Economy
Global Trade Heavily Disrupted by Red Sea Attacks—IMF
By Adedapo Adesanya
The International Monetary (IMF) has said in the first two months of 2024, Suez Canal trade dropped by 50 per cent from a year earlier while trade through the Panama Canal fell by 32 per cent, disrupting supply chains and distorting key macroeconomic indicators.
These two channels, which are critical to global trade have been held back by disruptions.
Attacks on vessels in the Red Sea area reduced traffic through the Suez Canal, the shortest maritime route between Asia and Europe, through which about 15 per cent of global maritime trade volume normally passes.
Conversely, a significant drought at the Panama Canal has forced authorities to enforce limitations that have substantially curtailed daily crossings since October of last year. This has resulted in a further deceleration of maritime commerce through an additional critical chokepoint, which typically facilitates approximately 5 per cent of worldwide maritime trade.
Following these disruptions, several shipping companies diverted their ships around the Cape of Good Hope. This increased delivery times by 10 days or more on average, hurting companies with limited inventories.
The IMF also said in its blog post that the volume of trade that passed through the Suez Canal dropped by 50 per cent year-over-year in the first two months of the year, and the volume of trade transiting around the Cape of Good Hope surged by an estimated 74 per cent above last year’s level. Meanwhile, the transit trade volume through the Panama Canal fell by almost 32 per cent compared with the prior year.
Through its PortWatch platform, launched in November 2023, in January and February 2024, there was a 6.7 per cent decline year-over-year in port calls to the 70 ports we track in sub-Saharan Africa. The corresponding declines for the European Union and the Middle East and Central Asia were 5.3 per cent.
The Bretton Wood institution said the decreases likely reflect the transitory effects of longer shipping times.
It warned that if this continues, it would temporarily hamper some supply chains in affected countries and cause upward inflation pressure (in part due to higher shipping costs).
The IMF also said that these shipping disruptions may affect official statistics on recorded imports (and exports).
“For example, merchandise trade reports for January in many countries in Africa, the Middle East, and Europe may show slowing import growth as some imports that would normally have been recorded in January were only delivered in February. For the same reason, many low-income countries that obtain a significant share of their fiscal revenues from import duties (and export taxes) may report lower fiscal revenue than expected for January,” it referenced.
By Adedapo Adesanya
• Strengthens case for MPC to cut or pause interest rates next week
Nigeria’s headline inflation rate eased to 23.71 per cent in April 2025, reflecting a 0.52 percentage point decline from the 24.23 per cent recorded in March.
This was disclosed in the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Thursday.
The report also showed a decline in the food inflation index by 0.53 per cent to 21.26 percent in April from 21.79 per cent in March.
The decrease was attributed to the reduction in the prices of staple food items, including maize (corn) flour, wheat grain, dried okro, yam flour, soya beans, rice, bambara beans, and brown beans.
According to the NBS: “The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 119.52 in April 2025, reflecting a 2.18-point increase from the preceding month.”
“On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 9.99% lower than the rate recorded in April 2024 (33.69 per cent). This indicates a significant decrease compared to the same month in the preceding year, though with a different base year of November 2009 = 100,” it added.
The report further noted that the food inflation rate on a year-on-year basis stood at 21.26 per cent in April 2025, marking a 19.27 per cent reduction from the 40.53 per cent achieved in April 2024. The NBS attributed this sharp decline to a change in the base year used for calculations.
On a month-on-month basis, food inflation was recorded at 2.06 per cent in April 2025, a slight drop of 0.12 per cent from 2.18 per cent in March 2025.
“The decrease can be attributed to the reduction in the average prices of key food items like Maize Flour, Wheat Grain, Okro Dried, Yam Flour, Soya Beans, Rice, Bambara Beans, and Brown Beans,” the report added.
The development increases the chances of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to cut or pause interest rate at its next Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on May 20.
The MPC of the apex bank has only four months of data to guide its decision after the NBS overhauled the consumer price index for the first time in 16 years in January and changed the base year to 2024.
Business Post reports that at the last meeting, the CBN paused the key interest rate at 27.50 per cent.
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
A Kano-based company, Mamuda Group Nigeria Limited, is planning to build a factory in Ogun State worth $50 million.
The firm has tentacles in the food, personal care, and agro-processing sectors through its subsidiary, Mamuda Beverages.
Already, the company has acquired an expanse of land for its plant in Ogun State, with the foundation laying scheduled for next month, according to the Governor of Ogun State, Mr Dapo Abiodun, who said this is part of ongoing efforts to make the state a top destination for industrial growth in Nigeria.
“We are pleased that our administration’s commitment to creating a business-friendly environment is attracting major investors,” he stated, noting that, “Our open-door policy and investor support structures continue to set us apart.”
Business Post learned that Mamuda Group chose the South-West state for its new factory because of its strategic location, bordering Lagos and connecting to Ibadan and Benin, making it ideal for regional distribution and production.
