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Nigeria is Not a High-Debt Risk Nation—DMO

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nigeria buhari praying

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Debt Management Office (DMO) has reacted to reports in the media claiming that Nigeria is a high-debt risk nation.

The debt office, in a statement, said that the publications quoting the International Development Association (IDA)  Audited Financial Statement for the Fiscal Year 2021 (July 1, 2020 – June 30, 2021) misinterpreted the report.

The agency said the report was not only false and misleading but also suggests an inadequate understanding of the essence of the World Bank’s report.

“The World Bank’s report was an assessment of the performance of IDA and not the performance of the IDA loans nor the debt repayment capacity of the beneficiaries of IDA loans.

“By way of explanation, the World Bank, through IDA, gives concessional loans to poor and developing countries to help them achieve improvements in growth, job creation, poverty reduction, governance, the environment, climate adaptation and resilience, human capital, infrastructure and debt transparency. Nigeria is a beneficiary of IDA loans.

“It is important to re-emphasize that the World Bank’s report, which was misrepresented, focused only on the composition of IDA’s Loan Portfolio and did not make any reference to the debt sustainability of the top 10 beneficiary countries of IDA loans, such as India, Pakistan, Nigeria, Kenya and Ghana,” a part of the statement from the DMO clarified.

The debt office further stressed that the IDA loans are typically for tenors of 30 – 40 years, with a grace period (moratorium on principal repayment) of 7 – 10 years and a service fee of only 0.75 per cent.

“The highly concessional nature of IDA loans satisfies the requirements of the provision of Section 41(1)(a) of the Fiscal Responsibility Act, 2007, which states that government at all tiers shall only borrow on concessional terms with a low-interest rate and with a reasonably long amortization period.

“The cost of IDA loans, which is the service fee of 0.75 per cent, is considerably low, thereby moderating the cost of debt service.

“The DMO wishes to state that Nigeria’s IDA’s Debt Stock as of June 30, 2021, was $11.7 billion. IDA loans represent one of the most favourable borrowing options for countries like Nigeria and are also consistent with the Medium Term Debt Management Strategy of the federal government,” the agency added.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Sell-Offs in Dangote Cement, Others Plunge NGX Further by 1.47%

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Dangote cement unclaimed dividends

By Dipo Olowookere

Sustained profit-taking in high-cap stock like Dangote Cement deepened the woes of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Wednesday.

The domestic equity market lost 1.47 per cent at midweek as the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revealed that inflation in Nigeria was further elevated in December 2024 by 34.80 per cent, prompting investors to maintain their selling pressure stance.

Data showed that the industrial goods index depreciated by 4.70 per cent at the close of business as the insurance sector slumped by 3.47 per cent.

However, the consumer goods space improved by 0.99 per cent, the energy counter appreciated by 0.15 per cent, and the banking industry gained 0.02 per cent.

When the closing gong was struck by 2:30 pm to signal the close of trading activities yesterday, the All-Share Index (ASI) was down by 1,529.59 points to 102,095.95 points from 103,625.54 points and the market capitalisation went down by N933 billion to N62.257 trillion from N63.190 trillion.

Like the preceding trading day, investor sentiment was weak at midweek after Customs Street ended with 28 price gainers and 39 price losers, implying a negative market breadth index.

Universal Insurance and Dangote Cement were the biggest price losers as they shed 10.00 per cent each to close at 63 Kobo, and N387.90, respectively, as John Holt declined by 9.99 per cent to N8.47, Transcorp Power lost 9.97 per cent to close at N324.00, and Omatek tumbled by 9.89 per cent to 82 Kobo.

Conversely, Dangote Sugar, NASCON, and Sunu Assurances chalked up 10.00 per cent each to sell for N36.85, N38.50, and N6.71, respectively, as SAHCO rose by 9.95 per cent to N33.15, and Austin Laz grew by 9.94 per cent to N1.99.

Business Post reports that investors bought and sold 435.5 million equities valued at N9.4 billion in 12,098 deals during the session versus the 503.3 million equities worth N12.6 billion traded in 12,900 deals on Tuesday, indicating a decline in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 13.47 per cent, 25.40 per cent and 6.22 per cent apiece.

