Economy
GCR Affirms A-(NG) Rating on Transcorp Hotels
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
Global Credit Ratings (GCR) has revealed affirming the long term and short term national scale issuer ratings of A-(NG) and A2(NG) respectively, assigned to Transcorp Hotels Plc with the outlook accorded as Stable.
The rating firm noted that concurrently, the national scale ratings accorded to the following bond Issuances were also affirmed: Series 1 N10bn Fixed Rate Bond – A-(NG), Stable Outlook; and Series 2 N9.8bn Fixed Rate Bond – A-(NG), Stable Outlook, pointing out that both the long and short term issuer and bond ratings are valid until August 2018.
GCR, in a statement, said it accorded the above credit ratings to Transcorp Hotels Plc because it remains one of the most prominent hotel brands in the country, benefitting from strong shareholder support and an operational agreement with Hilton International.
It point out that although, earnings derive predominantly from the Abuja hotel, construction of Lagos and Port Harcourt hotels will help to diversify revenue sources over the medium term. In the interim, ongoing refurbishments to the core Abuja hotel should consolidate its leading position in the upper scale market.
The challenging operating environment in 2016 (with the economy in recession), drove a significant decline in tourism and hospitality sector volumes, which severely impacted hotel patronage across the country.
Despite this, and given the fact that some floors were shut for renovation (for a number of months), revenue remained resilient, rising by 10% to N15.3bn in FY16. This was largely attributed to the increased business development and marketing activities, which kept occupancy rates at the hotel around 60% (well above the industry average of 35%), and improved inflows from food and beverage.
However, as economic activity remained sluggish at the start of 2017, with patronage reduced by the closure of the Abuja airport for six weeks, 1H FY17 revenue of N6.2bn evidenced a 23% year-on-year decline and lagged budget on an annualised basis.
Notwithstanding the top line growth, the impact of inflation, as well as the devaluation in the Naira value, led to an increase in both direct costs and overheads (personnel, energy), partly reversing gains reported from the implementation of cost saving measures in FY15. Operating income fell to N4.1bn (FY15: N4.7bn), translating to a 26.8% margin, the lowest over the last five years. With economic challenges persisting, and a further reduction in operating income to N856m at 1H FY17, it appears unlikely that the full year profitability target will be achieved.
Cost overruns on current capex projects (including refurbishment of the Abuja hotel) necessitated additional loans to meet the shortfall in funding. As such, total debt rose by a net N3.6bn to a high N24.2bn at 1H FY17. Whilst gross gearing remained moderate at 47% at 1H FY17 (FY16: 41%), gross debt to EBITDA rose to 891% (FY16: 408%) and net interest coverage was relatively low at 1.1x in FY16.
If persisting, such low debt coverage metrics are not consistent with companies in the ‘A’ band. Despite the economic challenges, THP still reports robust operating cash flows (N1.4bn at FY16 and N2.3bn at 1H FY17), underpinned by a strong cash generation and a favourable working capital position.
However, the continued payment of high dividends amidst falling cash flows and high capex, places additional strain on liquidity.
Given that the Bonds are senior unsecured obligations of the Issuer, the Series 1 and Series 2 Bonds bear the same rating as the Issuer. Any change in the rating assigned to the Issuer will directly affect the Bonds ratings.
Positive rating action is only likely once the current capex programme is successfully completed, with minimum unexpected costs incurred, as well as an improvement in the operating environment. This should translate to improved earnings and also enhance profitability over the medium term. Conversely, persistently weak debt service metrics could result in negative ratings actions. This could be driven by continued weakness in operating performance, or delays and cost overruns related to capex.
Economy
Peter Obi Raises Eyebrows Over Tinubu’s $11.6bn Debt Servicing Plan
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The presidential candidate of the Labour Party in the 2023 general elections, Mr Peter Obi, has expressed worry over plans by the administration of President Bola Tinubu to spend about $11.6 billion on debt servicing.
In a post on his social media platform on Monday, the opposition politician criticised this move, saying it is not good for the country.
He also said this action “should concern anyone interested in the country’s economic future and long-term development.”
The former Governor of Anambra State kicked against the penchant of the government to borrow from various sources without anything to show for it.
“There is nothing inherently wrong with borrowing when it is guided by prudence and directed toward productive investment, he noted, stressing that countries such as Japan, the United Kingdom, the United States, the United Arab Emirates, Singapore, and Indonesia are all heavily indebted, yet their borrowings are largely channelled into education, healthcare, infrastructure, and innovation – sectors that generate long-term economic returns and sustain repayment capacity.”
According to him, “despite high debt levels, their obligations remain more manageable because they are tied to measurable productivity.”
He said, “Nigeria’s situation, however, is markedly different. A huge proportion of past borrowing has been directed toward consumption, with limited visible or sustainable developmental outcomes to justify the scale of indebtedness.”
“It is also important to note that a huge portion of the debt currently being serviced was accumulated under the Tinubu administration itself, while borrowing has continued at a significant pace. The administration’s recent external borrowing alone includes about $6 billion (from First Abu Dhabi Bank in the UAE—$5 billion, and UK Export Finance via Citibank London—$1 billion), a further $1.25 billion under consideration from the World Bank, and an additional $516 million arranged through Deutsche Bank, bringing the latest known external loan commitments to roughly $7.8 billion. In addition, domestic borrowing through monthly bond issuances continues to add to the overall debt stock,” the businessman also stated.
