Economy
Fitch Launches Index to Replace World Bank Doing Business Report
By Adedapo Adesanya
Fitch Solutions has launched a revamped and enhanced Operational Risk service which will provide an immediately accessible alternative to the now-discontinued World Bank Doing Business report.
Business Post had reported that the Bretton Wood Institution discontinued the publishing of its Ease of Doing Business report after 18 years due to irregularities. The report measures regulations directly affecting the ease of doing business in 190 countries.
An independent investigation document had found that Ms Kristalina Georgieva, who is now the managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and served as the bank’s chief executive officer from 2017 to 2019 had applied “pressure” to have China ranked more favourably.
The remodelled Fitch Solutions Operational Risk Index provides an objective and data-driven assessment of the ease of doing business across 201 markets, enabling users to quantify and compare business environment risks to their investments, supply chains and day-to-day operational activities.
The Operational Risk Index is also used in Fitch Ratings Bank Rating Criteria to derive an implied Operating Environment Score for a given jurisdiction, replacing the World Bank Doing Business data that was previously used as part of the bank rating methodology.
The index, which was developed by the Fitch Solutions Country Risk and Industry Research team, is underpinned by 90 input metrics that are updated quarterly and was designed with full transparency in mind.
Each of the 201 markets covered is given a headline Operational Risk score out of 100 to allow for direct market-by-market benchmarking and comparison.
However, the index’s explanatory power lies in its ability to capture and quantify operational challenges via a focus on the four underlying elements of risk that combine to give the headline score: Crime and Security, Logistics, Trade and Investment, and Labour Market Risk.
It will be made available via Fitch Solutions’ online platform, Fitch Connect and users can use interactive charting capabilities and proprietary data download tools to access and fully appraise all of the data contained in each of the four underlying risk categories.
The index captures metrics that go beyond those that were previously included in the now discontinued World Bank Doing Business report.
In addition to the index and the data, 370 new reports will be released to provide qualitative analysis. The reports align four main areas of risk captured by the Index under the headings Crime, Defence and Security; Logistics and Freight Transport; Trade and Investment and Education and Labour.
The company noted that analysis will include, but not be limited to, coverage of crime, cyber and conflict risk; economic openness; labour costs, availability and skills; access to utilities and transport networks.
Speaking on this, Mr Nick Morgan, Managing Director and Head of Country Risk and Industry Research at Fitch Solutions, said: ‘’This is a timely opportunity to introduce the Operational Risk Index to clients who may have previously used the World Bank’s Doing Business data and analysis.”
“The Operational Risk Index gives a comprehensive picture of business environment risks across 201 markets, giving users access to a more agile, extensive and transparent range of comparable metrics.
“Quarterly updates of the 90 underlying metrics for each market mean that the Index and reports can be used to support a range of business activities, including risk benchmarking, business climate and supply chain analysis, investment decision making.
“The inclusion of the Index in the Fitch Ratings Bank Rating Criteria is in line with our commitment to ensuring our methodologies are transparent and robust,” he said.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Indonesia has imported crude oil from Nigeria as Southeast Asia’s largest economy moves to reduce its dependence on Middle Eastern supplies amid rising geopolitical tensions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran.
Indonesia’s Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources confirmed that Nigerian crude cargoes have already arrived in the country as part of efforts to diversify supply routes away from the volatile Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil transit chokepoint that handles about 20 per cent of world oil shipments.
The development positions Nigeria as an increasingly strategic alternative supplier in the global energy market as buyers seek more stable and flexible crude sources outside the Middle East.
Nigeria, which is Africa’s largest crude producer, has always sold some of its crude grades via joint ventures with international oil companies as well as to Dangote Refinery, to boost domestic production.
Indonesia’s Director General of Oil and Gas, Mr Laode Sulaeman, said the country was prioritising crude imports from suppliers whose shipping routes do not pass through the Strait of Hormuz, which has faced heightened security concerns following the ongoing conflict involving Iran, Israel, and the United States.
