Feature/OPED
Dankwambo and the PDP Quest for Power
By Edwin Emeka Aboh
There is no doubt that the recent release of election timetable and schedules of activities for the 2019 general elections by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has altered some political calculations and permutations across the country.
According to the timetable, the conduct of party primaries and resolution of disputes emanating from such primaries will be held between August 18 and October 7 this year while official campaigns by political parties and their respective Presidential and National Assembly candidates will start from November 18 and ends on February 14, 2019.
In the same vein, the governorship and state Houses of Assembly campaigns will start from December 1 and ends on February 28, 2019. This is in line with the earlier dates set for the Presidential and National Assembly elections slated for February 16, 2019 and the Governorship and State Houses of Assembly elections slated for March 2, 2019.
While politicians have all moved back to their trenches to map-out workable strategies that suits the new timetable, the bold question mark is who becomes the PDP Presidential candidate?
While not outrightly foreclosing the chances of the former Vice President, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, it is however good to state that going by the extant political realities in the PDP, Alhaji Atiku is not qualified to contest next year’s Presidential primary election of the PDP. This is because the PDP has a constitution and the constitution clearly stated that a defector most spend at least two years in the party before he or she is qualified to stand for election.
Though the former Vice President is a founding member of the party, but as he rejoined the party in December 2017, his membership status is not yet up to the two years required by the constitution and going by the INEC timetable and guidelines, Atiku would only be spending seven months in PDP by August when party primaries would start fully across all political parties.
I’m however not unmindful of a waiver programme which only the National Executive Committee of the party can grant. But, if the NEC meeting fails to hold between now and August, it then means that Atiku would not be eligible to contest the primary. But, being a veteran in the game, I believe he knows what to do!
However, it is no longer news that the PDP has zoned its Presidential ticket to the north, but the party has remained silent on which geo-political zone it has micro-zoned its presidential ticket to?
In the north, we have three geo-political zones. These are Northeast zone, Northwest zone and the North Central zone. States under the northeast zone includes; Gombe State, Yobe State, Taraba State, Adamawa State, Borno State and Bauchi State. Under the Northwest zone, the states are Kano State, Kastina State, Jigawa State, Sokoto State, Kaduna State, Zamfara State and Kebbi State while the North Central zone has the following states; Kogi State, Benue State, Plateau State, Niger State, Nasarawa State and Kwara State.
Now, of all the 19 states in the entire north, it is only in two states of Gombe and Taraba that PDP has state governors in the entire northern region. Incidentally, these two states are all in the northeast zone. This means, the northeast zone is a home for the PDP in the north.
Similarly, out of the two state governors, one is a first time governor who is more interested in seeking re-election next year than contesting the Presidential primary whereas the other governor is a pretty young man completing his second term in office. As a result, his prospects of contesting and winning the Presidential election and returning the PDP back to Aso-Rock Villa next year is very high.
I’m talking of Alhaji (Dr) Ibrahim Hassan Dankwambo of Gombe State who is also the best governor in the entire northern Nigeria because of his great strides in both human and infrastructural developments in the state.
Dr Dankwambo over the years has been a silent achiever who really understands what it means to be a public servant. His openness, sincerity and democratic solidarity is a great trait that PDP needs at this moment to recapture power at the centre.
Hence, the PDP national strategists should beam their political searchlights on this wonder-working governor who has the magic wand to reinvent the country and make it an economic viable country once again.
Nevertheless, contrary to the obscure economic theory the Federal Government is implementing which drove the nation in to avoidable economic recession causing pains and hardship all over the country, Dr Dankwambo as an economist knows that one of the surest ways of pulling economies out of recession is by implementing the ‘Keynesian Economic Theory.’ This economic theory was developed by a ‘British Economist,’ called John Maynard Keynes during the ‘Great Depression’ of the 1930’s.
Mr Keynes in the theory advocated for increased government expenditures and lowering of taxes to stimulate demand so as to pull the global economy out of depression. Subsequently, Keynesian economics became the economic model that could prevent economic slumps by influencing aggregate demand through activist-like stabilization and economic intervention policies by governments.
Today, Keynesian economics has become a household name in countries facing economic recession or depression.
This was the economic theory that former President Barrack Obama operated in the United States when he came to power in 2009 and inherited the 2008 Global Economic Crisis which affected the entire world economy. President Obama introduced some programmes like the
Troubled Asset Relieve Programme (TARP) and government bailout of companies that were dimed ‘too big to fail’ because of the thousands of people it will send out of job. With the full implementation of the said economic theory; in less than six months, America was out of recession and the US unemployment rate was reduced drastically.
