Economy
91% Africa’s CEOs Confident of Firms’ Growth Prospects—PwC

By Dipo Olowookere
A research carried out by PwC has revealed that 91 percent of CEOs in Africa are confident about their own companies’ growth prospects in the medium term.
CEO for PwC Africa, Mr Hein Boegman, described this as the “highest level of confidence since we started our research on CEOs in Africa in 2012.”
This revelation comes despite the current economic and socio-political uncertainty in the continent.
Speaking at the World Economic Forum on Africa 2017 in Durban on the challenges and opportunities facing Africa’s CEOs, Mr Boegman said one of the reasons why Africa CEOs are positive is that they tend to look to the upside and seize on the opportunities uncertainty brings.
Facing a climate of muted growth at best, CEOs recognise that while they focus on organic growth and cost reductions, they also need to prioritise investment in strategic alliances and joint ventures to expand their markets and grow their customer bases.
Despite the level of optimism for growth, CEOs are concerned about uncertain economic growth and the impact this will have on their business, he said.
“The returns for doing business on the continent are high, but so are the risks. Africa’s CEOs are operating in difficult times – infrastructure on the continent remains a challenge, finding and retaining the right talent for their businesses, dealing with many of the hurdles that come with working with governments, and managing growth plans across the continent,” Mr Boegman comments.
According to him, given the major changes we are currently seeing in the world – such as the recent US elections and the UK’s vote to leave the EU – a key feature of the current environment is just how difficult it is to read.
He argued that a single event can trigger a need for wholesale strategic changes. A case in point is the recent political and policy uncertainty in South Africa, and more particularly the recent downgrade in the country’s sovereign debt to junk status. Exchange rate volatility, an increasing tax burden, social instability resulting from inequality, and corruption remain problems in many countries.
Also, CEO for PwC Southern Africa, Dion Shango, remarked that, “It is no longer enough for business leaders to steer their organisations through a complicated and challenging environment – they will need to adapt swiftly to change.”
Shango noted that CEOs will need to focus on their business strategies and processes and will be expected to play a part in the broader community. CEOs will also need to consider the changing expectations and demands of current and future stakeholders.
“For CEOs, their customers, government and competitors have a big influence on business strategy. Understanding their needs and working towards addressing them can help build trust, maintain reputation and lend a licence to operate,” Shango opined.
Anne Eriksson, Regional Senior Partner for PwC in East Africa, says “regulatory policy can also restrain growth, and in some cases, necessitate cost reduction by the businesses affected.”
On the other hand, changes in regulation can also prompt strategic developments in business.
Eriksson points out that regulatory change in Kenya has helped the country’s financial services sector to pay more attention to its customers. A number of multinational companies have also committed to building capacity and improving transparency and regulatory frameworks through engagement with government. “Where there has been progress, economies have benefitted and the result is more inward investment, innovation and organic growth.”
Notwithstanding the slowdown, Africa is also experiencing a number of advances economically and socially. There are significant trends that could offer new opportunities and benefits for businesses, governments and the population. In the past year, global megatrends such as demographic change, increase in urbanisation, shifts in global economic power and technological innovation are favourable to development on the continent.
Across all sectors, the pace of innovation in Africa is driving greater collaboration and convergence. A number of multinational companies have committed to building capacity and improving transparency and regulatory frameworks through engagement with governments.
Where there has been progress, markets have benefitted and the result is more inward investment, innovation and growth. But in order to grow and expand to its potential, Africa will need to face the political and economic repercussions of climate change, as well as safety and political instability in some areas.
“The business leader of today must deliver seamless strategy and operational excellence. Africa’s CEOs will need to overcome a number of challenges to truly transform their organisations. In the process, business needs to recognise and manage its responsibilities and dependencies,” Boegman concludes.
Economy
FG Unveils Industrial Policy to Raise Manufacturing Contribution to 25%
By Adedapo Adesanya
The federal government plans to boost the manufacturing sector’s contribution to the Nigerian economy to 15 per cent by 2030 and 25 per cent by 2035, from its current 8.2 per cent.
This was revealed in the newly launched Nigeria Industrial Policy (NIP), which was unveiled by the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment (FMITI).
According to data, the sector employs 13 million Nigerians, mainly in food processing, cement production, textiles, pharmaceuticals, and the automotive industry.
The FG stated that the aim of NIP frameworks is “to drive economic growth, reduce dependence on oil exports, and promote sustainable development” and contribute to achieving Nigeria’s aspiration of attaining the $1 trillion economy by 2030.
The government said the plan would “accelerate Nigeria’s industrial transformation by leveraging its natural and human capital to promote inclusive, sustainable, and competitive manufacturing, deepen economic diversification, and generate mass employment through innovation, infrastructure development, investment, and export.”
It explained that the policy direction of its NIP is anchored on the development of four sectors, namely metals and solid minerals, oil and gas, construction, and manufacturing.
Over the past decade, the agro-allied industry has contributed an average of 25 per cent (27 per cent rebased) to Nigeria’s real GDP and currently accounts for 35 per cent of total employment. It serves as a primary source of raw materials for key manufacturing sectors, including food processing, leather goods, and textiles, reinforcing its pivotal role in driving industrial linkages and inclusive economic development.
