Economy
Why Nigeria May Hike Pump Price, Raise Interest Rate, Devalue Naira in 2019

By FSDH Research
Certain key events, both at the global level and in Nigeria, will influence economic and business activities in 2019.
FSDH Research examines a few of these events and discusses the implications for businesses and investments in Nigeria.
The expected hike in interest rates in major advanced countries will lead to an increase in global yields and may put pressure on currency in Nigeria.
There are strong indications that the US Federal Reserve, Bank of England and European Central Bank will increase interest rates in 2019. The expected increase in the interest rate in the international market may also lead to an increase in the interest rate in Nigeria because of monetary policy adjustments to reduce capital flight.
Nigeria may lose a substantial amount of its projected crude oil revenue due to a limit on crude oil production and the drop in the global crude oil price. This may also lead to a drop in the supply of foreign exchange into Nigeria, resulting in a possible depreciation or devaluation of the Naira.
Nigerian businesses should look for local alternatives, where possible, for the raw materials needed for their production process.
They should also limit or eliminate foreign debt, particularly if they do not have foreign exchange receivables to mitigate the possible foreign exchange risk.
FSDH Research also advises that businesses should put in place appropriate foreign exchange hedging strategies. The Q3 2018 Balance of Payment (BoP) report that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) published shows that earnings from crude oil and gas accounted for 94.4 percent of total export earnings during the period.
The external trade report that the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) published for Q3 2018 shows that crude oil exports accounted for 85 percent of total exports. Therefore, any adverse movement in crude oil price or production has high negative implications on the Nigerian economy.
Although FSDH Research expects the general election in 2019 to be peaceful, its outcome will determine economic activity and business in Nigeria.
A peaceful election will ensure stability of the Nigerian economy and pave the way for the flow of investments, both Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) and Foreign Portfolio Investments (FPIs) into Nigeria. Certain longterm business and investment decisions may be taken immediately after the election if the current government retains power.
However, if there is a change in power, investors may wait until after the presidential inauguration on May 29 before they take long-term investment decisions, to give them enough time to access details of the policies of the incoming government.
There are certain macroeconomic realities that the Nigerian government must contend with in 2019.
FSDH Research believes the fiscal deficit in 2019 may be higher than in 2018, and higher than what is projected for the year 2019. In order to execute certain plans that will move the economy forward, government may have to increase borrowing or partner with private sector operators on key projects.
An increase in borrowing will increase the interest rate, while partnership with the private sector will expand economic activity and create new job opportunities.
Already, the ratio of government’s debt service to revenue is high and at an unsustainable level. Therefore, additional debt, in an environment of rising interest rates, may reduce government’s ability to execute critical programmes that will improve the business environment.
While fixed income investors may enjoy higher yields in 2019 than in 2018, businesses may suffer under rising interest costs.
FSDH Research analysis shows that electricity and the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) are two key prices that government will need to adjust in 2019 to free up funds for developmental purposes.
The adjustment may increase the inflation rate in the short-term, but it will benefit the economy in the long-term. More investments are required in the power sector than are currently available.
However, the sector may not attract investment in the absence of a cost-reflective tariff. Government already allows an off-grid power supply arrangement based on ‘willing buyer, willing seller’. The tariff at which this arrangement is settled is higher than the tariff for the power from on-grid supply. Appropriate policy responses from government and strategies from the business community may ameliorate the likely negative impacts of these key events in 2019.
Economy
Nigeria Not Among 10 Most Cryptocurrency-Obsessed Countries

By Dipo Olowookere
A new report by Atmos has revealed that Nigeria is not among the 10 most cryptocurrency-obsessed countries in the world despite a growing interest in digital assets among citizens.
In the report made available to Business Post, it was disclosed that the United Arab Emirates (UAE) is the most crypto-obsessed country in 2025, with over a quarter of its population owning at least a digital coin.
It was discovered that the country has exceptional adoption growth at 210 per cent and moderate searches despite having minimal Bitcoin ATM infrastructure.