The organization currently employs over 13,000 people across sectors such as leather exports, agro-sack production, confectionery, soft drinks, and personal care.
With this new development in Ogun State, the company plans to begin with 1,500 employees, growing to 3,000 as operations expand, aligning with the state government’s goal of creating quality jobs and strengthening the state’s manufacturing base.
Governor Abiodun said to further support growth, his administration has developed key infrastructure like Nigeria’s best-equipped airport and a licensed dry port linked to the rail line.
According to him, these facilities will streamline importation and logistics, cutting delays and costs, noting that with tools like the Business Environment Council, the state government is not only attracting investment, but building lasting confidence in Ogun State’s economic future.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Six Nigerian startups have been recognised on the Financial Times’ 2024 ranking of Africa’s Fastest-Growing Companies, which features 130 high-growth firms across the African continent.
The companies are Moniepoint, OmniRetail, PalmPay, Termii, Remedial Health, and Paga.
The annual ranking published by the newspaper, produced in partnership with research company, Statista, identifies African companies with the most rapid revenue growth between 2020 and 2023.
The list benchmarks companies by compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in revenues, while also considering headcount expansion and operational resilience amid inflation, currency fluctuations, and economic headwinds across the continent.
This is a welcome development compared to 2023 when five startups namely Omniretail, Moniepoint, Thrive Agric Limited, Paga, and Zone were named on the 100-company list.
While Thrive Agric and Zone didn’t make the list; PalmPay, Termii, and Remedial Health have ascended.
This ranking serves as a boost to investors that these companies are on the right part and could help in fundraising and access to new markets.
This also comes at a period where startups on the continent are facing declining funding compounded by global uncertainties including inflation and recession fears.
This silver lining may yet serve as a catalyst to reverse the trend and make Nigeria yet again see boon when it comes to venture funding.
Business Post reports that Nigeria raised $100 million (24 per cent) out of the $460 million through deals of $100K or more (excluding exits) in Africa in the first quarter of 2025, a figure that reflects a 5 per cent dip from Q1 2024’s $486 million.
About the Companies
Moniepoint
The startup formerly known as TeamApt has had a standout year. Moniepoint recently hit unicorn status after raising $110 million from Google, VISA, and other global investors. Now operating as Moniepoint Inc., the company has grown from a B2B payments platform to a full-fledged business bank, with services spanning merchant terminals, working capital, and payroll solutions.
PalmPay
Launched in 2019 with backing from China’s Transsion Holdings, PalmPay has become a household name in Nigeria’s consumer payments space. With over 30 million registered users and aggressive offline and digital campaigns, PalmPay’s mobile wallet and bill payment services have seen exponential growth. Earlier this year, the company expanded into Ghana and introduced new features, including insurance products and virtual cards.
Paga
A pioneer in Nigeria’s fintech scene, Paga was founded in 2009 to digitize cash and simplify payments. The company has since evolved into a group structure with three core businesses: Paga Consumer, Doroki (its SME-focused platform), and PagaTech (infrastructure and APIs). It now boasts over 21 million users, a vast agent network, and integration partnerships with major banks and telcos. Paga has also expanded internationally with licenses in Ethiopia and a growing footprint across the continent.
OmniRetail
OmniRetail is a B2B e-commerce platform that enables retailers to order fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) from manufacturers and distributors via mobile apps, with optimised logistics and embedded financing. The company, which currently operates across Nigeria, Ghana, and Ivory Coast, closed a $20 million Series A round in April 2025. The startup digitises order management for 145 manufacturers, more than 5,800 distributors, and services over 150,000 informal retailers across its operational markets.
Termii
Launched in 2017 by Emmanuel Gbolade, Ayomide Awe, and Atinuke Idowu, Termii provides communication infrastructure that helps African businesses engage and retain customers via multi-channel messaging, including SMS, voice, and email APIs. The Y Combinator-backed startup has become a critical enabler of real-time notifications and two-factor authentication across fintech, healthtech, and logistics platforms. In late 2023, Termii launched TermiiGo, a programmable voice and call masking solution that expands its suite of developer tools. The company has also seen increasing adoption among financial institutions and large consumer-facing startups across West Africa.
Remedial Health
Founded in 2021 by Samuel Okwuada and Victor Benjamin. Remedial Health is a healthtech and supply chain startup digitising the pharmaceutical distribution system in Nigeria. It provides pharmacies and patent medicine vendors with access to authentic, affordable medicines directly from manufacturers, using a mobile-first inventory and procurement platform.
In March 2024, Remedial Health raised $12 million in Series A funding led by QED Investors and Ventures Platform, marking QED’s first healthtech investment in Africa. The company has scaled rapidly by streamlining operations for over 5,000 pharmacies and hospitals across the country.
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