Economy
GCR Affirms AA+(NG) Rating on Dangote Cement
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
The long term and short term national scale issuer ratings of AA+(NG) and A1+(NG) respectively have been affirmed on Dangote Cement Plc by Global Credit Ratings (GCR).
In a statement issued by the rating agency last Monday, it further said the cement company’s outlook has been accorded as stable.
Explaining why it accorded the ratings on Dangote Cement, GCR said it took cognisance the firm’s strong position as one of the world’s top 20 cement companies by installed capacity.
Management plans to revise its expansion pipeline, in view of foreign currency restrictions and unutilised capacity in Nigeria.
Medium term commitments have been limited to grinding plants in Cote d’Ivoire and Ghana, while execution of the rest of the capex plan will depend on foreign currency availability.
Nigeria remains the dominant area of operations and accounted for 69% and 90% of revenue and EBITDA respectively in FY16 (FY15: 79% and 91%).
Dangote Cement Plc is Africa’s leading integrated cement group and subsidiary of Dangote Industries Limited (DIL), a diversified multinational corporate with operations spanning building materials, packaging, logistics, real estate, food and beverages, as well as real estate.
Rapid fixed capital accumulation increased the company’s installed capacity to c.46 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) across 10 countries by 1H FY17, from just 8mtpa in 2011.
The group has secured clinker sufficiency in Nigeria, and as a low-cost producer, is well positioned to absorb exogenous shocks without incurring material earnings variability.
Its strategic vision is to remain Africa’s leading producer of cement and aims to be the leader in quality, costs and services across all operations, with a market share of at least 30% and a first or second position in each market.
The group achieved 20% CAGR in revenue in the five years under review, registering turnover of N615.1bn in FY16.
Dangote Cement’s strong top line performance was underpinned by dominance of the domestic market, which enabled it to absorb sharp price compression to secure volume traction. Some regions within Pan-African operations also reported strong sales growth in 2016. Combined with marked energy and distribution cost escalation, challenges in Tanzania and Ghana, as well as a weaker Naira, the EBITDA margin shed c.12 percentage points to 41.7% (five-year average 53.8%). Nevertheless, EBITDA eased just 2% to N256.8 billion in FY16.
Repricing in the domestic market bolstered the EBITDA margin to 49.2% in 1H FY17, while increased productivity and the bedding down of additional international capacity are expected to see it average at a strong 55% in the medium term.
Operating profit reduced by 12% to N182 billion in FY16, before increasing 67% YoY to N162.8 billion in 1H FY17 at a wider 39.5% margin (FY16: 29.6%). Dangote Cement’s margins remain well above those of its peers.
Cash generation remains sound, albeit discretionary cash flow coverage of net debt has eased to new lows in FY16 and 1H FY17 (65%; 48%), and the short term debt exposure was high at 71% of total debt at 1H FY17 (FY16: 59%). Net interest cover remains adequate (FY16: 4.3x; 1H FY17: 8.5x), and is expected to trend within range for the current ratings in the medium term.
Despite an aggressive cumulative outlay of N813.6 billion on capex in the five and a half years under review, Dangote Cement also paid out N573.2 billion in distributions, which represented 63% of cumulative net income.
This has seen total borrowings more than double from N181.2 billion at FYE13 to N432.6 billion at 1H FY17, of which 47% represented DIL (Naira denominated) loans.
In addition to proven shareholder support, note is also taken of established relationships with strong funders, N120 billion in trade finance credit lines, as well as plans to access debt capital markets to reduce reliance on shareholder loans and enhance funding flexibility and improve the debt maturity profile. International operations do provide a natural currency hedge, albeit constrained by the erratic performance trajectory in some regions.
Although net gearing and net debt to EBITDA have risen from very conservative levels reported prior to FY14, they remain aligned to the ratings, at 39% and 79% respectively as of 1H FY17 (FY16: 32%; 100%). Stressed scenarios indicate that metrics are expected to remain within range over the rating horizon, assuming a tapered capex plan (amongst other considerations).
An upgrade will be dependent on the proven ability to sustain high capacity utilisation domestically in the medium term and the successful bedding down of international capacity enhancements translating to strong Pan-African free cash flows and sustained conservative gearing metrics for the Group.
Conversely, slower than anticipated economic growth in key territories, delays in rolling out public infrastructure projects, foreign currency scarcity, the adverse movement in foreign exchange rates, punitive regulatory changes and competitive pressures may constrain demand and/or pricing flexibility. This could adversely affect earnings and result in liquidity strain, increased gearing metrics and impede debt service, placing downward pressure on the ratings.
Economy
UK Backs Nigeria With Two Flagship Economic Reform Programmes
By Adedapo Adesanya
The United Kingdom via the British High Commission in Abuja has launched two flagship economic reform programmes – the Nigeria Economic Stability & Transformation (NEST) programme and the Nigeria Public Finance Facility (NPFF) -as part of efforts to support Nigeria’s economic reform and growth agenda.
Backed by a £12.4 million UK investment, NEST and NPFF sit at the centre of the UK-Nigeria mutual growth partnership and support Nigeria’s efforts to strengthen macroeconomic stability, improve fiscal resilience, and create a more competitive environment for investment and private-sector growth.
Speaking at the launch, Cynthia Rowe, Head of Development Cooperation at the British High Commission in Abuja, said, “These two programmes sit at the heart of our economic development cooperation with Nigeria. They reflect a shared commitment to strengthening the fundamentals that matter most for our stability, confidence, and long-term growth.”
