Economy

More Worries for Nigeria as Brent Crude Hits $130 Per Barrel

Published

4 years ago

07/03/2022

By Adedapo Adesanya

Instead of Nigeria being joyous over the rising price of crude oil in the international market, the opposite is the case as the country may not be able to earn more from the commodity it has in abundance.

Crude oil sales account for about 90 per cent of the country’s foreign exchange (FX) earnings but the double-whammy reality of Brent crude hitting $130 per barrel is a big headache for the nation.

Following the continued conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the United States has confirmed that it is in talks with European allies to potentially sanction Russian crude oil in response to ongoing aggression in Ukraine, sending oil prices briefly above $130.

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken noted over the weekend that the country is “… now in very active discussions with our European partners about banning the import of Russian oil to our countries, while of course at the same time maintaining a steady global supply of oil.”

Analysts noted that if Russia’s oil is cut off, the market could face a 5 million barrel shortfall which could push oil prices to $200 per barrel.

The situation is compacted by stalling talks with Iran over a potential new nuclear deal.

For Nigeria, the rise in prices means the federal government will pay more money on fuel subsidy with the landing cost of petrol increasing on the back of the rise in crude oil price.

This means that the country will see an increase in the price of petrol at the pump as well as a rise in other basic needs since mobility is a critical factor in the economy.

Despite being Africa’s largest crude producer, moribund refineries coupled with infrastructural underdevelopment makes Nigeria one of the most import-dependent countries in the world.

And with the recent postponement of fuel subsidy removal by 18 months, it means that the petrol import bill and subsidy payment will increase as a result.

President Muhammadu Buhari had said rising crude oil prices presented a great opportunity for Nigeria, especially with the passage of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA).

Represented by the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Mr Timipre Sylva, while speaking at last week’s 5th Nigeria International Energy Summit (NIES) in Abuja, he said there was now a level of certainty for the regulatory, administrative and fiscal framework for the industry.

“With the PIA in place, there should be no excuses. The enabling investment environment which has been the bane of the industry has been taken care of by provisions in the PIA,” the Minister stated.

This had been in the context of utilisation of gas because last month, Mr Sylva in an interview with Bloomberg, expressed fears of the impact of high oil prices on the economy.

He maintained that Nigeria’s comfort zone in terms of oil prices was between $70 and $80 per barrel.

He said, “I’m hopeful the prices will move around, maybe $80, maybe $70. We are hoping it will come down to somewhere around $70 to $80, which will be sustainable for us by the end of the year.

“We are working hard on that (production increase). What happened to us was the fact that we had to cut back at the time, and, of course, in such a way you can’t really cut back mathematically.

“So, you want to cut back 100,000 barrels that you shut out, maybe we’ll shut down about 200,000 to 300,000 barrels. So at the end of the day, we over-complied because we just couldn’t achieve it mathematically.

“In trying to cut down, we cut down too much. And now to come back, it’s not been easy for us to get the wells back to production.”

Now, it is almost double this threshold and have been projected to stoke inflationary fears which will further hamper Nigeria’s economy and as a result be felt by the average Nigerian.

Economy

NASD Market Falls 1.18% to Extend Losing Streak

Published

10 hours ago

14/03/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange extended its stay in the south for the fourth consecutive session after it shed 1.18 per cent on Friday, March 13.

The unlisted securities market recorded a loss despite closing without a price decliner, and ending with two price gainers led by Geo Fluids Plc, which gained 1o Kobo to sell at N3.10 per share compared with the previous day’s N3.00 per share. Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc appreciated during the session by 2 Kobo to trade at 54 Kobo per unit versus Thursday’s closing price of 52 Kobo per unit.

When the market closed for the day, the market capitalisation lost N29.83 billion to close at N2.489 trillion compared with the N2.519 trillion it finished a day earlier, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) crashed by 49.84 points to 4,160.46 points from 4,210.31 points.

Market activity improved yesterday, as the volume of transactions rose 179.5 per cent to 10.4 million units from 3.7 million units, but the value of trades declined by 68.4 per cent to N29.9 million from N95.0 million, while the number of deals weakened by 11.5 per cent to 46 deals from 52 deals.

Central Securities Clearing Systems (CSCS) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion, Okitipupa Plc followed with 6.4 million units traded at N1.1 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc transacted 6.3 million units for N584.3 million.

