Economy
June Inflation to Drop to 15.64% from 16.25%—FSDH

By Dipo Olowookere
A new report by FSDH Research has predicted that inflation rate for the month of June 2017 will drop further to 15.64 percent from 16.25 percent in the month of May.
Last month, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revealed that inflation for May deflated to 16.25 percent from 17.24 percent in April 2017.
FSDH Research, in its report released on Thursday titled Inflation Watch, it observed that the increase in the price of food items moderated in the month of June compared with May 2017.
“We also observed increases in some divisions that contribute to the Core Sub-Index, with the highest price observed in the clothing and footwear divisions.
“Based on the data release calendar on the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) website, we expect the NBS to release the inflation rate for the month of June 2017 on July 17, 2017,” the report said.
It was noted that the monthly Food Price Index (FPI) that the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) released today shows that the Index advanced further in June 2017.
The Index averaged 175.2 points, 1.43 percent higher than the revised value for May 2017, and 6.89% higher than the June 2016 figure. Movement in the food prices were in varying directions. Dairy, cereal and meat prices were mostly responsible for the uptick in the value of the Index while sugar and oil prices depreciated.
The FAO Dairy Price Index appreciated by 8.26 percent in June 2017. Prices of all dairy products which include milk powders, cheese and butter appreciated significantly during the period.
The FAO Cereal Price Index gained 4.21 percent from the previous month, representing a one-year high. Wheat and rice prices firmed up and were primarily responsible for the uptick in the value of the Index.
The FAO Meat Index was up by 1.85 percent on the backdrop of generally higher prices as import demand strengthened.
On the flip side, the FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index was down by 3.88 percent, driven by falling quotations for both palm and soy oils.
Good production prospects and bumper harvests contributed to the fall in prices. The Sugar Price Index dropped by 13.45 percent in June 2017 on the heels of weak global import demand and improved supply conditions in the main sugar producing regions in Brazil.
In addition, analysts at FSDH Research said, “Our analysis indicates that the value of the Naira depreciated at the inter-bank market while it appreciated at the parallel market.”
The Naira lost 0.16 percent to close at N305.90/$ at the inter-bank market while it gained 2.96 percent to close at N371/$ at the parallel market at the end of June 2017. The appreciation of the Naira in the parallel market is expected to counter the effect of the rising prices of food at the international market.
Hence, this should lead to a moderation in the pass through effect of imported prices on consumer goods in Nigeria, the report noted.
It pointed out that there was a general price increase in most of the food items that FSDH Research monitored in June 2017.
The prices of onions, yam, tomatoes, garri, sweet potatoes, palm oil, vegetable oil, Irish potatoes and rice were up by 33.89 percent, 24.6 percent, 11.11 percent, 6.67 percent, 4.76 percent, 4.62 percent, 3.03 percent, 2.96 percent and 2.69 percent respectively.
Meanwhile, the prices of beans, meat and fish were stable. The movement in the prices of food items during the month resulted in 1.25 percent increase in our Food and Non-Alcoholic Index to 243.34 points.
“We also noticed increase in the prices of Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels divisions between May 2017 and June 2017.
“Our model indicates that the general price movements in the consumer goods and services in June 2017 would increase the Composite Consumer Price Index (CCPI) to 233.25 points, representing a month-on-month increase of 1.18 percent.
“We estimate that the increase in the CCPI in June 2017 would produce an inflation rate of 15.64 percent lower than the 16.25 percent recorded in May 2017,” the report predicted.
Economy
Dangote Refinery Imports $3.74bn Crude in 2025 to Bridge Supply Gap
By Adedapo Adesanya
Dangote Petroleum Refinery imported a total of $3.74 billion) worth of crude oil in 2025, to make up for shortfalls that threatened the plant’s 650,000-barrel-a-day operational capacity.
The data disclosed in the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Balance of Payments report noted that “Crude oil imports of $3.74 billion by Dangote Refinery” contributed to movements in the country’s current account position, as Nigeria imported crude oil worth N5.734 trillion between January and December 2025.
Last year, as the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC), which is the refinery’s main trade partner and minority stakeholder, faced its challenges, the company had to forge alternative supply links. This led to the importation of crude from Brazil, Equatorial Guinea, Angola, Algeria, and the US, among others.
For instance, in March 2025, the company said it now counts Brazil and Equatorial Guinea among its global oil suppliers, receiving up to 1 million barrels of the medium-sweet grade Tupi crude at the refinery on March 26 from Brazil’s Petrobras.
