Economy
US Stocks Open Lower on Trade Deal Skepticism
By Investors Hub
The major U.S. index futures are pointing to a lower opening on Tuesday, with stocks likely to give back ground following the rally seen in the previous session.
Profit taking may contribute to initial weakness on Wall Street, as traders cash in on the strong gains posted on Monday in reaction to the trade war truce reached by President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.
Uncertainty about whether the 90-day truce will give the U.S. and China enough time to reach a long-term trade agreement may inspire traders to cash in on yesterday?s strong upward move.
News that U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, one of Trump?s more hawkish advisors on trade with China, has been tapped to lead the negotiations has added to the skepticism.
Trump has appeared optimistic about the potential for an agreement, claiming U.S. relations with China have taken a ?big lead forward? as a result of his meeting with XI.
?Very good things will happen,? Trump said in a post on Twitter. ?We are dealing from great strength, but China likewise has much to gain if and when a deal is completed. Level the field!?
?President Xi and I have a very strong and personal relationship,? he added. ?He and I are the only two people that can bring about massive and very positive change, on trade and far beyond, between our two great Nations.?
Overall trading activity may be somewhat subdued, however, with a lack of major U.S. economic data likely to keep some traders on the sidelines.
Tomorrow?s national day of mourning for former President George H.W. Bush may also limit trading activity, as the NYSE and the Nasdaq will be closed on the day and the release of most economic data has been postponed.
After moving sharply higher at the open, stocks gave back some ground but managed to remain firmly positive throughout the trading session on Monday. With the advance on the day, the major averages added to the substantial gains posted last week.
The major averages moved roughly sideways for much of the session before closing significantly higher. The Dow surged up 287.97 points or 1.1 percent to 25,826.43, the Nasdaq soared 110.98 points or 1.5 percent to 7,441.51 and the S&P 500 shot up 30.20 points or 1.1 percent to 2,790.37.
The initial jump on Wall Street reflected a positive reaction to the highly anticipated meeting between Trump and Xi over the weekend.
At the meeting, Trump and Xi agreed to a 90-day truce in the escalating trade war between the world’s two largest economies as they work to reach a long-term trade deal.
A White House statement said Trump agreed not to raise the tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods to 25 percent from 10 percent on January 1st as planned.
In return, China agreed to purchase a “not yet agreed upon, but very substantial, amount” of agricultural, energy, industrial, and other product from the U.S.
The White House said the U.S. and China will use the next 90 days to attempt to reach an agreement on issues such as forced technology transfer, intellectual property protection, and non-tariff barriers.
If the two countries are not able to reach an agreement by the end of the time period, the 10 percent tariffs on Chinese goods will be raised to 25 percent.
In remarks to reporters aboard Air Force One, Trump called the agreement with Xi an “incredible deal,” claiming it will have an “incredibly positive impact” on “every type of product.”
Trump also said China will be “opening up” and “getting rid of tariffs,” stating in a subsequent post on Twitter that China has agreed to reduce and remove tariffs on cars coming into the country from the U.S.
Paul Ashworth, Chief U.S. Economist at Capital Economics, noted Trump ripped up an earlier trade deal with China negotiated by Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross.
“We suspect that since he negotiated this deal himself, Trump will be much more reluctant to torpedo it when his own personal reputation is on the line,” Ashworth said.
He added, “Nevertheless, his own administration includes plenty of China hawks who are pushing the protectionist agenda, so we suspect China will have to offer a little more than the minor concessions that South Korea, Mexico and Canada agreed to reach trade deals with the U.S.”
On the U.S. economic front, the Institute for Supply Management released a report showing an unexpected acceleration in the pace of growth in manufacturing activity in the month of November.
The ISM said its purchasing managers index climbed to 59.3 in November after falling to 57.7 in October, with a reading above 50 indicating growth in manufacturing activity. Economists had expected the index to edge down to 57.5.
Meanwhile, a separate report from the Commerce Department showed construction spending unexpectedly edged lower in October.
Energy stocks showed a substantial move to the upside on the day, benefiting from a sharp increase by the price of crude oil.
Reflecting the strength in the energy sector, the Philadelphia Oil Service Index spiked by 3.5 percent, while the NYSE Arca Natural Gas Index and the NYSE Arca Oil Index both surged up by 2.7 percent.
Considerable strength also emerged among computer hardware stocks, as reflected by the 3.4 percent rally by the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware Index.
Steel, semiconductor, gold, and retail stocks also saw significant strength on the day, reflecting broad based buying interest on Wall Street.
By Dipo Olowookere
A 0.38 per cent loss was suffered by Nigerian stocks on Tuesday on the back of continued selling pressure from investors embarking on profit-taking.
Data from the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited showed that the contraction was influenced by the 1.78 per cent decline recorded by the insurance sector, the 0.24 per cent slip printed by the consumer goods index, and the 0.09 per cent drop posted by the energy space, offsetting the 0.75 per cent growth achieved by the banking sector and the 0.21 per cent growth recorded by the industrial goods segment.
Investor sentiment was weak during the trading day, as the bourse ended with 13 price gainers and 40 price losers, representing a negative market breadth index.
LivingTrust Mortgage depreciated by 10.00 per cent to N3.42, Multiverse also shed 10.00 per cent to N22.95, McNichols dropped 9.92 per cent to N5.45, Thomas Wyatt dipped by 9.87 per cent to N3.56, and Eterna lost 8.57 per cent to trade at N33.00.
