Banking
Diamond Bank’s Solvency Crisis Will Further Worsen—Moody’s Warns
**Downgrades Bank’s Ratings
By Dipo Olowookere
The baseline credit assessment (BCA) and adjusted BCA of Diamond Bank Plc have been downgraded from caa3 from caa1 by Moody’s Investors Service.
In a statement obtained by Business Post, the foremost global rating agency explained that the action was as a result the Nigerian lender’s weakened solvency, governance tensions and foreign currency liquidity challenges.
“In Moody’s view, the bank will face a further deterioration of its solvency that will likely undermine investor confidence and make foreign currency funding increasingly costly and difficult to access, or the bank will receive external capital support from either existing or new shareholders, or from the government, boosting its solvency and addressing its foreign currency vulnerability,” the statement said.
On the downgrading of the ratings, the statement noted that, “The primary driver for the two-notch downgrade of Diamond Bank’s BCA to caa3 is Moody’s view that the lack of progress in resolving NPLs adds pressure on its already weak solvency profile,” the statement said.
Also, the rating firm downgraded Diamond Bank’s long-term local currency and foreign currency deposit ratings to Caa1 from B3.
The rating agency placed the deposit and other senior ratings and assessments on review with direction uncertain.
Diamond Bank’s Not Prime (NP) short-term local and foreign currency deposits and counterparty ratings and NP(cr) short-term counterparty risk assessments have been affirmed, Moody’s said.
“Moody’s action follows the departure of Diamond Bank’s chairman of the board and three other non-executive board members, and the subsequent announcement of the bank’s third quarter financial results which showed a lack of progress in reducing problematic exposures, in contrast with the improvements that the rating agency had expected.
“The downgrade reflects Diamond Bank’s (1) weak solvency that is characterised by low provisions set aside for its high level of non-performing loans (NPLs) that outsize its tangible common equity (TCE), (2) corporate governance tensions that will likely divert management’s focus from resolving NPLs and could potentially undermine investor confidence, and (3) vulnerable foreign currency repayment obligations in 2019,” the statement said.
It further said the placement of the ratings on review reflects potential for diverging outcomes for Diamond Bank.
Moody’s said its previous assignment of a positive outlook on Diamond Bank’s deposit ratings in June 2018 had been based on expectations of substantial NPL reduction in the following 12 months; however, Moody’s said it now expects NPLs and provisioning needs to remain high.
Diamond Bank’s NPLs ratio stood at about 40 percent of gross loans as of September 2018 from 42 percent at year-end 2017, and only about 20 percent of the NPL stock is covered by provisions. Moody’s estimates that the provisioning requirements currently outsize the bank’s TCE.
“A second driver for the downgrade is the weakened corporate governance of the bank, following the recent unexpected departure of the bank’s chairman and three members of the board of directors. This development reveals tensions that the rating agency expects will delay the resolution of the bank’s large portfolio of NPLs and could potentially undermine investor confidence in the ability of the bank’s management to turn around Diamond Bank’s financial performance.”
A third related factor for the downgrade is Diamond Bank’s vulnerable foreign currency funding profile. The rating agency views the risk that the weak solvency and corporate governance tension may erode customer and depositor confidence, further impairing the bank’s financial performance and negatively affecting Diamond Bank’s funding profile.
“The bank will face significant refinancing needs in the first half of 2019, including a $200 million Eurobond maturing in May 2019.
“Diamond Bank’s liquid foreign currency assets at year-end 2017 amounts to about 25 percent of the debt and borrowings that are maturing in 2019, and the bank is currently looking at various market options to meet its foreign currency funding needs,” the rating firm said.
Moody’s said counterbalancing the aforementioned negative factors, it believes there is a high probability of government support for Diamond Bank, in case of need, reflecting the bank’s designation as a Domestic Systemically Important Bank in Nigeria and its large retail client base of about 10 million clients.
“Diamond Bank’s Caa1 long term deposit and issuer ratings benefit from a two notch support uplift from the bank’s BCA of caa3,” it said.
It said the review on Diamond Bank’s Caa1 deposit ratings will focus on the lender’s ability to address its solvency and foreign currency challenges.
The rating agency said it will assess the likelihood of some of the lenders converting their convertible debt to equity, or the bank raising new capital externally through other means, including any possible takeover.
