Economy
Oil Futures Rise 2% as Producers Show Commitment to Cuts
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil futures rose more than 2 percent after giving up earlier losses to settle higher on Monday.
The Brent crude, which went down earlier in the session, rose by 2.61 percent or $1.01 to sell at $39.74 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures, which had one point went back to $35, rose by 2.21 percent or $1.03 to trade at $37.06 per barrel.
This was buoyed by renewed confidence in declines in global crude production even as the potential for a fresh hit to demand climbed on the back of increases in new cases of coronavirus.
Prices rebounded from early losses after the energy minister of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) said that demand was picking up and expressed confidence that OPEC+ countries with poor compliance to agreed cuts would meet their commitments and reported signs oil demand was picking up.
UAE Energy Minister, Mr Suheil Al Mazrouei, said very good signs of rising demand for oil have been seen in China and India, two of the world’s biggest crude consumers, and to some degree in Europe.
Mr Al Mazrouei, who oversaw the strengthening of alliance between 23 member and non-member producers into a supergroup during his presidency of the oil cartel in 2018, said that he considered OPEC+ a permanent grouping.
He also remained hopeful that laggards within the group such as Iraq and Nigeria would fully comply and compensate for overproduction over the coming months.
Also helping prices was OPEC’s second largest exporter, Iraq agreeing with its major oil companies to cut crude production further in June coupled with Saudi Arabia also reducing the volume of July-loading crude it will supply to at least five buyers in Asia.
Meanwhile, production in the US, which isn’t part of the OPEC+ output agreement, has shown signs of further decline, with the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Monday forecasting a July decline of 93,000 barrels per day in oil production from seven major US shale locations.
However, the presence of rising coronavirus cases bothers analysts which they say could mean a second wave of coronavirus, spelling possible lockdowns which could go on for longer and weigh on oil prices.
China shut down a produce market in Beijing after a number of new coronavirus infections, while US states, including Florida, California, and Arizona, among others, were seeing infections increase, raising fresh doubts about reopenings. The US has more than 2 million people infected, about a quarter of the cases worldwide.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) has disclosed that ExxonMobil and its partners have committed $1 billion to on-block activities for the Usan Infill project in oil mining lease (OML) 138, a development expected to add 40,000 barrels per day of oil production.
According to a statement by NUPRC spokesperson, Mr Eniola Akinkuotu, the managing director of ExxonMobil affiliates in Nigeria, Mr Jagir Baxir, announced the investment commitment at the ongoing 2026 NOG Energy Week Conference on Tuesday.
Mr Akinkuotu said the investment is expected to add 40,000 barrels per day as Nigeria seeks to attract new upstream investment and raise crude oil production through the development of offshore and onshore assets.
“Esso Exploration and Production is the operator of OML 138, which contains the Usan field. The block is operated under a Production Sharing Contract with NNPC Limited,” he said.
“Co-venture partners in OML 138 include Chevron, TotalEnergies, and Nexen, a wholly owned subsidiary of CNOOC.
“As a short-cycle investment, the project is expected to sustain and increase production from the Usan field, with first production within 18 months after the seismic data identified the investment opportunity.”
Also, the chief executive of NUPRC, Mrs Oritsemyiwa Eyesan, said the announcement was particularly important because Esso Exploration and Production Nigeria – ExxonMobil’s affiliate – had not undertaken any drilling operation since 2016.
“With Esso’s last drilling operation dating back to 2016, the resumption of drilling signals renewed potential and value in our deep water acreage,” she said, noting that her organisation remains steadfast in advancing Nigeria’s portfolio of deep water projects.
She noted that the projects are critical to meeting the country’s production targets, boosting oil and gas reserves, sustaining government revenue, and strengthening investor confidence.
According to the statement, the NUPRC presented petroleum prospecting licences (PPLs) from the successful conclusion of the 2022/2023 mini bid round and the Nigeria 2024 licensing round.
“Some of the companies that were presented with their awards at the venue include: Broron Energy Limited (PPL 2009), Petroli Energy Marketing and Supply Limited (PPL 269), Sahara Deepwater Resources Limited (PPL 270 and PPL 271) and Tulcan Energy E&P Co (PPL 2008),” NUPRC said.
The commission said execution ceremonies for companies whose representatives were absent would be held at later dates agreed upon by both parties.
According to the NUPRC, the exercise covers 12 successful awardees across 19 PPLs, spanning a balanced mix of deep offshore, shallow water and continental shelf acreages.
The commission said the portfolio reflects the wide range of investment opportunities offered through the licensing rounds.
NUPRC described the awards as another major milestone in Nigeria’s ongoing drive to attract investment into the upstream petroleum sector.
The commission added that the awards would help accelerate exploration activities, expand the country’s hydrocarbon reserves, and generate long-term value for the Nigerian economy.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has announced the signing of six strategic agreements with key partners, ranging from Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), Gas Supply Agreement (GSA) and other gas transportation deals, marking a significant milestone in Nigeria’s journey towards industrial revitalisation and enhanced energy security.
The agreements, executed on the sidelines of the ongoing 25th NOG Energy Week in Abuja on Tuesday, include: an MoU with Ajaokuta Steel Company Limited, ASCL; a Gas Sale Aggregation Agreement with Ajaokuta Steel Company Limited; a GSA with UTM FLNG; a Network Entry Agreement with Chevron Nigeria Limited; a Network Entry Agreement with AGPC, and a Network Entry Agreement with NNPC Exploration & Production Limited.
According to the chief executive of the NNPC, Mr Bayo Ojulari, the agreements underscore the state oil company’s commitment to advancing the federal government’s gas-based industrialisation agenda, driving sustainable economic growth and enhancing Nigeria’s energy security.