Universal Insurance topped the activity log with the sale of 70.3 million shares for N46.4 million, AIICO Insurance traded 39.7 million equities valued at N67.5 million, Access Holdings exchanged 16.8 million stocks worth N414.0 million, Livestock Feeds transacted 16.8 million shares valued at N106.8 million, and Nigerian Breweries traded 16.2 million equities worth N518.2 million.

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Economy

Bitcoin Trading Surges Ahead of Inauguration as Open Interest Hits $237m

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Bitcoin news

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

As the world, particularly the United States prepare for the second coming of Mr Donald Trump to the White House next Monday, there have been significant interest in the cryptocurrency market.

Mr Trump, who was the President of the US from 2017 to 2021, won the 2024 presidential election by defeating the current Vice President, Ms Kamala Harris, who was the candidate of the Democratic Party, and will be sworn-in on Monday, January 20, 2025, for a second term in office.

The Head of Research at Derive.xyz, Mr Sean Dawson, while commenting on the renewed interest in Bitcoin ((BTC) and other digital coins in the market, said, “In the last 24 hours, BTC trading activity has surged, with open interest hitting an impressive $237 million.

“With 38 per cent of BTC contracts being calls bought and 37.3 per cent puts bought, it’s clear that traders are positioning for increased volatility, particularly with the inauguration just days away.

“This appetite for market swings likely reflects growing uncertainty in U.S. markets as expectations for a near-term rate cut diminish.”

“Additionally, bearish sentiment appears to be gaining traction, with BTC puts now making up 40 per cent of all open interest, a sharp increase from 20 per cent just last week. This shift suggests traders are hedging against potential downside risks as we approach the inauguration.

“Implied volatility (IV) trends further highlight this heightened uncertainty. BTC’s 7-day ATM IV has risen by 3 per cent to 56.5 per cent, while the 30-day IV is up 1.5 per cent, now at 57.5%. This steady climb points to a more volatile market sentiment leading up to the event,” he further said.

”ETH, on the other hand, has seen an even more pronounced spike in IV. Over the past 24 hours, ETH’s 7-day IV has surged by 6 per cent to 74 per cent, nearly double the rise seen in BTC.

“Meanwhile, its 30-day IV has climbed 2.5 per cent to 69.5 per cent. This disparity suggests ETH traders are anticipating greater immediate volatility, possibly due to its higher sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts and speculation surrounding post-inauguration policies.

“As the inauguration draws near, these trends underline a pivotal moment for traders, with both BTC and ETH markets reflecting a mix of caution and readiness for potential sharp moves,” Mr Dawson stated.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Inflation Jumps to 34.80% in December 2024

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inflation in Nigeria

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s inflation hit 34.80 per cent in December 2024 from 34.60 per cent in November 2024, spurred by festive activities.

This was disclosed by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in its first published data after almost a month of blackout on its website following a purported hack.

The December 2024 headline inflation rate showed a marginal increase of 0.20 per cent compared to the November 2024 headline inflation rate.

This was due to December festive period increases in demand for goods and services.

On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 5.87 per cent higher than the rate recorded in December 2023 (28.92 per cent). This shows that the headline inflation rate (year-on-year basis) increased in December 2024 compared to the same month in the preceding year (i.e., December 2023).

On the contrary, the month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in December 2024 was 2.44 per cent, which was 0.20 per cent lower than the rate recorded in November 2024 at 2.64 per cent.

This means that in December 2024, the rate of increase in the average price level is slightly lower than the rate of increase in the average price level in November 2024.

Meanwhile, the food inflation rate in the festive month was 39.84 per cent on a year-on-year basis, 5.91 per cent points higher compared to the rate recorded in December 2023 at 33.93 per cent.

The rise in food inflation on a year-on-year basis was caused by increases in prices of the following items; yam, water yam, sweet potatoes, etc (potatoes, yam & other tubers class), beer, pinto (tobacco class), guinea corn, maize grains, rice, etc (bread and cereals class), and dried fish-sadine, catfish dried, etc (fish class).

On a month-on-month basis, the Food inflation rate in December 2024 was 2.66 per cent which shows a 0.32 per cent decrease compared to the rate recorded in November 2024 at 2.98 per cent.

The decline can be attributed to the rate of decrease in the average prices of local beer (burukutu), pinto (tobacco Class), fruit juice in tin, malt drinks, etc (soft drinks class), rice, millet, maize flour, etc (bread and cereals class) and water yam, irish potatoes, coco yam, etc (potatoes, yam & other tubers class).

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