Economy
Nigeria Suffers Third Consecutive Quarterly Trade Deficit
By Adedapo Adesanya
For the third consecutive quarter, Nigeria has recorded a negative trade balance or trade deficit, recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has revealed.
Business Post reports that the trade balance, also known as the balance of trade (BOT), is the difference between the value of imports and exports of a country in a period.
According to the NBS, in the second quarter of 2020, the trade balance of Nigeria, Africa’s largest economy, recorded a deficit of N1.8 trillion.
This was because, in the period under review, the total value of exports in Nigeria stood at N2.2 trillion, while the value of imports stood at N4.0 trillion in Q2 2020.
In the first quarter of 2020, the country suffered a trade deficit of N421.3 billion, while in the fourth quarter of 2019, the trade deficit was N579.1 billion.
In the Foreign Trade in Good Statistics report for Q2 2020 released by the stats office on Wednesday, the total value of trades between April and June this year stood at N6.2 trillion, lower than the N8.6 trillion recorded both in Q1 2020 and Q2 2019.
A critical look at the export component of the trades in the second quarter of this year showed that mineral products accounted for the largest portion of exports, amounting to N1.9 trillion mainly due to the crude oil component. It was followed by vehicles aircraft and parts (N221.2 billion) and others.
Analysis of export by region revealed that Nigeria exported most products to Europe (N976.5 billion), followed by Asia (N734.1 billion), Africa (N401.4 billion), America (N105.8 billion) and Oceania (N1.7 billion). Within Africa, goods worth N149.3 billion were exported to ECOWAS member states.
For the destination of the exported products by country, Spain accounted for the highest valued (N310.8 billion), followed by the Netherlands (N243.7billion), China (N220.4 billion), India (N195.6 billion) and South Africa (N172.2).
An analysis of the imports showed that the fall in value in Q2 2020 was due to the decrease in the value of mineral fuels (N1.0 trillion), machinery and transport equipment (N147.2 billion) and miscellaneous manufactured articles (N157.5 billion) against their respective values in Quarter 1, 2020.
The structure of imports under this category showed that machinery and transport equipment accounted for the largest share of imports, at N1.6 trillion of total imports, followed by chemicals and related products, valued at N776.3 billion and food and live animals worth N648.6 billion among others.
The agency said during the quarter, Nigeria imported goods mainly from Asia worth N2.1 trillion. Other imports originated from Europe worth N1.1 trillion, while imports from America and Africa amounted to N605.2 billion and N174 billion respectively. Also, import from Oceania stood at N50.6 billion, while goods valued at N31.1 billion originated from ECOWAS.
By country, goods were mainly imported from China and they were worth (N1.3 trillion, while United States accounted for N428.9 billion, with India accounting for N322.3 billion, and the Netherlands accounting for N202.9 billion.
Economy
Naira Loses Against Dollar Official, Black Markets
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira opened the new trading week on a negative note on Monday at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) and the black market.
At the parallel market, the Nigerian currency weakened against the US Dollar by N5 to sell for N1,380/$1 compared with the preceding session’s rate of N1,375/$1, and at the GTBank FX desk, it shed N1 to trade at N1,373/$1 versus N1,372/$1.
At the official market, it lost 63 Kobo or 0.05 per cent against the Dollar during the session to close at N1,362.84/$1, in contrast to last Friday’s value of N1,362.21/$1.
However, the Nigerian Naira gained N2.30 against the Pound Sterling at the spot market yesterday, quoting at N1,821.29/£1 compared with the previous rate of N1,823.59/£1, and improved against the Euro by 23 Kobo to settle at N1,574.35/€1 versus N1,574.58/€1.
Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that interbank forex turnover increased to $92.248 million across 90 deals, from $73.565 million last Friday.
On the policy front, participants believed that the application of the fourth edition of the Foreign Exchange Manual of the central bank, which introduces updated guidelines for foreign exchange transactions and tightening compliance requirements for authorised dealers and market participants, will enhance market flexibility and ease previous restrictions.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market snapped from recent declines, jolted by Strategy’s purchase of 1,550 Bitcoin for approximately $101 million, increasing its total holdings to 845,256 BTC. The company raised $181 million through common stock sales, using the proceeds to fund the bitcoin purchase and increase its cash reserves to $1 billion, pushing the price of the coin higher by 3.2 per cent to $63,731.69.