As an economist, Dr Dankwambo knows how to replicate it here in Nigeria. This was why Gombe State is one of the few states in Nigeria where budgetary provisions are tilted towards development. For Instance, of the N104.9 billion budget presented to Gombe state House of Assembly for 2018 fiscal year, the votes for capital expenditure is more than the votes for recurrent expenditure. Precisely, N52.9 billion was budgeted for capital expenditure while N51.9 billion was voted for recurrent expenditure. This is despite the fact that Gombe State is more of a civil service state where personnel emoluments and other expenses that make up recurrent expenditure is very high. It is only prudent and sound economists like Dr Dankwambo that can achieve that in the midst of economic recession.
Therefore, I call on the PDP stakeholders to support Dr Hassan Dankwambo to get the PDP Presidential ticket so that he can return our great party to Presidential Villa next year.
Chief Edwin Emeka Aboh, a Columnist, writes from Anambra State and can be reached via [email protected]
Feature/OPED
The Future of Payments: Key Trends to Watch in 2025
By Luke Kyohere
The global payments landscape is undergoing a rapid transformation. New technologies coupled with the rising demand for seamless, secure, and efficient transactions has spurred on an exciting new era of innovation and growth. With 2025 fast approaching, here are important trends that will shape the future of payments:
1. The rise of real-time payments
Until recently, real-time payments have been used in Africa for cross-border mobile money payments, but less so for traditional payments. We are seeing companies like Mastercard investing in this area, as well as central banks in Africa putting focus on this.
2. Cashless payments will increase
In 2025, we will see the continued acceleration of cashless payments across Africa. B2B payments in particular will also increase. Digital payments began between individuals but are now becoming commonplace for larger corporate transactions.
3. Digital currency will hit mainstream
In the cryptocurrency space, we will see an increase in the use of stablecoins like United States Digital Currency (USDC) and Tether (USDT) which are linked to US dollars. These will come to replace traditional cryptocurrencies as their price point is more stable. This year, many countries will begin preparing for Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), government-backed digital currencies which use blockchain.
The increased uptake of digital currencies reflects the maturity of distributed ledger technology and improved API availability.
4. Increased government oversight
As adoption of digital currencies will increase, governments will also put more focus into monitoring these flows. In particular, this will centre on companies and banks rather than individuals. The goal of this will be to control and occasionally curb runaway foreign exchange (FX) rates.
5. Business leaders buy into AI technology
In 2025, we will see many business leaders buying into AI through respected providers relying on well-researched platforms and huge data sets. Most companies don’t have the budget to invest in their own research and development in AI, so many are now opting to ‘buy’ into the technology rather than ‘build’ it themselves. Moreover, many businesses are concerned about the risks associated with data ownership and accuracy so buying software is another way to avoid this risk.
6. Continued AI Adoption in Payments
In payments, the proliferation of AI will continue to improve user experience and increase security. To detect fraud, AI is used to track patterns and payment flows in real-time. If unusual activity is detected, the technology can be used to flag or even block payments which may be fraudulent.
When it comes to user experience, we will also see AI being used to improve the interface design of payment platforms. The technology will also increasingly be used for translation for international payment platforms.
7. Rise of Super Apps
To get more from their platforms, mobile network operators are building comprehensive service platforms, integrating multiple payment experiences into a single app. This reflects the shift of many users moving from text-based services to mobile apps. Rather than offering a single service, super apps are packing many other services into a single app. For example, apps which may have previously been used primarily for lending, now have options for saving and paying bills.
8. Business strategy shift
Recent major technological changes will force business leaders to focus on much shorter prediction and reaction cycles. Because the rate of change has been unprecedented in the past year, this will force decision-makers to adapt quickly, be decisive and nimble.
As the payments space evolves, businesses, banks, and governments must continually embrace innovation, collaboration, and prioritise customer needs. These efforts build a more inclusive, secure, and efficient payment system that supports local to global economic growth – enabling true financial inclusion across borders.
Luke Kyohere is the Group Chief Product and Innovation Officer at Onafriq
Feature/OPED
Ghana’s Democratic Triumph: A Call to Action for Nigeria’s 2027 Elections
In a heartfelt statement released today, the Conference of Nigeria Political Parties (CNPP) has extended its warmest congratulations to Ghana’s President-Elect, emphasizing the importance of learning from Ghana’s recent electoral success as Nigeria gears up for its 2027 general elections.
In a statement signed by its Deputy National Publicity Secretary, Comrade James Ezema, the CNPP highlighted the need for Nigeria to reclaim its status as a leader in democratic governance in Africa.
