Economy
IMF Predicts 4.3% Growth for Madagascar in 2017
By Dipo Olowookere
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has disclosed that Madagascar’s recent economic performance had been encouraging, with GDP growth reaching 4.2 percent in 2016.
From March 9–22, 2017, a team from the IMF led by Mr Marshall Mills, Mission Chief for Madagascar, visited Antananarivo from to conduct the 2017 Article IV Consultation and hold discussions on the first review of Madagascar’s economic reform program supported by the IMF’s three-year Extended Credit Facility (ECF).
At the end of the mission, Mr Mills said the macroeconomic outlook in the near term was generally positive, aided by growth in public investment, continued strength in export processing zones, and a recovery in mining.
He said this outlook was diminished by a drought in the central plateau and the cyclone that hit the northeast, saying the full impact was not yet clear, and the Fund was continuing discussions with the authorities and development partners to help identify the scale of the damage and financing to address urgent needs.
Growth is currently projected to reach 4.3 percent in 2017, while inflation is expected to remain contained at 7.7 percent. Positive external developments prior to the cyclone enabled the central bank to boost reserves significantly, reaching USD 1.12 billion at end-February 2017, he said.
“The authorities have achieved significant progress under the ECF-supported program, although challenges remain. All quantitative performance criteria for end-December 2016 were met, supported by prudent monetary policy and improving revenue collection that surpassed targets. The government also implemented the measures envisioned in most of the program’s structural benchmarks, although some with a delay.
“Difficulties at state-owned enterprises, especially JIRAMA and Air Madagascar, continue to weigh on the budget and the economy. The difficulties of the public utility JIRAMA, aggravated by drought, will require additional transfers of around 0.5 percent of GDP. However, new management is developing a business plan to restructure operations, which will reduce costs, improve revenue, and contain transfer needs. Air Madagascar is negotiating a strategic partnership, which is expected to involve a substantial, one-off transfer from the government to offset past losses. Staff and the authorities are continuing discussions on recapitalizing Air Madagascar, including obtaining financial assurances, and on restructuring JIRAMA.
“In the medium-term, the authorities aim to break Madagascar’s pattern of low growth by scaling up priority spending and accelerating structural reform. Drawing on substantial pledges of grants and concessional loans at the donor conference of December 2016, the authorities intend to boost investment and social spending steadily from 2017 to 2019, while maintaining a moderate risk of debt distress. To ensure the success of the scaling up and to minimize risks, the authorities are enhancing their investment management and monitoring capacity. Revised frameworks to encourage private investment are also under consideration for mining, petroleum, and special economic zones. Staff stressed the need to incentivize private investment efficiently, without undermining the government’s key objectives of enhancing revenue and containing fiscal risks.
“The authorities continue to make progress in strengthening the legal and institutional framework for enhancing governance and fighting corruption. The government is committed to submitting draft laws on asset recovery, international cooperation, and combating anti-money laundering to the next parliamentary session. It remains important to follow through with implementation.
“The central bank has successfully maintained stable inflation while pursuing reforms to improve monetary policy effectiveness and financial stability. Enhancing the effectiveness of policy instruments, which requires an efficient interbank and repo markets, is a priority. Reforms are being put in place to deepen financial intermediation and inclusion, such as the new law on electronic money. Revisions under preparation to banking and microfinance laws will reinforce stability, as will the ongoing audit of two government-owned non-bank financial institutions.
“The mission met with President Hery Rajaonarimampianina, Speaker of the National Assembly Jean Max Rakotomamonjy, Prime Minister Olivier Solonandrasana, Minister of Finance and Budget Gervais Rakotoarimanana, Minister of Economy and Planning and interim Minister of Energy and Hydrocarbons Herilanto Raveloharison, Central Bank of Madagascar Governor Alain Rasolofondraibe, Commissioner General Léon Rajaobelina, and other members of parliament, senior officials, as well as private sector representatives, civil society and development partners,” Mr Mills said.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil traded lower on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump eased fears of disruptions to Iranian supplies, indicating that killings in Iran’s crackdown on civil unrest were subsiding.
Yesterday, the price of Brent futures declined by 92 cents or 1.41 per cent to $64.55 per barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures slipped 96 or 1.57 per cent to $60.19 a barrel.
Prices had risen on fears of Iranian supply disruptions due to a potential US attack on Iran and possible retaliation against US regional interests.
President Trump said on Wednesday afternoon he had been told that killings in Iran’s crackdown on nationwide protests were subsiding and he believed there was currently no plan for large-scale executions.
