Economy
M&A Value in Africa’s Energy Sector to Hit $4.5b in 2018—Report
**Drops to $3.3b in 2020
By Dipo Olowookere
A new report by Baker McKenzie in Johannesburg, South Africa, has revealed that the value of Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) in the energy sector in Africa and the Middle East will rise to $4.5 billion in 2018.
According to the Baker McKenzie’s Global Transaction Forecast for the Energy Sector, M&A transactions in 2017 was $4.4 billion.
In 2019, the value will increase again $5.2 billion before dropping to $3.3 billion in 2020.
Head of the Energy, Mining and Infrastructure Sector Group at Baker McKenzie, Mr Kieran Whyte, disclosed that in Africa, greenfield investment continued in the energy sector, particularly in renewables, which was forecast to grow in coming years.
“The extent of the power deficit across Africa is well known and increasing electricity generation, whether on-grid or off-grid, across the continent is the focus of a number of initiatives.
“The African Development Bank’s New Deal on Energy for Africa has set as its target universal access to electricity across Africa by 2025,” Mr Whyte said.
According to AfDB, to achieve this, 160GW of new on-grid generation and some 75 million new off-grid connections will be needed, through a mix of conventional and renewable energy sources. Complementary initiatives by Power Africa, the EU and other multilateral and development finance institutions will also play a greater role.
“There is clearly a lot of opportunity for the energy sector in Africa, which is reflected in forecast increases in M&A activity in the next two years,” he said.
However, Mr Whyte noted that investment in the energy sector had in some instances stalled due to regulatory and political uncertainty, as well as economic conditions in particular countries in Africa.
“In South Africa, uncertainty surrounding the country’s future energy policy, the delay in the publication of the Integrated Resource Plan, anticipated additional political changes, as well as financial and governance concerns at the State-owned electricity supply company, Eskom, have all resulted in an uncertain energy landscape and a loss of potential direct foreign investment in the electricity sector,” he noted.
Mr Whyte said that it was hoped that under the leadership of new South African President, Mr Cyril Ramaphosa, investors in the sector would receive the clarity they were looking for, which would act as a catalyst for renewed investor confidence.
“The recent appointment of a new Energy Minister, Jeff Radebe is considered to be a positive move in that he is the country’s longest serving continuous cabinet minister, with experience across numerous portfolios. In addition, changes in leadership at Eskom, and President Ramaphosa’s commitment to finalising mining regulation, closing the fiscal gap, stabilising debt, addressing unemployment and restoring state-owned enterprises to health are all moves that will encourage investment in the sector,” he noted.
“What the South African energy sector now needs is more certainty and consistent implementation of energy legislation and policies. Certainty is also needed across other sectors that rely on the energy sector including the mining, industrial and commercial sectors.
“This will restore confidence in South Africa as an investment destination and facilitate direct foreign investment, which will in turn assist in much needed job creation and skills development.
“It will also be necessary to ensure transparency and integrity in the procurement of all goods and services as well as robust and independent energy regulation,” he opined.
“In addition, the government must support and breathe new life into the stalled renewable energy programme, which will be the catalyst for the implementation of other energy programmes. This will ensure South Africa an energy mix that is progressive, capable of meeting customer demands, and that will assist in South Africa discharging its sustainability obligations,” noted Mr Whyte.
Mr Whyte said clarity was also needed on whether, how and when the South African nuclear programme would go ahead.
President Ramaphosa said at the World Economic Forum in early 2018 that the country’s economic situation meant that South Africa could not afford to build a major nuclear plant and this sentiment has been echoed in recent announcements by the Minister of Finance.
“Going forward, bearing in mind the World Economic Forum’s theme of Creating a Shared Future in a Fractured World, and the evolution of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, we need to ensure that energy sector infrastructure investment in Africa is fit for purpose, and based on sustainable development principles,” Mr Whyte noted.
“This means taking cognisance of technological innovation, decarbonisation and climate change, connectivity and digitization, regionalisation and integration, urbanisation and industrialisation and inclusive economic growth models. We also must ensure that we adhere to the UN Sustainability Development Goals and principles for responsible investment,” he explained.
“Further, civic participation in the entire process is essential to ensure that there are no trust deficits across all the supply chains. This will help to ensure procurement integrity and further bolster South African energy sector investment,” Mr noted Whyte.
Baker McKenzie’s Global Transaction Forecast noted that the global energy sector was expected to undergo greater diversification in years to come as companies prepared for advances in technology and renewables.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The chief executive of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, Mr Temi Popoola, has called for regional collaboration among African nations for a stronger capital market.
Speaking at the launch of the Ethiopian Securities Exchange (ESX) recently, he stated that working together would unlock the continent’s economic potential, especially with innovative market solutions.
He disclosed that strategic investment of the Nigerian bourse in ESX underscores its leadership in advancing Africa’s capital market infrastructure.
“The launch of ESX represents a pivotal moment for Ethiopia and the broader African financial landscape.
“ESX will serve as a crucial mechanism for capital formation and market liquidity, driving sustainable economic growth,” Mr Popoola said.
Expounding on NGX Group’s investment rationale, he highlighted Ethiopia’s immense market potential and the shared vision of fostering economic growth through innovation.
“Our partnership transcends traditional investment parameters.
“It is about ensuring that ESX evolves into a key player in Africa’s financial ecosystem, enabling cross-border investments and setting benchmarks for market development,” he said.
Mr Popoola also drew parallels with global success stories like India, which has leveraged its capital markets to achieve significant economic transformation.
