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Nigeria’s Consumer Confidence Index Drops 113 in Q1 2018

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The latest Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for the first quarter of 2018 for West Africa has reflected a mixed bag of sentiment, associated with lingering uncertainty.

It’s no secret that Sub-Saharan Africa has been through a tumultuous few years with fluctuating commodity prices and resulting market uncertainty.

In the report, Ghana’s CCI stayed stable at 120, the same level as the previous quarter, while Nigeria’s level dropped nine points to 113.

Looking at current sentiment Nielsen West Africa & Maghreb MD Abhik Gupta explains; “There was an expectation that the situation would improve after Quarter 4, with fundamentals looking up i.e. more cash/forex injection by the Central Bank and higher oil prices, however, this improvement is still not evident in the market.

“Consumer purchasing power is lagging as the upturn in economy is not being felt at the consumer level. There has also been no change in inflation levels or employment conditions.  So, while the worst may be over, and the economy seems to have bottomed out, the improvement is still not evident.”

A thirst for jobs

In terms of their employment prospects over the next 12-months, Ghanaians’ sentiment has deteriorated slightly by four points to 65% who see their job prospects as positive. Nigeria has experienced an even greater drop of nine points to 56%. This, however, has had only a small effect on Nigerians view of their personal finances with 78% (down from 84%) saying their personal finances will be good or excellent in the next 12-months. In contrast, and despite their declining job outlook, 86% (a 7% point increase) of Ghanaians are feeling positive about their personal finances in the next 12-months.

Ghanaians immediate spending intentions are therefore unsurprisingly holding steady with 48% saying now is the time to buy the things they need and want, whereas this figure has declined by five points to 38% of Nigerians feeling the same. Both countries have, however, seen a marked decline in the number of respondents saying they have spare cash, namely a nine percent drop in Ghana to 47% and the same level of decline in Nigeria to 45%.

Saving centric

Due to the cash strapped nature of their lives and looming uncertainty, 80% of Ghanaians remain committed to a savings regime, 67% aim to invest in shares and mutual funds and 68% are determined to preserve the value of one of their biggest assets their home. Nigerians hold a similar predisposition towards saving (84%) and home improvements (76%) but 68% rank buying new clothes as their preferred option for the use of spare cash.

Looking ahead Gupta comments; “While Nigeria is experiencing dampened sentiment, consumer sentiment in Ghana is on a high even though there has been no change in index levels since the previous quarter. Inflation is also down and is expected to further moderate this year, leading to increase in consumer demand and higher purchasing power.”

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Economy

Court Authorises EFCC to Detain Six CBEX Promoters

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CBEX

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) has been given the power to arrest and detain six promoters of the troubled investment scheme operator, Crypto Bridge Exchange (CBEX).

The EFCC, through its counsel, Ms Fadila Yusuf, filed an ex-parte motion to keep the suspects in its custody pending the conclusion of investigation of the alleged offences and possible prosecution.

The suit was filed at the Federal High Court in Abuja and on Thursday, Justice Emeka Nwite, allowed the anti-money laundering organisation to further detain the sextet of Adefowora Abiodun Olanipekun, Adefowora Oluwanisola, Emmanuel Uko, Seyi Oloyede, Avwerosuo Otorudo and Chukwuebuka Ehirim as 1st to 6th defendants, respectively.

The commission asked the court to grant it “an order remanding the defendants in the custody of the complainant/applicant pending the conclusion of investigation of the alleged offences and possible prosecution.”

“The defendants are at large and a warrant of arrest is required to arrest the defendants for proper investigation and prosecution of this case,” she added.

In his ruling, Justice Nwite said, “I have listened to the submission of the learner counsel for the applicant, EFCC. I have also gone through the affidavit evidence with exhibits thereto along with the written address.

“I am of the view and I hold that the application is meritorious. Consequently, the application is granted as prayed.”

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Economy

NNPC Audit to Commence Soon—Wale Edun

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NNPC Crude Cargoes pricing

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, has announced that a forensic audit of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited would soon commence, but did not give a specific timeline.

He made this disclosure while speaking at the Nigerian Investor Forum, which is holding on the sidelines of the IMF/World Bank spring meetings in Washington D.C, the US, also attended by the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Yemi Cardoso.

He explained that the recent rejigging of the management of the NNPC was part of the cleansing the federal government has taken to audit the company

Addressing a group of investors drawn from renowned global financial institutions, including J.P. Morgan, the Minister outlined critical reforms the federal government has implemented to reset the economy and restore confidence.

Mr Edun told the foreign investors that the government, through its veracious reforms, have laid the foundation that would make the country the desired destination for private investors as he said the country is on the road to 7 per cent annual growth, calling for investments in infrastructure, manufacturing, and agriculture.

The Minister said the administration of President Bola Tinubu has implemented foundational reforms that are now yielding results, with the Nigerian economy expanding 3.84 per cent in Q4 2024 and 3.4 per cent overall for the year.

“Our goal is not just to maintain this momentum, but to accelerate it. We are targeting seven per cent annual growth, and we believe the policies we have implemented have laid the groundwork to achieve this,” he stated.

The finance minister further emphasized the significance of the reforms, noting they are “unprecedented” and have drawn praise from multilateral partners during ongoing discussions in Washington.

“We said we would do it, and now we have done it. This time, we’re staying the course,” Mr Edun added.

He noted that with macroeconomic stability gradually returning as reflected in narrowing budget deficits, improved trade balance, and a stabilizing exchange rate, adding that the government is now shifting its focus to targeted sectoral growth.

“We aim to close the food supply gap, not by importing more, but by enabling domestic producers to scale and innovate,” he said.

On infrastructure, the minister revealed the rollout of 90,000km of fiber optic cable to enhance digital connectivity, a move seen as critical to empowering Nigeria’s youth and tech entrepreneurs.

In addition, 4,000km of roads have been tendered for private sector participation, with the first 1,000km already signed off for delivery.

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Economy

Shippers Council Reiterates Promise to Boosting Trade

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free trade zones FTZs

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigerian Shippers Council (NSC) has reiterated its commitment to prioritising shipping activities and promoting importers and exporters in the country.

The Executive Secretary of the Council, Mr Pius Akutah, in a statement on Wednesday, said this after a familiarisation visit to the North East Zonal Directorate in Bauchi State.

The visit marked a strategic step in assessing the activities of the council in the region and reinforcing its role in trade facilitation and port economic regulation.

“The purpose of the visit was to promote regional integration in shipping activities and support exportation.

“This aligns with the current administration’s goal of enhancing the nation’s resources through the blue economy.

“We have had interactive meeting with stakeholders aimed at advancing shipping activities in the region and the role of shippers’ association in representing the interests of importers and exporters.

“The NSC is committed to improving ease of doing business,” he said.

On the Inland Dry Ports project in Bauchi, an initiative by the state government, Mr Akutah said it was laudable as it would attract both import and export activities to the area.

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