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Nigeria Records N1.206trn Trade Surplus, N52.387trn Total Trade in 2022

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

In 2022, Nigeria recorded a slight improvement in its trade balance as it had a trade surplus of N1.206 trillion after recorded imports of N25.591 trillion and exports of N26.797 trillion, indicating a total trade of N52.387 trillion.

Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said in the fourth quarter of 2022, the total trade stood at N11.722 trillion, with exports at N6.360 trillion and imports at N5.363 trillion.

It was disclosed that total exports increased in Q4 of 2022 by 7.17 per cent and 10.28 per cent when compared with the third quarter of 2022 at N5.934 trillion and the corresponding quarter of 2021 at N5.767 trillion, respectively.

Conversely, total imports declined by 15.46 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2022 compared with the value recorded in the third quarter of 2022 at N6.344 trillion and fell by 9.73 per cent when compared with the N5.941 trillion recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2021.

The top five export destinations in the fourth quarter of 2022 were Spain, Netherlands, India, France, and Indonesia, accounting for 9.70 per cent, 9.03 per cent, 7.71 per cent, 7.70 per cent, and 7.44 per cent, respectively, of total exports.

Altogether, exports to the top five countries amounted to 41.59 per cent of the total value of exports.

The commodity with the largest export values in the period under review was ‘petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude’ with N4.912 trillion, representing 77.24 per cent, followed by ‘natural gas, liquefied’ with N704.88 billion, accounting for 11.08 per cent, and ‘urea, whether or not in aqueous solution’ with N160.56 billion or 2.52 per cent of total exports.

In terms of imports in the fourth quarter of 2022, China, Belgium, India, The Netherlands, and the United States of America were the top five countries of origin of imports to Nigeria.

The value of imports from the top five countries amounted to N2.994 trillion, representing a share of 55.82 per cent of the total value of imports.

The commodities with the largest values of imported products were ‘motor spirit ordinary’ at N1.559 trillion, ‘gas oil’ accounted for N220.47 billion, and ‘durum wheat (Not in seeds)’ accounted for N187.96 billion.

Re-export’s value in the quarter under review stood at N199.59 billion, representing 3.14 per cent of total exports, with the top five re-export destinations listed as Namibia, Equatorial Guinea, Cameroun, Ghana, and Togo while the most re-exported commodity was ‘floating or submersible drilling or production platforms with N142.02 billion, followed by ‘cruise ships and similar vessels for the transport of persons or goods <=500 tonnes’ valued at N14.78 billion and ‘refrigerated vessels, other than those of subheading 8901.20, of a capacity > 500 tonnes’ amounting to N13.16 billion.

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Economy

Strong Investor Sentiment Keeps NGX Index in Green Territory by 0.31%

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All-Share Index NGX

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited remained in the green territory on Wednesday after it rallied by 0.31 per cent on the back of sustained bargain-hunting activities by investors.

Business Post reports that all the key sectors of the market closed higher at midweek as a result of the renewed interest in local equities.

Data showed that the energy index appreciated by 2.59 per cent, the insurance space grew by 2.34 per cent, the industrial goods sector improved by 0.15 per cent, the banking counter expanded by 0.06 per cent, and the consumer goods industry rose by 0.04 per cent.

At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) gained 302.71 points to settle at 98,509.68 points compared with Tuesday’s closing value of 98,206.97 points and the market capitalisation added N183 billion to close at N59.715 trillion versus the preceding day’s N59.532 trillion.

It was observed that the level of activity yesterday waned as the trading volume, value and number of deals decreased by 65.93 per cent, 49.22 per cent, and 12.70 per cent, respectively.

On Wednesday, a total of 320.1 million stocks valued at N6.5 billion were transacted in 7,943 deals, in contrast to the 939.4 million stocks worth N12.8 billion traded in 9,098 deals.

The busiest equity at midweek was eTranzact, which transacted 70.3 million units for N474.2 million, Universal Insurance traded 23.8 million units worth 8.1 million, Zenith Bank exchanged 21.2 million units valued at N933.5 million, FBN Holdings sold 18.6 million units worth N491.2 million, and UBA traded 14.0 million units valued at N465.8 million.

At the close of transactions, 34 shares ended on the gainers’ log and 17 shares finished on the losers’ chart, representing a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.