He emphasized the importance of responsible market opening to attract local and continental capital, noting, “By following this path, Ethiopia can become a financial hub in Africa.”
Drawing from NGX Group’s six decades of experience, Mr Popoola shared insights on diversifying financial instruments and expanding access to investment opportunities.
“With the right mix of innovation, policy support, and regional collaboration, Ethiopia’s capital market can play a transformative role in driving economic development and establish itself as a leader in Africa’s financial ecosystem,” he concluded.
On his part, the Prime Minister of Ethiopia, Mr Abiy Ahmed, lauded the launch of ESX as a transformative milestone in the country’s journey toward economic modernization.
“Today, we have officially rung the bell to launch the Ethiopian Securities Exchange, our nation’s first stock exchange,” the Prime Minister announced on X.
“This is a call to global investors: Ethiopia offers immense potential, a fast-growing economy, and a clear trajectory toward shared prosperity,” he added.
The chief executive of ESX, Mr Tilahun Esmael Kassahun, expressed confidence in the partnership with NGX Group.
“We are pleased to welcome NGX Group as a strategic partner, building upon the existing support we continue to receive from them,” he said, emphasising the value of NGX Group’s expertise in shaping ESX’s growth and success.
With the ESX poised to redefine Ethiopia’s financial landscape, NGX Group’s involvement highlights the critical role of partnerships and shared expertise in advancing Africa’s economic narrative.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Daily average oil production in Nigeria rose by 152, 000 barrels per day in November 2024, according to the latest data by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).
According to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) for December 2024, the country’s production, including condensates rose by 11 per cent from 1.333 million barrels in October to 1.486 million in November 2024.
The analysis puts the daily increase to 152,000 barrels per day and about one million barrels increase between October and November last year.
This is as the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) in its latest oil production data indicated that on a month-on-month basis, daily average oil output in December 2024 declined by 1.35 per cent from 1.690 million barrels per day recorded in November 2024 to 1.667 million barrels per day.
Data from the commission also indicated that daily peak oil production in December 2024 was 1.79 million barrels per day while the lowest daily production was 1.57 million barrels per day
Cumulatively, oil output in December 2024, was 51.69 million barrels, a marginal increase of 1.9 per cent when compared to 50.71 million barrels produced in November 2024.
Further analysis of the data showed that the highest oil output in December 2024 was recorded at Forcados Terminal at 8.49 million barrels followed by Bonny Terminal, 7.78 million barrels and Qua Iboe, 4.15 million barrels.
The data showed without condensate, daily oil production was 1.484 million, indicating that Nigeria, again, failed to meet its oil production quota of 1.5 million barrels per day allotted to it by OPEC.
A recent survey by Reuters, however, shows that Nigeria crossed the 1.5 million barrels per day target in December.
The December 2024 average daily oil output also means that Nigeria failed to meet the 1.7 million barrels per day benchmark set for the 2024 budget all through the year.
NUPRC data on daily average production showed that oil production including condensate in January 2024 was 1.64 million barrels per day; February, 1.53 million barrels per day; March, 1.44 million barrels per day; April, 1.45 million barrels per day; May, 1.47 million barrels per day; June, 1.50 million barrels per day; July, 1.53 million barrels per day; August, 1.57 million barrels per day; September, 1.54 million barrels per day, October, 1.54 million barrels per day November, 1.69 million barrels per day and December, 1.67 million barrels per day.
By Dipo Olowookere
The trio of Wema Bank, FBN Holdings, and Universal Insurance topped the activity chart of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited last week with a turnover of 1.679 billion shares worth N20.838 billion transacted in 4,922 deals, contributing 35.74 per cent and 24.50 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.
Data from Customs Street showed that in the five-day trading week, investors bought and sold 4.698 billion stocks valued at N85.043 billion in 72,562 deals versus the 2.618 billion stocks sold for N69.742 billion in 47,953 deals in the preceding week.
The financial services industry attracted the attention of the market participants with 3.470 billion equities worth N40.791 billion traded in 34,364 deals, contributing 73.86 per cent and 47.97 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.
The services sector followed with 407.032 million shares worth N2.226 billion in 4,996 deals, and the ICT space transacted 237.680 million stocks valued at N3.628 billion in 5,280 deals.
Business Post reports that 51 shares appreciated in the week versus 82 shares in the previous week, 39 equities depreciated compared with 18 equities a week earlier, and 62 stocks closed flat versus 52 stocks in the preceding week.
Multiverse was the best-performing stock with a a price appreciation of 53.42 per cent to N12.35, Honeywell Flour gained 31.67 per cent to close at N10.02, DAAR Communication expanded by 25.71 per cent to 88 Kobo, MTN Nigeria leapt by 21.00 per cent to N242.00, and NCR Nigeria soared by 20.66 per cent to N7.30.
On the flip side, Sunu Assurances was the worst-performing stock after it went down by 36.52 per cent to N7.30, Caverton shed 15.00 per cent to N2.38, Consolidated Hallmark slumped by 15.00 per cent to N3.40, RT Briscoe slipped by 14.33 per cent to N2.57, and Jaiz Bank depreciated by 10.77 per cent to N2.90.
At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) and the market capitalisation gained 1.80 per cent to close the week at 105,451.06 points and N64.303 trillion, respectively.
Also, all other indices closed higher apart from the insurance, AFR Bank Value, AFR Div Yield, MERI Value, consumer goods, energy, and industrial goods, which depreciated by 6.91 per cent, 0.08 per cent, 1.11 per cent, 0.17 per cent, 0.34 per cent, 0.34 per cent and 0.26 per cent, respectively, as the ASeM closed flat.
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