improved by 9.95 per cent to N4.75, NCR Nigeria increased by 9.68 per cent to N3.06, and FTN Cocoa chalked up 9.68 per cent to 68 Kobo.
On the flip side, Sovereign Trust Insurance lost 7.69 per cent to finish at 36 Kobo, Mutual Benefits depreciated by 5.56 per cent to 34 Kobo, NGX Group declined by 4.04 per cent to N27.35, Royal Exchange depleted by 4.00 per cent to 48 Kobo, and Tantalizers fell by 3.85 per cent to 25 Kobo.
The insurance counter recorded the biggest gain during the session after it closed 2.40 per cent higher, the banking sector rose by 2.14 per cent, the energy index rose by 1.05 per cent, the consumer goods counter expanded by 0.41 per cent, while the industrial goods sector depreciated by 0.88 per cent.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) increased by 152.28 points to 52,973.88 points from 52,821.60 points, and the market capitalisation grew by N83 billion to N28.845 trillion from N28.762 trillion.
During the session, investors transacted 461.8 million stocks worth N7.7 billion in 6,520 deals compared with the 377.1 million stocks worth N9.2 billion traded in 5,879 deals on Thursday, representing a decline in the trading value by 16.30 per cent and an increase in the trading volume and the number of deals by 22.46 per cent, and 10.90 per cent apiece.
UBA sold the most stocks on Friday (59.4 million units), Access Holdings traded 51.5 million shares, Zenith Bank exchanged 50.0 million equities, GTCO traded 41.0 million stocks, and Transcorp transacted 29.7 million shares.
Geo-Fluids Triggers 0.12% Appreciation at NASD OTC Bourse
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange appreciated by 0.12 per cent on Friday, May 26, following the upward movement in the price of Geo-Fluids Plc.
The company, which is the most traded stock by volume at the exchange in the year so far, closed the session as the sole price mover after it gained 28 Kobo to finish at N3.08 per share versus the previous closing price of N2.80 per share.
This pushed the total value of the NASD OTC bourse higher by N1.19 billion at the close of business to N1.002 trillion from N1.001 trillion, as the market index, NASD Unlisted Securities Index (NSI), increased by 0.86 points to wrap the session at 724.12 points compared with the 723.26 points recorded at the previous session.
There was a surge in the volume of securities traded at the bourse by 125.6 per cent at the final trading session of the week, as investors exchanged 117,100 units, in contrast to the 51,910 units traded at the preceding session.
In the same vein, the value of shares traded yesterday went higher by 1,603.4 per cent as the total equities traded amounted to N4.2 million versus the N245,560.00 recorded a day earlier.
These transactions were completed in six deals compared with the seven deals carried out in the previous trading session, representing a decline of 14.3 per cent.
Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) with 832.1 million units valued at N1.3 billion, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc stood in second place with 627.7 units worth N49.4 million, while UBN Property Plc was in third place with 390.9 million units valued at N332.0 million.
Similarly, VFD Group Plc was the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 10.6 million units worth N2.4 billion, Geo-Fluids Plc followed with 832.1 million units valued at N1.3 billion, as FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc remained in third place with 12.4 million units worth N874.5 million.
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