Apart from Nigeria, Indonesia is also considering crude supplies from Russia and the US.
The move could strengthen Nigeria’s crude export market at a time the country is seeking to boost production levels and attract new long-term buyers for its oil grades.
Speaking in March, the chief executive of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, Mr Bayo Ojulari, said that Nigeria could increase oil production by about 100,000 barrels per day over the next few months to realistically help the global shortfall.
Before the latest geopolitical tensions, around 20 per cent of Indonesia’s crude imports came from the Middle East. However, the country has now accelerated plans to diversify supply sources, naming Nigeria among key replacement suppliers alongside Angola, Brazil, Russia, and the US.
The development comes as Nigeria continues to gain attention in global oil markets, with its crude grades increasingly sought after because of their relatively low sulphur content and suitability for modern refineries.
Indonesia also recently opened talks with Russia for long-term crude and liquefied petroleum gas supplies, including a proposed purchase of 150 million barrels of Russian crude scheduled for delivery from late 2026.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Analysts at Coronation Research have said the inflation rate in Nigeria would be at 15.95 per cent on a year-on-year basis in April 2026 as a result of the “energy price shock stemming from the continued conflict in the Middle East, seasonal issues in regard to food prices and relative exchange rate stability.”
In a note sighted by Business Post on Friday, the research arm of the organisation further disclosed that the average price of goods and services for the month under review should rise by 2.35 per cent on a month-on-month basis versus 4.18 per cent in March 2026, reflecting continued food price firmness, offset by a cooling in the monthly inflation momentum as the March energy price shock partially unwinds.
It said the projected 2.35 per cent inflation rate signals a return toward the underlying disinflation trajectory and could be a pivotal data point in shaping Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) deliberations at the next policy meeting.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release inflation numbers for last month later today. In March 2026, the rate soared by 15.38 per cent, triggered by the war in Iran waged by the United States.
Food inflation rate in March stood at 14.31 per cent on a year-on-year basis versus 25.22 per cent in the same month of last year, but on a month-on-month basis, it slowed to 4.17 per cent from the 4.69 per cent achieved in February 2026.
This was attributed to the rate of change in the average prices of Yam, Ginger (Fresh), Cassava Tuber, Groundnuts (Shelled), Irish Potatoes, Avenger (Ogbono/Apon) – Dried Ungrinded, Tomatoes (fresh), Cassava Flour sold loose, etc, according to the stats office.
In their report, Coronation Research expects food inflation to further ease, as food and non-alcoholic beverages remain the dominant contributor to headline CPI, accounting for about 40 per cent of the CPI basket.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange further depreciated by 0.33 per cent on Wednesday, May 14, with the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) down by 13.76 points to 4,130.21 points from the previous day’s 4,143.97 points, and the market capitalisation dropping N8.23 billion to close at N2.471 trillion compared with Wednesday’s N2.479 trillion.
The unlisted securities market ended yesterday’s session with four price losers and one price gainer, led by Food Concepts Plc, which chalked up 9 Kobo to sell at N2.35 per unit, in contrast to midweek’s closing price of N2.26 per unit.
On the flip side, FrieslandCampina Wamco Plc depreciated by N1.58 to quote at N144.76 per share versus N146.34 per share, Central Securities and Clearing System (CSCS) Plc crumbled by N1.00 to trade at N71.00 per unit versus N72.00 per unit, First Trust Mortgage Bank Plc slid by 25 Kobo to N2.27 per share from N2.52 per share, and UBN Property Plc declined by 21 Kobo to N2.04 per unit from N2.25 per unit.
During the trading day, the volume of securities traded decreased by 70.2 per cent to 417,349 units from 1.4 million units, the value of securities dropped 36.9 per cent to N23.2 million from N36.8 million, and the number of deals stumbled by 13.9 per cent to 31 deals from 36 deals.
At the close of trades, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 60.7 million units exchanged for N4.1 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.9 million units traded for N1.9 billion.
GNI Plc was also the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units sold for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units sold for N1.2 billion.
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