“What we are witnessing today is not just about signing agreements. It is about igniting the engine of Nigeria’s industrialisation. Gas is the key. It is a source of revenue and profit. It is also the only product that can have that level of industrial impact on Nigeria, more than any other hydrocarbon,” Mr Ojulari stated.
He particularly described the agreements as a testament to NNPC’s shared commitment to transparency, efficiency, and a standardised framework for Nationwide gas utilisation, which will unlock new supply capacity for the domestic market and solidify the role of gas as a catalyst for economic transformation.
Mr Ojulari noted that the agreements signal a new era of strategic partnerships that will drive local content, enhance energy security and accelerate Nigeria’s journey towards becoming a global industrial powerhouse.
He described NNPC as the partner of choice. “We are on a journey, even as we look forward to greater collaboration with industry partners.”
A cornerstone of the signing ceremony was the agreement with Ajaokuta Steel Company Limited. In the MoU, NNPC and ASCL committed to extend collaboration beyond gas supply, aiming to catalyse the production of raw materials for oil and gas pipes, a critical enabler for major infrastructure projects such as the African- Atlantic Gas Pipeline and the Escravos -Lagos Pipeline System (ELPS).
The MoU is anchored on two major pillars: the revitalisation of the Ajaokuta Steel Complex and the expansion of domestic gas utilisation through the Nigerian Gas Transportation Network Code.
This was complemented by the execution of a 20-year Gas Sale and Aggregation Agreement between NNPC E&P Limited, Gas Aggregation Company of Nigeria Ltd/Gte and ASCL.
This agreement will see the supply of 3MMscf/d of Firm Contract Volumes and 47MMscf/d of Interruptible Contract Volumes to be used as feedstock for the power plant servicing the steel complex.
NNPC Ltd/Seplat JV also took a major step towards commercialising Nigeria’s vast natural gas resources by signing a 15-year Wet Gas Sale and Purchase Agreement WGSPA between the NNPC Ltd/Seplat Energy Producing Nigeria Unlimited Joint Venture and UTM FLNG Limited.
Under the agreement, the Joint Venture will supply 200 million standard cubic feet of gas per day (MMscf/d) to the UTM Floating LNG project, providing the long-term feedgas certainty required to support financing and position the project for a Final Investment Decision (FID) in the fourth quarter of 2026.
Further demonstrating its commitment to a regulated and efficient gas market, NNPC announced the successful migration of legacy interconnection agreements to the new Nigerian Gas Transportation Network Code. This involved the signing of Network Entry Agreements with three major gas producers.
These agreements, signed with Chevron Nigeria Limited, CNL, AGPC, and NEPL, will inject up to 800MMscf/d of natural gas into the domestic transportation network. This will serve Nigeria’s power plants, Gas-Based Industries (GBIs), and industrial clusters, significantly enhancing network connectivity and operational flexibility while improving the security of gas supply.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has retained Nigeria’s economic growth projections at 4.1 per cent for 2026 and 4.3 per cent for 2027, expressing confidence that ongoing macroeconomic reforms will continue to support the country’s recovery.
The projections, contained in the IMF’s July 2026 World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update titled “Global Economy in Crosscurrents of War and Technology”, remain unchanged from the forecasts released in April, despite mounting global uncertainties stemming from the conflict in the Middle East.
According to the report released yesterday, Nigeria’s growth outlook is being supported by improved macroeconomic stability and favourable terms of trade arising from its status as an oil-exporting nation.
However, the Bretton Woods institution warned that rising prices of essential goods could offset part of these gains by worsening poverty and food insecurity across the country.
The report stated that, “Nigeria is supported by improved macroeconomic stability and favourable terms of trade effects, though higher prices for essentials are expected to further aggravate poverty and food insecurity.”
Speaking during the IMF’s virtual briefing on the July 2026 World Economic Outlook Update for Sub-Saharan Africa and Nigeria, Division Chief in the IMF’s Research Department, Ms Deniz Igan, described Nigeria as one of the region’s stronger-performing large economies, noting that policy reforms have strengthened macroeconomic stability.
“Just to give you a sense, the two largest economies in the region, Nigeria is expected to grow at 4.1 per cent, quite stable, and this is supported by improved macroeconomic stability and favourable terms of trade, with Nigeria being an oil exporter,” Ms Igan said.
She, however, cautioned that inflationary pressures on essential commodities remain a major concern.
“At the same time, tighter prices, so there is some offset to that positive terms of trade effect because higher prices for essentials are expected to aggravate poverty and food insecurity,” she added.
The lender also retained Nigeria’s 2027 growth forecast at 4.3 per cent, as it noted that recent economic reforms are laying the foundation for sustained expansion despite persistent global headwinds.
For the global economy, the IMF projected growth to moderate to 3.0 per cent in 2026 from 3.5 per cent recorded in 2025, attributing the slowdown largely to the economic impact of the Middle East conflict, which is expected to offset part of the gains from the accelerating artificial intelligence-driven technology cycle.
For Sub-Saharan Africa, the IMF projected economic growth of 4.3 per cent in 2026 before improving to 4.5 per cent in 2027. The latest forecast represents a 0.1 percentage point upward revision from the Fund’s April outlook.
Ms Igan noted that the region had experienced broad-based economic recovery in 2025 before the outbreak of the Middle East conflict altered the growth trajectory.
“Let me start by noting that we actually had seen a broad-based pickup in growth in 2025 in the region. We had an acceleration of growth to 4.5 per cent.
“Now, the war obviously has clouded the outlook for 2026, and we are now projecting a softening of growth to 4.3 per cent in the region as a whole,” she said.