Cardano (ADA) appreciated by 8.4 per cent to $0.1738, Ethereum (ETH) rose by 5.2 per cent to $1,711.54, Solana (SOL) expanded by 5.1 per cent to $67.82, and Ripple (XRP) improved by 4.9 per cent to $1.18.
Further, Dogecoin (DOGE) jumped by 4.3 per cent to $0.0873, Binance Coin (BNB) soared by 2.7 per cent to $609.50, and TRON (TRX) increased by 0.7 per cent to $0.3274, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $0.9997 and $0.9998, respectively.
Economy
Economist Tasks FG to Explore Alternative Funding Sources
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The federal government has been advised to consider exploring other funding sources to finance its budget deficits.
Speaking with Punch recently, the chief executive of CSA Advisory, Mr Aliyu Ilias, said the current appetite for borrowing by the government cannot be sustained because it elevates debt-servicing costs.
The economist suggested the sale of some public assets and the involvement of the private sector in infrastructure financing for economic growth.
According to him, running to the debt markets to raise funds for the government is not the best route to take, as the reliance on borrowing always leads to higher debt-servicing obligations.
“The more you borrow, the more you are also incurring more debt services,” he said, tasking the government to also capitalise on increased oil revenues stemming from ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
“The government can actually sell off some of their assets to raise more money. The government can also, if you look at the revenue we are getting from oil, it’s getting more, especially with this war. It’s another opportunity for us to actually not borrow again,” Mr Ilias submitted.
He also pointed to ongoing tax reforms as another avenue to improve government finances and narrow the fiscal gap.
“The government can also look at tax reform. The fact is that the government does not have money. The only chance for getting more money is to address the financial deficit,” he added.
Economy
Crude Oil Gains Over $1 Despite Easing Iran-Israel Tensions
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil was up by $1 on Monday as Iran and Israel said they had halted attacks on each other following an appeal from US President Donald Trump.
Brent crude futures gained $1.16 or 1.3 per cent to trade at $94.25 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 76 cents or 0.8 per cent to $91.30 per barrel.
Iran’s military said Monday it halted attacks on Israel after the two countries exchanged their most intense strikes in months, further straining an already shaky ceasefire as well as the US-Israeli relationship. Iran, however, said it would resume strikes if Israel continued to hit Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Israel also halted attacks on Iran, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said, stopping short of acknowledging a ceasefire that US President Donald Trump said the countries were aiming for.
President Trump said earlier that the US blockade, which was introduced in April, would remain in place “in full force” until a final peace agreement between the two warring nations is reached.
Prices gained more than 5 per cent earlier on Monday after renewed Israeli strikes on Iran and attacks on Lebanon had reduced hopes of an imminent end to the wider war.
Market analysts noted that because of the strikes, investors were concerned that flows through the Strait of Hormuz might remain restricted for longer. Roughly a fifth of the world’s daily supply of oil and liquefied natural gas passed through the waterway before US-Israeli airstrikes at the end of February unleashed the latest escalation of the Middle Eastern conflict.
Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis said on Monday they would ban ships linked to Israel from the Red Sea after Israel renewed its military attacks on Iran, adding to concerns about global shipping and energy flows.
In the face of the supply crisis, a sub-group under the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) on Sunday agreed on its fourth oil output target increase in four months. The seven members decided to increase targets by 188,000 barrels per day from July, the same as the June hike, which was adjusted down from monthly increases of 206,000 barrels per day in May and April to take into account the exit of the United Arab Emirates (UAE).
On paper, the sub-group has increased its output quotas from April to June by almost 600,000 barrels per day, but in reality, the group’s production has collapsed due to export cuts by Gulf members, averaging 33.19 million barrels per day in April compared with 42.77 million barrels per day in February.
Saudi Arabia has cut its official selling prices for crude oil to Asia in July for a second month.
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