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FG Lists ‘Resetting the Economy’ as Achievement of Buhari

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By Dipo Olowookere

As President Muhammadu Buhari marks his third year in office on Tuesday, May 29, 2018, the Nigerian government has listed ‘resetting the economy’ as one of his achievements in three years.

In a post on its Twitter handle on Monday, the Nigerian government (@Aso Rock), it was said that since Mr Buhari took over from the past administration, he has also grown what people eat, made business work, plugged leakages, invested in people, secured the country, brought about reforms in the judiciary and come up with new vision for the Niger Delta.

According to the Federal Government, President Buhari reset the nation’s economy by coming up with the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP), which was launched in April 2017.

The economic plan charts a course for the Nigerian economy over the next four years (2017–2020) with the vision to restore economic growth, invest in Nigerians, and to build a globally competitive economy.

Government aims to achieve these by focusing on five execution priorities: stabilizing the macroeconomic environment; achieving agriculture and food security; ensuring energy efficiency (especially in power and petroleum products); improving transportation infrastructure; and driving industrialization, primarily through SMEs.

To fast-track the implementation of the ERGP, the Federal Government launched the ERGP Focus Labs, as a targeted 6-week intervention (March to April 2018) bringing together all stakeholders to identify bureaucratic bottlenecks impacting medium-scale and large-scale investment projects in Nigeria, and then generate ideas and resources to resolve them.

Government said the just-concluded Phase 1 of the ERGP Focus Labs identified private-sector projects worth about $22.5billion and with a potential for 500,000 jobs (in Agriculture, transportation, manufacturing and processing, power and gas) for unlocking by 2020.

According to the Nigerian authorities, Mr Buhari returned the economy to the path of growth, after the recession of 2016-17 with the GDP recording 1.95 percent growth in the first quarter of 2018.

It was stated that the Buhari administration’s priority sectors of Agriculture and Solid Minerals maintained consistent growth throughout the recession.

“Inflation has fallen for the fifteenth (15th) consecutive month, from 18.7 percent in January 2017 to 12.5 percent as of April 2018.

“External Reserves of $47.5 billion are the highest in 5 years, and double the size as of October 2016.

“Total exports in 2017 were 59.47% higher than for 2016. In 2017, agriculture exports grew 180.7% above the value in 2016.

“In 2017, raw material exports grew 154.2% above the value in 2016. In 2017, solid minerals exports grew 565% above the value in 2016. In 2017, exports of manufactured goods grew 26.8% above the value in 2016. The first quarter of 2018 saw the fourth consecutive quarterly increase in capital importation since Q2 2017.

“The total value of capital imported in the quarter stood at $6.32 billion, which is a year-on-year increase of 594.03%, and a 17.11% growth over the figure reported in the previous quarter. The new FX Window introduced by the CBN in April 2017 now sees an average of $1 billion in weekly turnover, and has attracted about $25 billion in inflows in its first year (and a total turnover of $47.14 billion), signalling rising investor confidence in Nigeria.

“Nigeria’s stock market ended 2017 as one of the best-performing in the world, with returns in excess of 40 percent. Five (5) million new taxpayers added to the Tax Base since 2016, as part of efforts to diversify government revenues. Tax Revenue increased to N1.17 trillion in Q1 2018, a 51% increase on the Q1 2017 figure.

“N2.7 trillion spent on infrastructure in 2016 and 2017 fiscal years, an unprecedented allocation in Nigeria’s recent history. Fourteen (14) moribund Blending Plants revitalized so far under the Presidential Fertilizer Initiative (PFI); with a total capacity of 2.3 million MT of NPK fertilizer.

“The contribution of Solid Minerals’ to the Federation Account rose five-fold from N700 million in 2015 to N3.5 billion in 2017,” the Nigerian authorities said.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Naira Loses Against Dollar Official, Black Markets

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money supply naira

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira opened the new trading week on a negative note on Monday at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) and the black market.

At the parallel market, the Nigerian currency weakened against the US Dollar by N5 to sell for N1,380/$1 compared with the preceding session’s rate of N1,375/$1, and at the GTBank FX desk, it shed N1 to trade at N1,373/$1 versus N1,372/$1.

At the official market, it lost 63 Kobo or 0.05 per cent against the Dollar during the session to close at N1,362.84/$1, in contrast to last Friday’s value of N1,362.21/$1.

However, the Nigerian Naira gained N2.30 against the Pound Sterling at the spot market yesterday, quoting at N1,821.29/£1 compared with the previous rate of N1,823.59/£1, and improved against the Euro by 23 Kobo to settle at N1,574.35/€1 versus N1,574.58/€1.

Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that interbank forex turnover increased to $92.248 million across 90 deals, from $73.565 million last Friday.

On the policy front, participants believed that the application of the fourth edition of the Foreign Exchange Manual of the central bank, which introduces updated guidelines for foreign exchange transactions and tightening compliance requirements for authorised dealers and market participants, will enhance market flexibility and ease previous restrictions.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market snapped from recent declines, jolted by Strategy’s purchase of 1,550 Bitcoin for approximately $101 million, increasing its total holdings to 845,256 BTC. The company raised $181 million through common stock sales, using the proceeds to fund the bitcoin purchase and increase its cash reserves to $1 billion, pushing the price of the coin higher by 3.2 per cent to $63,731.69.

Cardano (ADA) appreciated by 8.4 per cent to $0.1738, Ethereum (ETH) rose by 5.2 per cent to $1,711.54, Solana (SOL) expanded by 5.1 per cent to $67.82, and Ripple (XRP) improved by 4.9 per cent to $1.18.

Further, Dogecoin (DOGE) jumped by 4.3 per cent to $0.0873, Binance Coin (BNB) soared by 2.7 per cent to $609.50, and TRON (TRX) increased by 0.7 per cent to $0.3274, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $0.9997 and $0.9998, respectively.

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Economy

Economist Tasks FG to Explore Alternative Funding Sources

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Aliyu Ilias

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The federal government has been advised to consider exploring other funding sources to finance its budget deficits.

Speaking with Punch recently, the chief executive of CSA Advisory, Mr Aliyu Ilias, said the current appetite for borrowing by the government cannot be sustained because it elevates debt-servicing costs.

The economist suggested the sale of some public assets and the involvement of the private sector in infrastructure financing for economic growth.

According to him, running to the debt markets to raise funds for the government is not the best route to take, as the reliance on borrowing always leads to higher debt-servicing obligations.

“The more you borrow, the more you are also incurring more debt services,” he said, tasking the government to also capitalise on increased oil revenues stemming from ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

“The government can actually sell off some of their assets to raise more money. The government can also, if you look at the revenue we are getting from oil, it’s getting more, especially with this war. It’s another opportunity for us to actually not borrow again,” Mr Ilias submitted.

He also pointed to ongoing tax reforms as another avenue to improve government finances and narrow the fiscal gap.

“The government can also look at tax reform. The fact is that the government does not have money. The only chance for getting more money is to address the financial deficit,” he added.

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Economy

Crude Oil Gains Over $1 Despite Easing Iran-Israel Tensions

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Cawthorne crude oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil was up by $1 on Monday as Iran and Israel said they had halted attacks on each other following an ‌appeal from US President Donald Trump.

Brent crude futures gained $1.16 or 1.3 per cent to trade at $94.25 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 76 cents or 0.8 per cent to $91.30 per barrel.

Iran’s military said Monday it halted attacks on Israel after the two countries exchanged their most intense strikes in months, further straining an already shaky ceasefire as well as the US-Israeli relationship. Iran, however, said it would resume strikes if Israel continued to hit Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Israel also halted attacks on Iran, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said, stopping short of acknowledging a ceasefire that US President Donald Trump said the countries were aiming for.

President Trump said earlier that the US blockade, which was introduced in April, would remain in place “in full force” until a final peace agreement between the two warring nations is reached.

Prices gained more than 5 per cent earlier on Monday after renewed Israeli strikes ​on Iran and attacks on Lebanon had reduced hopes of an imminent end to the wider war.

Market analysts noted that because of the strikes, investors were concerned that flows through the Strait of Hormuz might remain restricted for longer. Roughly ​a fifth of the world’s daily supply of oil and liquefied natural gas passed through the waterway before US-Israeli airstrikes at the end of February ‌unleashed the ⁠latest escalation of the Middle Eastern conflict.

Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis said on Monday they would ban ships linked to Israel from the Red Sea after Israel renewed its military ​attacks on Iran, adding to concerns about global shipping and energy flows.

In the face of ​the supply crisis, a sub-group under the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) on ⁠Sunday agreed on its fourth oil output target increase in four months. The seven members decided to increase ​targets by 188,000 barrels per day from July, the same as the June hike, which was adjusted down from monthly increases of 206,000 barrels per day in May and April to take into account the exit of the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

On paper, the sub-group has increased its output quotas from April ⁠to June by almost 600,000 barrels per day, but in reality, the group’s production has collapsed due to export cuts by Gulf members, averaging 33.19 million ​barrels per day in April compared with 42.77 million barrels per day in February.

Saudi Arabia has cut its official selling prices for crude oil to Asia ​in July for a second month.

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