Economy
Fitch Launches Index to Replace World Bank Doing Business Report
By Adedapo Adesanya
Fitch Solutions has launched a revamped and enhanced Operational Risk service which will provide an immediately accessible alternative to the now-discontinued World Bank Doing Business report.
Business Post had reported that the Bretton Wood Institution discontinued the publishing of its Ease of Doing Business report after 18 years due to irregularities. The report measures regulations directly affecting the ease of doing business in 190 countries.
An independent investigation document had found that Ms Kristalina Georgieva, who is now the managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and served as the bank’s chief executive officer from 2017 to 2019 had applied “pressure” to have China ranked more favourably.
The remodelled Fitch Solutions Operational Risk Index provides an objective and data-driven assessment of the ease of doing business across 201 markets, enabling users to quantify and compare business environment risks to their investments, supply chains and day-to-day operational activities.
The Operational Risk Index is also used in Fitch Ratings Bank Rating Criteria to derive an implied Operating Environment Score for a given jurisdiction, replacing the World Bank Doing Business data that was previously used as part of the bank rating methodology.
The index, which was developed by the Fitch Solutions Country Risk and Industry Research team, is underpinned by 90 input metrics that are updated quarterly and was designed with full transparency in mind.
Each of the 201 markets covered is given a headline Operational Risk score out of 100 to allow for direct market-by-market benchmarking and comparison.
However, the index’s explanatory power lies in its ability to capture and quantify operational challenges via a focus on the four underlying elements of risk that combine to give the headline score: Crime and Security, Logistics, Trade and Investment, and Labour Market Risk.
It will be made available via Fitch Solutions’ online platform, Fitch Connect and users can use interactive charting capabilities and proprietary data download tools to access and fully appraise all of the data contained in each of the four underlying risk categories.
The index captures metrics that go beyond those that were previously included in the now discontinued World Bank Doing Business report.
In addition to the index and the data, 370 new reports will be released to provide qualitative analysis. The reports align four main areas of risk captured by the Index under the headings Crime, Defence and Security; Logistics and Freight Transport; Trade and Investment and Education and Labour.
The company noted that analysis will include, but not be limited to, coverage of crime, cyber and conflict risk; economic openness; labour costs, availability and skills; access to utilities and transport networks.
Speaking on this, Mr Nick Morgan, Managing Director and Head of Country Risk and Industry Research at Fitch Solutions, said: ‘’This is a timely opportunity to introduce the Operational Risk Index to clients who may have previously used the World Bank’s Doing Business data and analysis.”
“The Operational Risk Index gives a comprehensive picture of business environment risks across 201 markets, giving users access to a more agile, extensive and transparent range of comparable metrics.
“Quarterly updates of the 90 underlying metrics for each market mean that the Index and reports can be used to support a range of business activities, including risk benchmarking, business climate and supply chain analysis, investment decision making.
“The inclusion of the Index in the Fitch Ratings Bank Rating Criteria is in line with our commitment to ensuring our methodologies are transparent and robust,” he said.
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited suffered its first loss this week with a 0.46 per cent decline on Friday, influenced by profit-taking.
The market was under selling pressure yesterday, with all the key sectors of the bourse closing in red when the gong was struck by 2:30 pm.
The commodity index was down by 1.94 per cent, the insurance sector depreciated by 0.22 per cent, the industrial goods space lost 0.18 per cent, the consumer goods counter went down by 0.05 per cent, the energy industry tumbled by 0.02 per cent, and the banking sector fell by 0.01 per cent.
As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) contracted by 498.56 points to 108,733.40 points from 109,231.96 points and the market capitalisation retreated by N314 billion to N68.339 trillion from N68.653 trillion.
The market participants traded 459.2 million equities valued at N11.2 billion in 15,723 deals on Friday versus the 554.1 million equities worth N14.4 billion traded 16,704 deals in the preceding session, implying a decrease in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 17.13 per cent, 22.22 per cent, and 5.87 per cent apiece.
Tantalizers traded 101.4 million shares for N237.3 million, GTCO exchanged 51.3 million equities worth N3.5 billion, Access Holdings transacted 45.2 million stocks valued at N975.3 million, Zenith Bank sold 21.8 million shares worth N1.1 billion, and Sterling Holdings transacted 15.5 million equities valued at N91.8 million.