“Against this backdrop, Nigeria’s 2026 budget shows that health is N2.46 trillion, education is N2.56 trillion, and poverty alleviation is N865 billion, giving a combined total of about N5.885 trillion for these three critical sectors.
“By comparison, debt servicing at about $11.6 billion (approximately N17–N18 trillion, depending on exchange rate assumptions) is almost three times higher than the total allocation to health, education, and social protection combined. This imbalance highlights a troubling fiscal reality in which debt obligations increasingly crowd out investment in human capital and poverty reduction.
“Moreover, even within the limited allocations to these sectors, funds may not be fully released, and a significant portion of what is eventually released could be misappropriated,” he further stated.
Mr Obi said, “The central issue is not borrowing itself, but whether borrowed funds are being converted into measurable productivity, inclusive growth, and improved living standards. Without this, debt servicing shifts from being a temporary fiscal obligation to a long-term structural burden that constrains development and deepens economic vulnerability.”
Economy
Pathway Advisors Closes Fresh N16.76bn Oversubscribed Veritasi Homes CP
By Adedapo Adesanya
Pathway Advisors Limited, an issuing house and financial advisory firm, has announced the successful completion of the Series 2 Commercial Paper issuance for Veritasi Homes & Properties Plc.
The Series 2 offer, issued under Veritasi Homes’ newly registered N20.00 billion Commercial Paper Programme, raised N16.76 billion, significantly above its initial N12.00 billion target on the back of strong institutional demand.
This issuance builds on the company’s track record in the Nigerian debt capital market and follows the recently concluded N10 billion 3-year 20 per cent Series 1 Fixed Rate Bond Issuance, further reinforcing investor confidence in Veritasi Homes’ strong credit profile.
The 364-day tenor instrument attracted robust participation from a diverse pool of institutional investors, underscoring sustained confidence in the Company’s financial strength, operating model, and governance standards.
Commenting on the deal, the Founder/CEO of Pathway Advisors Limited, Mr Adekunle Alade (MBA, FCA, M.CIod), noted that the outcome further validates investor appetite for well-structured transactions in the Nigerian capital market.
“The strong oversubscription speaks to the market’s confidence in Veritasi Homes’ performance, governance, and repayment track record. We are pleased to continue supporting issuers with strong fundamentals in accessing efficient funding.’’
He further highlighted that Veritasi Homes’ consistent market activities since 2022, including successful issuances and full redemption of matured obligations, continue to strengthen its reputation among institutional investors.
“Pathway Advisors Limited remains committed to maintaining its leadership position within Nigeria’s capital markets through the origination and execution of transformative, value-driven, and commercially viable transactions by deploying innovative financial solutions and facilitating strategic capital formation across critical sectors.
“We are committed to supporting credible corporates in accessing efficient short-term and long-term financing solutions within the Nigerian capital market,” he said in a statement on Monday.
Speaking on the transaction, the Managing Director/CEO of Veritasi Homes & Properties Plc, Mr Nola Adetola, described the outcome as a strong endorsement of the company’s fundamentals.
“This result reflects the resilience of our business model, our growing market reputation, and the continued trust of the investment community. We are grateful to all institutional investors for their confidence in Veritasi Homes.”
He added that the proceeds from the issuance will be deployed to support the company’s working capital requirements, enhance liquidity, and complete the ongoing development activities across its real estate portfolio.
Mr Adetola also commended Pathway Advisors Limited for its advisory and arranging role in the successful execution of the transaction.
Economy
SEC Okays Migration to T+1 Settlement Cycle for Capital Market Transactions
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved the transition to the T+1 settlement cycle for capital market transactions from June 1, 2026.
This is coming some months after Nigeria moved from the T+3 settlement cycle to the T+2 settlement cycle.
The T+ settlement cycle is the number of working days required to complete a capital market transaction, such as the trading of securities, shares, and others, from the first day the trade was executed by an investor.
In a notice on Monday, the SEC, which is the apex capital market regulator in Nigeria, said it was authorising the new system to “promote an efficient, fair, and transparent capital market.”
Under the new arrangement, equities and commodities traded by investors at the market would be cleared and settled by the Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) within one day.
The agency noted that the migration to a T+1 settlement cycle forms part of its ongoing market modernisation initiatives aimed at enhancing market efficiency and strengthening risk management. reducing counterparty exposure, improving liquidity, and aligning the Nigerian capital market with international standards and global best practices.
“Accordingly, all eligible trades executed in the Nigerian capital market shall settle one business day after the trade date (T+1),” a part of the statement noted.
It was stressed that “Friday, May 29, 2026, shall be the final trading day under the existing T+2 settlement cycle. Trades executed on Friday, May 29, 2026, and Monday, June 1, 2026, shall both settle on Tuesday, June 2, 2026. All trades executed from Monday, June 1, 2026, onward shall be subject to the T+1 settlement cycle.”
SEC tasked all capital market operators, securities exchanges, clearing and settlement infrastructure providers, custodians, registrars, issuers, and other relevant stakeholders to take all necessary measures to ensure full operational readiness and compliance with the new settlement framework.
“Market participants are expected to review and align their systems, processes, controls, and operational workflows ahead of the implementation date,” it further stated, promising to continue to engage stakeholders and monitor the implementation process to ensure an orderly and seamless transition.
The regulator said it remains committed to strengthening market integrity, enhancing investor confidence, and fostering the development of a modern. resilient and globally competitive Nigerian capital market.
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