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Global Trade Heavily Disrupted by Red Sea Attacks—IMF

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The International Monetary (IMF) has said in the first two months of 2024, Suez Canal trade dropped by 50 per cent from a year earlier while trade through the Panama Canal fell by 32 per cent, disrupting supply chains and distorting key macroeconomic indicators.

These two channels, which are critical to global trade have been held back by disruptions.

Attacks on vessels in the Red Sea area reduced traffic through the Suez Canal, the shortest maritime route between Asia and Europe, through which about 15 per cent of global maritime trade volume normally passes.

Conversely, a significant drought at the Panama Canal has forced authorities to enforce limitations that have substantially curtailed daily crossings since October of last year. This has resulted in a further deceleration of maritime commerce through an additional critical chokepoint, which typically facilitates approximately 5 per cent of worldwide maritime trade.

Following these disruptions, several shipping companies diverted their ships around the Cape of Good Hope. This increased delivery times by 10 days or more on average, hurting companies with limited inventories.

The IMF also said in its blog post that the volume of trade that passed through the Suez Canal dropped by 50 per cent year-over-year in the first two months of the year, and the volume of trade transiting around the Cape of Good Hope surged by an estimated 74 per cent above last year’s level. Meanwhile, the transit trade volume through the Panama Canal fell by almost 32 per cent compared with the prior year.

Through its PortWatch platform, launched in November 2023, in January and February 2024, there was a 6.7 per cent decline year-over-year in port calls to the 70 ports we track in sub-Saharan Africa. The corresponding declines for the European Union and the Middle East and Central Asia were 5.3 per cent.

The Bretton Wood institution said the decreases likely reflect the transitory effects of longer shipping times.

It warned that if this continues, it would temporarily hamper some supply chains in affected countries and cause upward inflation pressure (in part due to higher shipping costs).

The IMF also said that these shipping disruptions may affect official statistics on recorded imports (and exports).

“For example, merchandise trade reports for January in many countries in Africa, the Middle East, and Europe may show slowing import growth as some imports that would normally have been recorded in January were only delivered in February. For the same reason, many low-income countries that obtain a significant share of their fiscal revenues from import duties (and export taxes) may report lower fiscal revenue than expected for January,” it referenced.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Eterna Urges Shareholders to Buy N21.5bn Rights Issue Via NGX Invest Platform

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The N21.5 billion rights issue of Eterna Plc has commenced, with shareholders encouraged to participate in the exercise through the NGX Invest platform.

The rights issue began today, Monday, January 12, 2026, and is expected to close on Wednesday, February 18, 2026, a notice signed by the company secretary, Mr David Edet, disclosed.

Proceeds from the exercise will be deployed to support several strategic initiatives, including the expansion of Eterna’s retail network, upgrading of its lubricant blending plant, enhancement of LPG retail assets, acquisition of commercial delivery assets, expansion of aviation fuelling operations, and investments in ESG-related projects aligned with the company’s sustainability objectives.

Business Post reports that a total of 978,108,485 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each are available for grabs at the price of N22.00 each.

The stocks are being offered to existing shareholders on the basis of three new ordinary shares for every four ordinary shares held as of November 27, 2025.

Apart from buying equities of the rights issue via the NGX Invest platform, shareholders can also purchase by completing the paper participation form.

However, completed participation forms, together with payment or evidence of payment for the full amount payable, must be submitted no later than Wednesday, February 18, 2026, to any of the issuing houses or receiving agents listed in the rights circular.

The rights issue provides existing shareholders with the opportunity to increase their equity holdings in the organisation, thereby reinforcing their participation in and support for Eterna’s long-term growth strategy.

The firm disclosed in the disclosure filed to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited that the rights issue received the approval of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

It advised shareholders “to contact their stockbrokers and/or financial advisors for further information regarding the offer.”

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Economy

NBS to Publish Two December Inflation Readings

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said it would release two inflation readings for December after a methodological change led the headline rate to more than double.