The report noted, however, that the industry faces challenges such as limited mechanisation and outdated farming techniques, post-harvest losses, and insecurity.
The government assured that relevant legal and institutional frameworks are in place to address key challenges such as inadequate power supply, low access to finance, and competition from cheap imported products, limiting the performance of the sector.
The Minister of State, FMITI, Mr John Owan Enoh, described the NIP as “a comprehensive framework that reaffirms our national resolve to diversify the economy, create inclusive prosperity, and secure Nigeria’s rightful place as a leading industrial hub in Africa and the wider global economy.”
The government said that each of the four sectors comprises multiple sub-sectors that offer strategic opportunities for industrial development.
“These sectors have been prioritised due to strong comparative advantages, potential to generate large-scale employment, and deepen local value addition and expand exports.
“The future outlook for the industry is bright with abundant natural resources, massive investment in the development of Special Economic Zones (SEZs), the growing market size, and participation of Nigeria in AfCFTA and ECOWAS Trade Liberalisation Scheme (ETLS)”, the report added.
Economy
Financial Inclusion Drives Economic Growth—Smartcash CEO
By Dipo Olowookere
The chief executive of Smartcash Payment Service Bank (PSB), Mr Ayotunde Kuponiyi, has stressed the importance of financial inclusion to any nation’s economy.
Speaking with journalists in Lagos on Tuesday, he said the country will always experience economic growth when the majority of its citizens are financially included.
According to him, this is why the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has intensified its efforts to drive financial inclusion in the country to about 80 per cent.
“Financial inclusion is important because when 80 per cent of your population is included financially, it then ensures growth in the economy,” he said at the unveiling of the nationwide marketing campaign of Smartcash titled No Be Cho Cho Cho.
“We have about 40 million or 50 million Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in Nigeria, and a number of them don’t have bank accounts, but when they are included financially, they have access to finance, borrowing, and then grow their income.
“As the industry grows, they employ more hands (job creation), and when this happens, the government earns more revenue from taxes paid by the employed persons, which the government then uses to improve the standard of living of the citizens. Infrastructure will also be provided by the government. This is why financial inclusion is extremely important,” Mr Kuponiyi stated.
Commenting on the new campaign, the Smartcash boss said it reflects a broader philosophy of accountability in digital finance, with the zero-charge model, which eliminates fees on transfers and bill payments.
“Through our flagship zero-charge service, we promise no fees on P2P transfers or bill payments. Furthermore, our savings account offers 15 per cent per annum compounded interest, paid daily without penalties. Unlike conventional banks, we charge you nothing, ensuring your money truly works for you,” he averred, stressing that the zero-fee does not apply to the stamp duty charged by the federal government on transactions above N10,000.
He stated that the initiative centres on the three pillars of reliability, transparency and demonstrable service delivery and addresses what the company describes as a widening trust gap in Nigeria’s digital payments market.
Mr Kuponiyi also revealed that beyond consumer banking, the platform is also expanding its footprint through a nationwide network of agents that facilitate transactions and financial services in underserved communities.
Smartcash is the digital financial services platform of Airtel Nigeria, which is a subsidiary of Africa Plc, operating across 14 countries.
Economy
Oil at $85 Could Boost Nigeria’s External Balance Account—Bloomberg
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria has been identified as one of the winners of an oil windfall following the US and Israel’s war on Iran.
According to Bloomberg Economics, the rise in prices will improve the current account balance of just three sub-Saharan African economies.
Bloomberg Economics’ Ms Yvonne Mhango wrote in a report on Thursday that if oil stays at about $85 a barrel, Angola, Nigeria and Ghana will see their current account balance improve, while the Democratic Republic of Congo, South Africa and Kenya will be among the worst-hit.
“For most African economies, higher oil prices mean weaker currencies and renewed inflationary pressure, which could put rate hikes back on the table,” she said.
According to the analyst, Nigeria, which is Africa’s largest oil producer, will not only gain from crude sales but from fuel exports.
Bloomberg Economics data showed that Nigeria’s current account balance could benefit by as much as 2.3 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP), second only to Angola’s 3.3 per cent and Ghana’s 0.2 per cent.
Already, the 650,000-barrel-a-day Dangote oil refinery has raised the prospect of sending more product to Europe if the price is right.
Dangote is offering up to 44,000 metric tons of jet fuel for loading March 20-22, as well as at least 40,000 tons of gasoil with a maximum sulphur content of 50 parts per million for loading March 15-30.
However, countries like Africa’s largest economy – South Africa – may face challenges if India and Oman, two of its biggest fuel suppliers, cut down on exports. It may see a -1.0 per cent hit to its current account balance.
South African consumers are bracing for fuel costs to increase in April, according to Central Energy Fund data, while traders moved to price in a chance of an interest-rate hike later this month.
Following US and Israeli strikes on Iran over the weekend and retaliatory moves by the Islamic Republic, global crude prices have adjusted sharply.
The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow shipping lane between Iran and Oman, through which roughly a fifth of global oil supply normally passes, has been blocked completely by Iran.
As of press time, Brent crude, which Nigeria prices its crudes is trading up at 2.3 per cent at $83.23. Nigerian crude grades, Brass River and Qua Iboe, are selling at $87 per barrel.
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