Still, tensions between Iran and the US remained high after Iran had warned US allies in the Middle East it would strike American bases on their soil if the US attacked it. The US began evacuating military personnel from a key Qatar air base on Wednesday.
While markets may have cooled somewhat on the back of President Trump’s comments, protests in Iran have persisted, and there remains plenty of uncertainty over what might come next.
Market analysts noted that continued protests in Iran risk tightening global oil balances through near-term supply losses, but mainly through rising geopolitical risk premium.
However, this remains somewhat minimal as the protests had not spread to the main Iranian oil-producing areas, which had limited the effect on actual supply.
Also supporting oil prices, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said on Wednesday he was optimistic about the economic outlook and expected inflation to ease.
It is also looking increasingly likely that Venezuela’s oil supply is set to return to markets, with the US completing its first sale of Venezuelan oil on Wednesday.
Two supertankers departed Venezuelan waters on Monday with about 1.8 million barrels each of crude in what may be the first shipments of a 50 million-barrel supply deal between Venezuela and the US to get exports moving again following the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.
Crude oil inventories in the US increased by 3.4 million barrels during the week ending January 14, according to new data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released on Wednesday.
The EIA’s data release follows figures by the American Petroleum Institute (API) that were released a day earlier, which suggested that crude oil inventories grew by 5.27 million barrels.
By Adedapo Adesanya
TotalEnergies EP Nigeria has signed a Sale and Purchase Agreement with Vaaris for the divestment of its 10 per cent non-operated interest in the Renaissance JV licences in Nigeria.
The Renaissance JV, formerly known as the SPDC JV, is an unincorporated joint venture between Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (55 per cent), Renaissance Africa Energy Company Ltd (30 per cent, operator), TotalEnergies EP Nigeria (10 per cent) and Agip Energy and Natural Resources Nigeria (5 per cent), which holds 18 licences in the Niger Delta.
In a statement by TotalEnergies on Wednesday, it was stated that under the agreement signed with Vaaris, TotalEnergies EP Nigeria will sell its 10 per cent participating interest and all its rights and obligations in 15 licences of Renaissance JV, which are producing mainly oil.
Production from these licences, it was said, represented approximately 16,000 barrels equivalent per day in company’s share in 2025.
The agreement also stated that TotalEnergies EP Nigeria will also transfer to Vaaris its 10 per cent participating interest in the three other licences of Renaissance JV which are producing mainly gas, namely OML 23, OML 28 and OML 77, while TotalEnergies will retain full economic interest in these licences, which currently account for 50 per cent of Nigeria LNG gas supply.
Business Post reports that the conclusion of the deal is subject to customary conditions, including regulatory approvals.
“TotalEnergies EP Nigeria has signed a Sale and Purchase Agreement with Vaaris for the sale of its 10 per cent non-operated interest in the Renaissance JV licences in Nigeria.
“Under the agreement signed with Vaaris, TotalEnergies EP Nigeria will sell to Vaaris its 10 per cent participating interest and all its rights and obligations in 15 licences of Renaissance JV, which are producing mainly oil. Production from these licences represented approximately 16,000 barrels equivalent per day in the company’s share in 2025.
“TotalEnergies EP Nigeria will also transfer to Vaaris its 10 per cent participating interest in the 3 other licenses of Renaissance JV, which are producing mainly gas (OML 23, OML 28 and OML 77), while TotalEnergies will retain full economic interest in these licenses, which currently account for 50 per cent of Nigeria LNG gas supply. Closing is subject to customary conditions, including regulatory approvals,” the statement reads in part.
The development is part of TotalEnergies’ strategies to dump more assets to lighten its books and debt.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The trading licence of Monument Securities and Finance Limited has been revoked by the regulatory arm of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Group Plc.
Known as NGX Regulations Limited (NGX Regco), the regulator said it took back the operating licence of the organisation after it shut down its operations.
The revocation of the licence was approved by Regulation and New Business Committee (RNBC) at its meeting held on September 24, 2025, a notice from the signed by the Head of Market Regulations at the agency, Chinedu Akamaka, said.
“This is to formally notify all trading license holders that the board of NGX Regulation Limited (NGX RegCo) has approved the decision of the Regulation and New Business Committee (RNBC)” in respect of Monument Securities and Finance Limited, a part of the disclosure stated.
Monument Securities and Finance Limited was earlier licensed to assist clients with the trading of stocks in the Nigerian capital market.
However, with the latest development, the firm is no longer authorised to perform this function.
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