Economy
Nigeria’s Consumer Confidence Level Gains 3 Points in Q4 2016—Report
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
A new report released by Nielsen Holdings Plc, a a global performance management firm providing a comprehensive understanding of what consumers watch and buy, has revealed that Nigeria climbed three points to 116 in the fourth quarter of 2016, after a steep decline in the third quarter.
In the latest Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) figures for Quarter 4 of 2016, it was observed that sentiment in the west of Africa is on the increase with Ghana rising by two points to 111.
Managing Director of Nielsen East and West Africa, Mr Abhik Gupta, while explaining the reasons for Nigeria’s improved consumer sentiment in a statement made available to Business Post, stated that, “Despite previous drops in consumer confidence, Nigerians are now more positive than Kenyans, South Africans and Ghanaians, in terms of their job prospects and personal finances and as the country’s macro, business and retail prospects recover we expect to see continued positivity amongst Nigerian consumers.”
Adding to this positive outlook, the latest Nielsen Africa Prospects Indicator (APi), which integrates macro-economic, business, retail and consumer factors points to the fact that predictions are that the worst is over and it will not take much to drive the Nigerian economy into positive growth levels in 2017.
Short term positivity in Nigeria
In light of this, all confidence indicators in Nigeria increased in the fourth quarter. The percentage of respondents who predict that their personal finances will be good or excellent in the next 12 months jumped five percentage points to 80 percent, and 59 percent of Nigerian respondents said job prospects will be good or excellent, up one percentage point from the third quarter.
Immediate-spending intentions increased four percentage points, rising to 39 percent while more than four in 10 Nigerian respondents (44 percent) said they had spare cash, up from 36 percent in the third quarter.
In terms of what they would use this spare cash for, the highest number of Nigerians are seeking to batten down the hatches on their current financial future, with 80 percent saying they would put it into savings.
The second highest number (69 percent) wants to use their spare cash on home improvements and decorating and 62% on investing in shares and mutual funds. Unsurprisingly, 60 percent would spend it on out-of-home entertainment as they seek some respite from their current daily stresses and strains.
Mixed positivity in Ghana’s results
The overall increase in Ghana’s CCI, was due to a higher proportion of “Excellent” responses even though “Good” responses have declined.
This means that despite the positive outlook for jobs dropping two percentage points from Q3 to an overall 55 percent, this was made up of 12 percent saying “Excellent” (up from 10 percent previous quarter) and 43 percent saying “Good”.
This was followed by positive personal-finance sentiment decreasing by one point to 76 percent, of which 23 percent said “Excellent” (up by 4 points) and 52 percent said “Good”.
Immediate-spending intentions dropped by two percentage points to 40 percent of which 10 percent said “Excellent” (up by 4 points) and 30 percent said “Good”.
Less than half of Ghanaian respondents said they had spare cash (47%) – a drop of 3 percentage points from the third quarter, however this proportion of consumers is higher than Nigerians (44 percent) and Kenyans (42 percent).
In terms of what they would use this spare cash for, Ghanaians remain financially conservative in their outlook, with the highest number (82 percent) saying they would put it into savings, the second highest number of respondents 72 percent see home improvements as a worthwhile investment while (59 percent) saying they would invest in shares/mutual funds.
Overall Gupta comments; “In the backdrop of improved confidence levels, businesses need to adjust to the altered daily habits that consumers are displaying to deal with the tough market conditions. As consumers have been forced to reduce consumption, only buying on an immediate need basis, businesses need to meet these new consumers realities with agility, flexible product offerings, packaging and pricing.”
Economy
Stock Exchange Suffers Heavy Loss as Investors Pull Out N1.1trn
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited came under heavy selling pressure on Tuesday, going down by 1.66 per cent as investors embarked on profit-taking after most stocks on the trading platform gained in the past few trading sessions.
It was observed that the industrial goods sector was the most affected yesterday as it went down by 4.99 per cent due to the decline suffered by Dangote Cement and others.
The insurance continued its downward trend during the day as it lost 2.80 per cent, the consumer goods counter fell by 0.27 per cent, and the banking index shed 0.10 per cent, while the energy sector appreciated by 0.29 per cent.
At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) deflated by 1,745.16 points to settle at 103,622.09 points compared with the previous trading day’s 105,367.25 points and the market capitalisation moderated by N1.1 trillion to finish at N63.188 trillion versus Monday’s N64.252 trillion.