This was disclosed during a virtual stakeholders engagement convened by the NBS and the Nigerian Economic Summit Group (NESG) on Monday.

The stats office explained that the expected spike in inflation is driven by technical base effects linked to the recent rebasing of the inflation series rather than changes in economic fundamentals.

According to the Statistician-General and chief executive of the NBS, Mr Adeyemi Adeniran, the inflation data due on Thursday, January 15 are projected to show an artificially spiked rate of 31.2 per cent last month, from 14.5 per cent in November. However, to provide transparency, the agency will take the unusual step of publishing both the headline rate that reflects economic fundamentals and the inflated figure.

Mr Adeniran explained that the projected December spike stems from the rebasing of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) which adopted 2024 as the new base year after a 15-year gap from the previous 2009 base.

He emphasised that base effects are a common feature of statistical practice, particularly in index-based measurements.

“Following the rebasing exercise and the methodology adopted for December 2025, a significant artificial spike in the inflation rate is expected, as some analysts have already projected. This spike arises from the base effect, with December 2024 equated to 100 following the rebasing.

“Base effects are common in statistical practice, particularly when comparing data across periods with unusually high or low prices. They are neither unexpected nor unusual.

“However, when such effects occur, especially when they are artificial and arithmetic rather than reflective of structural changes in the economy, it is essential to clearly communicate and explain them to users,” he stated.

“Transparency requires that we provide a clear picture of actual price changes rather than simply reporting an artificial spike that does not reflect economic realities. This is why we convened this meeting to inform our critical stakeholders and users of our data,” he added.

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Economy

Terrahaptix Raises $11.75m for Cross-Border Security, Counter-Terrorism

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Terrahaptix

By Adedapo Adesanya

Terrahaptix, a Nigerian autonomous systems startup, has raised $11.75 million in a round that will see it boost drone manufacturing to tackle violent extremism spreading across Africa.

The funding round was led by 8VC founded by the co-founder of Palantir Technologies Inc., Mr Joe Lonsdale. Other investors include Valor Equity Partners, Lux Capital, SV Angel, Leblon Capital GmbH, Silent Ventures LLC, Nova Global and angel investors including Mr Meyer Malka — the managing partner of Ribbit Capital.

Terrahaptix, founded by Mr Nathan Nwachukwu and Mr Maxwell Maduka, will use the new funding to expand Terra’s manufacturing capacity as it expands into cross-border security and counter-terrorism.

The company based in Abuja produces long- and mid-range drones, autonomous sentry towers and unmanned ground vehicles to help secure infrastructure assets valued at about $11 billion across Africa, including hydropower plants in Nigeria, as well as gold- and lithium-mining operations in Ghana.

In June last year, the firm beat an Israeli company to secure a $1.2 million security contract to deploy AI-powered drones and sentry towers at two hydroelectric power plants in Nigeria, awarded by a private security firm, Nethawk Solutions.

According to Mr Nwachukwu, the CEO of Terrahaptix, the rising spate of insecurity must be tackle as the continent continues to industrialize its economy.

“Africa is industrializing faster than any other region, with new mines, refineries and power plants emerging every month,” he said, “But none of that progress will matter if we don’t solve the continent’s greatest Achilles’ heel, which is insecurity and terrorism.”

“Our mission is to give Africa the technological edge to protect its industrial future and defeat terrorism.” Mr Nwanchuku added.

On his part, Mr Maduka, the company’s co-founder and CTO, also reinforced the company’s commitment to the continent by saying, “This is African technology, built by African engineers, for African infrastructure. We are creating skilled jobs, building advanced manufacturing capacity, and ensuring the intellectual property behind Africa’s security stays on the continent.”

The need for security has risen in recent years as groups such as Islamic State and al-Qaeda are gaining ground in Africa, converging along a swathe of territory that stretches from Mali to Nigeria.

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