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Restart of Libyan Crude Production Weighs Down Prices by 3%

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libya oil production

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices slid more than 3 per cent on Monday over fears of increased global supply following news that Libya will resume oil production since January after oil export terminals and oilfields were blocked due to conflict.

Brent crude fell $1.36 or 3.15 per cent to $41.79 per barrel while the United States West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude shed 3.48 per cent or $1.43 to close at $39.68 barrel.

Libya’s National Oil Corporation will restart production from certain fields and some exports of crude oil, the company said, adding that it will only restart production at safe fields and exports from safe ports.

The resumption of Libyan oil flowing to the global market at a time of weak demand recovery and weak oil prices was not a piece of news welcomed by market participants with open arms.

It has the possibility to bring back 1.2 million barrels per day to the market from just about 100,000 barrels it is currently. The scale-down happened in January when General Khalifa Haftar’s Libyan National Army (LNA) occupied the African producer’s oilfields, effectively blocking the North African country’s black gold.

But now that Libya will start bringing production back on, things may well change as the agreement by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) relied on the country’s involuntary contribution to the overall supply curbs.

Analysts noted that there will be a gradual ramp-up of Libyan supply starting from the end of the month to 650,000 barrels a day in early 2021, a level below pre-crisis levels of 1.2 million barrels a day, based on earlier reports of damaged infrastructure.

This means Libya is set to add 230,000 barrels a day on average over the fourth quarter of 2020, with the possibility of ramping up production above this as they will be spared from the OPEC+ cuts.

Also, depressing prices on Monday were reports of rising coronavirus cases in Europe, which means already affected demand will be further impacted by the possible renewal of restrictions on activities on the continent.

Also, in the United States, Tropical Storm Beta is forecast to move toward the central coast of an oil state, Texas. Natural disasters normally prop up prices but the Gulf of Mexico region is still recovering from back-to-back hurricanes, following Hurricane Laura in late August and Hurricane Sally last week. As of Monday, more than 10 per cent of the region’s oil production remained shut-in.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Crude Oil Slightly Rises as Iran Allows Safe Passage for Ships

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Brazilian Crude Oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil marginally appreciated on Thursday after it was reported that about 30 vessels had crossed the Strait of Hormuz, with Brent crude oil futures gaining 9 cents or 0.09 per cent to trade at $105.72 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures expanding by 15 cents or 0.15 per cent to $101.17 a barrel.

Iranian state media reported that about 30 Chinese vessels were allowed safe passage by Iran through the Strait, which has been largely shut since the Iran war broke out at the end ​of February.

Before the report, a Chinese supertanker carrying 2 million barrels of Iraqi crude sailed through the contested waterway on Wednesday after being stranded in the Gulf for more than two months, while a Panama-flagged crude oil tanker managed by Japanese refining group Eneos had also passed.

Bloomberg also reported that the vessels were allowed to pass the Strait of Hormuz with the coordination of the Iranian authorities and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ navy, however, it added that it is yet unknown or unclear whether the US Navy side of the de facto blockade will also let them pass.

The move also follows formal requests by China’s foreign minister as well as its ambassador to Iran, with Iran reportedly agreeing based on safeguarding the two allies’ strategic partnership.

It also comes as President Donald Trump’s ongoing state visit to China, where he and President Xi Jinping agreed that the ‌Strait of ‌Hormuz must be open for ‌the free flow of energy.

President Xi expressed interest in purchasing more US oil to reduce China’s dependence on the Strait of Hormuz, according to the White House. China, the world’s largest oil importer, is not a big buyer of US crude and has not imported any since May 2025 due to a 20 per cent import tariff imposed during the trade war.

Iran, a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), ​also appears to have tightened control over the strait, cutting deals with Iraq and Pakistan to ship oil and liquefied natural gas from the region.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said the global economy is clearly moving into a middle “adverse scenario,” which would see global real GDP growth falling to 2.5 per cent this year from 3.4 per cent growth in 2025, citing the Iran war as the cause.