“The recent victory of Ghana’s President-Elect is a testament to the maturity and resilience of Ghana’s democracy,” the CNPP stated. “As we celebrate this achievement, we must reflect on the lessons that Nigeria can learn from our West African neighbour.”
The CNPP’s message underscored the significance of free, fair, and credible elections, a standard that Ghana has set and one that Nigeria has previously achieved under former President Goodluck Jonathan in 2015. “It is high time for Nigeria to reclaim its position as a beacon of democracy in Africa,” the CNPP asserted, calling for a renewed commitment to the electoral process.
Central to CNPP’s message is the insistence that “the will of the people must be supreme in Nigeria’s electoral processes.” The umbrella body of all registered political parties and political associations in Nigeria CNPP emphasized the necessity of an electoral system that genuinely reflects the wishes of the Nigerian populace. “We must strive to create an environment where elections are free from manipulation, violence, and intimidation,” the CNPP urged, calling on the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to take decisive action to ensure the integrity of the electoral process.
The CNPP also expressed concern over premature declarations regarding the 2027 elections, stating, “It is disheartening to note that some individuals are already announcing that there is no vacancy in Aso Rock in 2027. This kind of statement not only undermines the democratic principles that our nation holds dear but also distracts from the pressing need for the current administration to earn the trust of the electorate.”
The CNPP viewed the upcoming elections as a pivotal moment for Nigeria. “The 2027 general elections present a unique opportunity for Nigeria to reclaim its position as a leader in democratic governance in Africa,” it remarked. The body called on all stakeholders — including the executive, legislature, judiciary, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), and civil society organisations — to collaborate in ensuring that elections are transparent, credible, and reflective of the will of the Nigerian people.
As the most populous African country prepares for the 2027 elections, the CNPP urged all Nigerians to remain vigilant and committed to democratic principles. “We must work together to ensure that our elections are free from violence, intimidation, and manipulation,” the statement stated, reaffirming the CNPP’s commitment to promoting a peaceful and credible electoral process.
In conclusion, the CNPP congratulated the President-Elect of Ghana and the Ghanaian people on their remarkable achievements.
“We look forward to learning from their experience and working together to strengthen democracy in our region,” the CNPP concluded.
Feature/OPED
The Need to Promote Equality, Equity and Fairness in Nigeria’s Proposed Tax Reforms
By Kenechukwu Aguolu
The proposed tax reform, involving four tax bills introduced by the Federal Government, has received significant criticism. Notably, it was rejected by the Governors’ Forum but was still forwarded to the National Assembly. Unlike the various bold economic decisions made by this government, concessions will likely need to be made on these tax reforms, which involve legislative amendments and therefore cannot be imposed by the executive. This article highlights the purposes of taxation, the qualities of a good tax system, and some of the implications of the proposed tax reforms.
One of the major purposes of taxation is to generate revenue for the government to finance its activities. A good tax system should raise sufficient revenue for the government to fund its operations, and support economic and infrastructural development. For any country to achieve meaningful progress, its tax-to-GDP ratio should be at least 15%. Currently, Nigeria’s tax-to-GDP ratio is less than 11%. The proposed tax reforms aim to increase this ratio to 18% within the next three years.
A good tax system should also promote income redistribution and equality by implementing progressive tax policies. In line with this, the proposed tax reforms favour low-income earners. For example, individuals earning less than one million naira annually are exempted from personal income tax. Additionally, essential goods and services such as food, accommodation, and transportation, which constitute a significant portion of household consumption for low- and middle-income groups, are to be exempted from VAT.
In addition to equality, a good tax system should ensure equity and fairness, a key area of contention surrounding the proposed reforms. If implemented, the amendments to the Value Added Tax could lead to a significant reduction in the federal allocation for some states; impairing their ability to finance government operations and development projects. The VAT amendments should be holistically revisited to promote fairness and national unity.
The establishment of a single agency to collect government taxes, the Nigeria Revenue Service, could reduce loopholes that have previously resulted in revenue losses, provided proper controls are put in place. It is logically easier to monitor revenue collection by one agency than by multiple agencies. However, this is not a magical solution. With automation, revenue collection can be seamless whether it is managed by one agency or several, as long as monitoring and accountability measures are implemented effectively.
The proposed tax reforms by the Federal Government are well-intentioned. However, all concerns raised by Nigerians should be looked into, and concessions should be made where necessary. Policies are more effective when they are adapted to suit the unique characteristics of a nation, rather than adopted wholesale. A good tax system should aim to raise sufficient revenue, ensure equitable income distribution, and promote equality, equity, and fairness.
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