In addition, Moody’s said it will assess any financing structures and plans that Diamond Bank will put in place in order to boost its foreign currency liquidity, balanced against any deterioration of its foreign currency resources, including any foreign currency deposit outflows.
“During the review period, Moody’s will also monitor steps taken by the bank’s shareholders to strengthen corporate governance, including the potential for Diamond Bank to appoint non-executive and independent directors that will meet the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) approval,” it ended.
Banking
Coronation Merchant Bank Targets Top-Tier African Status in Next Growth Phase
By Adedapo Adesanya
Coronation Merchant Bank has set its sights on attaining top-tier status among African banks, leveraging a decade of operations and Nigeria’s ongoing economic reforms to drive its next phase of growth across key sectors.
Speaking at the Chairman’s Dinner held to commemorate the bank’s 10th anniversary in Lagos, the chief executive of the lender, Mr Paul Abiagam, said the institution had successfully carved out a distinct niche in Nigeria’s highly competitive financial services market despite a decade defined by economic volatility, policy shifts and macroeconomic uncertainty.
“Over the last 10 years, we have found our own space in a very tight market and built credible footprints in the specific markets we chose to serve,” Mr Abiagam said.
Describing the bank’s journey as “valiant” amid the changing economic landscape, he said the anniversary represents both a moment of gratitude to the bank’s founder, shareholders, board and partners, and a recommitment to scale new heights in the decade ahead.
Mr Abiagam attributed the bank’s resilience and steady growth to strong shareholder and board support, as well as a clear and disciplined corporate strategy.
He noted that Coronation Merchant Bank’s focus on defined target markets had enabled it to expand its footprint across key sectors of the economy while maintaining operational clarity.
Looking ahead, the CEO said ongoing reforms and the Federal Government’s ambition to build a $1 trillion economy present significant opportunities for financial institutions with the right expertise and positioning.
He identified infrastructure, construction, real estate, oil and gas, and manufacturing as priority sectors where the bank is already aligning its strategy.
“Volatility often comes with opportunity, What we see clearly is opportunity, and our strategy is to ensure we are well positioned to take advantage of it.” Mr Abiagam said.
Among the bank’s notable milestones, Mr Abiagam highlighted its international credit ratings, placing Coronation among a small group of internationally rated merchant banks in Nigeria.
He also pointed to human capital as a core strength, describing the bank’s people and talent as its greatest asset.
In his remarks, the Chairman of Coronation Merchant Bank, Mr Babatunde Folawiyo, reflected on the challenges of operating in Nigeria’s banking sector over the past decade, noting that the true measure of success lies in an institution’s ability to grow through uncertainty and emerge stronger.
“Anyone who has operated in Nigeria’s banking space over the last 10 years knows how challenging it has been,” Mr Folawiyo said, citing policy changes, macroeconomic shifts and leadership transitions. “The real test is whether you can grow through those challenges—and we have.”
Mr Folawiyo said recent reforms have introduced greater certainty into the economy, particularly in the foreign exchange market, which is critical for business planning and sustainable growth. While acknowledging that the adjustment period has been difficult, he stressed that predictability, even at higher exchange rates, is far more beneficial than extreme volatility.
“No business thrives without some level of stability. What hurts the economy most is wild and sudden swings. Predictability allows businesses to plan, adjust and grow,” he said.
On the outlook for the sector, Mr Folawiyo said Nigeria remains significantly underbanked, creating room for diverse players within the financial system. While technology and fintechs are expanding access to financial services, he emphasized the enduring role of specialized institutions such as merchant banks in serving corporate and structured finance needs.
“A corporate client structuring commercial papers or complex funding solutions needs more than a fintech app. It needs a bespoke, one-stop financial partner. That is where merchant banks like ours play a critical role,” the Chairman said.
He added that Coronation Merchant Bank’s strategy is anchored on long-term economic fundamentals rather than political cycles, noting that the current policy direction of the Central Bank and the Federal Government, though initially painful, aligns with sound economic principles.
“These are textbook reforms. There is no gain without pain, and we are already beginning to see the gains, not just in the financial sector but across the broader economy,” he added.
Banking
S&P Forecasts 25% Credit Growth for Nigerian Banks in 2026
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigerian banks are expected to post stronger credit growth of up to 25 per cent in 2026 while retaining positive profitability, according to a new outlook by S&P Global Ratings.