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Economy

Run From Any Unregistered Online Investment Platform—SEC Warns Nigerians

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SEC Nigeria

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

For the umpteenth time, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has run to the rooftop to warn Nigerians against putting their hard-earned money in online investment platforms not authorised to operate in the nation’s capital market.

SEC is the apex regulatory agency in the Nigerian capital market. It issues licences to companies operating in the ecosystem.

In a statement on Thursday, the organisation expressed concerns over the rising “promotion of unregistered online investment schemes on social media applications and websites, including WhatsApp, Instagram, Telegram, Facebook, TikTok and other digital platforms.

In the notice, the SEC emphasised that, “Many of these investment schemes exhibit characteristics of Ponzi or Prohibited investment schemes, while some operators of such schemes also provide unauthorised investment services to members of the public.”

In view of these, the commission advised members of the public “to refrain from investing or participating in any unregistered online investment platform or scheme promising unrealistic or guaranteed returns.”

“Members of the public are further advised not to rely on investment advisories circulated through online platforms by persons or entities not registered by the commission, as reliance on such advisories may expose investors to significant financial losses and fraudulent schemes,” it noted.

“The public is reminded that, under the provisions of the Investments and Securities Act, 2025, only entities registered by the commission are authorised to promote investment services, provide investment advisory services or solicit funds from the public in the Nigerian capital market,” another part of the circular signed by the management noted.

The regulator urged the investing public to verify the registration status of any platform, company, or entity offering investment opportunities on its dedicated portal: https://sec.gov.ng/fintech-and-innovation- hub-finport/registered-fintech-operators/ or https://www.sec.gov.ng/cmos before transacting or investing with them.

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Economy

Dangote Rejects NNPC Bid to Raise Stake in Soon-to-Be Listed Refinery

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NNPC vs Dangote refinery

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigerian businessman, Mr Aliko Dangote, has disclosed that he rejected requests by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to increase its 7.25 per cent stake in the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.

Mr Dangote stated this in a podcast with the Chief Executive Officer of the Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund, Mr Nicolai Tangen.

In the podcast interview, the billionaire revealed that the state oil company offered to increase its current 7.25 per cent stake in the 650,000 barrels per day plant.

However, this was rejected because the company is planning to go public and give other Nigerians the opportunity to own shares in the plant.

Recall that the refinery is planning a multi-exchange listing and targeting a valuation of $50 billion. It has appointed a consortium of three financial advisers to manage the offering. Stanbic IBTC Capital to handle international book-building process and lead engagement with foreign portfolio investors; Vetiva Capital Management to manage retail investor distribution within Nigeria; and FirstCap to focus on placements with Nigerian institutional investors, particularly pension funds.

It was reported in 2021 that the NNPC acquired the 7.25 per cent stake in the refinery for $1 billion, with an option to acquire the remaining 12.75 per cent stake by June 2024.

However, the national oil firm reneged on its decision.

During the interview with the Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund CEO, Mr Dangote revealed that the state oil company had made attempts to acquire more stakes in the refinery, but this was turned down.

The revelation came while he was responding to questions about what could be the biggest risks to his businesses.

“Actually, if there are civil wars, which is not in the offing at all.

“The other biggest risk is government inconsistencies in policies, and we are addressing that one because if you look at our refinery, the national oil company already owns 7.25 per cent, and they are trying to buy more. We are the ones that said no; we want to now spread it and have everybody be part of it.”

In 2024, Mr Dangote revealed that under the former Group Chief Executive Officer, Mr Mele Kyari, the NNPC reduced its stake in the refinery from 20 per cent to 7.25 per cent. He disclosed that the NNPC had only a 7.2 per cent stake in the refinery and not 20 per cent as many Nigerians believed.

“The agreement was actually 20 per cent, which we had with NNPC, and they did not pay the balance of the money up until last year; then we gave them another extension up until June (2024), and they said that they would remain where they had already paid, which is 7.2 per cent. So NNPC owns only 7.2 per cent, not 20 per cent,” Mr Dangote stated at the time.

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