Following is Singapore with a score of 97.5, with nearly a quarter of its population having cryptocurrency, and has seen a 150 per cent increase in adoption. With 160,000 monthly crypto searches, Singapore maintains its reputation as one of the most engaged markets in the space despite lacking any Bitcoin ATMs.
The United States was third with an ownership rate of 15.5 per cent, though leading in Bitcoin ATMs, housing nearly 30,000 nationwide. It also records the highest number of crypto searches, surpassing 4.2 million monthly, indicating a continued mainstream interest in digital assets.
The fourth place was Canada though it has an adoption growth rate at 225 per cent, with 10.1 per cent of its population now holding cryptocurrency. It hosts the second-largest Bitcoin ATM network globally with 3,561 machines, dramatically fewer than the US but thousands more than any previous country.
Turkey secured the fifth spot with crypto ownership of 19.3 per cent, and a monthly search rate of 802,000. While adoption growth of 135 per cent is slightly lower than other top-ranked countries, Turkey’s increasing reliance on digital assets amid economic uncertainty highlights its strong position in the crypto market.
The sixth was Germany and adoption growth rate at 225 per cent, with over one million crypto-related searches per month, Switzerland ranked seventh, Australia occupied eighth place, Argentina ranked ninth and South Korea occupied the 10th place.
“Cryptocurrency adoption is not just about investment trends. It is reshaping financial systems worldwide. In some regions, it is a hedge against inflation and currency instability, while in others, it is a step toward a more digitized economy.
“What truly drives adoption is not just interest but accessibility. When regulatory clarity, payment integration, and real-world utility align, crypto moves from speculation to a fundamental part of everyday transactions.
“As global financial landscapes shift, the countries embracing this evolution will be the ones setting the standard for the future of digital finance,” the chief executive of Atmos, Mr Nick Cooke, said.
Economy
Sage Grey Backs Impact-Driven Financial, Technological Solutions

By Modupe Gbadeyanka
A leading technology firm, Sage Grey Technologies, has reaffirmed its commitment to driving financial inclusion, SME growth and technological innovation through strategic partnerships and product development.
The firm, alongside its sister company, Sage Grey Finance, said it is making efforts to expand financial access for SMEs, drive technological advancements, and contribute to sustainable economic development through solutions.
“We are committed to building technology solutions that not only enhance business operations but also create social impact.
“Our goal is to bridge efficiency gaps in Nigeria’s digital ecosystem while ensuring that businesses and individuals benefit from technology-driven opportunities,” the Chief Operating Officer of Sage Grey Technologies, Mr Yemi Jinadu, stated.
Also, the Executive Director of Sage Grey Finance, Mr Jumo Atiba, said, “At Sage Grey Finance, we believe in the transformative power of impact financing.
“Our unique position in Nigeria’s financial ecosystem allows us to unlock opportunities that generate both financial returns and meaningful social impact.
“As a licensed and regulated entity by the Central Bank of Nigeria, we seamlessly blend profitability with social impact. Our integration into the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System ensures we deliver secure, efficient financial services, setting us apart.
“Our journey is rooted in empowering businesses, fostering sustainable development, and creating enduring value for our stakeholders and communities.”
Sage Grey Technologies’ product innovations include Splitmulti, a digital marketplace that allows businesses and consumers to make bulk purchases at wholesale prices, providing cost-effective solutions for retailers and end users; Proxze, a platform that connects businesses with verified service providers, including business professionals, simplifying compliance and financial management; Adzplug, a street-level advertising solution that allows shop owners to earn passive income while giving brands direct access to local markets; and Nkiru, a customer support solution that provides corporates and SMEs with digital reception services, helping them establish a professional presence without physical office costs.
On its part, Sage Grey Finance offers a tailored SME funding scheme that enables small businesses to access financing at a highly competitive 9 per cent interest rate.
It also support small business owners through partnership with the National Association of Small and Medium Enterprises (NASME) to facilitate direct engagement with entrepreneurs, ensuring that financing solutions reach those who need them most, and improve access to capital to underserved groups such as women and youth by providing dedicated financial products designed to foster economic empowerment.