Resourcery Plc ended the trading session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.6 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.8 million units valued at N504.5 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion.

Economy

Naira Trades N1,366/$1 at Official Market, N1,400/$1 at Black Market

Published

11 hours ago

14/03/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira continued to claw back some gains against the Dollar in the different segments of the foreign exchange (FX) market, as its value was strengthened on Friday.

In the black market, it gained N10 against the United States Dollar yesterday to close at N1,400/$1 compared with the preceding day’s rate of N1,410/$1, and at the GTBank forex counter, it chalked up N6 to close at N1,385/$1, in contrast to the N1,391/$1 it was traded a day earlier.

Similarly, in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX), it appreciated against the greenback during the session by N5.28 or 0.38 per cent to quote at N1,366.23/$1 versus Thursday’s closing price of N1,371.51/$1.

It also improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market on Friday by N21.81 to settle at N1,812.99/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,834.80/£1, and gained N13.86 against the Euro to sell at N1,568.03/€1 versus N1,581.89/€1.

Pressure eased further on the FX market as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continued interventionist operations this week, selling Dollars to banks to boost liquidity after a $500 million boost last week.

This was complemented by inflows from foreign investors, exporters and non-bank corporates, among others, while Nigeria’s gross external reserves remained above $50 billion, the highest since 2009.

The Governor of the apex bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, also eased fears of a Naira devaluation, saying the country’s financial system has been strengthened by reforms.

Regardless, external pressure looms as the US Dollar strengthened globally due to its war with Iran, now ongoing for three weeks.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was largely down as traders and investors continue to align with current realities.

The market is adapting to the conflict in real time. Early in the war, every headline produced an outsized reaction because nobody could price the tail risk. Now, traders have a framework where strikes happen, oil spikes and bitcoin dips only to recover again.

Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 3.8 per cent to $0.2623, Dogecoin (DOGE) lost 1.7 per cent to finish at $0.0948, Ripple (XRP) slumped 1.5 per cent to $1.39, Solana (SOL) dropped 1.4 per cent to sell for $87.33, Binance Coin (BNB) went down by 1.3 per cent to $653.58, Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 1.1 per cent to $70,670.63, and Ethereum (ETH) decreased by 0.9 per cent to $2,078.78.

However, TRON (TRX) appreciated by 1.7 per cent to $0.2941, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.

Economy

Oil Stays Above $100 as Strait of Hormuz Traffic Stalls

Published

11 hours ago

14/03/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The price of the major crude oil grade, Brent crude oil, closed above $100 on Friday for the second consecutive session, as the Iran war heads toward its third week, with oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz still effectively at a standstill.

It gained 2.67 per cent or $2.68 during the trading day to close at $103.14 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil grade appreciated by 3.11 per cent or $2.98 to settle at $98.71 per barrel.

Brent futures were up about 10 per cent for the week following the 27 per cent rise seen last week, which marked the biggest weekly gain in oil prices since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. WTI futures, which saw their best week since 1983 last week, ended the week more than 8 per cent higher.

US President Donald Trump said American forces launched a major bombing raid on Iran’s strategic Kharg Island, targeting military facilities on the key Persian Gulf outpost while warning Iran that its vital oil infrastructure could be destroyed if shipping in the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted.

The terminal accounts for roughly 90 per cent of Iranian crude shipments, loading millions of barrels per day onto tankers bound largely for Asian markets.

The US and Israel’s strikes in the conflict have largely targeted Iranian military and nuclear infrastructure. Oil facilities elsewhere in Iran have been hit, but Kharg’s massive storage tanks, jetties, and pipelines had remained untouched until the latest strike.

Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, vowed to keep fighting in a message delivered via state television.

There have been a number of attacks on foreign ships in or near the Strait, feeding into concerns that a prolonged war could translate to a global economic shock.

Prices are rising despite the US and its allies rolling out some measures to keep a lid on energy costs.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has agreed to release 400 million stockpiled barrels, the largest such action in history.

The US has issued a 30-day waiver for India to purchase sanctioned oil from Russia. President Donald Trump is considering loosening rules under the Jones Act that require American ships to transport goods between domestic ports, including oil and gas, in an effort to lower costs.

Traders are continuing to monitor developments in the Middle East.