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Economy

Recession Fears Shred Major Crude Oil Futures by 13%

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crude oil futures

By Adedapo Adesanya 

With travel restrictions and quarantines accelerating, major crude futures fell more than 13 percent on Wednesday as the bearish outcome added to fear of a looming recession.

Brent crude dropped 6.54 percent or $1.99 to trade at $28.42 per barrel, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell by 16.25 percent equivalent to $4.44 to add more worries to the United States economy at $20.83 per barrel.

The coronavirus pandemic has caused global travel to collapse affecting oil which is a major commodity that powers the economy. But as flights have been cancelled. Shipping, transportation, and manufacturing are also feeling the hard-hitting outcome of the outbreak.

Making matters worse, Russia and Saudi Arabia, after a bid to stabilise prices and cap supply, ended up at loggerheads.

Russia refused to cut production, in a bid to compete with the US shale producers by flooding the market with cheap crude. Saudi Arabia then responded by slashing prices and ramping up production, the opposite of what was needed to balance the market.

Meanwhile, following the failed attempt to reach an agreement to further curb oil production, current production cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+, are set to expire at the end of this month meaning countries are free to pump at will.

This will now add to an already existing oversupplied market, as the oil glut in the face of falling demand will worsen prices as many analysts have discovered.

On Tuesday, Goldman Sachs said that in 2020, oil demand will shrink by 1.1 million barrels per day, hitting a low in March when demand could plunge by 8 million barrels.

On its part, Rystad Energy on Wednesday projected a plunge of 2.8 million barrels per day in 2020. This is four times more from the energy firm’s previous call for a drop of just 600,000 barrels per day. April demand alone is likely to fall by 11 million barrels per day, Rystad explained.

It was stated that jet fuel is the biggest problem, with airlines around the world cancelling flights and parking planes because of travel restrictions. Global commercial air traffic according to Rystad’s projection will drop by about 20 percent this year.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Economist Tasks FG to Explore Alternative Funding Sources

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Aliyu Ilias

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The federal government has been advised to consider exploring other funding sources to finance its budget deficits.

Speaking with Punch recently, the chief executive of CSA Advisory, Mr Aliyu Ilias, said the current appetite for borrowing by the government cannot be sustained because it elevates debt-servicing costs.

The economist suggested the sale of some public assets and the involvement of the private sector in infrastructure financing for economic growth.

According to him, running to the debt markets to raise funds for the government is not the best route to take, as the reliance on borrowing always leads to higher debt-servicing obligations.

“The more you borrow, the more you are also incurring more debt services,” he said, tasking the government to also capitalise on increased oil revenues stemming from ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

“The government can actually sell off some of their assets to raise more money. The government can also, if you look at the revenue we are getting from oil, it’s getting more, especially with this war. It’s another opportunity for us to actually not borrow again,” Mr Ilias submitted.

He also pointed to ongoing tax reforms as another avenue to improve government finances and narrow the fiscal gap.

“The government can also look at tax reform. The fact is that the government does not have money. The only chance for getting more money is to address the financial deficit,” he added.

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Economy

Crude Oil Gains Over $1 Despite Easing Iran-Israel Tensions

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Cawthorne crude oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil was up by $1 on Monday as Iran and Israel said they had halted attacks on each other following an ‌appeal from US President Donald Trump.

Brent crude futures gained $1.16 or 1.3 per cent to trade at $94.25 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 76 cents or 0.8 per cent to $91.30 per barrel.

Iran’s military said Monday it halted attacks on Israel after the two countries exchanged their most intense strikes in months, further straining an already shaky ceasefire as well as the US-Israeli relationship. Iran, however, said it would resume strikes if Israel continued to hit Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Israel also halted attacks on Iran, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said, stopping short of acknowledging a ceasefire that US President Donald Trump said the countries were aiming for.

President Trump said earlier that the US blockade, which was introduced in April, would remain in place “in full force” until a final peace agreement between the two warring nations is reached.

Prices gained more than 5 per cent earlier on Monday after renewed Israeli strikes ​on Iran and attacks on Lebanon had reduced hopes of an imminent end to the wider war.

Market analysts noted that because of the strikes, investors were concerned that flows through the Strait of Hormuz might remain restricted for longer. Roughly ​a fifth of the world’s daily supply of oil and liquefied natural gas passed through the waterway before US-Israeli airstrikes at the end of February ‌unleashed the ⁠latest escalation of the Middle Eastern conflict.

Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis said on Monday they would ban ships linked to Israel from the Red Sea after Israel renewed its military ​attacks on Iran, adding to concerns about global shipping and energy flows.

In the face of ​the supply crisis, a sub-group under the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) on ⁠Sunday agreed on its fourth oil output target increase in four months. The seven members decided to increase ​targets by 188,000 barrels per day from July, the same as the June hike, which was adjusted down from monthly increases of 206,000 barrels per day in May and April to take into account the exit of the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

On paper, the sub-group has increased its output quotas from April ⁠to June by almost 600,000 barrels per day, but in reality, the group’s production has collapsed due to export cuts by Gulf members, averaging 33.19 million ​barrels per day in April compared with 42.77 million barrels per day in February.

Saudi Arabia has cut its official selling prices for crude oil to Asia ​in July for a second month.

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Economy

SEC Postpones Q2 2026 Pre-registration Training, Examination for CMOs

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capital market operators

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The pre-registration training and examination for capital market operators (CMOs) for the second quarter of 2026 has been postponed.

Business Post gathered that the new date for the exercise is now Monday, June 15, 2026.

This information was disclosed by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) through a circular on Monday, June 8, 2026.

The Nigerian capital market regulator stated that this postponement has also resulted in the extension of the deadline for registration to Friday, June 12, 2026.

In the notice today, the SEC expressed its regret for the inconvenience this action may cause operators, who had prepared for the initial date of the training and examination.

“Further to the recent circular on Q2 2026 Pre-registration Training and Examination, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) hereby informs all eligible applicants for the Q2 2026 Pre-registration Training and Examination that the commencement date has been postponed to Monday, June 15, 2026.

“Registration on the designated portal has also been extended to Friday, June 12, 2026. All other conditions contained in the circular remain unchanged.

“The commission regrets any inconvenience this postponement may cause and appreciates the understanding of all applicants,” the disclosure noted.

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