The launch followed the inaugural meeting of the Joint UK-Nigeria Steering Committee, which endorsed the approach of both programmes and confirmed strong alignment between the UK and Nigeria on priority areas for delivery.
Representing the Government of Nigeria, Special Adviser to the President of Nigeria on Finance and the Economy, Mrs Sanyade Okoli, welcomed the collaboration, touting it as crucial to current, critical reforms.
“We welcome the United Kingdom’s support through these new programmes as a strong demonstration of our shared commitment to Nigeria’s economic stability and long-term prosperity. At a time when we are implementing critical reforms to strengthen fiscal resilience, improve macroeconomic stability, and unlock inclusive growth, this partnership will provide valuable technical support. Together, we are laying the foundation for a more resilient economy that delivers sustainable development and improved livelihoods for all Nigerians.”
On his part, Mr Jonny Baxter, British Deputy High Commissioner in Lagos, highlighted the significance of the programmes within the wider UK-Nigeria mutual growth partnership.
“NEST and NPFF are central to our shared approach to strengthening the foundations that underpin long-term economic prosperity. They sit firmly within the UK-Nigeria mutual growth partnership.”
Economy
MTN Nigeria, SMEDAN to Boost SME Digital Growth
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
A strategic partnership aimed at accelerating the growth, digital capacity, and sustainability of Nigeria’s 40 million Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) has been signed by MTN Nigeria and the Small and Medium Enterprises Development Agency of Nigeria (SMEDAN).
The collaboration will feature joint initiatives focused on digital inclusion, financial access, capacity building, and providing verified information for MSMEs.
With millions of small businesses depending on accurate guidance and easy-to-access support, MTN and SMEDAN say their shared platform will address gaps in communication, misinformation, and access to opportunities.
At the formal signing of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on Thursday, November 27, 2025, in Lagos, the stage was set for the immediate roll-out of tools, content, and resources that will support MSMEs nationwide.
The chief operating officer of MTN Nigeria, Mr Ayham Moussa, reiterated the company’s commitment to supporting Nigeria’s economic development, stating that MSMEs are the lifeline of Nigeria’s economy.
“SMEs are the backbone of the economy and the backbone of employment in Nigeria. We are delighted to power SMEDAN’s platform and provide tools that help MSMEs reach customers, obtain funding, and access wider markets. This collaboration serves both our business and social development objectives,” he stated.
Also, the Chief Enterprise Business Officer of MTN Nigeria, Ms Lynda Saint-Nwafor, described the MoU as a tool to “meet SMEs at the point of their needs,” noting that nano, micro, small, and medium businesses each require different resources to scale.
“Some SMEs need guidance, some need resources; others need opportunities or workforce support. This platform allows them to access whatever they need. We are committed to identifying opportunities across financial inclusion, digital inclusion, and capacity building that help SMEs to scale,” she noted.
Also commenting, the Director General of SMEDAN, Mr Charles Odii, emphasised the significance of the collaboration, noting that the agency cannot meet its mandate without leveraging technology and private-sector expertise.
“We have approximately 40 million MSMEs in Nigeria, and only about 400 SMEDAN staff. We cannot fulfil our mandate without technology, data, and strong partners.
“MTN already has the infrastructure and tools to support MSMEs from payments to identity, hosting, learning, and more. With this partnership, we are confident we can achieve in a short time what would have taken years,” he disclosed.
Mr Odii highlighted that the SMEDAN-MTN collaboration would support businesses across their growth needs, guided by their four-point GROW model – Guidance, Resources, Opportunities, and Workforce Development.
He added that SMEDAN has already created over 100,000 jobs within its two-year administration and expects the partnership to significantly boost job creation, business expansion, and nationwide enterprise modernisation.
Economy
NGX Seeks Suspension of New Capital Gains Tax
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited is seeking review of the controversial Capital Gains Tax increase, fearing it will chase away foreign investors from the country’s capital market.
Nigeria’s new tax regime, which takes effect from January 1, 2026, represents one of the most significant changes to Nigeria’s tax system in recent years.
Under the new rules, the flat 10 per cent Capital Gains Tax rate has been replaced by progressive income tax rates ranging from zero to 30 per cent, depending on an investor’s overall income or profit level while large corporate investors will see the top rate reduced to 25 per cent as part of a wider corporate tax reform.
The chief executive of NGX, Mr Jude Chiemeka, said in a Bloomberg interview in Kigali, Rwanda that there should be a “removal of the capital gains tax completely, or perhaps deferring it for five years.”
According to him, Nigeria, having a higher Capital Gains Tax, will make investors redirect asset allocation to frontier markets and “countries that have less tax.”
“From a capital flow perspective, we should be concerned because all these international portfolio managers that invest across frontier markets will certainly go to where the cost of investing is not so burdensome,” the CEO said, as per Bloomberg. “That is really the angle one will look at it from.”
Meanwhile, the policy has been defended by the chairman of the Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, who noted that the new tax will make investing in the capital market more attractive by reducing risks, promoting fairness, and simplifying compliance.
He noted that the framework allows investors to deduct legitimate costs such as brokerage fees, regulatory charges, realised capital losses, margin interest, and foreign exchange losses directly tied to investments, thereby ensuring that they are not taxed when operating at a loss.
Mr Oyedele also said the reforms introduced a more inclusive approach to taxation by exempting several categories of investors and transactions.
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