In its Nigerian Banking Outlook 2026, S&P said improved lending to key sectors of the economy alongside resilient non-interest income would help banks absorb the impact of regulatory headwinds and easing interest rates.
The ratings agency projected credit growth of between 20 and 25 per cent in 2026, driven largely by increased investments in oil and gas, agriculture and manufacturing.
It added that the outlook for lending was supported by expectations of moderating inflation and gradual monetary easing, following recent interest rate cuts by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).
“We expect credit growth of about 20-25 per cent supported by investments in the oil and gas, agriculture, and manufacturing sectors. Although interest rates have started to decrease, profitability should stay resilient in 2026, supported by growth in non-interest income (NII) and lower provisions.
“We expect Nigerian banks to prove resilient and capable of preserving their profitability in 2026,” S&P said, noting that earnings would be supported by transaction driven fees, commissions and a still elevated cost of risk, even as margins come under pressure.
The ratings agency noted further that it expects nominal lending growth to remain high at about 25 per cent, supported largely by investments in the oil and gas sector, agriculture and manufacturing.
S&P said Nigerian banks would continue to benefit from rates that remain high relative to peers, supporting net interest margins while interest rates are expected to decline further in 2026.
“Although interest rates have started to decline, we expect rates to remain high relative to peers, which will continue to support banks’ net interest margins through 2026.
“We forecast the average return on equity (ROE) will normalise at 20-23 per cent in 2026 compared to 25 per cent estimated for 2025, while return on assets will decline marginally to 3.0-3.1 per cent from an estimated 3.3 per cent in 2025. Profitability will be supported by still high interest margins, growing NII, and slightly lower provisions, while capital issuance will increase the equity base leading to a lower ROE.
“Although interest rates have started to decline, we expect rates to be high relative to peers, which will continue to support the banks’ net interest margins through 2026. We forecast an average margin drop of about 50bps to 100bps in 2026, as banks’ margins will continue to benefit from higher yields on government securities and large recourse to low-cost customer deposits.”
Banking
CBN Targets Reforms to Ease Compliance Burdens on Fintech Firms
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
To ease regulatory compliance burdens on financial technology (fintech) companies, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is considering some strategic reforms through a policy known as the Single Regulatory Window.
In its 2025 Fintech Report, the central bank said this scheme will significantly reduce time-to-market for new digital financial products by streamlining licensing and supervisory processes across multiple agencies.
The CBN said there would be a shared regulatory infrastructure in form of a Compliance-as-a-Service model to cut down duplicative reporting, ease the burden on regulated fintechs, and enhance supervisory visibility.
The apex bank said it came up with this idea after being aware of some challenges stakeholders, especially operators, go through in the ecosystem.
The bank said fintech firms remain a critical leg in its financial inclusion drive in Nigeria and must be supported to expand their operations to achieve the goal.
The CBN report showed that 62.5 per cent of fintech firms lamented how regulatory timelines materially affect product rollouts, while over one-third noted that it takes more than 12 months to bring a new product to market, largely due to compliance bottlenecks.
“Stakeholders cited delays in approvals and ambiguity in regulatory guidelines as their most pressing concerns,” a part of the report disclosed.
The report recommended “exploring models for a Single Regulatory Window to simplify multi-agency compliance processes and reduce time-to-market.”
It was also suggested that to address the issues, the bank must review “approval timelines and operational guidelines.”
In addition, the central bank was advised to either review the PSB framework or introduce a dedicated digital banking licence that would enable inclusive lending under stronger prudential oversight.
“A dedicated digital bank licence may be a more effective pathway for inclusive lending than expanding the PSB mandate,” the respondents suggested.
As for digital assets, the CBN signalled a shift towards a more nuanced regulatory framework for cryptocurrency, balancing innovation with financial integrity rather than imposing blanket restrictions, as fintechs acknowledged crypto’s potential to drive cost-effective cross-border transactions and strengthen remittance channels, while also warning of risks linked to illicit flows and consumer protection.
“There was broad agreement on the need for a risk-based, activity-focused regulatory framework,” the report stated, adding that regulators must avoid equating all crypto activity with criminality, especially as many scams originate offshore.
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