The heaviest price loser was Transcorp Power with a decline of 9.98 per cent to settle at N328.50, Haldane McCall fell by 9.57 per cent to N4.25, Meyer lost 9.09 per cent to trade at N8.00, Regency Alliance dropped 6.78 per cent to finish at 55 Kobo, and Sunu Assurances crumbled by 6.73 per cent to N4.99.
On the flip side, ABC Transport chalked up 10.00 per cent to quote at N2.86, Sterling Holdings also expanded by 10.00 per cent to close at N6.05, Chellarams improved by 9.94 per cent to N10.40, Academy Press gained 9.92 per cent to finish at N4.32, and Red Star Express appreciated by 9.90 per cent to N5.55.
Business Post reports that a total of 34 stocks appreciated, while 32 stocks depreciated, indicating a positive market breadth index and bullish investor sentiment despite the loss recorded by Customs Street during the session.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Four stocks weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.46 per cent on Friday, May 9, bringing down the market capitalisation by N9.02 billion to N1.935 trillion from N1.944 trillion quoted at the preceding session, as the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) dropped 15.42 points to settle at 3,304.74 points, in contrast to the 3,320.16 points recorded a day earlier.
Central Securities Clearing Systems (CSCS) went down by N1.28 during the trading session to finish at N22.60 per share versus Thursday’s value of N23.88 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc lost N1.00 to close at N40.03 per unit compared with previous closing value of N41.03 per unit, Geo-Fluids Plc depreciated by 11 Kobo to end at N1.81 per share versus the previous session’s N1.92 per share, and UBN Property Plc shrank by 4 Kobo to trade at N1.96 per unit, in contrast to the N2.00 per unit it was sold in the preceding day.
However, the price of Impresit Bakolori Plc went up by 11 Kobo yesterday to close at N1.27 per share versus the previous day’s price of N1.16 per share.
The volume of transactions went down on Friday by 33.1 per cent to 231.6 million units from the 346.3 million units recorded a day earlier, the value of trades decreased by 31.3 per cent to N606.4 million from N882.8 million, while the number of deals increased by 256.3 per cent to 57 deals from 16 deals.
At the close of trading activities, Impresit Bakolori Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 265.8 million units valued at N469.5 million, and Okitipupa Plc with 153.6 million units sold for N4.9 billion.
Similarly, Okitipupa Plc was the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 153.6 million units worth N4.9 billion, trailed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 19.9 million units valued at N765.5 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 533.9 million units sold for N520.9 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira was relatively flat against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) on Friday, May 9, though it marginally shed 0.2 per cent or 7 Kobo to settle at N1,609.64/$1, in contrast to the preceding day’s N1,609.57/$1.
Also, the Nigerian Naira traded flat against the Pound Sterling and the Euro in the official market during the session, remaining unchanged at N2,145.48/£1 and N1,818.42/€1, respectively.
In the same vein, the value of the domestic currency to the Dollar remained unchanged in the parallel market yesterday at N1,625/$1, according to data obtained by Business Post.
As for the cryptocurrency market, it remained positive as President Donald Trump announced a comprehensive trade deal with the UK and the cumulative inflows into the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) hit a record high above $40 billion.
According to market analysts, this has led to substantial liquidations of bearish short positions, or leveraged plays aimed at profiting from price losses. A position is liquidated or forced closed when the trader’s account balance falls below the required margin level, often due to adverse price movements. This leads the exchange to close the position to prevent further losses automatically.
Meanwhile, the US and China are said to be working on a trade deal but many are skeptical of a deal being reached this month.
Dogecoin (DOGE) appreciated by 7.6 per cent to sell at $0.2229, Litecoin (LTC) improved its value by 5.5 per cent to quote at $103.51, Binance Coin (BNB) rose by 4.6 per cent to $663.22, and Solana (SOL) recorded a 3.6 per cent growth to sell at $171.52.
Further, the price of Ripple (XRP) went up by 1.4 per cent $2.37, Ethereum (ETH) jumped by 0.8 per cent to sell for $2,366.49, and Cardano (ADA) gained 0.7 per cent to trade at $0.7952, while Bitcoin (BTC) went down by 0.3 per cent to $103,670.89, with the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) trading flat at $1.00 each.
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