Africa Prudential gained 10.00 per cent to quote at N14.30, Conoil also improved by 10.00 per cent to N352.00, and RT Briscoe expanded by 10.00 per cent to N2.42, as Golden Guinea Breweries jumped by 9.95 per cent to N7.18, while NEM Insurance grew by 9.74 per cent to N10.70.

However, Julius Berger lost 10.00 per cent to close at N155.25, Secure Electronic Technology shed 9.52 per cent to trade at 57 Kobo, Multiverse declined by 7.63 per cent to N5.45, Haldane McCall tumbled by 6.07 per cent to N4.95, and Honeywell Flour crashed by 5.62 per cent to N4.70.

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Economy

Crude Oil Jumps as EU Slams Fresh Sanctions on Russia

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crude oil 1.27 million barrels per day

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil prices went up on Wednesday after the European Union (EU) agreed to an additional round of sanctions threatening Russian oil flows that could tighten global crude supplies.

During the session, Brent crude futures jumped by $1.33 or 1.84 per cent to $73.52 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose by $1.70 or 2.48 per cent to $70.29 per barrel.

EU ambassadors agreed on a 15th package of sanctions on Russia over its war against Ukraine, targeting its shadow tanker fleet and Chinese firms making drones for the country.

The sanctions would target vessels from third countries supporting Russia’s war in Ukraine and add more individuals and entities to the sanctions list. It will not be adopted until after foreign ministers approve the package on Monday.

The shadow fleet has aided Russia in bypassing the $60 per barrel price cap imposed by the G7 on Russian seaborne crude oil in 2022 and has helped keep Russian oil flowing.

Prices were supported by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) which reported an estimated inventory decline of 1.4 million barrels for the week to December 6. In fuels, however, the EIA estimated sizable builds.

The crude oil inventory figure compares with a draw of 5.1 million barrels for the previous week that pushed prices higher for a while but the gains soon got erased by weak global demand growth prospects.

A day before the EIA, the American Petroleum Institute (API) had estimated inventory changes at a positive 499,000 barrels for the week to December 6.

Meanwhile, on Wednesday, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) cut its 2024 global oil demand growth forecast for a fifth straight month and by the largest amount.

In its December report, the cartel expects 2024 global oil demand to rise by 1.61 million barrels per day, down from 1.82 million barrels per day last month.

OPEC also cut its 2025 growth estimate to 1.45 million barrels per day from 1.54 million barrels per day.

The 210,000 barrels per day cut in the 2024 figure is the largest of the five reductions OPEC has made in its monthly reports since August. In July, OPEC had expected world demand to rise by 2.25 million barrels per day.

Weak demand, particularly in top importer China, and non-OPEC+ supply growth were two factors behind the move.

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Again, OPEC Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Forecasts

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OPEC output cut

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has once again trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts.

The bloc made this in its latest monthly oil market report for December 2024.

The 2024 world oil demand growth forecast is now put at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previous 1.82 million barrels per day.

For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, which is 900,000 barrels per day lower than the 1.54 million barrels per day earlier quoted.

On the changes, the group said that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.

The oil cartel had kept the 2024 outlook unchanged until August, a view it had first taken in July 2023.

OPEC and its wider group of allies known as OPEC+ earlier this month delayed its plan to start raising output until April 2025 against a backdrop of falling prices.

Eight OPEC+ member countries – Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman – decided to extend additional crude oil production cuts adopted in April 2023 and November 2023, due to weak demand and booming production outside the group.

In April 2023, these OPEC+ countries decided to reduce their oil production by over 1.65 million barrels per day as of May 2023 until the end of 2023. These production cuts were later extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended until the end of December 2026.

In addition, in November 2023, these producers had agreed to voluntary output cuts totalling about 2.2 million barrels per day for the first quarter of 2024, in order to support prices and stabilise the market.

These additional production cuts were extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended to the end of March 2025; they will then be gradually phased out on a monthly basis until the end of September 2026.

Members have made a series of deep output cuts since late 2022.

They are currently cutting output by a total of 5.86 million barrels per day, or about 5.7 per cent of global demand. Russia also announced plans to reduce its production by an extra 471,000 barrels per day in June 2024.

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