Meanwhile, crude oil exports dropped from $36.85 billion in 2024 to $31.54 billion in 2025, representing a 14.41 per cent decline, further shaping the external balance.
The report added that the refinery’s operations also reduced Nigeria’s reliance on imported fuel, noting that “availability of refined petroleum products from Dangote Refinery also led to a substantial decline in fuel imports.”
Specifically, refined petroleum product imports fell sharply to $10.00 billion in 2025 from $14.06 billion in 2024, representing a 28.9 per cent decline, while total oil-related imports also eased.
However, this was offset by a rise in non-oil imports, which increased from $25.74 billion to $29.24 billion, up 13.6 per cent year-on-year, reflecting sustained demand for foreign goods.
At the same time, the goods account remained in surplus at $14.51 billion in 2025, rising from $13.17 billion in 2024, supported largely by activities linked to the Dangote refinery and improved export performance in other segments.
The CBN stated that the stronger goods balance was driven by “significant export of refined petroleum products worth $5.85bn by Dangote Refinery,” alongside increased gas exports to other economies.
Nigeria posted a current account surplus of $14.04 billion in 2025, lower than the $19.03 billion recorded in 2024 but significantly higher than $6.42 billion in 2023. The decline from 2024 was driven partly by structural changes in oil trade flows, including crude imports for domestic refining, according to the report.
Pressure on the current account came from higher external payments. Net outflows for services rose from $13.36 billion in 2024 to $14.58 billion in 2025, driven by increased spending on transport, travel, insurance, and other services.
Similarly, net outflows in the primary income account surged by 60.88 per cent to $9.09 billion, largely due to higher dividend and interest payments to foreign investors.
In contrast, secondary income inflows declined slightly from $24.88 billion in 2024 to $23.20 billion in 2025, as official development assistance and personal transfers weakened, although remittances remained a key source of inflow, as domestic refineries grappled with persistent feedstock shortages, exposing a deepening supply paradox in the country’s oil sector.
This comes despite the Federal Government’s much-publicised naira-for-crude policy designed to prioritise local supply.
Economy
Sovereign Trust Insurance Submits Application for N5.0bn Rights Issue
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
An application has been submitted by Sovereign Trust Insurance Plc for its proposed N5.0 billion rights issue.
The application was sent to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, and it is for approval to list shares from the exercise when issued to qualifying shareholders.
A notice signed by the Head of Issuer Regulation Department of the exchange, Mr Godstime Iwenekhai, disclosed that the request was filed on behalf of the underwriting firm by its stockbrokers, Cordros Securities Limited, Dynamic Portfolio Limited and Cedar of Lebanon Securities.
The company intends to raise about N5.022 billion from the rights issue to boost its capital base, as demanded by the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) for insurers in the country.
Sovereign Trust Insurance plans to issue 2,510,848,144 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each at N2.00 per share on the basis of three new ordinary shares for every 17 existing ordinary shares held as of the close of business on Tuesday, March 17, 2026.
“Trading license holders are hereby notified that Sovereign Trust Insurance has through its stockbrokers, Cordros Securities Limited, Dynamic Portfolio Limited and Cedar of Lebanon Securities, submitted an application to Nigerian Exchange Limited for the approval and listing of a rights issue of 2,510,848,144 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each at N2.00 per share on the basis of three new ordinary shares for every 17 existing ordinary shares held as of the close of business on Tuesday, March 17, 2026,” the notification read.
Economy
Food Concepts Plans 10 Kobo Interim Dividend Payout
By Adedapo Adesanya
Food Concepts Plc, the parent company of fast food brands like Chicken Republic and PieXpress, has disclosed plans to pay 10 Kobo in interim dividend to new and existing shareholders for the 2026 financial year.
This was disclosed by the company in a notice to the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange, where it trades its securities.
The notice indicated that the proposed interim dividend, which comes with no bonus, will be paid to those who hold the stocks of the company as of the qualification date for the dividend, which was Tuesday, March 24.
This means only those who hold the company’s shares as of the closing session will be eligible to receive the stipulated dividend payment.
The shareholders of the company will be credited with the 10 Kobo dividend on Tuesday, March 31.
The notice noted that the closure of the company’s register will be on Wednesday, March 25, through Friday, March 27, 2026, both days inclusive.
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