Business Post reports that investor sentiment remained weak on Tuesday after the bourse ended with 41 depreciating equities and 23 appreciating equities, representing a negative market breadth index.
Honeywell Flour lost 10.00 per cent to trade at N9.54, Dangote Cement declined by 9.98 per cent to N431.00, Julius Berger crashed by 9.98 per cent to N139.80, Sovereign Trust Insurance decreased by 9.68 per cent to N1.12, and Prestige Assurance tumbled by 9.30 per cent to N1.17.
On the flip side, Northern Nigerian Flour Mills appreciated by 10.00 per cent to N45.10, Livestock Feeds grew by 9.91 per cent to N6.10, Academy Press expanded by 9.90 per cent to N3.22, University Press increased by 9.82 per cent to N4.81, and Neimeth gained 9.76 per cent to quote at N3.15.
During the session, market participants bought and sold 503.3 million shares valued at N12.6 billion in 12,900 deals compared with the 505.8 million shares worth N8.1 billion traded in 14,259 deals a day earlier, indicating a rise in the trading value by 55.56 per cent and a drop in the trading volume and number of deals by 0.49 per cent and 9.53 per cent, respectively.
The most active stock for the session was GTCO with 54.4 million units worth N3.2 billion, Nigerian Breweries transacted 32.2 million units for N1.0 billion, Universal Insurance traded 30.8 million units valued at N22.6 million, AIICO Insurance exchanged 26.6 million units worth N47.2 million, and Chams transacted 20.0 million units valued at N40.9 million.
Economy
FG Offers 18% Interest on Savings Bonds
By Adedapo Adesanya
The federal government is offering two new savings bonds with interest rates between 17 and 18 per cent through the Debt Management Office (DMO).
In a statement by the agency, the country said retail investors can purchase the two-year bond maturing in January 2027 at 17.23 per cent interest, while the three-year paper maturing in January 2028 at a coupon rate of 18.23 per cent.
Bonds are very safe financial instrument that serve as investments because they are backed by the federal government, which promises to pay back the money.
According to the DMO, people can buy these bonds starting January 13, 2025, until January 17, 2025, with allotment expected on January 22, 2025, and the interest to be paid to investors every three months – in April, July, October, and January.
These bonds have some special features. They are tax-free under both company and personal tax laws.
Big investors like pension funds and trustees are allowed to buy them and each bond costs N1,000 each.
However, interested investor can only buy at least N5,000 worth, and can’t buy more than N50 million.
This comes after the Ms Patience Oniha-led debt office said the Nigerian government was offering three bonds worth N150 billion in September 2024.
Economy
Reps Express Readiness to Pass Tax Reform Bills
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The House of Representatives has said it would make efforts to pass the controversial tax reform bills forwarded to the National Assembly by President Bola Tinubu last year.
Mr Tinubu, in a bid to improve revenue of the government, asked the parliament to pass the bills, but this has been resisted mostly by northern lawmakers and others.
At the resumption of plenary session on Tuesday in Abuja, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Mr Abbas Tajudeen, assured that the green chamber of the legislative arm of government would prioritise the tax reform bills.
“The legislative agenda of the House for 2025 prioritises the passage of the Appropriation Bill and the Tax Reform Bills, both of which are pivotal to economic recovery and fiscal stability.
“These reforms are essential for broadening the tax base, improving compliance and reducing dependency on external borrowing.
“The House will ensure that these reforms are equitable and considerate of the needs of all Nigerians, particularly the most vulnerable,” Mr Abbas said through the Deputy Speaker, Mr Ben Kalu, who presided over the session.
He also expressed grief over the loss of lives in stampedes in Ibadan, Abuja and Anambra State last month due to hardship in the country.
Several Nigerians died in the stampedes while trying to receive palliatives given to alleviate their sufferings.
“Tragic events, such as the stampedes in Ibadan, Abuja and Okija, during the distribution of palliative aid, underline the urgent need for improved planning and safety protocols in humanitarian efforts. On behalf of the House, I extend our deepest sympathies to the families and communities affected.
“These incidents serve as a stark reminder of the socio-economic hardships facing our citizens and the imperative for policies that tackle hunger and poverty at their roots.
“Turning to the economy, 2024 presented both difficulties and opportunities. While inflation remains a pressing concern, progress in GDP growth and the positive trajectory of economic reforms provide hope for a more stable and prosperous 2025,” the Speaker said.
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