On the flip side, AVA Capital improved by 9.94 per cent to N9.95, Livestock Feeds expanded by 9.71 per cent to N8.65, Neimeth increased by 8.43 per cent to N9.00, AIICO gained 3.47 per cent to settle at N4.18, and Oando grew by 3.30 per cent to N36.00.
A total of 1.6 billion equities valued at N28.7 billion exchanged hands in 54,160 deals yesterday versus the 923.0 million equities worth N37.9 billion traded in 72,544 deals on Monday, indicating a 73.35 per cent surge in the trading volume, a 24.27 per cent decline in the trading value, and a 25.34 per cent slip in the number of deals.
The busiest stock was Japaul, which transacted 904.4 million units for N2.7 billion. Sterling Holdings sold 54.0 million units valued at N431.9 million, FCMB exchanged 49.5 million units worth N545.9 million, Chams traded 44.9 million units for N199.2 million, and Neimeth sold 42.4 million units worth N327.8 million.
Business Post reports that the All-Share Index (ASI) gave up 927.70 points to 244,802.83 points from 245,730.53 points, and the market capitalisation receded by N599 billion to N158.016 trillion from N158.615 trillion.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira put up a better performance against the United States Dollar in the various segments of the foreign exchange (FX) market on Tuesday, August 4.
In the parallel market, it improved its value by N5 to settle at N1,400/$1 compared with the previous day’s value of N1,405/$1, and at the GTBank forex desk, it appreciated by N1 to close at N1,373/$1, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1,374/$1.
In the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) segment, the Nigerian currency gained N2.28 or 0.17 per cent against the greenback to quote at N1,362.55/$1 compared with the N1,364.83/$1 it was exchanged a day earlier.
Also in the official market, the local currency appreciated against the Pound Sterling during the session by N6.48 to finish at N1,831.41/£1 versus N1,837.89/£1, and chalked up N5.22 on the Euro to sell at N1,568.71/€1 versus N1,573.93/€1.
Interbank FX transactions increased 14 per cent day-on-day as market makers’ activities raised total Dollar volume exchanged to $156.23 million, more than 132 per cent above $137.05 million in turnover at the previous close.
The interbank FX turnover rose despite a marginal rise in deals at the NFEM window as data from the central bank put Tuesday’s quote at 139 from 138.
As for the cryptocurrency market, major tokens were mixed as global stock indexes hit fresh records on renewed enthusiasm for artificial-intelligence-related shares.
With cheaper oil, easing rate expectations and a strong risk-on rally in equities supporting digital assets, analysts say crypto appears to be driven by internal market dynamics rather than macroeconomic factors, even as traders watch for a potential Strait of Hormuz deal.
It was reported overnight that Iran and Oman were close to an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with an announcement targeted for Wednesday.
Binance Coin (BNB) grew by 1.8 per cent to $600.54, Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 0.9 per cent to $64,199.86, Solana (SOL) jumped by 0.8 per cent to $73.95, and Ethereum (ETH) advanced by 0.7 per cent to $1,867.21.
But Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 1.9 per cent to $0.1908, TRON (TRX) dipped by 0.6 per cent to $0.3268, Dogecoin (DOGE) slumped by 0.5 per cent to $0.0698, and Ripple (XRP) crashed by 0.4 per cent to $1.06, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 apiece.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Brent crude dropped below $80 per barrel, precisely losing $4.41 or 5.3 per cent to settle at $79.36 a barrel on Tuesday, after comments by officials from the United States and Qatar raised hopes for a diplomatic resolution to the Iran war, which could improve oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
Also, the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures depreciated by $4.57 or 5.7 per cent to trade at $75.77 a barrel.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Tuesday there was progress in talks with Iran and Oman about moving more ships through the strait, but a final agreement was yet to be reached.
Also, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent had said earlier on Tuesday that a deal with Iran to reopen the strait could come as soon as Tuesday or Wednesday.
Qatar’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Majed al-Ansari said efforts to secure a diplomatic resolution to the war were continuing.
Qatar said it has discussed with US President Donald Trump ways to reduce escalation and converge viewpoints between the US and Iran.
Meanwhile, the latest round of US-facilitated talks between Israel and Lebanon began on Tuesday and will continue through Thursday.
Amid this, Iran still wants control over inbound shipping and visibility over outbound traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, with the ability to intervene if necessary, as part of a plan being discussed with Oman to reopen the strategic waterway.
Market analysts noted that the prospect of a diplomatic solution to the conflict has helped remove some of the geopolitical risk premium in oil prices. If negotiations between the US and Iran make meaningful progress, the market could continue pricing in a lower probability of supply disruptions.
Disruptions to shipping through the strait, through which a fifth of global oil and gas flowed before the war, have forced Middle Eastern nations to cut oil output sharply. The world has lost more than 2.6 billion barrels of oil since the Iran war began in February.
Shipping traffic at the key Gulf waterways of Bab el-Mandeb and the Strait of Hormuz remained unchanged at the start of the week.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US rose by 2.69 million barrels in the week ending July 30. Commercial crude oil inventories excluding the SPR have lost just over 58 million barrels over the last sixteen weeks, with US crude inventories down just 7.2 million for the year, according to API data.
Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.