Economy
Tinubu Signs Investments and Securities Act 2025 into Law

By Aduragbemi Omiyale
President Bola Tinubu has signed the Investments and Securities Act (ISA) 2025 into law, repealing the Investments and Securities Act No. 29 of 2007
The enactment of the ISA 2025 reaffirms the authority of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) as the apex regulatory authority of the Nigerian capital market. The new Act also introduces transformative provisions to further align Nigeria’s market operations with international best practices.
It strengthens the legal framework of the Nigerian capital market, enhances investor protection, and introduces critical reforms to promote market integrity, transparency, and sustainable growth.
The Director-General of the SEC, Mr Emomotimi Agama, lauded the President’s assent as a transformative step for the capital market.
“The ISA 2025 reflects our commitment to building a dynamic, inclusive, and resilient capital market. By addressing regulatory gaps and introducing forward-looking provisions, the new Act empowers the SEC to foster innovation, protect investors more efficiently and reposition Nigeria as a competitive destination for local and foreign investments.
“We commend all stakeholders within and outside the capital market community for their unwavering solidarity towards the achievement of this historic milestone and solicit their continued collaboration in respect of the effective implementation of the ISA 2025 for the benefit of our economy,” he stated.
Business Post reports that the Act enhances the regulatory powers of the SEC in a manner comparable with benchmark global securities regulators. These enhanced powers and functions ensure full conformity with the requirements of IOSCO’s Enhanced Multilateral Memorandum of Understanding (EMMoU), enabling the SEC retain its Signatory A status and enhancing the overall attractiveness of the Nigerian capital market.
Other notable provisions of the ISA 2025 include:
Classification of Exchanges and inclusion of provisions on Financial Market Infrastructures– The Act classifies Securities Exchanges into Composite and Non-composite Exchanges. A Composite Exchange is one in which all categories of securities and products can be listed and traded, while a Non-composite Exchange focuses on a singular type of security or product. There are also new provisions on Financial Market Infrastructures such as Central Counter Parties, Clearing Houses and Trade Depositories.
Expansion of the definition and Understanding of Securities – The Act explicitly recognises virtual/digital assets and investment contracts as securities and brings Virtual Asset Service Providers (VASPs), Digital Asset Operators (DAOPs) and Digital Asset Exchanges under the SEC’s regulatory purview.
Comprehensive Insolvency Provisions for Financial Market Infrastructures – The Act introduces provisions that exempt transactions facilitated through or otherwise involving Financial Market Infrastructures from the application of general insolvency laws.
Management of Systemic Risk – The Act introduces provisions for the monitoring, management and mitigation of systemic risk in the Nigerian capital market.
Expansion of the Category of Issuers to the Public– The Act expands the categories of issuers, as a key step towards the introduction of a wide range of innovative products and offerings as well as the facilitation of “commercial and investment business activities”, subject to the approval of the Commission and other controls stipulated in the Act.
Legal Framework for Commodities Exchanges – The Act contains a new Part which provides for the regulation of Commodities Exchanges and Warehouse Receipts. These provisions are essential to allow for the development of the entire gamut of the Commodities ecosystem.
Issuance of Securities by Sub-Nationals and their Agencies– Salient provisions of the Act address existing restrictions in respect of raising of funds from the capital market by Sub-Nationals to allow for greater flexibility in this regard.
Transparency in Securities Transactions – The Act introduces the mandatory use of Legal Entity Identifiers (LEIs) by participants in capital market transactions. This stipulation is designed to improve transparency in the conduct of securities transactions.
Enforcement Against Illegal Investment Schemes – The Act expressly prohibits Ponzi Schemes and other unlawful investment schemes while prescribing stringent jail terms and other sanctions for the promoters of such schemes.
Strengthening the Investments and Securities Tribunal– The Act amends some key provisions in the repealed ISA 2007 pertaining to the Composition of the Tribunal, constitution of the Tribunal, qualification and appointment of the Chief Registrar as well as the jurisdiction of the Tribunal to enhance the ability of the Tribunal to optimally discharge its mandate.
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