Economy
Cardoso Says Nigeria’s Inflation Will Moderate in 2024
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Mr Olayemi Cardoso, has said inflation would moderate this year from the current level of 28.92 per cent in December 2023.
He disclosed this while speaking at an event organised by the Nigerian Economic Summit Group (NESG) on Wednesday.
“Inflationary pressures are expected to decline in 2024 due to the CBN’s inflation-targeting policy, which aims to rein in inflation to 21.4 per cent,” Mr Cardoso said.
“The outlook for decreasing inflation in 2024 will have a profound impact on businesses, providing a more predictable cost environment and potentially leading to lower policy rates, stimulating investment, fueling growth and creating job opportunities,” he said at the event which he joined virtually.
The central banker also said the Naira was currently undervalued, adding that his administration was working towards ensuring that the local currency reaches its real value soon.
“We believe that the Naira is currently undervalued,” Mr Cardoso said. “And coupled with coordinated measures on the fiscal side, we will expedite genuine price discovery in the near term.”
Inflation has accelerated and stood close to a 27-year high of 28.92 per cent in December.
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the CBN will meet for the first time since July 2023 late next month (February 26).
At the last meeting which was chaired by the then-acting governor of the apex bank, Mr Folashodun Shonubi, the interest rates were raised by 25 basis points to 18.75 per cent.
Market analysts expect the CBN committee to raise the interest rates, with some expecting as high as 200 basis points to 20 per cent.
Mr Cardoso has promised reforms, including a switch to inflation targeting from trying to control the money supply.
However, these measures have not taken root since he took office in September last year.
Nigeria, Africa’s largest economy, is facing a biting cost-of-living crisis worsened by reforms including the floating of exchange rate and the abolition of fuel subsidies instituted by President Bola Tinubu.
Although the moves have been hailed as positive, however, the average Nigerian has experienced a dip in consumption while the Naira has dropped steeply.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange gained 1.75 per cent on Wednesday, July 15, pushing the NASD Security Index (NSI) up by 74.20 points to 4,316.51 points from 4,242.31 points, as the market capitalisation added N44.54 billion to finish at N2.590 trillion compared with the preceding session’s N2.546 trillion.
During the session, there was an 11.5 per cent rise in the value of transactions at midweek to N72.7 million from the preceding session’s N65.2 million, as there was a 3.7 per cent growth in the number of deals to 28 deals from the previous session’s 27 deals, while the volume of securities slumped by 64.5 per cent to 4.9 million units from 13.7 million units.
At the close of trades, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc ended as the most active security by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, with the second spot occupied by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc after selling 2.3 billion units valued at N6.5 billion, and the third position was taken by Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc, which exchanged 74.3 million units for N5.3 billion.
GNI Plc also finished the trading day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with a turnover of 3.4 billion units traded for N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units transacted for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units sold for N415.7 million.
Business Post reports that the market breadth index was negative yesterday, as there were two price gainers and three price losers.
11 Plc added N22.36 to its value to close at N250.00 per share versus N227.64 per share, and CSCS Plc improved by N7.95 to N90.35 per unit from N82.40 per unit.
On the flip side, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc lost N1.37 to end at N150.00 per share versus N151.37 per share, UBN Property Plc depreciated by 6 Kobo to N1.75 per unit from N1.81 per unit, and Food Concepts Plc dropped 1 Kobo to close at N2.49 per share versus N2.50 per share.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Pressure on the Naira eased on Wednesday, July 15, as it appreciated against the United States Dollar by 90 Kobo or 0.07 per cent on Tuesday, July 15, in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) to close at N1,382.18/$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,383.08/$1.
Also, the local currency gained a further N4.07 against the Euro in the official market to sell at N1,576.69/€1 versus Tuesday’s rate of N1,583.76/€1, but depreciated against the Pound Sterling by N1.71 to quote at N1,856.69/£1, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1,854.98/£1.
At the GTBank forex counter, the Naira lost N1 against the greenback at midweek to close at N1,389/$1 compared with the preceding day’s N1,388/$1, and at the black market, it traded flat at N1,405/$1.
Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that interbank FX turnover moderated as trading activities among financial institutions and market makers declined sharply.
Daily FX data released showed that NFEM interbank FX turnover closed the day at $121.727 million, about 50 per cent below the previous record of $243.095 million set on Tuesday.
Official trading records released by the central bank revealed that interbank FX deals among market makers went down from the previous day to 115 from 140.
Inflation news also eased pressure, even if the print dropped marginally to 15.91 per cent in June, a 0.2 per cent reduction from the 15.93 per cent recorded in the preceding month. The month-on-month headline inflation rate in June 2026 was 1.66 per cent, which was 0.09 per cent lower than the rate recorded in May 2026, which came in at 1.75 per cent.
In the crypto market, prices were mixed as some traders banked on softer-than-expected US inflation reports for June, while others say the inflation data is obsolete, given the renewed strength in oil prices, which sparked after fresh fighting in the Middle East.
US inflation had earlier cooled more than expected, sharply reducing market odds of a near-term Federal Reserve rate hike.
Ethereum (ETH) rose by 1.9 per cent to $1,921.62, Ripple (XRP) appreciated by 0.4 per cent to $1.11, and Binance Coin (BNB) also increased by 0.4 per cent to $582.42.
However, Solana (SOL) dropped 1.3 per cent to finish at $77.29, TRON (TRX) slumped by 0.8 per cent to $0.3240, Dogecoin (DOGE) shrank by 0.6 per cent to $0.0741, Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 0.3 per cent to $64,762.28, and Cardano (ADA) lost 0.2 per cent to end at $0.1640, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
By Dipo Olowookere
A 0.21 per cent loss was suffered by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Wednesday, as investor chew on the contraction in Nigeria’s June 2026 inflation rate to 15.91 per cent, according to data released during the session by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).
It was observed that the consumer goods sector lost 1.24 per cent, the industrial goods space shed 0.23 per cent, and the energy index crashed by 0.10 per cent, with these losses offsetting the gains recorded by the financial services sector, as the banking segment rose by 4.53 per cent, and the insurance counter chalked up 1.23 per cent.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) retreated by 503.69 points to 242,366.75 points from 242,870.44 points, but the market capitalisation added N390 billion to close at N156.239 trillion compared with the previous session’s N155.849 trillion.
During the trading day, Trans-Nationwide Express shed 9.85 per cent to end at N3.02, International Breweries moderated by 6.12 per cent to N13.05, Haldane McCall slipped by 5.95 per cent to N3.32, DAAR Communications declined by 5.68 per cent to N1.66, and NGX Group lost 4.38 per cent to finish at N28.12.
On the flip side, First Holdco improved by 9.98 per cent to N79.35, Thomas Wyatt expanded by 9.29 per cent to N2.94, Legend Internet gained 8.99 per cent to settle at N4.85, Tripple Gee grew by 8.96 per cent to N3.89, and Coronation Insurance increased by 6.61 per cent to N2.42.
Yesterday, market participants transacted 476.3 million stocks worth N29.6 billion in 40,992 deals compared with the 634.8 million stocks valued at N53.3 billion traded in 42,494 deals, showing a decline in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 24.97 per cent, 44.47 per cent, and 3.54 per cent, respectively.
First Holdco was the busiest equity with 78.7 million units sold for N6.2 billion, Sterling Holdings transacted 56.7 million units worth N439.2 million, Zenith Bank traded 30.0 million units valued at N3.3 billion, Fidelity Bank exchanged 27.3 million units for N563.9 million, and Stanbic IBTC traded 22.8 million units valued at N3.8 billion.
